Huesca vs Real Sociedad II Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio El Alcoraz Mon, 11 May - 6:30 PM
La Liga 2
Huesca HUE
1 Winner 2
Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II
Full Time Mon, 11 May 6:30 PM
Round 39 Regular Season
Jordi Escobar - 90+5'
Goal
|
Goal
Job Ochieng - 77'
Lander Astiazaran - 27'
|
Red Card Mikel Rodriguez 66'

CONTEXT

Huesca suffered a shock 1-2 home defeat to Real Sociedad II, the visitors triumphing despite being the underdogs and receiving a red card. The hosts dominated possession at 62% to 38%, yet trailed 0-1 at halftime after a clinical strike from Real Sociedad II. Huesca pushed hard in the second half, pulling one back, but the away side's resilience shone through even after going down to 10 men, netting a decisive second goal. This outcome represents a minimal structural deviation of 5.8%, with the result aligning closely to pre-match assessments. Efficiency levels stayed in line with expectations, though the absence of xG data prevents full performance evaluation. The red card introduced significant distortion, altering second-half dynamics as Huesca pressed without fully exploiting their numerical edge. Real Sociedad II's defensive solidity and counter-attacking threat proved decisive, underscoring their fighting spirit against a stronger opponent.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Structural deviation was minimal at 5.8% favoring Real Sociedad II.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment undetermined due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment was confirmed as true.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable from missing metrics.
  • Event impact: Red card to Real Sociedad II heavily influenced proceedings.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion shaped second-half adjustments.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

M. Pérez Hernández

Spain
Fouls / match 0
Yellow cards / match 0
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

G. López De La Llave

1st Assistant

Spain

S. Rebollo Merino

2nd Assistant

Spain

M. Bárcenas Torres

4th Official

Spain

League averages

La Liga 2 Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 23.14
Yellow cards / match 4.93
Red cards / match 0.28
Penalties / match 0.34
Huesca J. Oltra Castañer
J. Oltra Castañer
VS
Real Sociedad II J. Ansotegi Gorostola
J. Ansotegi Gorostola
0.84
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.08
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Racing Santander Rank: 70 L
Real Zaragoza Rank: 59 W
SD Eibar Rank: 68 L
Deportivo La Coruña Rank: 70 D
Las Palmas Rank: 70 L
Cultural Leonesa Rank: 56 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Burgos Rank: 67 D
Real Valladolid Rank: 59 L
Racing Santander Rank: 72 L
Ceuta Rank: 62 D
Sporting Gijón Rank: 63 L
SD Eibar Rank: 70 L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Huesca
0.19%
Draw
5.65%
Away Real Sociedad II
94.16%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
57.69
56.17
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Huesca
Real Sociedad II
Power Score
57.69
56.17
League Position
19
16
Global Rank
566
479

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Huesca — Opponent-weighted form score
Real Sociedad II — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Huesca Real Sociedad II

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Huesca

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Real Sociedad II

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Huesca ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Real Sociedad II
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
34.92
47.76
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
47.76
34.92
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Huesca -1.30 Efficiency Index
vs
Real Sociedad II +1.30 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Huesca
Real Sociedad II
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Huesca ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Real Sociedad II
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Huesca Real Sociedad II
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Huesca Real Sociedad II
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Huesca
Real Sociedad II
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Huesca
vs
Real Sociedad II
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Huesca Real Sociedad II
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Huesca 0.36
Real Sociedad II 0.37
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Huesca Real Sociedad II
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Huesca 0.05
Real Sociedad II 0.02
Huesca
Real Sociedad II
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • HUE had peak pressure around 94'.
  • Real Sociedad II started the game with stronger pressure.
HUE Pressure Real Sociedad II Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: HUE reached the top pressure at 94' (80.58).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Huesca HUE Home
3 matches
Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II Away
Match Record
2
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
2
Goals
5
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
5
+1
Goal Difference
-1

