Hellas Verona vs Como Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi Sun, 10 May - 10:30 AM
Serie A
Hellas Verona VER
0 Winner 1
Como COM
Full Time Sun, 10 May 10:30 AM
Round 36 Regular Season
|
Goal
Anastasios Douvikas  - 71'

CONTEXT

Hellas Verona hosted Como in a tightly contested Serie A clash that ended 0-1 in favor of the visitors. The first half finished goalless at 0-0, with both sides struggling to break the deadlock despite Como's clear dominance in possession at 64% to Verona's 36%. The away side, identified as the stronger team pre-match, capitalized on their control in the second half, securing a vital goal without facing any red card disruptions. Verona's defense held firm for long stretches but couldn't prevent the decisive strike. This outcome reflected Como's superior structural setup, showing only minimal deviation of 4.8% from expectations. Efficiency remained in line throughout, and the result aligned with pre-match market assessments. No major tactical adjustments were needed post-halftime, underscoring Como's consistent pressure that eventually paid off.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Minimal structural deviation of 4.8% favored Como in the 0-1 result.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with pre-match expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing expected goals data.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment confirmed as Como secured the predicted victory.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated without available metrics.
  • Event impact: No key events like red cards or adjustments altered the match flow.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant zero distortion to the final scoreline.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

M. Di Bello

Italy 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

F. Bercigli

2nd Assistant

Italy

K. Bonacina

4th Official

Italy

A. Lo Cicero

1st Assistant

Italy

League averages

Serie A Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 22.6
Yellow cards / match 3.28
Red cards / match 0.16
Penalties / match 0.18
Hellas Verona P. Sammarco
P. Sammarco
VS
Como F. Fàbregas i Soler
F. Fàbregas i Soler
0.58
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.83
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Juventus Rank: 86 D
Lecce Rank: 68 D
AC Milan Rank: 84 L
Torino Rank: 75 L
Fiorentina Rank: 77 L
Atalanta Rank: 85 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Napoli Rank: 86 D
Genoa Rank: 74 W
Sassuolo Rank: 73 L
Inter Rank: 92 L
Udinese Rank: 77 D
Pisa Rank: 62 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 2
2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Hellas Verona
0.19%
Draw
4.58%
Away Como
95.23%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
64.29
84
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Hellas Verona
Como
Power Score
64.29
84
League Position
19
6
Global Rank
354
40

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Hellas Verona — Opponent-weighted form score
Como — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Hellas Verona Como

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Hellas Verona

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Como

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Hellas Verona ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Como
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
35.56
21.64
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
21.64
35.56
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Hellas Verona +1.51 Efficiency Index
vs
Como -1.51 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Hellas Verona
Como
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Hellas Verona ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Como
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Hellas Verona Como
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Hellas Verona Como
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Hellas Verona
Como
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Hellas Verona
vs
Como
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Hellas Verona Como
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Hellas Verona 0.31
Como 0.19
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Hellas Verona Como
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Hellas Verona 0.02
Como 0.00
Hellas Verona
Como
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • COM had peak pressure around 51'.
  • VER started the game with stronger pressure.
VER Pressure COM Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: COM reached the top pressure at 51' (68.10).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Hellas Verona VER Home
3 matches
Como COM Away
Match Record
0
Wins
2
1
Draws
1
2
Losses
0
Goals
4
Goals Scored
7
7
Goals Conceded
4
-3
Goal Difference
+3

Data last updated: 2026-05-11T00:02:00+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-5-1-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
L. Montipò
Italy
1 L. Montipò
V. Nelsson
Denmark
15 V. Nelsson
A. Edmundsson
Faroe Islands
5 A. Edmundsson
N. Valentini
Argentina
6 N. Valentini
R. Belghali
Substitution
Algeria
7 R. Belghali
J. Akpa Akpro
Substitution
Ivory Coast
11 J. Akpa Akpro
R. Gagliardini
Italy
63 R. Gagliardini
A. Bernede
Substitution
France
24 A. Bernede
M. Frese
Denmark
3 M. Frese
T. Suslov
Slovakia
10 T. Suslov
K. Bowie
Scotland
18 K. Bowie
Pitch
J. Butez
France
1 J. Butez
?. Valle Gómez
Substitution
Spain
3 ?. Valle Gómez
M. Kempf
Germany
2 M. Kempf
D. Santos Silva
Brazil
34 D. Santos Silva
M. Vojvoda
Substitution
Kosovo
31 M. Vojvoda
L. Da Cunha
France
33 L. Da Cunha
M. Perrone
Substitution
Argentina
23 M. Perrone
J. Rodríguez Caraballo
Substitution
Spain
17 J. Rodríguez Caraballo
N. Paz Martínez
Argentina
10 N. Paz Martínez
A. Diao Diaoune
Substitution
Senegal
38 A. Diao Diaoune
A. Douvikas
Greece
11 A. Douvikas

