Huesca vs Real Zaragoza Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain

Estadio El Alcoraz Sun, 26 Apr - 4:30 PM

La Liga 2

Huesca HUE

Real Zaragoza ZAR

Full Time Sun, 26 Apr 4:30 PM

Round 37 Regular Season

Óscar Sielva - 65' (P)

Dani Jiménez 90+13'

Esteban Andrada 90+8'

Dani Tasende 90+13'

CONTEXT

Huesca clinched a narrow 1-0 victory over Real Zaragoza in a Segunda Division encounter marked by disciplinary issues. The first half concluded 0-0, with Zaragoza controlling 61% possession compared to Huesca's 39%, yet failing to break the deadlock. The second half saw escalating tension, resulting in one red card for Huesca and two for Zaragoza, which distorted the game's structure and shifted momentum. Despite being labeled the stronger team, Zaragoza could not convert their dominance into goals, allowing Huesca to score the decisive strike. This outcome exhibited minimal structural deviation at 5.3%, aligning closely with pre-match expectations. Possession disparity highlighted Zaragoza's inefficiency, while the red cards introduced significant event-driven adjustments, primarily red card distortion. Huesca's resilience under pressure proved decisive in securing the three points.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: The result displayed minimal structural deviation of 5.3% in favor of Huesca.
Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations for both teams.
xG alignment: xG alignment could not be determined due to unavailable data.
Market alignment: The outcome fully aligned with pre-match market expectations.
xG expectations: xG expectations were unassessable owing to lack of data.
Event impact: Red cards to both teams heavily influenced the second-half dynamics.
Red card distortion: Red card distortion was the primary second-half adjustment factor.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

D. Arcediano Monescillo

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

C. Valverde Monsalve

1st Assistant

S. Sanz Torcal

2nd Assistant

G. Romero Freixas

4th Official

J. Oltra Castañer

D. Navarro Arenaz

0.73

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.12

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

4 - 8 - 7

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Huesca

94.72%

Draw

5.09%

Real Zaragoza

0.19%

Team Power Ranking

13.89

20.38

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Huesca

Real Zaragoza

Power Score

13.89

20.38

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Huesca — Opponent-weighted form score

Real Zaragoza — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Huesca Real Zaragoza

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Huesca

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Real Zaragoza

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Huesca ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Real Zaragoza

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

35.51

15.82

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

15.82

35.51

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Huesca +2.00 Efficiency Index

Real Zaragoza -2.00 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Huesca

Real Zaragoza

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Huesca ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Real Zaragoza

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Huesca Real Zaragoza

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

1.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Huesca Real Zaragoza

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 1.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Huesca

Real Zaragoza

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Huesca

Real Zaragoza

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Huesca Real Zaragoza

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Huesca Real Zaragoza

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Huesca

Real Zaragoza

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

HUE had peak pressure around 10'.
HUE started the game with stronger pressure.

HUE Pressure ZAR Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: HUE reached the top pressure at 10' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 19 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Huesca HUE Home

19 matches

Real Zaragoza ZAR Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-3

Goal Difference

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:07:43+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

13 D. Jiménez López

2 J. Abad Martínez

5 I. Sebastián Magaña

14 J. Pulido Mayoral

3 R. Abajas Martín

16 J. Álvarez Aguado

23 Ó. Sielva Moreno

33 D. Luna

6 J. Mier Martínez

20 F. Portillo Soler

9 S. Enrich Ametller

1 E. Andrada

27 J. Larios López

18 J. El Yamiq

4 P. Ínsua Blanco

20 M. Aguirregabiria Padilla

33 Y. Saidu

26 M. Mensah Vadze

23 M. Cuenca Aranda

11 R. González Bayón

14 F. Gracia

9 D. Gómez Alcón

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 26, 2026, 04:30 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 37 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Estadio El Alcoraz

Capacity :

9100

Attendance :

8150

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Dámaso Arcediano Monescillo

Christian Arlex Valverde Monsalve

Samuel Sanz Torcal

Gonzalo Romero Freixas

Statistics

Possession

HUE

43%

ZAR

57%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0

4 Big Chances Created 1

3 Shots 3

37 Dangerous attacks 53

39 Possession 61

1 Corners 5

18 Free kicks 15

0 Yellow Cards 2

1 Red Cards 2

Match Overview

1 Injuries 0

83 Successful Dribbles Percentage 64

2 Penalties 0

6 Dribble Attempts 11

21 Throwins 31

7 Goal Kicks 6

5 Successful Dribbles 7

5 Substitutions 5

92 Ball Safe 101

9 Goal Attempts 5

Attacking

51 Attacks 86

3 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

286 Passes 448

36 Successful Long Passes Percentage 55

215 Successful Passes 368

19 Successful Long Passes 32

75 Successful Passes Percentage 82

53 Long Passes 58

7 Key Passes 4

Defensive

58 Duels Won 44

9 Interceptions 9

16 Tackles 6

2 Saves 4

Build-up

14 Total Crosses 19

2 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

15 Fouls 20

3 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Dámaso Arcediano Monescillo

Manager ▼

J. Oltra Castañer Coach

Starting XI ▼

Dani Jiménez Goalkeeper

6.85

Toni Abad Defender

6.64

Álvaro Carrillo

Defender71'

6.65

Ro Abajas Defender

6.52

Liberto Beltrán

Attacker82'

6.71

Piña Defender

6.69

Michael Agbekpornu

Midfielder78'

6.55

Jorge Pulido Defender

6.81

Javi Mier Midfielder

6.75

Jesús Álvarez Midfielder

6.78

Francisco Portillo Midfielder

6.76

Óscar Sielva Midfielder

7.07

Jordi Martín

Defender71'

6.44

Daniel Luna Midfielder

6.66

Sergi Enrich Attacker

6.66

Enol Rodríguez

Attacker71'

6.62

Substitutes ▼

Álvaro Carrillo

Defender71'

6.65

Enol Rodríguez

Attacker71'

6.62

Jordi Martín

Defender71'

6.44

Michael Agbekpornu

Midfielder78'

6.55

Liberto Beltrán

Attacker82'

6.71

Bench ▼

Dani Martín Goalkeeper

Marc Aznar Defender

Jaime Seoane Midfielder

6.53

Ignacio Laquintana Midfielder

6.57

Jordi Escobar Attacker

6.79

Álex Cantero Attacker

6.45

Efe Ugiagbe Attacker

6.74

Referee : Dámaso Arcediano Monescillo