Hibernian vs Livingston Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland
Premiership
Livingston LIVSTANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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CONTEXT
The match between Hibernian and Livingston has finished, ending in a 0-0 full-time draw after being scoreless at the break. This result represents a significant deviation from pre-match expectations, as Hibernian entered the contest as heavy favorites with a 66.4% implied probability of victory. A draw was priced at just 20.4%, with a Livingston win at 13.2%, meaning the final outcome completely failed to align with the pre-match market. Hibernian thoroughly dominated the ball, racking up 75% possession compared to a mere 25% for the visiting side. Despite this overwhelming control, there is no expected goals (xG) data available to determine if the scoreless outcome was consistent with the quality of chances created by either team. Furthermore, the match proceeded without any red cards, meaning disciplinary ejections did not impact the final scoreline or alter the tactical landscape. Regarding overall team performance metrics, the efficiency shift was in line with expectations. Hibernian posted an efficiency rating of 1.81, while Livingston recorded a -1.81. Ultimately, the significantly favored home team controlled the tempo and possession but could not find the crucial breakthrough to secure a victory.
TL;DR
- Structural deviation: Hibernian showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
- Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
- xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
- Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
- xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
- Event impact: No major event distortion.
- Red card distortion: None.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Match referee
L. Wilson
Other match officials
D. Ross
2nd Assistant
G. Hanvidge
4th Official
D. McGeachie
1st Assistant


Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Hibernian
LivingstonTeam Power Ranking
i
68.2
51.73
Hibernian
LivingstonForm Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.


Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Hibernian
Livingston

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Hibernian ⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency 
Defensive Efficiency 
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)




Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Hibernian
Hibernian Livingston
Hibernian Livingston
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 17 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.


Match Record 
Goals 
Data last updated: 2026-03-16T01:04:28+00:00
STARTING XI
Hibernian
Livingston






















































General Information
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
HibernianManager ▼

Starting XI ▼















Substitutes ▼




Bench ▼





LivingstonManager ▼

Starting XI ▼
















Substitutes ▼





Bench ▼




Events
CONCLUSION
Hibernian vs Livingston preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
How We Build This Analysis
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Match Commentary