General Information

Date & Time :
May 10, 2026, 10:30 AM
Competition :
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 36 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Capacity :
39045
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Filippo Bercigli
Kevin Bonacina
Marco Di Bello
Alessandro Lo Cicero

Statistics

Possession
VER
40%
COM
60%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 1
8 Shots 10
36 Dangerous attacks 57
36 Possession 64
7 Corners 7
14 Free kicks 17
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

6 Throwins 15
13 Dribble Attempts 23
54 Successful Dribbles Percentage 57
7 Successful Dribbles 13
10 Goal Kicks 9
15 Successful Headers 17
3 Substitutions 5
70 Ball Safe 67
0 Injuries 2
8 Goal Attempts 9
0 Assists 1

Attacking

71 Attacks 113
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

73 Successful Passes Percentage 87
38 Successful Long Passes Percentage 55
202 Successful Passes 442
277 Passes 506
21 Successful Long Passes 22
55 Long Passes 40
6 Key Passes 11

Defensive

15 Interceptions 9
22 Tackles 13
3 Saves 3
58 Duels Won 60

Build-up

19 Total Crosses 23
6 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

3 Offsides 2
17 Fouls 14

Lineup

Referee : Marco Di Bello

Starting XI ▼

1
Lorenzo Montipò
Lorenzo Montipò Goalkeeper
5
Andrias Edmundsson
Andrias Edmundsson Defender
6
Nicolás Valentini
Nicolás Valentini Defender
15
Victor Nelsson
Victor Nelsson Defender
3
Martin Frese
Martin Frese Midfielder
7
Rafik Belghali
Rafik Belghali Midfielder
90
Ioan Vermeșan
Ioan Vermeșan
Attacker81'
11
Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro
Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro Midfielder
41
Isaac
Isaac
Attacker80'
24
Antoine Bernede
Antoine Bernede Midfielder
4
Sandi Lovrić
Sandi Lovrić
Midfielder63'
63
Roberto Gagliardini
Roberto Gagliardini Midfielder
10
Tomas Suslov
Tomas Suslov Attacker
18
Kieron Bowie
Kieron Bowie Attacker
Referee : Marco Di Bello

Starting XI ▼

1
Jean Butez
Jean Butez Goalkeeper
2
Marc Oliver Kempf
Marc Oliver Kempf Defender
3
Álex Valle
Álex Valle Defender
18
Alberto Moreno
Alberto Moreno
Defender36'
31
Mërgim Vojvoda
Mërgim Vojvoda Defender
28
Ivan Smolcic
Ivan Smolcic
Defender46'
34
Diego Carlos
Diego Carlos Defender
10
Nico Paz
Nico Paz Midfielder
17
Jesús Rodríguez
Jesús Rodríguez Midfielder
20
Martin Baturina
Martin Baturina
Midfielder46'
23
Máximo Perrone
Máximo Perrone Midfielder
6
Maxence Caqueret
Maxence Caqueret
Midfielder46'
33
Lucas Da Cunha
Lucas Da Cunha Midfielder
38
Assane Diao
Assane Diao Midfielder
77
Ignace Van der Brempt
Ignace Van der Brempt
Defender81'
11
Anastasios Douvikas
Anastasios Douvikas Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Martin Frese
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
89'
Event
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
84'
Event
Ioan Vermeșan → Rafik Belghali
8th Substitution
81'
81'
Event
Ignace Van der Brempt → Assane Diao 
7th Substitution
Event
Isaac → Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro
6th Substitution
80'
Event
Kieron Bowie
Var
77'
71'
Event
Anastasios Douvikas 
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
Event
Sandi Lovrić → Antoine Bernede
5th Substitution
63'
61'
Event
Maxence Caqueret
Persistent fouling / 1st Yellowcard
46'
Event
Ivan Smolcic → Mërgim Vojvoda
4th Substitution
46'
Event
Martin Baturina → Jesús Rodríguez
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Maxence Caqueret → Máximo Perrone
3rd Substitution
1ST-HALF
39'
Event
Cesc Fàbregas
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
36'
Event
Alberto Moreno → Álex Valle
1st Substitution

