HamKam vs Start Prediction, Preview and Stats

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Briskeby Arena Sun, 26 Apr - 3:00 PM
Eliteserien
HamKam HamKam
2 Winner 1
Start Start
Full Time Sun, 26 Apr 3:00 PM
Round 6 Regular Season
M. Johnsgård - 87'
M. Alassane Niang - 78'
Goal
|
Goal
E. Schulze - 47'

CONTEXT

HamKam clinched a hard-fought 2-1 home win against Start in the Eliteserien, breaking a goalless deadlock at halftime where the score stood 0-0. With 54% possession, HamKam dominated proceedings without facing any red card disruptions, showcasing their status as the stronger side. The second half proved decisive as they netted twice while conceding once, resulting in a significant 52.2% structural deviation in their favor. This outcome aligned with pre-match market expectations, and team efficiencies stayed in line with norms. Lacking xG data, deeper chance quality insights remain unavailable, but HamKam's control and clinical finishing underlined their edge. Start's 46% possession couldn't translate into enough threats, leaving them ruing missed opportunities. This victory bolsters HamKam's campaign momentum.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: HamKam's 2-1 win featured a significant 52.2% structural deviation in their favor.
  • Efficiency shift: Both teams' efficiencies remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable to evaluate alignment with outcome.
  • Market alignment: Result aligned fully with pre-match market expectations.
  • xG expectations: No xG data provided to compare against expectations.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or major events altered the flow.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion to match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

S. Røvig Sletner

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

K. Haglund

1st Assistant

K. Mamhassan

2nd Assistant

A. Bodding

4th Official

HamKam T. Myhre
T. Myhre
VS
Start A. Karadas
A. Karadas
1.6
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.6
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
KFUM Rank: W
Molde Rank: L
Brann Rank: L
Bodø / Glimt Rank: D
Viking Rank: W
Brann Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.6 i
Last 6 Opponents
Molde Rank: D
Lillestrøm Rank: L
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: D
Aalesund Rank: D
KFUM Rank: L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 3
3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home HamKam
47.82%
Draw
26.09%
Away Start
26.09%

Movement

Changes since opening
HamKam
-46.34%
Draw
+20.44%
Start
+25.9%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
28.68
13.11
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
HamKam
Start
Power Score
28.68
13.11
League Position
6
15
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
HamKam — Opponent-weighted form score
Start — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) HamKam Start

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

HamKam

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Start

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

HamKam ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Start
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
27.22
29.78
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
29.78
27.22
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
HamKam -0.26 Efficiency Index
vs
Start +0.26 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
HamKam
Start
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

HamKam ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Start
Created Set-piece attacking threat
HamKam Start
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
HamKam Start
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
HamKam
Start
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
HamKam
vs
Start
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
HamKam Start
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
HamKam 0.22
Start 0.35
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
HamKam Start
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
HamKam 0.03
Start 0.04
HamKam
Start
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • HamKam had peak pressure around 80'.
  • Start started the game with stronger pressure.
HamKam Pressure Start Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: HamKam reached the top pressure at 80' (60.36).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

HamKam HamKam Home
4 matches
Start Start Away
Match Record
0
Wins
3
1
Draws
1
3
Losses
0
Goals
3
Goals Scored
8
8
Goals Conceded
3
-5
Goal Difference
+5

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:06:26+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-3-2
Match Formation 5-3-2
Pitch
M. Sandberg
Sweden
12 M. Sandberg
V. Jonsson
Substitution
Iceland
7 V. Jonsson
M. Gjone
Norway
2 M. Gjone
F. Sjølstad
Substitution
Norway
23 F. Sjølstad
E. Amundsen-Day
Norway
3 E. Amundsen-Day
A. Ekeroth
Sweden
5 A. Ekeroth
L. Mettler
Substitution
Switzerland
10 L. Mettler
P. Metcalfe
Substitution
Canada
26 P. Metcalfe
A. Baran Potur
Norway
17 A. Baran Potur
M. Alassane Niang
29 M. Alassane Niang
H. Udahl
Substitution
Norway
19 H. Udahl
Pitch
J. Larsen
Denmark
1 J. Larsen
T. Strannegard
Sweden
16 T. Strannegard
O. Jebali
Tunisia
5 O. Jebali
S. Griesbeck
Germany
13 S. Griesbeck
E. Reitan
Norway
29 E. Reitan
O. Toure
Substitution
Norway
27 O. Toure
M. Ugland
Norway
18 M. Ugland
E. Segberg
Norway
23 E. Segberg
E. Schulze
Norway
11 E. Schulze
J. Cornelius
Substitution
17 J. Cornelius
H. Lorentzen
Substitution
Norway
20 H. Lorentzen

