Hull City vs Birmingham City Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Championship, England
Championship
Birmingham City BRCSTANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Hull City and Birmingham City played out a 1-1 draw at Hull's home ground. Hull City struck first in the opening half, leading 1-0 at halftime, demonstrating early control despite holding only 44% possession throughout the match. Birmingham City, identified as the stronger team pre-match, dominated possession with 56% and mounted a comeback to equalize in the second half. No red cards were shown to either side, and there were no reported second-half tactical adjustments. The final score represents a significant structural deviation of 72.4%, attributed to Birmingham City, with the outcome not aligning with pre-match market expectations where Hull held a slight edge. Efficiency remained in line with overall patterns, though expected goals data was unavailable for deeper analysis.
TL;DR
- Structural deviation: Outcome exhibited a 72.4% significant structural deviation linked to Birmingham City.
- Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with established patterns.
- xG alignment: xG alignment cannot be determined due to unavailable data.
- Market alignment: Market alignment was not observed in the final result.
- xG expectations: xG expectations remain unassessable without relevant metrics.
- Event impact: No key events such as adjustments altered the match dynamics.
- Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion to the scoreline.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Match referee
S. Martin
Other match officials
J. Graham
1st Assistant
C. Fitch
2nd Assistant
J. O'Connor
4th Official


Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Hull City
Birmingham CityMovement
Changes since opening
Hull City
Birmingham CityTeam Power Ranking
i
22.64
24.09
Hull City
Birmingham CityForm Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.


Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Hull City
Birmingham City

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Hull City ⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency 
Defensive Efficiency 
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)




Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Hull City ⚠ Proxy
Hull City Birmingham City
Hull City Birmingham City
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Hull City
Hull City Birmingham City


Hull City Birmingham City


PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- HUL had peak pressure around 27'.
- HUL started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 25 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.


Match Record 
Goals 
Data last updated: 2026-04-19T00:04:20+00:00
STARTING XI
Hull City
Birmingham City























































General Information
Next Match

Hull City
vs

Leicester City
League: Championship
Kickoff: Tue, 21 Apr - 6:45 PM
Venue: King Power Stadium

Birmingham City
vs

Preston North End
League: Championship
Kickoff: Wed, 22 Apr - 6:45 PM
Venue: St. Andrew's Stadium
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
Hull CityManager ▼

Starting XI ▼
















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Bench ▼




Birmingham CityManager ▼

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Bench ▼




Events
CONCLUSION
Hull City vs Birmingham City preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
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Match Commentary