Hammarby vs Malmö FF Prediction, Preview and Stats

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Tele2 Arena Sun, 17 May - 12:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Hammarby HAM
Versus
Malmö FF MAL
KICKOFF : Sun, 17 May - 12:00 PM
Round 8 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Hammarby host Malmö FF at Tele2 Arena in this Allsvenskan regular season encounter for 2026, with the home side holding a commanding league position at 2nd compared to the visitors' 7th place. Hammarby's power score of 69.17 significantly outpaces Malmö FF's 63.13, translating to a 6-point advantage that underscores their structural superiority. Despite this, Malmö FF arrive with stronger recent form, boasting a 16.67 form score edge over Hammarby's mark. Both teams sit in domestic league standings that highlight Hammarby's push for the top spots while Malmö aims to climb from mid-table. The matchup pits Hammarby's home strength against Malmö's momentum, in a fixture where set piece data remains limited due to low-confidence proxies and unavailable xG metrics. Efficiency and transition stats are absent, leaving focus on overall power dynamics and form contrasts. Projections align closely with power ratings, favoring the hosts decisively.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Hammarby enjoys a 6-point power advantage with a 69.17 score over Malmö FF's 63.13 and sits 2nd versus 7th in the league.
  • Form: Malmö FF holds a superior form score of 23 compared to Hammarby's 16.67.
  • Squad: Hammarby's squad power rating of 69.17 exceeds Malmö FF's 63.13, indicating greater overall strength.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data available for either team in this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable for Hammarby and Malmö FF.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data shows low confidence with proxy usage and no xG available for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable due to add-on not enabled.
  • Market: Projection split: Hammarby 58.8% (Δ+0%) | Draw 23% (Δ+0%) | Malmö FF 18.3% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Hammarby K. Karlsson
K. Karlsson
VS
Malmö FF M. Ramírez
M. Ramírez
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.43
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
IFK Göteborg Rank: 55 W
Västerås SK Rank: 48 W
Djurgården Rank: 64 D
Halmstad Rank: 47 D
Örgryte Rank: 42 W
Sirius Rank: 64 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Häcken Rank: 59 L
Mjällby Rank: 69 L
AIK Rank: 57 W
Sirius Rank: 61 L
Djurgården Rank: 66 W
GAIS Rank: 59 W
10
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
10 - 8 - 14
14
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Hammarby
58.75%
Draw
22.99%
Away Malmö FF
18.26%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
69.17
63.13
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Hammarby
Malmö FF
Power Score
69.17
63.13
League Position
2
7
Global Rank
233
401

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Hammarby — Opponent-weighted form score
Malmö FF — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Hammarby Malmö FF

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 32 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Hammarby HAM Home
32 matches
Malmö FF MAL Away
Match Record
10
Wins
14
8
Draws
8
14
Losses
10
Goals
44
Goals Scored
60
60
Goals Conceded
44
-16
Goal Difference
+16

Data last updated: 2026-05-13T01:01:33+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
W. Hahn
1 W. Hahn
E. Skoglund
2 E. Skoglund
V. Eriksson
4 V. Eriksson
F. Winther
3 F. Winther
N. Persson
16 N. Persson
F. Junior Adjei
28 F. Junior Adjei
M. Karlsson
8 M. Karlsson
M. Madjed
26 M. Madjed
N. Besara
20 N. Besara
V. Lind
9 V. Lind
P. Abraham
7 P. Abraham
Pitch
J. Dahlin
27 J. Dahlin
G. Dal Toé Busanello
25 G. Dal Toé Busanello
C. Rosler
19 C. Rosler
A. Đurić
5 A. Đurić
J. Larsen
17 J. Larsen
K. Busuladzic
40 K. Busuladzic
A. Skogmar
37 A. Skogmar
T. Lundbergh
47 T. Lundbergh
S. Haksabanovic
29 S. Haksabanovic
E. Botheim
20 E. Botheim
O. Sjöstrand
24 O. Sjöstrand

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition :
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 8 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Tele2 Arena
Capacity :
32000
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Warner Hahn
Warner Hahn Goalkeeper
6.89
7
Paulos Abraham
Paulos Abraham Centre Forward
7.26
8
Markus Karlsson
Markus Karlsson Defensive Midfield
7.19
16
Noah Persson
Noah Persson Left Back
6.97
20
Nahir Besara
Nahir Besara Attacking Midfield
7.75
9
Victor Lind
Victor Lind Left Wing
7.42
26
Montader Madjed
Montader Madjed Right Wing
7.04
28
Frank Junior Adjei
Frank Junior Adjei Defensive Midfield
7.35
2
Hampus Skoglund
Hampus Skoglund Right Back
7.25
3
Frederik Winther
Frederik Winther Left Back
7.29
4
Victor Eriksson
Victor Eriksson Right Back
7.08

Starting XI ▼

27
Johan Dahlin
Johan Dahlin Goalkeeper
7.2
20
Erik Botheim
Erik Botheim Centre Forward
7.08
24
Oscar Sjöstrand
Oscar Sjöstrand Attacker
6.59
29
Sead Haksabanovic
Sead Haksabanovic Attacker
7.4
5
Andrej Djuric
Andrej Djuric Right Back
6.72
17
Jens Stryger Larsen
Jens Stryger Larsen Right Back
6.81
37
Adrian Skogmar
Adrian Skogmar Central Midfield
6.62
40
Kenan Busuladzic
Kenan Busuladzic Central Midfield
6.5
47
Theodor Lundbergh
Theodor Lundbergh Central Midfield
6.69
19
Colin Rösler
Colin Rösler Left Back
7.01
25
Busanello
Busanello Left Back
6.81

CONCLUSION

Hammarby's structural edge and higher power score position them as favorites in this Tele2 Arena showdown, despite Malmö FF's better form potentially sparking an upset. The home side's league standing at 2nd amplifies their motivation to extend the gap over mid-table challengers like 7th-placed Malmö. Without detailed efficiency, transition, or set piece insights, the battle hinges on Hammarby's squad depth overcoming Malmö's momentum. Expect a competitive affair where Hammarby's home advantage and projection alignment could secure vital points in the Allsvenskan race.

Hammarby vs Malmö FF preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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