IFK Göteborg vs GAIS Prediction, Preview and Stats

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Gamla Ullevi Sun, 26 Apr - 2:30 PM
Allsvenskan
IFK Göteborg GOT
2 – 2
GAIS GAIS
Full Time Sun, 26 Apr 2:30 PM
Round 5 Regular Season
Goal
|
Goal
William Milovanovic - 69'
M. Andersson - 63'

CONTEXT

In a pulsating Allsvenskan clash at Gamla Ullevi, IFK Göteborg hosted GAIS and settled for a hard-fought 2-2 draw. The home team struck first, leading 1-0 at halftime through clinical finishing despite holding only 38% possession. GAIS, with 62% of the ball, roared back in the second half, equalizing and then taking the lead before IFK Göteborg mounted a late rescue mission to snatch a point. Labeled the stronger team beforehand, IFK Göteborg's performance featured a significant 71.8% structural deviation, underscoring their overachievement against the run of play. No red cards disrupted the flow, and without xG data available, the focus shifted to tangible efficiencies and market mismatches. This outcome highlighted IFK Göteborg's grit in defying possession stats and pre-match perceptions favoring a close contest.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: IFK Göteborg exhibited a significant 71.8% structural deviation in their performance.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations for both teams.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be assessed due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: The draw outcome did not align with pre-match market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations were unavailable for evaluation.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or knockout ties influenced the result.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion to the match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

F. Klitte

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Lundgren

1st Assistant

S. Kristensson

2nd Assistant

R. Sundell

4th Official

IFK Göteborg S. Billborn
S. Billborn
VS
GAIS F. Holmberg
F. Holmberg
1.29
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.71
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kalmar Rank: D
Halmstad Rank: D
Häcken Rank: L
Elfsborg Rank: L
Norrköping Rank: W
Djurgården Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Mjällby Rank: D
Häcken Rank: L
Malmö FF Rank: L
Djurgården Rank: L
Malmö FF Rank: L
Öster Rank: D
9
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
9 - 6 - 3
3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home IFK Göteborg
35.59%
Draw
28.15%
Away GAIS
36.26%

Movement

Changes since opening
IFK Göteborg
+31.12%
Draw
-62.92%
GAIS
+31.79%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
16.9
12.83
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
IFK Göteborg
GAIS
Power Score
16.9
12.83
League Position
13
14
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
IFK Göteborg — Opponent-weighted form score
GAIS — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) IFK Göteborg GAIS

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

IFK Göteborg

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

GAIS

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

IFK Göteborg ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy GAIS
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
38.68
23.06
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
23.06
38.68
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
IFK Göteborg +1.62 Efficiency Index
vs
GAIS -1.62 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
IFK Göteborg
GAIS
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

IFK Göteborg ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy GAIS
Created Set-piece attacking threat
IFK Göteborg GAIS
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
IFK Göteborg GAIS
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
IFK Göteborg
GAIS
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
IFK Göteborg
vs
GAIS
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
IFK Göteborg GAIS
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
IFK Göteborg 0.38
GAIS 0.17
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
IFK Göteborg GAIS
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
IFK Göteborg 0.03
GAIS 0.06
IFK Göteborg
GAIS
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • GOT had peak pressure around 26'.
  • GAIS started the game with stronger pressure.
GOT Pressure GAIS Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: GOT reached the top pressure at 26' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 18 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

IFK Göteborg GOT Home
18 matches
GAIS GAIS Away
Match Record
9
Wins
3
6
Draws
6
3
Losses
9
Goals
17
Goals Scored
10
10
Goals Conceded
17
+7
Goal Difference
-7

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:05:42+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-3-2
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
E. Bishesari
Sweden
25 E. Bishesari
F. Eriksson
Substitution
Sweden
18 F. Eriksson
R. Yeboah
Ghana
4 R. Yeboah
A. Erlingmark
Sweden
3 A. Erlingmark
J. Bager
Denmark
5 J. Bager
A. Jallow
Sweden
17 A. Jallow
S. Alioum Moubarak
Substitution
Cameroon
11 S. Alioum Moubarak
D. Kjær Kruse
Denmark
15 D. Kjær Kruse
A. Bergmark-Wiberg
Sweden
29 A. Bergmark-Wiberg
T. Heintz
Norway
14 T. Heintz
M. Fenger
Substitution
Denmark
9 M. Fenger
Pitch
A. Probst Hermansen
Denmark
33 A. Probst Hermansen
M. de Brienne
Substitution
Canada
2 M. de Brienne
O. Ågren
Substitution
Sweden
4 O. Ågren
R. Frej
Sweden
12 R. Frej
A. Wängberg
Sweden
6 A. Wängberg
R. Þorkelsson
Iceland
17 R. Þorkelsson
J. Åberg
Sweden
7 J. Åberg
W. Milovanovic
Sweden
8 W. Milovanovic
R. Niklasson Johansson
Substitution
Sweden
11 R. Niklasson Johansson
S. Salter
Canada
20 S. Salter
B. Dankwah
Substitution
26 B. Dankwah

