Hammarby vs Halmstad Prediction, Preview and Stats

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Tele2 Arena Wed, 22 Apr - 5:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Hammarby HAM
1 – 1
Halmstad HAL
Full Time Wed, 22 Apr 5:00 PM
Round 4 Regular Season
Frank Junior Adjei - 58'
Goal
|
Goal
Otso Liimatta - 10'

CONTEXT

Hammarby, the stronger team on paper, settled for a frustrating 1-1 draw at home against underdogs Halmstad in a match defined by stark contrasts in control and output. The hosts dominated possession with a commanding 77% to Halmstad's meager 23%, yet found themselves trailing 0-1 at halftime after a clinical away strike exposed early defensive lapses. Hammarby mounted pressure in the second half, equalizing through determined efforts, but Halmstad's compact defense held firm, repelling waves of attacks without yielding further. No red cards marred the contest, allowing uninterrupted flow, though the visitors' resilience turned the game into a tale of efficiency over dominance. This outcome marked a significant structural deviation for Hammarby, who pushed forward relentlessly but lacked the cutting edge to convert superiority into victory. Halmstad's opportunistic approach earned a valuable point, underscoring their tactical pragmatism.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Hammarby showed a significant 85% deviation from expectations in the 1-1 draw.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with pre-match assessments for both teams.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment cannot be determined due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: The draw did not align with pre-market evaluations favoring Hammarby.
  • xG expectations: No xG data available to assess expectations.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or knockout elements influenced the result.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion to the match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

E. Mattsson

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

F. Klyver

1st Assistant

A. Gergess

2nd Assistant

J. Holmegren

4th Official

Hammarby K. Karlsson
K. Karlsson
VS
Halmstad J. Lindholm
J. Lindholm
2.17
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.83
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Örgryte Rank: W
Sirius Rank: L
Mjällby Rank: W
Elfsborg Rank: W
Degerfors Rank: D
Malmö FF Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
IFK Göteborg Rank: D
Degerfors Rank: L
AIK Rank: L
AIK Rank: W
Brommapojkarna Rank: D
IFK Göteborg Rank: L
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 10 - 6
6

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Hammarby
77.68%
Draw
14.97%
Away Halmstad
7.35%

Movement

Changes since opening
Hammarby
+70.51%
Draw
-75.58%
Halmstad
+5.08%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
36.03
15.28
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Hammarby
Halmstad
Power Score
36.03
15.28
League Position
4
13
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Hammarby — Opponent-weighted form score
Halmstad — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Hammarby Halmstad

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Hammarby

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Halmstad

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Hammarby ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Halmstad
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
31.69
43.70
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
43.70
31.69
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Hammarby -1.20 Efficiency Index
vs
Halmstad +1.20 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Hammarby
Halmstad
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Hammarby ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Halmstad
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Hammarby Halmstad
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Hammarby Halmstad
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Hammarby
Halmstad
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Hammarby
vs
Halmstad
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Hammarby Halmstad
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Hammarby 0.23
Halmstad 0.43
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Hammarby Halmstad
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Hammarby 0.05
Halmstad 0.01
Hammarby
Halmstad
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • HAL had peak pressure around 79'.
  • HAL started the game with stronger pressure.
HAM Pressure HAL Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: HAL reached the top pressure at 79' (88.43).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 22 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Hammarby HAM Home
22 matches
Halmstad HAL Away
Match Record
6
Wins
6
10
Draws
10
6
Losses
6
Goals
22
Goals Scored
22
22
Goals Conceded
22
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-23T00:02:59+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 5-4-1
Pitch
W. Hahn
Suriname
1 W. Hahn
E. Skoglund
Sweden
2 E. Skoglund
V. Eriksson
Sweden
4 V. Eriksson
F. Winther
Denmark
3 F. Winther
N. Persson
Sweden
16 N. Persson
M. Karlsson
Sweden
8 M. Karlsson
O. Johansson
Substitution
Sweden
11 O. Johansson
O. Jordan Hagen
Substitution
Norway
15 O. Jordan Hagen
N. Besara
Substitution
Sweden
20 N. Besara
V. Lind
Substitution
Denmark
9 V. Lind
P. Abraham
Substitution
Sweden
7 P. Abraham
Pitch
T. Rönning
Sweden
1 T. Rönning
O. Kapsimalis
Substitution
22 O. Kapsimalis
E. Tõugjas
Estonia
16 E. Tõugjas
G. Wallentin
Sweden
3 G. Wallentin
P. Gregor
Denmark
5 P. Gregor
A. Boman
Sweden
17 A. Boman
O. Liimatta
Substitution
Finland
20 O. Liimatta
J. Allansson
Sweden
6 J. Allansson
R. Ascone
Substitution
France
27 R. Ascone
E. Arvidsson
Substitution
11 E. Arvidsson
O. Faraj
Substitution
Sweden
9 O. Faraj

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 22, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 4 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Tele2 Arena
Capacity :
32000
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Fredrik Klyver
Abdelmasih Gergess
Jasin Holmegren
Erik Mattsson

Statistics

Possession
HAM
71%
HAL
29%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
0 Big Chances Created 2
9 Shots 4
88 Dangerous attacks 21
77 Possession 23
9 Corners 0
14 Free kicks 13
2 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

