Hartberg vs LASK Linz Prediction, Preview and Stats

Austria flag 2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria
PROfertil ARENA Sun, 26 Apr - 12:30 PM
Admiral Bundesliga
Hartberg HTB
1 Winner 5
LASK Linz ASK
Full Time Sun, 26 Apr 12:30 PM
Round 7 Championship Round
Elias Havel - 48'
Goal
|
Goal
Sasa Kalajdzic - 90+5', 30'
Christoph Lang - 90+2'
Moses Usor - 46'
Xavier Mbuyamba - 5'

CONTEXT

Hartberg faced LASK Linz at home in a decisive league encounter that concluded 1-5 to the visitors. LASK Linz, identified as the stronger team, took control early, surging to a 2-0 halftime lead despite Hartberg's 54% possession dominance. The home side's ball retention failed to translate into meaningful threats, while LASK's attackers struck with precision. Post-interval, Hartberg notched a consolation goal, but LASK responded emphatically with three additional strikes, underlining their clinical superiority. No red cards marred the proceedings, ensuring uninterrupted flow. Hartberg's territorial edge contrasted sharply with LASK's efficiency in key moments, possession notwithstanding. The outcome reflected LASK's preeminent quality, with minimal structural deviation aligning the final score closely to anticipated patterns. This performance cements LASK's credentials as a formidable force.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Structural deviation measured minimal at 2.1% favoring LASK Linz.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with pre-match evaluations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing data.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment confirmed as true.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable from available data.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or events influenced the outcome.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, eliminating any distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

M. Hameter

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Kolbitsch

1st Assistant

M. El Sadany

2nd Assistant

J. Schnur

4th Official

Hartberg M. Schmid
M. Schmid
VS
LASK Linz D. Kühbauer
D. Kühbauer
1.53
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.94
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
SK Rapid Rank: W
SK Rapid Rank: D
Sturm Graz Rank: D
Salzburg Rank: L
Austria Wien Rank: L
LASK Linz Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sturm Graz Rank: D
Sturm Graz Rank: D
Salzburg Rank: W
Austria Wien Rank: W
SK Rapid Rank: L
Hartberg Rank: D
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 13 - 8
8

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Hartberg
0.22%
Draw
1.92%
Away LASK Linz
97.86%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
23.15
27.5
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Hartberg
LASK Linz
Power Score
23.15
27.5
League Position
6
3
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Hartberg — Opponent-weighted form score
LASK Linz — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Hartberg LASK Linz

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Hartberg

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

LASK Linz

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Hartberg ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy LASK Linz
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
16.30
42.83
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
42.83
16.30
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Hartberg -2.23 Efficiency Index
vs
LASK Linz +2.23 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Hartberg
LASK Linz
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Hartberg ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy LASK Linz
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Hartberg LASK Linz
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Hartberg LASK Linz
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Hartberg
LASK Linz
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Hartberg
vs
LASK Linz
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Hartberg LASK Linz
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Hartberg 0.11
LASK Linz 0.31
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Hartberg LASK Linz
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Hartberg 0.09
LASK Linz 0.02
Hartberg
LASK Linz
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • ASK had peak pressure around 32'.
  • HTB started the game with stronger pressure.
HTB Pressure ASK Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: ASK reached the top pressure at 32' (64.10).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 26 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Hartberg HTB Home
26 matches
LASK Linz ASK Away
Match Record
5
Wins
8
13
Draws
13
8
Losses
5
Goals
33
Goals Scored
40
40
Goals Conceded
33
-7
Goal Difference
+7
Expected Goals
0.16
xG
2.12
2.12
xGA
0.16

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:03:58+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-5-1-1
Match Formation 3-4-1-2
Pitch
T. Hülsmann
Germany
40 T. Hülsmann
F. Wilfinger
Austria
18 F. Wilfinger
L. Spendlhofer
Austria
19 L. Spendlhofer
H. Coulibaly
Substitution
Spain
6 H. Coulibaly
J. Heil
Austria
28 J. Heil
D. Kovacevic
Austria
95 D. Kovacevic
T. Kainz
Substitution
Austria
23 T. Kainz
B. Markuš
Substitution
Slovenia
4 B. Markuš
L. Pazourek
Substitution
Austria
2 L. Pazourek
L. Fridrikas
Substitution
Austria
30 L. Fridrikas
C. Hoffmann
Germany
22 C. Hoffmann
Pitch
L. Jungwirth
Austria
1 L. Jungwirth
A. Andrade Cedeño
Panama
16 A. Andrade Cedeño
M. Cissé
Substitution
48 M. Cissé
X. Mbuyamba
Netherlands
3 X. Mbuyamba
G. Bello
Substitution
United States
2 G. Bello
S. Horvath
Austria
30 S. Horvath
M. Bogarde
Substitution
Netherlands
6 M. Bogarde
K. Mølgaard Jørgensen
Denmark
20 K. Mølgaard Jørgensen
S. Kalajdzic
Austria
10 S. Kalajdzic
M. Entrup
Substitution
Austria
11 M. Entrup
M. Usor
Substitution
Nigeria
8 M. Usor

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 26, 2026, 12:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria · Round 7 · Championship Round
Stadium :
PROfertil ARENA
Capacity :
4635
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Markus Hameter
Maximilian Kolbitsch
Mohamed El Sadany
Julian Schnur