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 26, 2026, 02:30 PM
Competition :
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 5 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Gamla Ullevi
Capacity :
18416
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Marcus Lundgren
Simon Kristensson
Richard Sundell
Fredrik Klitte

Statistics

Possession
GOT
42%
GAIS
58%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 2
5 Shots 4
34 Dangerous attacks 66
38 Possession 62
4 Corners 3
21 Free kicks 11
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

3 Substitutions 5
17 Dribble Attempts 16
29 Successful Dribbles Percentage 31
10 Goal Kicks 5
24 Throwins 32
5 Goal Attempts 3
5 Successful Dribbles 5
2 Assists 1
92 Ball Safe 97

Attacking

77 Attacks 87

Possession

85 Long Passes 63
58 Successful Passes Percentage 79
7 Key Passes 7
24 Successful Long Passes 27
28 Successful Long Passes Percentage 43
160 Successful Passes 365
276 Passes 464

Defensive

62 Duels Won 53
20 Tackles 17
1 Saves 5
18 Interceptions 7

Build-up

6 Accurate Crosses 3
18 Total Crosses 19

Discipline

0 Offsides 1
11 Fouls 21

Lineup

Referee : Fredrik Klitte

Starting XI ▼

25
Elis Bishesari
Elis Bishesari Goalkeeper
6.83
3
August Erlingmark
August Erlingmark Defender
7.06
4
Rockson Yeboah
Rockson Yeboah Defender
6.68
5
Jonas Bager
Jonas Bager Defender
6.23
17
Alexander Jallow
Alexander Jallow Defender
6.86
18
Felix Eriksson
Felix Eriksson Defender
6.47
22
Noah Tolf
Noah Tolf
Defender84'
6.58
11
Saidou Alioum Moubarak
Saidou Alioum Moubarak Midfielder
6.98
26
Benjamin Brantlind
Benjamin Brantlind
Midfielder78'
6.55
15
David Kruse
David Kruse Midfielder
7.01
29
Adam Bergmark-Wiberg
Adam Bergmark-Wiberg Midfielder
6.86
9
Max Fenger
Max Fenger Attacker
6.64
30
Tiago Coimbra
Tiago Coimbra
Attacker84'
6.72
14
Tobias Heintz
Tobias Heintz Attacker
7.68
Referee : Fredrik Klitte

Starting XI ▼

33
Andreas Probst Hermansen
Andreas Probst Hermansen Goalkeeper
7.25
2
Matteo de Brienne
Matteo de Brienne Defender
6.7
5
Robin Wendin Thomasson
Robin Wendin Thomasson
Defender46'
6.74
4
Oskar Ågren
Oskar Ågren Defender
6.99
24
Filip Beckman
Filip Beckman
Defender46'
7.82
6
August Wängberg
August Wängberg Defender
6.85
12
Robin Frej
Robin Frej Defender
6.58
7
Joackim Åberg
Joackim Åberg Midfielder
6.76
8
William Milovanovic
William Milovanovic Midfielder
7.05
17
Róbert Frosti Thorkelsson
Róbert Frosti Thorkelsson Midfielder
6.95
11
Rasmus Patrik Niklasson Johansson
Rasmus Patrik Niklasson Johansson Attacker
6.47
27
Mohamed Bawa
Mohamed Bawa
Midfielder79'
6.59
20
S. Salter
S. Salter Attacker
6.94
26
Blessing Asumang
Blessing Asumang Attacker
6.79
16
M. Andersson
M. Andersson
Midfielder46'
6.55

Events

2ND-HALF
90+3'
Event
Anes Cardaklija → Robin Wendin Thomasson
8th Substitution
Event
Noah Tolf → Felix Eriksson
7th Substitution
84'
Event
Tiago Coimbra → Max Fenger
6th Substitution
84'
79'
Event
Mohamed Bawa → Rasmus Patrik Niklasson Johansson
5th Substitution
Event
Benjamin Brantlind → Saidou Alioum Moubarak
4th Substitution
78'
Event
David Kruse
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
72'
70'
Event
William Milovanovic
4th Yellowcard
69'
Event
William Milovanovic
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
Rockson Yeboah
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
64'
63'
Event
M. Andersson
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
46'
Event
M. Andersson → Blessing Asumang
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Filip Beckman → Oskar Ågren
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Robin Wendin Thomasson → Matteo de Brienne
3rd Substitution
1ST-HALF
32'
Event
Matteo de Brienne
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Rockson Yeboah
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
25'
Event
David Kruse
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
15'

CONCLUSION

IFK Göteborg's 2-2 draw against GAIS encapsulates a tale of resilience amid adversity. Trailing possession heavily yet refusing to yield, the Blåvitt pulled off a commendable point-share, their significant deviation underscoring tactical nous and individual brilliance. GAIS's dominance failed to yield victory, exposing conversion frailties. For IFK Göteborg, this keeps momentum alive in their stronger-team narrative, while GAIS gains a vital away point. Without xG insights or disruptive events, the result stands as a pure test of character, promising intriguing future encounters in the Allsvenskan grind.

IFK Göteborg vs GAIS preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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