Heracles Almelo vs FC Groningen Prediction, Preview and Stats

Netherlands flag 2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands
Asito Stadion Sun, 17 May - 12:30 PM
Eredivisie
Heracles Almelo HEA
Versus
FC Groningen GRO
KICKOFF : Sun, 17 May - 12:30 PM
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Heracles Almelo face FC Groningen at the Asito Stadion in a crucial Eredivisie regular season clash during the 2025/2026 campaign. Sitting 18th in the domestic standings, Heracles are battling relegation pressures, while 9th-placed Groningen aim to climb higher with their superior power score of 66.63 against Heracles' 54.55, granting the visitors a 12.1-point advantage. This structural edge underscores Groningen's stronger overall profile. Both sides enter with form scores of zero and no recent outing details available, making recent performances hard to gauge. League positions reflect domestic form, highlighting Heracles' vulnerability at home. Set piece data lacks xG metrics due to low confidence and proxy usage, offering little insight into dead-ball threats. Efficiency metrics are unavailable, but Groningen's higher ranking suggests better underlying quality. The matchup pits a desperate host against a more composed away side, with transitions and squad depth likely pivotal in a tightly contested affair.

TL;DR

  • Structural: FC Groningen holds a 12.1-point power advantage and sits 9th compared to Heracles Almelo's 18th in the Eredivisie.
  • Form: Both teams have a form score of 0 with no last outing data available.
  • Squad: No specific squad details provided, but power scores favor FC Groningen significantly.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data available for either team.
  • Transition: No transition-specific metrics provided in the data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable with low confidence and proxy used for both teams.
  • xVariable: No xG or related variable data available due to add-on not enabled.
  • Market: Heracles Almelo 20% (Δ+0%) | Draw 21.7% (Δ+0%) | FC Groningen 58.3% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Heracles Almelo E. Faber
E. Faber
VS
FC Groningen D. Lukkien
D. Lukkien
0.48
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.24
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Telstar Rank: 63 L
PEC Zwolle Rank: 63 L
FC Volendam Rank: 59 L
Ajax Rank: 76 L
SC Heerenveen Rank: 69 L
Excelsior Rank: 62 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
NEC Nijmegen Rank: 74 W
Excelsior Rank: 61 L
Feyenoord Rank: 74 L
Go Ahead Eagles Rank: 67 D
Telstar Rank: 64 W
AZ Rank: 76 W
16
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
16 - 6 - 18
18
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Heracles Almelo
19.97%
Draw
21.71%
Away FC Groningen
58.32%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
54.55
66.63
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Heracles Almelo
FC Groningen
Power Score
54.55
66.63
League Position
18
9
Global Rank
653
285

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Heracles Almelo — Opponent-weighted form score
FC Groningen — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Heracles Almelo FC Groningen

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Heracles Almelo HEA Home
0 matches
FC Groningen GRO Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-15T00:24:25+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
T. Jansink
16 T. Jansink
M. Benita
2 M. Benita
D. Mirani
4 D. Mirani
M. te Wierik
23 M. te Wierik
D. van der Kust
5 D. van der Kust
J. Žambůrek
13 J. Žambůrek
R. Bozinovski
20 R. Bozinovski
T. van Gilst
17 T. van Gilst
W. Ould-Chikh
73 W. Ould-Chikh
M. Engels
8 M. Engels
B. Limbombe
7 B. Limbombe
Pitch
E. Vaessen
1 E. Vaessen
M. Peersman
43 M. Peersman
D. Janse
4 D. Janse
T. Blokzijl
3 T. Blokzijl
M. Rente
5 M. Rente
T. Land
18 T. Land
T. de Jonge
8 T. de Jonge
J. Schreuders
14 J. Schreuders
D. van der Werff
17 D. van der Werff
Y. Taha El Idrissi
10 Y. Taha El Idrissi
T. van Bergen
26 T. van Bergen

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 12:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Asito Stadion
Capacity :
12500
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Don Frijn
Jari de Koning
Richard Martens
Niels Boel

Expected Lineup

Referee : Richard Martens

Starting XI ▼

16
Timo Jansink
Timo Jansink Goalkeeper
6.76
7
Bryan Limbombe
Bryan Limbombe Centre Forward
6.67
2
Mimeirhel Benita
Mimeirhel Benita Right Back
6.59
17
Tristan van Gilst
Tristan van Gilst Right Wing
6.56
73
Walid Ould-Chikh
Walid Ould-Chikh Attacking Midfield
6.88
4
Damon Mirani
Damon Mirani Right Back
6.66
5
Djevencio van der Kust
Djevencio van der Kust Left Back
6.46
8
Mario Engels
Mario Engels Left Wing
6.45
13
Jan Zamburek
Jan Zamburek Defensive Midfield
6.63
20
Rhys Bozinovski
Rhys Bozinovski Defensive Midfield
6.31
23
Mike te Wierik
Mike te Wierik Left Back
6.55
Referee : Richard Martens

Starting XI ▼

1
Etienne Vaessen
Etienne Vaessen Goalkeeper
6.84
26
Thom van Bergen
Thom van Bergen Centre Forward
6.95
8
Tika de Jonge
Tika de Jonge Defensive Midfield
6.77
17
David van der Werff
David van der Werff Attacking Midfield
6.9
43
Marvin Peersman
Marvin Peersman Left Back
6.77
3
Thijmen Blokzijl
Thijmen Blokzijl Right Back
6.9
4
Dies Janse
Dies Janse Left Back
7.04
5
Marco Rente
Marco Rente Right Back
7.01
10
Younes Taha
Younes Taha Right Wing
7.07
14
Jorg Schreuders
Jorg Schreuders Left Wing
6.86
18
Tygo Land
Tygo Land Defensive Midfield
6.47

CONCLUSION

FC Groningen's superior power rating and mid-table position position them as the stronger outfit against bottom-dwelling Heracles Almelo. The 12.1-point edge suggests dominance in key areas, though absent form and efficiency data tempers predictions. Heracles must leverage home advantage at Asito Stadion to counter Groningen's quality, but structural disparities favor the visitors. Without set piece or xG insights, the focus shifts to open-play execution and squad resilience. Expect Groningen to control possession and exploit transitions, potentially securing a vital away win to bolster their top-half aspirations while Heracles fight for survival.

Heracles Almelo vs FC Groningen preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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