Hibernian vs Motherwell Prediction, Preview and Stats

Scotland flag 2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland
Easter Road Stadium Tomorrow - 11:30 AM
Premiership
Hibernian HIB
Versus
Motherwell MOT
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 11:30 AM
Round 38 2nd Phase

CONTEXT

Hibernian host Motherwell at Easter Road Stadium in the Premiership's 2nd Phase of the 2025/2026 season, pitting 5th-placed hosts against 4th-placed visitors in a crucial mid-table showdown. Hibernian edge the power ratings with 67.53 to Motherwell's 66.94, a slim 0.6-point advantage identifying them as the marginally stronger team. Yet Motherwell boast superior recent form at 18.72 versus Hibernian's 10.94, suggesting momentum on their side despite the trip north. No recent outings are recorded for either, leaving lineups open to speculation amid absent squad updates. League positions underscore the stakes, with points vital for climbing the table. Home advantage could prove decisive for Hibs, but Motherwell's form hints at resilience. Lacking detailed efficiency, transition, or set-piece metrics due to unavailable xG data, this encounter promises tactical intrigue and direct competition.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Hibernian possess a 0.6-point power advantage over Motherwell, reinforced by home venue at Easter Road.
  • Form: Motherwell lead in form scores with 18.72 against Hibernian's 10.94.
  • Squad: No squad changes or injury updates available for either team.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both Hibernian and Motherwell.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics not provided in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to lack of xG information and low confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables absent for both teams in this fixture preview.
  • Market: Baseline split: Hibernian 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Motherwell 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Hibernian Hibernian
Hibernian
VS
Motherwell J. Askou
J. Askou
1.4
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.69
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rangers Rank: 77 D
Falkirk Rank: 66 D
Celtic Rank: 78 L
Hearts Rank: 73 L
Aberdeen Rank: 59 L
Kilmarnock Rank: 58 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Celtic Rank: 78 D
Hearts Rank: 75 D
Falkirk Rank: 64 L
Rangers Rank: 77 W
Hearts Rank: 75 L
Falkirk Rank: 66 L
24
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
24 - 14 - 19
19
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Hibernian
0%
Draw
0%
Away Motherwell
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
67.53
66.94
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Hibernian
Motherwell
Power Score
67.53
66.94
League Position
5
4
Global Rank
264
270

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Hibernian — Opponent-weighted form score
Motherwell — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Hibernian Motherwell

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 57 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Hibernian HIB Home
57 matches
Motherwell MOT Away
Match Record
24
Wins
19
14
Draws
14
19
Losses
24
Goals
95
Goals Scored
74
74
Goals Conceded
95
+21
Goal Difference
-21
Expected Goals
0.54
xG
0.48
0.48
xGA
0.54

Data last updated: 2026-05-09T01:09:53+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

Official lineups and formations are usually announced 60–90 minutes before kickoff. Check back closer to the match to see the starting XIs here.

General Information

Date & Time :
May 16, 2026, 11:30 AM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland · Round 38 · 2nd Phase
Stadium :
Easter Road Stadium
Capacity :
20421
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

13
Jordan Smith
Jordan Smith Goalkeeper
1
Raphael Sallinger
Raphael Sallinger Goalkeeper
4
Grant Hanley
Grant Hanley Defender
21
Jordan Obita
Jordan Obita Defender
25
Felix Passlack
Felix Passlack Defender
5
Warren O'Hora
Warren O'Hora Defender
12
Christopher Cadden
Christopher Cadden Defender
33
Rocky Bushiri
Rocky Bushiri Defender
15
Jack Iredale
Jack Iredale Defender
42
Munashe Garananga
Munashe Garananga Defender
27
Kanayochukwu Megwa
Kanayochukwu Megwa Defender
11
Joe Newell
Joe Newell Midfielder
22
Daniel Barlaser
Daniel Barlaser Midfielder
17
Jamie McGrath
Jamie McGrath Midfielder
19
Nicky Cadden
Nicky Cadden Midfielder
8
Alasana Manneh
Alasana Manneh Midfielder
32
Josh Campbell
Josh Campbell Midfielder
20
Josh Mulligan
Josh Mulligan Midfielder
14
Miguel Changa Chaiwa
Miguel Changa Chaiwa Midfielder
28
Kai Andrews
Kai Andrews Midfielder
35
Rudi Allan Molotnikov
Rudi Allan Molotnikov Midfielder
10
Martin Boyle
Martin Boyle Attacker
7
Elie Youan
Elie Youan Attacker
44
Dane Scarlett
Dane Scarlett Attacker
77
Ante Šuto
Ante Šuto Attacker
47
Owen Elding
Owen Elding Attacker

Squad ▼

61
Callum Ward
Callum Ward Goalkeeper
31
Matty Connolly
Matty Connolly Goalkeeper
16
Paul McGinn
Paul McGinn Defender
2
Stephen O'Donnell
Stephen O'Donnell Defender
6
Jordan McGhee
Jordan McGhee Defender
4
Liam Gordon
Liam Gordon Defender
57
Stephen Welsh
Stephen Welsh Defender
22
John Koutroumbis
John Koutroumbis Defender
45
Mbule Longelo Emmanuel
Mbule Longelo Emmanuel Defender
11
Andrew Halliday
Andrew Halliday Midfielder
19
Sam Nicholson
Sam Nicholson Midfielder
8
Callum Slattery
Callum Slattery Midfielder
20
Elliot Watt
Elliot Watt Midfielder
12
Lukas Fadinger
Lukas Fadinger Midfielder
7
Tom Sparrow
Tom Sparrow Midfielder
18
Oscar Priestman
Oscar Priestman Midfielder
77
Regan Charles-Cook
Regan Charles-Cook Attacker
66
Callum Hendry
Callum Hendry Attacker
21
Elijah Henry Just
Elijah Henry Just Attacker
55
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise Attacker
90
Ibrahim Sa’id
Ibrahim Sa’id Attacker
9
Zach Robinson
Zach Robinson Attacker
15
Eythor Martin Bjørgolfsson
Eythor Martin Bjørgolfsson Attacker
28
Luca Ross
Luca Ross Attacker

CONCLUSION

This Premiership 2nd Phase fixture at Easter Road shapes as a tight affair between Hibernian and Motherwell, with the hosts' power edge clashing against the visitors' sharper form. Hibs' 5th-place standing and home soil offer a platform to capitalize on their 0.6-point superiority, potentially through structured build-up and crowd support. Motherwell, 4th and in rhythm, may counter via quick transitions despite data gaps. Absent specifics on set pieces or efficiency heighten reliance on core strengths—Hibernian's slight structural favor versus Motherwell's momentum. Expect a competitive scrap where fine margins decide progression, with both eyeing table ascent.

Hibernian vs Motherwell preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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