1 Injuries 2
5 Substitutions 5
75 Ball Safe 74
12 Goal Attempts 5
0 Hit Woodwork 1
6 Goal Kicks 14
6 Successful Dribbles 5
19 Throwins 10
32 Successful Dribbles Percentage 24
19 Dribble Attempts 21

Attacking

0 Big Chances Missed 1
165 Attacks 65

Possession

16 Key Passes 8
88 Successful Passes Percentage 68
35 Successful Long Passes Percentage 33
659 Successful Passes 152
751 Passes 222
13 Successful Long Passes 17
37 Long Passes 52

Defensive

61 Duels Won 47
6 Interceptions 13
25 Tackles 21
2 Saves 2

Build-up

11 Accurate Crosses 2
28 Total Crosses 4

Discipline

1 Offsides 1
13 Fouls 14

Lineup

Referee : Erik Mattsson

Starting XI ▼

1
Warner Hahn
Warner Hahn Goalkeeper
7.27
2
Hampus Skoglund
Hampus Skoglund Defender
6.86
3
Frederik Winther
Frederik Winther Defender
7.32
4
Victor Eriksson
Victor Eriksson Defender
6.81
16
Noah Persson
Noah Persson Defender
7.1
8
Markus Karlsson
Markus Karlsson Midfielder
7.3
9
Victor Lind
Victor Lind Midfielder
7.6
19
Nikola Vasic
Nikola Vasic
Attacker69'
9.36
11
Oscar Johansson Schellhas
Oscar Johansson Schellhas Midfielder
7.1
28
Frank Junior Adjei
Frank Junior Adjei
Midfielder56'
6.94
15
Oliver Jordan Hagen
Oliver Jordan Hagen Midfielder
6.82
26
Montader Madjed
Montader Madjed
Attacker56'
7.1
20
Nahir Besara
Nahir Besara Midfielder
8.01
22
Wilson Lindberg Uhrström
Wilson Lindberg Uhrström
Midfielder87'
7
Paulos Abraham
Paulos Abraham Attacker
7.83
31
Oscar Steinke Brånby
Oscar Steinke Brånby
Defender86'
6.39
Referee : Erik Mattsson

Starting XI ▼

1
Tim Rönning
Tim Rönning Goalkeeper
6.69
3
Gabriel Wallentin
Gabriel Wallentin Defender
6.45
5
Pascal Gregor
Pascal Gregor Defender
6.45
16
Erko Tougjas
Erko Tougjas Defender
6.51
17
André Boman
André Boman Defender
6.45
22
Oliver Kapsimalis
Oliver Kapsimalis Defender
6.1
19
Marvin Illary
Marvin Illary
Midfielder87'
6.26
6
Joel Allansson
Joel Allansson Midfielder
6.92
11
Ludvig Arvidsson
Ludvig Arvidsson Midfielder
7.55
25
Aleksander Damnjanovic Nilsson
Aleksander Damnjanovic Nilsson
Midfielder59'
6.97
20
Otso Liimatta
Otso Liimatta Midfielder
6.7
24
Rami Kaib
Rami Kaib
Defender69'
6.38
27
Rocco Ascone
Rocco Ascone Midfielder
7.04
14
Hussein Carneil
Hussein Carneil
Midfielder59'
6.48
9
Omar Faraj
Omar Faraj Attacker
6.67
18
Malte Persson
Malte Persson
Attacker69'
6.72

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Wilson Lindberg Uhrström → Nahir Besara
9th Substitution
87'
87'
Event
Marvin Illary → Oliver Kapsimalis
10th Substitution
Event
Oscar Steinke Brånby → Paulos Abraham
8th Substitution
86'
84'
Event
Aleksander Damnjanovic Nilsson
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Markus Karlsson
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
77'
Event
Frederik Winther
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
72'
Event
Nikola Vasic → Victor Lind
7th Substitution
69'
69'
Event
Malte Persson → Omar Faraj
6th Substitution
69'
Event
Rami Kaib → Otso Liimatta
5th Substitution
67'
Event
Erko Tougjas
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
59'
Event
Hussein Carneil → Rocco Ascone
3rd Substitution
59'
Event
Aleksander Damnjanovic Nilsson → Ludvig Arvidsson
4th Substitution
Event
Frank Junior Adjei
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
58'
Event
Frank Junior Adjei → Oscar Johansson Schellhas
1st Substitution
56'
Event
Montader Madjed → Oliver Jordan Hagen
2nd Substitution
56'
53'
Event
Gabriel Wallentin
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
10'
Event
Otso Liimatta
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

CONCLUSION

Hammarby's inability to capitalize on 77% possession against Halmstad's stubborn rearguard encapsulates a classic case of dominance without decisive reward, ending 1-1 after a 0-1 halftime deficit. The hosts' significant deviation highlights flaws in converting pressure into goals, while Halmstad's disciplined setup proved enough for a share of the spoils. Without red cards or major disruptions, the result stands as a testament to the visitors' grit. For Hammarby, this draw serves as a wake-up call to sharpen clinical finishing; for Halmstad, it boosts confidence in survival tactics. Both sides move forward with lessons in efficiency and resilience shaping future outings.

Hammarby vs Halmstad preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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