Data last updated: 2026-05-12T00:03:13+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
D. Martín Rodríguez
Spain
30 D. Martín Rodríguez
J. Abad Martínez
Substitution
Spain
2 J. Abad Martínez
I. Sebastián Magaña
Spain
5 I. Sebastián Magaña
J. Pulido Mayoral
Spain
14 J. Pulido Mayoral
J. Alonso Sosa
Substitution
Spain
17 J. Alonso Sosa
J. Mier Martínez
Spain
6 J. Mier Martínez
Ó. Sielva Moreno
Substitution
Spain
23 Ó. Sielva Moreno
D. Luna
Colombia
33 D. Luna
F. Portillo Soler
Spain
20 F. Portillo Soler
L. Beltrán Martínez
Substitution
Spain
11 L. Beltrán Martínez
S. Enrich Ametller
Substitution
Spain
9 S. Enrich Ametller
Pitch
A. Fraga Torres
Spain
1 A. Fraga Torres
J. Balda Zubiri
Substitution
Spain
3 J. Balda Zubiri
K. Kita
Japan
15 K. Kita
L. Beitia Aguirregomezcorta
Spain
4 L. Beitia Aguirregomezcorta
A. Dadie Izagirre
Spain
22 A. Dadie Izagirre
J. Ochieng
11 J. Ochieng
I. Aguirre Basurko
Substitution
Spain
31 I. Aguirre Basurko
T. Carbonell Del Rio
14 T. Carbonell Del Rio
L. Astiazarán Escabias
Substitution
Spain
17 L. Astiazarán Escabias
G. Carrera Zarranz
Substitution
Spain
18 G. Carrera Zarranz
M. Rodriguez Carrasco
Spain
8 M. Rodriguez Carrasco

General Information

Date & Time :
May 11, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 39 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estadio El Alcoraz
Capacity :
9100
Attendance :
7563
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Manuel Ángel Pérez Hernández
Gonzalo López De La Llave
S. Rebollo Merino
Millan Bárcenas Torres

Statistics

Possession
HUE
57%
Real Sociedad II
43%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2
3 Big Chances Created 2
6 Shots 6
53 Dangerous attacks 43
62 Possession 38
9 Corners 7
14 Free kicks 9
5 Yellow Cards 5
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

13 Goal Attempts 10
0 Injuries 2
1 Hit Woodwork 2
21 Throwins 25
9 Dribble Attempts 16
44 Successful Dribbles Percentage 25
4 Successful Dribbles 4
7 Goal Kicks 11
1 Assists 2
63 Ball Safe 61
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

102 Attacks 77
2 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

20 Successful Long Passes 31
399 Passes 246
46 Long Passes 79
307 Successful Passes 165
77 Successful Passes Percentage 67
43 Successful Long Passes Percentage 39
13 Key Passes 9

Defensive

59 Duels Won 47
20 Tackles 14
4 Interceptions 12
3 Saves 4

Build-up

32 Total Crosses 14
9 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

1 Offsides 2
9 Fouls 14

Lineup

Referee : Manuel Ángel Pérez Hernández

Starting XI ▼

30
Dani Martín
Dani Martín Goalkeeper
2
Toni Abad
Toni Abad Defender
18
Enol Rodríguez
Enol Rodríguez
Attacker54'
5
Piña
Piña Defender
14
Jorge Pulido
Jorge Pulido Defender
17
Julio Alonso
Julio Alonso Defender
21
Dani Ojeda
Dani Ojeda
Attacker72'
6
Javi Mier
Javi Mier Midfielder
11
Liberto Beltrán
Liberto Beltrán Midfielder
8
Jordi Martín
Jordi Martín
Defender78'
20
Francisco Portillo
Francisco Portillo Midfielder
23
Óscar Sielva
Óscar Sielva Midfielder
7
Jordi Escobar
Jordi Escobar
Attacker73'
33
Daniel Luna
Daniel Luna Midfielder
9
Sergi Enrich
Sergi Enrich Attacker
10
Jaime Seoane
Jaime Seoane
Midfielder78'
Referee : Manuel Ángel Pérez Hernández

Starting XI ▼

1
Aitor Fraga
Aitor Fraga Goalkeeper
3
Jon Balda
Jon Balda Defender
23
Unax Agote
Unax Agote
Defender39'
4
Luken Beitia
Luken Beitia Defender
15
Kazunari Kita
Kazunari Kita Defender
22
Alberto Dadie
Alberto Dadie Defender
11
Job Ochieng
Job Ochieng Midfielder
14
Tomy Carbonell
Tomy Carbonell Midfielder
17
Lander Astiazaran
Lander Astiazaran Midfielder
16
Gorka Gorosabel
Gorka Gorosabel
Midfielder80'
31
Ibai Aguirre Basurco
Ibai Aguirre Basurco Midfielder
6
Alex Lebarbier
Alex Lebarbier
Midfielder73'
8
Mikel Rodriguez
Mikel Rodriguez Attacker
18
Gorka Carrera
Gorka Carrera Attacker
10
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena
Attacker73'