Statistics

Possession
HTB
51%
ASK
49%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 5
1 Big Chances Created 2
3 Shots 5
56 Dangerous attacks 54
54 Possession 46
6 Corners 2
11 Free kicks 11
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

11 Dribble Attempts 19
12 Throwins 17
2 Injuries 1
7 Goal Attempts 18
3 Successful Dribbles 9
27 Successful Dribbles Percentage 47
8 Goal Kicks 7
1 Assists 3
101 Ball Safe 81
5 Substitutions 3

Attacking

72 Attacks 69
0 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

82 Successful Passes Percentage 82
4 Key Passes 14
446 Passes 389
53 Long Passes 53
51 Successful Long Passes Percentage 47
365 Successful Passes 318
27 Successful Long Passes 25

Defensive

4 Saves 1
19 Tackles 16
7 Interceptions 11
37 Duels Won 45

Build-up

2 Accurate Crosses 2
17 Total Crosses 15

Discipline

11 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Markus Hameter

Starting XI ▼

40
Tom Ritzy Hülsmann
Tom Ritzy Hülsmann Goalkeeper
6.9
6
Habib Coulibaly
Habib Coulibaly Defender
6.72
61
Musibau Aziz
Musibau Aziz
Attacker46'
6.6
18
Fabian Wilfinger
Fabian Wilfinger Defender
7.04
19
Lukas Spendlhofer
Lukas Spendlhofer Defender
7.12
2
Luca Pazourek
Luca Pazourek Midfielder
6.79
33
Maximilian Hennig
Maximilian Hennig
Defender46'
6.6
4
Benjamin Markus
Benjamin Markus Midfielder
6.79
8
Julian Halwachs
Julian Halwachs
Midfielder83'
6.49
23
Tobias Kainz
Tobias Kainz Midfielder
6.91
77
David Korherr
David Korherr
Attacker75'
6.6
28
Jürgen Heil
Jürgen Heil Midfielder
6.85
95
Damjan Kovacevic
Damjan Kovacevic Midfielder
6.35
22
Marco Hoffmann
Marco Hoffmann Attacker
6.59
30
Lukas Fridrikas
Lukas Fridrikas Attacker
6.66
7
Elias Havel
Elias Havel
Attacker46'
6.74
Referee : Markus Hameter

Starting XI ▼

1
Lukas Jungwirth
Lukas Jungwirth Goalkeeper
6.81
3
Xavier Mbuyamba
Xavier Mbuyamba Defender
6.67
16
Andrés Andrade
Andrés Andrade Defender
7.24
48
Modou Kéba Cissé
Modou Kéba Cissé Defender
7.05
52
Cheikne Kébé
Cheikne Kébé
Midfielder87'
2
George Bello
George Bello Midfielder
6.81
29
Florian Flecker
Florian Flecker
Attacker87'
6.52
6
Melayro Bogarde
Melayro Bogarde Midfielder
7.02
4
Ismaila Coulibaly
Ismaila Coulibaly
Midfielder64'
6.74
20
Kasper Jørgensen
Kasper Jørgensen Midfielder
6.98
30
Sascha Horvath
Sascha Horvath Midfielder
6.99
8
Moses Usor
Moses Usor Attacker
7.21
27
Christoph Lang
Christoph Lang
Attacker64'
6.82
10
Sasa Kalajdzic
Sasa Kalajdzic Attacker
2
6.95
11
Maximilian Entrup
Maximilian Entrup Attacker
6.55
9
Krystof Danek
Krystof Danek
Midfielder75'
6.86

Events

2ND-HALF
90+5'
Event
Sasa Kalajdzic
Right foot shot / 6th Goal
90+2'
Event
Christoph Lang
Right foot shot / 5th Goal
Event
Marco Hoffmann
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
89'
87'
Event
Florian Flecker → George Bello
9th Substitution
87'
Event
Cheikne Kébé → Modou Kéba Cissé
10th Substitution
Event
Julian Halwachs → Benjamin Markus
8th Substitution
83'
Event
David Korherr → Tobias Kainz
7th Substitution
75'
75'
Event
Krystof Danek → Maximilian Entrup
6th Substitution
64'
Event
Christoph Lang → Moses Usor
5th Substitution
64'
Event
Ismaila Coulibaly → Melayro Bogarde
4th Substitution
Event
Musibau Aziz
Off the ball foul / 3rd Yellowcard
59'
57'
Event
Sasa Kalajdzic
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
52'
Event
Modou Kéba Cissé
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Elias Havel
Left foot shot / 4th Goal
48'
Event
Musibau Aziz → Habib Coulibaly
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Elias Havel → Lukas Fridrikas
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Maximilian Hennig → Luca Pazourek
3rd Substitution
46'
46'
Event
Moses Usor
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
1ST-HALF
30'
Event
Sasa Kalajdzic
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
5'
Event
Xavier Mbuyamba
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

CONCLUSION

LASK Linz delivered a masterclass in efficiency, overwhelming Hartberg 5-1 despite the hosts' possession advantage. The 2-0 halftime buffer set the tone, with LASK's second-half surge exposing defensive lapses. Hartberg's single reply highlighted their struggle against superior finishing. Absent red cards or pivotal events, the scoreline authentically captured performance gaps. Minimal deviation and aligned efficiencies affirm LASK's dominance matched expectations. This victory enhances LASK's momentum, while Hartberg confronts possession-to-threat conversion issues. Tactical discipline and ruthlessness propelled the away win, solidifying their stronger team status.

Hartberg vs LASK Linz preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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