Hammarby vs Örgryte Prediction, Preview and Stats
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Tele2 Arena Sat, 18 Apr - 1:00 PM
Allsvenskan Hammarby HAM 
8 
1
1
Örgryte Örgryte Full Time Sat, 18 Apr 1:00 PM
Round 3 · Regular Season
Nikola Vasic - 86', 79', 70'
Montader Madjed - 57'
Victor Lind - 33'
Paulos Abraham - 22'
Nahir Besara - 18'
Noah Persson - 11'
|
Christoffer Styffe - 32'
STANDINGS
Loading standings...
Sorry, standings could not be loaded right now.
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion Promotion Playoffs Relegation
Data last checked: May 13
CONTEXT
Hammarby produced a dominant display in thrashing Örgryte 8-1, asserting control early and never relenting. They led 4-1 at halftime, then piled on four more goals in the second half, capitalizing on 62% possession to dictate proceedings. As the stronger team, Hammarby delivered a performance that exceeded structural baselines by a significant 22.7% deviation in their favor. The result aligned with pre-market assessments, reflecting their favored status. No red cards marred the game, and efficiency metrics stayed in line with projections. Örgryte managed a lone goal but were overwhelmed throughout, unable to mount a serious challenge. This one-sided encounter emphasized Hammarby's superiority in attack and midfield control.
TL;DR
- Structural deviation: Match exhibited a significant 22.7% structural deviation favoring Hammarby.
- Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
- xG alignment: xG alignment data unavailable due to missing metrics.
- Market alignment: Outcome fully aligned with pre-market evaluations.
- xG expectations: xG expectations unavailable as data not provided.
- Event impact: No second-half adjustments or key events impacted flow.
- Red card distortion: Absence of red cards produced no distortion in match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Match referee
G. Maqedonci
• 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 
0.12
0.12 Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0
Other match officials
M. Lundgren
1st Assistant
A. Svensson
2nd Assistant
F. Ben Ahmed Nehdi
4th Official
K. Karlsson
VS
A. Holmberg
2.17
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sirius Rank: L
Mjällby Rank: W
Elfsborg Rank: W
Degerfors Rank: D
Malmö FF Rank: W
AIK Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Mjällby Rank: W
Malmö FF Rank: D
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 2 - 3
3
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min) Hammarby77.25%
Draw
14.23%
Örgryte8.52%
Movement
Changes since opening Hammarby-20.19%
Draw
+12.32%
Örgryte+7.87%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
39.26 33.33 0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Hammarby ÖrgrytePower Score
39.26
33.33
League Position
4
9
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Hammarby — Opponent-weighted form score
Örgryte — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Hammarby Örgryte
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Hammarby
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Örgryte
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Hammarby ⚠ Proxyvs
⚠ Proxy Örgryte
Attacking Efficiency Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
59.19
38.03
Defensive Efficiency Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
38.03
59.19
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Hammarby +2.11 Efficiency Index
vs
Örgryte -2.11 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Hammarby
Örgryte
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Hammarby ⚠ Proxyvs
⚠ Proxy Örgryte
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Hammarby Örgryte Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Hammarby Örgryte Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Hammarby
Örgryte
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Hammarbyvs
Örgryte
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Hammarby Örgryte Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Hammarby 0.45
Örgryte 0.45
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Hammarby Örgryte Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Hammarby 0.03
Örgryte 0.11
Hammarby
Örgryte
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- HAM had peak pressure around 46'.
- HAM started the game with stronger pressure.
HAM Pressure Örgryte Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: HAM reached the top pressure at 46' (86.54).
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 6 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Hammarby HAM Home
6 matches
Örgryte Örgryte Away
Match Record 1
Wins
3
2
Draws
2
3
Losses
1
Goals 5
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
5
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Data last updated: 2026-04-19T00:03:23+00:00
STARTING XI
Hammarby Örgryte Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-3
1 W. Hahn
2 E. Skoglund
4 V. Eriksson
3 F. Winther
O. Steinke Brånby
#3178'
16 N. Persson
8 M. Karlsson
F. Junior Adjei
#2860'
11 O. Johansson
O. Jordan Hagen
#1571'
26 M. Madjed
T. Tekie
#560'
20 N. Besara
9 V. Lind
N. Vasic
#1960'
37 P. Abraham
44 H. Gustafsson
2 M. Parker
J. Azulay
#373'
6 M. Dyrestam
5 C. Styffe