Events

2ND-HALF
90+6'
Event
Alex Lebarbier
Time wasting / 10th Yellowcard
Event
Jordi Escobar
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
90+5'
Event
Daniel Luna
Argument / 9th Yellowcard
90+2'
80'
Event
Unax Larrañaga → Job Ochieng
10th Substitution
80'
Event
Gorka Gorosabel → Lander Astiazaran
9th Substitution
Event
Jordi Martín → Liberto Beltrán
7th Substitution
78'
Event
Jaime Seoane → Sergi Enrich
8th Substitution
78'
77'
Event
Job Ochieng
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Jordi Escobar → Óscar Sielva
4th Substitution
73'
73'
Event
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena → Gorka Carrera
6th Substitution
73'
Event
Alex Lebarbier → Ibai Aguirre Basurco
5th Substitution
Event
Dani Ojeda → Julio Alonso
3rd Substitution
72'
66'
Event
Mikel Rodriguez
Violent conduct / 1st Redcard
Event
Óscar Sielva
Argument / 8th Yellowcard
63'
60'
Event
Luken Beitia
Foul / 7th Yellowcard
Event
Liberto Beltrán
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
55'
Event
Enol Rodríguez → Toni Abad
2nd Substitution
54'
Event
Jorge Pulido
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
48'
1ST-HALF
Event
Piña
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
45+4'
39'
Event
Unax Agote → Jon Balda
1st Substitution
27'
Event
Lander Astiazaran
Header / 1st Goal
20'
Event
Jon Balda
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
5'
Event
Kazunari Kita
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
1'
Event
Ibai Aguirre Basurco
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Jordi Escobar takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
90
Attempt Attempt
Gorka Gorosabel takes a right-footed shot that hits the post.
87
Attempt Attempt
Daniel Luna takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
83
Attempt Attempt
Jordi Escobar attempts a header but misses the shot.
80
Update Update
Gorka Gorosabel is on, and Lander Astiazaran is off.
80
Update Update
Ayo Unax comes on for Job Ochieng.
79
Attempt Attempt
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
78
Update Update
Jordi Martin comes on for Liberto Beltran.
78
Update Update
Jaime Seoane comes on for Sergi Enrich Ametller.
77
Attempt Attempt
Job Ochieng scores with a right-footed shot.
75
Attempt Attempt
Job Ochieng takes a right-footed shot but misses.
73
Update Update
Jordi Escobar comes on for Sergi Enrich Ametller.
73
Update Update
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena is on, and Gorka Carrera is off.
73
Update Update
Alex Lebarbier is on, and Ibai Aguirre is off.
72
Update Update
Dani Ojeda comes on for Julio Alonso Sosa.
71
Attempt Attempt
Liberto Beltran's left-footed shot is saved.
71
Attempt Attempt
Gorka Carrera's right-footed shot is saved.
69
Attempt Attempt
Enol Rodriguez Heres takes a shot, but it's blocked.
69
Attempt Attempt
Sielva takes a right-footed shot that hits the post.
65
Attempt Attempt
Daniel Luna takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
62
Update Update
Gorka Carrera's header is blocked.
60
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Luken Beitia receives a yellow card.
55
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Liberto Beltran receives a yellow card.
54
Update Update
Enol Rodriguez comes on for Toni Abad.
45
Attempt Attempt
Job Ochieng takes a right-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Daniel Luna takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
45
Attempt Attempt
Job Ochieng takes a right-footed shot but misses.
44
Attempt Attempt
Ibai Aguirre takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
44
Attempt Attempt
Alberto Dadie takes a right-footed shot but misses.
44
Attempt Attempt
Gorka Carrera takes a right-footed shot but misses.
44
Attempt Attempt
Gorka Carrera takes a right-footed shot that hits the post.
43
Attempt Attempt
Gorka Carrera takes a right-footed shot that hits the post.
43
Attempt Attempt
Sergi Enrich Ametller attempts a header but misses the shot.
42
Attempt Attempt
Jorge Pulido Mayoral takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
42
Update Update
Jorge Pulido Mayoral's header is blocked.
39
Update Update
Unax Agote is on, and Jon Balda is off.
35
Attempt Attempt
Toni Abad takes a right-footed shot but misses.
33
Attempt Attempt
Inigo Sebastian Magana takes a right-footed shot but misses.
31
Update Update
Jorge Pulido Mayoral's header is blocked.
30
Attempt Attempt
Liberto Beltran takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
29
Attempt Attempt
Julio Alonso Sosa takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
27
Update Update
Lander Astiazaran scores with a header.
24
Attempt Attempt
Tomy Carbonell's header is saved.
20
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Jon Balda receives a yellow card.
17
Attempt Attempt
Lander Astiazaran's left-footed shot is blocked.
8
Attempt Attempt
Job Ochieng takes a left-footed shot but misses.
8
Attempt Attempt
Jon Balda takes a shot, but it's blocked.
6
Attempt Attempt
Sergi Enrich Ametller attempts a header but misses the shot.
1
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ibai Aguirre receives a yellow card.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Real Sociedad II exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

Huesca vs Real Sociedad II preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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