Match Commentary

67
Update Update
Kieron Bowie from Verona won a free kick in defense.
66
Update Update
Kieron Bowie of Verona won a free kick in defense.
65
Update Update
Maxence Caqueret from Como won a free kick in defense.
63
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Verona: Sandi Lovric replaces Antoine Bernede.
61
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Maxence Caqueret from Como receives a yellow card.
61
Update Update
Martin Frese from Verona won a free kick on the left wing.
61
Update Update
Kieron Bowie from Verona misses a chance, shooting with his left foot from the center of the box, sending it high and wide to the left. The assist was provided by Rafik Belghali.
59
Update Update
Foul committed by Martin Frese - Verona.
59
Update Update
Nico Paz from Como won a free kick in defense.
59
Attempt Attempt
Antoine Bernede from Verona had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from outside the box, but the ball went high and wide to the right.
58
Update Update
Tomás Suslov from Verona won a free kick on the right wing.
57
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Lucas da Cunha from Como.
57
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Lucas da Cunha from Como takes a left-footed shot from the center of the box, but it's saved by goalkeeper Lorenzo Montipò of Verona. The assist comes from Martin Baturina.
56
Update Update
Tomás Suslov from Verona won a free kick on the right wing.
56
Update Update
Foul committed by Martin Baturina - Como.
55
Update Update
Alberto Moreno from Como is flagged for offside.
55
Update Update
Offside called against Verona. Martin Frese is in an offside position.
54
Update Update
Tomás Suslov from Verona won a free kick on the right wing.
53
Update Update
Antoine Bernede from Verona won a free kick in defense.
52
Update Update
Tomás Suslov from Verona won a free kick on the right wing.
48
Update Update
Alberto Moreno from Como won a free kick on the left wing.
47
Attempt Attempt
Assane Diao from Como missed a header from the center of the box, sending the ball to the left. The assist came from Ivan Smolcic, who provided the cross.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Como: Ivan Smolcic replaces Mërgim Vojvoda.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with Verona and Como tied at 0-0.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Como after a concession by Andrias Edmundsson.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Como: Maxence Caqueret replaces Máximo Perrone.
45
Update Update
The second half begins with the score at 0-0 between Verona and Como.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Como: Martin Baturina replaces Jesús Rodríguez.
45
Attempt Attempt
Tasos Douvikas has a shot blocked from inside the six-yard box on the left side after an assist from Jesús Rodríguez.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 2 minutes of added time.
44
Update Update
Foul committed by Antoine Bernede - Verona.
44
Update Update
Assane Diao from Como won a free kick on the right wing.
43
Update Update
Tomás Suslov from Verona won a free kick in defense.
41
Attempt Attempt
Kieron Bowie from Verona misses a chance with a left-footed shot from outside the box that goes high.
40
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Jesús Rodríguez of Como heads the ball from the center of the box, but it goes high and wide to the left. The assist was provided by Lucas da Cunha with a cross.
39
Update Update
Assane Diao from Como won a free kick on the right wing.
39
Update Update
Foul committed by Martin Frese for Verona.
37
Update Update
Lucas da Cunha from Como won a free kick in defense.
37
Update Update
Victor Nelsson's header from the center of the box is blocked. The assist came from Tomás Suslov's cross.
36
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Verona after Assane Diao concedes.
36
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Como: Alberto Moreno replaces Álex Valle due to injury.
34
Update Update
Nicolás Valentini from Verona commits a foul.
34
Update Update
Assane Diao from Como won a free kick in defense.
32
Update Update
Kieron Bowie of Verona misses a close-range header that goes just wide of the goal.
32
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Álex Valle from Como.
32
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Tomás Suslov from Verona.
31
Attempt Attempt
Antoine Bernede's right-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked.
30
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Como after a concession by Victor Nelsson.
30
Update Update
Marc Oliver Kempf's header from the center of the box is blocked. The assist came from Lucas da Cunha's cross.
27
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Verona after Álex Valle concedes.
26
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Verona after Diego Carlos concedes.
24
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Jesús Rodríguez from Como takes a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved by goalkeeper Lorenzo Montipò from Verona, with an assist from Marc Oliver Kempf.
23
Update Update
Tomás Suslov from Verona won a free kick in defense.
22
Update Update
Nicolás Valentini from Verona commits a foul.
22
Update Update
Assane Diao from Como won a free kick in defense.
20
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Martin Frese from Verona takes a left-footed shot from the left side of the box, but it's saved in the top left corner by Jean Butez from Como. The assist was made by Antoine Bernede.
19
Update Update
Kieron Bowie from Verona won a free kick in defense.
17
Update Update
Assane Diao from Como won a free kick in defense.
17
Update Update
Nicolás Valentini fouled for Verona.
15
Update Update
Roberto Gagliardini from Verona won a free kick in defense.
14
Update Update
Offside called against Como. Diego Carlos is offside.
13
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Como after Nicolás Valentini concedes.
9
Update Update
Jesús Rodríguez from Como won a free kick in defense.
5
Update Update
Foul committed by Assane Diao of Como.
5
Update Update
Martin Frese from Verona won a free kick in defense.
4
Update Update
Kieron Bowie is called offside for Verona.
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Verona after a concession by Jean Butez.
3
Attempt Attempt
Tomás Suslov from Verona attempts an attack with a left-footed shot from the center of the box, but it's saved by Jean Butez in the top center of the goal for Como.

CONCLUSION

Como's 1-0 triumph over Hellas Verona validates their status as the stronger outfit, leveraging 64% possession into a hard-fought win after a 0-0 halftime stalemate. Verona's resilience kept the scoreline close, but Como's precision in attack proved decisive without any disruptive incidents. This minimal-deviation result, aligned with market views and steady efficiency, boosts Como's momentum while highlighting Verona's need for better conversion from limited chances. The visitors' control and composure set a strong tone for future fixtures, potentially shifting dynamics in the league table.

Hellas Verona vs Como preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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