19 A. Andreasson
8 B. Laturnus
D. Hodzic
#2557'
23 O. Parker-Price
14 D. Paulson
M. Ebietomere
#2973'
22 T. Sana
N. Christoffersson
#1157'
15 J. Tibbling Ugwo
17 W. Hofvander
General Information
📅 Date & Time :
Apr 18, 2026, 01:00 PM
🏆 Competition :
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 3 · Regular Season
🏟️ Stadium :
Tele2 Arena
👥 Capacity :
32000
🌱 Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
🌤️ Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
🧑⚖️ Referees :
Marcus Lundgren
Andreas Svensson
Farouk Ben Ahmed Nehdi
Granit Maqedonci
Next Match
Hammarby
vs
Halmstad
League: Allsvenskan
Kickoff: Wed, 22 Apr - 5:00 PM
Venue: Tele2 Arena
Örgryte
vs
Brommapojkarna
League: Allsvenskan
Kickoff: Wed, 22 Apr - 5:00 PM
Venue: Gamla Ullevi
Statistics
Possession
HAM
60%
Örgryte
40%
Top Statistics
8 Goals 1
11 Big Chances Created 2
10 Shots 7
74 Dangerous attacks 29
62 Possession 38
6 Corners 6
9 Free kicks 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
Match Overview
17 Throwins 14
19 Dribble Attempts 13
53 Successful Dribbles Percentage 46
7 Goal Kicks 15
72 Ball Safe 84
7 Assists 0
22 Goal Attempts 7
10 Successful Dribbles 6
5 Substitutions 4
Attacking
117 Attacks 68
6 Big Chances Missed 1
Possession
526 Successful Passes 295
582 Passes 360
15 Successful Long Passes 24
90 Successful Passes Percentage 82
47 Successful Long Passes Percentage 46
32 Long Passes 52
22 Key Passes 9
Defensive
25 Tackles 21
47 Duels Won 42
14 Interceptions 5
3 Saves 9
Build-up
15 Total Crosses 9
4 Accurate Crosses 4
Discipline
8 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 0
Lineup
Hammarby Referee : Granit Maqedonci
Manager ▼
K. Karlsson Coach
Starting XI ▼
1 Warner Hahn Goalkeeper
7.492 Hampus Skoglund Defender
6.883 Frederik Winther Defender
7.494 Victor Eriksson Defender
6.5816 Noah Persson Defender
31Oscar Steinke Brånby
6.38Defender78'
8 Markus Karlsson Midfielder
7.299 Victor Lind Midfielder
11 Oscar Johansson Schellhas Midfielder
7.2228Frank Junior Adjei
6.71Midfielder60'
20 Nahir Besara Midfielder
5Tesfaldet Tekie
6.81Midfielder60'
26 Montader Madjed Midfielder
15Oliver Jordan Hagen
6.83Attacker71'
7 Paulos Abraham Attacker
19Nikola Vasic
Attacker60'
3
9.36Substitutes ▼
28Frank Junior Adjei
6.71Midfielder60'
5Tesfaldet Tekie
6.81Midfielder60'
19Nikola Vasic
Attacker60'
3
9.3615Oliver Jordan Hagen
6.83Attacker71'
31Oscar Steinke Brånby
6.38Defender78'
Bench ▼
27 Felix Jakobsson Goalkeeper
6
Ibrahima Fofana Defender
6.9122 Wilson Lindberg Uhrström Midfielder
29 Elohim Kaboré Attacker
6.52 Örgryte Referee : Granit Maqedonci
Manager ▼
A. Holmberg Coach
Starting XI ▼
44 Hampus Gustafsson Goalkeeper
7.492 Michael Parker Defender
6.945 Christoffer Styffe Defender
6 Mikael Dyrestam Defender
8.41
3Jonathan Azulay
5.97Defender73'
8 Benjamin Laturnus Midfielder
7.1914 Daniel Paulson Midfielder
6.4719 Anton Andreasson Midfielder
7.1123 Owen Parker-Price Midfielder
7.4525Demirel Hodzic
6.5Midfielder57'
15 Jerome Tibbling Ugwo Attacker
6.9711Noah Christoffersson
6.54Attacker57'
17 William Hofvander Attacker
6.7122 Tobias Sana Attacker
7.229Marlon Ebietomere
5.99Defender73'
Substitutes ▼
11Noah Christoffersson
6.54Attacker57'
25Demirel Hodzic
6.5Midfielder57'
3Jonathan Azulay
5.97Defender73'
29Marlon Ebietomere
5.99Defender73'
Bench ▼
34 Alex Rahm Goalkeeper
16 Hampus Dahlqvist Defender
24
William Svensson Defender
6.5233 S. Lagerlund Defender
21 William Kenndal Midfielder
Events
2ND-HALF
Nikola Vasic
Right foot shot / 9th Goal
86'
Nikola Vasic
Right foot shot / 8th Goal
79'
Oscar Steinke Brånby → Noah Persson
9th Substitution
78'
73'
Jonathan Azulay → Mikael Dyrestam
7th Substitution
73'
Marlon Ebietomere → Tobias Sana
8th Substitution
Oliver Jordan Hagen → Montader Madjed
6th Substitution
71'
Nikola Vasic
Right foot shot / 7th Goal
70'
Frank Junior Adjei → Oscar Johansson Schellhas
3rd Substitution
60'
Tesfaldet Tekie → Nahir Besara
4th Substitution
60'
Nikola Vasic → Paulos Abraham
5th Substitution
60'
Montader Madjed
Left foot shot / 6th Goal
57'
57'
Noah Christoffersson → Jerome Tibbling Ugwo
1st Substitution
57'
Demirel Hodzic → Owen Parker-Price
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Victor Lind
Right foot shot / 5th Goal
33'
32'
Christoffer Styffe
Header / 4th Goal
28'
Mikael Dyrestam
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Paulos Abraham
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
22'
Nahir Besara
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
18'
Noah Persson
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
11'
CONCLUSION
Hammarby's 8-1 demolition of Örgryte exemplified total control, with halftime lead and possession edge paving way for second-half dominance. The significant 22.7% deviation underscored their overperformance against baselines, while market alignment confirmed pre-match favoritism. Efficiency in line and no red card disruptions allowed unhindered execution. Though xG absence limits precision, raw stats reveal Hammarby's clinical edge and Örgryte's defensive frailty. This result bolsters Hammarby's credentials in competitive standings.
Hammarby vs Örgryte preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
How We Build This Analysis
BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.