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 26, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition :
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 6 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Briskeby Arena
Capacity :
8068
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Kim Haglund
Karwan Mamhassan
Anders Bodding
Stian Røvig Sletner

Statistics

Possession
HamKam
53%
Start
47%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
2 Big Chances Created 1
7 Shots 6
54 Dangerous attacks 34
54 Possession 46
5 Corners 1
14 Free kicks 11
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

2 Assists 1
5 Substitutions 3
1 Injuries 2
8 Successful Dribbles 7
53 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50
84 Ball Safe 91
15 Dribble Attempts 14
22 Throwins 12
7 Goal Kicks 6
7 Goal Attempts 7

Attacking

4 Counter Attacks 5
118 Attacks 111

Possession

42 Successful Long Passes Percentage 40
81 Successful Passes Percentage 77
394 Successful Passes 320
485 Passes 414
66 Long Passes 75
28 Successful Long Passes 30
5 Key Passes 9

Defensive

56 Duels Won 59
12 Tackles 15
1 Saves 1
10 Interceptions 7

Build-up

4 Accurate Crosses 3
26 Total Crosses 14

Discipline

1 Offsides 0
11 Fouls 14

Lineup

Referee : Stian Røvig Sletner

Starting XI ▼

12
M. Sandberg
M. Sandberg Goalkeeper
6.52
2
Martin Gjone
Martin Gjone Defender
6.66
3
Ethan Amundsen Day
Ethan Amundsen Day Defender
6.57
5
A. Ekeroth
A. Ekeroth Defender
6.64
7
V. Jónsson
V. Jónsson Defender
7
24
I. Hoffmann
I. Hoffmann
Defender60'
6.39
23
F. Sjølstad
F. Sjølstad Defender
6.31
15
Ilir Kukleci
Ilir Kukleci
Defender90'
6.56
10
Loris Mettler
Loris Mettler Midfielder
7.13
6
William Osnes-Ringen
William Osnes-Ringen
Midfielder90'
6.58
17
A. Potur
A. Potur Midfielder
6.61
26
Patrick Metcalfe
Patrick Metcalfe Midfielder
6.65
16
Anders Trondsen
Anders Trondsen
Midfielder60'
6.71
19
Henrik Udahl
Henrik Udahl Attacker
7.41
8
M. Johnsgård
M. Johnsgård
Midfielder71'
6.5
29
M. Alassane Niang
M. Alassane Niang Attacker
7.62
Referee : Stian Røvig Sletner

Starting XI ▼

1
J. Pryts
J. Pryts Goalkeeper
6.74
5
O. Jebali
O. Jebali Defender
6.35
13
S. Griesbeck
S. Griesbeck Defender
6.73
16
T. Strannegård
T. Strannegård Defender
6.8
27
Ousmane Diallo Toure
Ousmane Diallo Toure Defender
6.6
2
F. Pålerud
F. Pålerud
Defender88'
6.51
29
Erlend Dahl Reitan
Erlend Dahl Reitan Defender
7.05
11
E. Schulze
E. Schulze Midfielder
6.86
18
M. Ugland
M. Ugland Midfielder
7
23
Erlend Segberg
Erlend Segberg Midfielder
6.55
17
J. Cornelius
J. Cornelius Attacker
6.48
22
J. Ampofo
J. Ampofo
Attacker79'
6.45
20
H. Lorentzen
H. Lorentzen Attacker
6.82
7
Alexander Figueiredo Gurendal
Alexander Figueiredo Gurendal
Attacker89'
6.53

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Ilir Kukleci
Argument / 1st Yellowcard
90+7'
90+7'
Event
E. Schulze
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
William Osnes-Ringen → Loris Mettler
8th Substitution
90'
Event
Ilir Kukleci → F. Sjølstad
7th Substitution
90'
89'
Event
Alexander Figueiredo Gurendal → H. Lorentzen
6th Substitution
88'
Event
F. Pålerud → Ousmane Diallo Toure
5th Substitution
Event
M. Johnsgård
Header / 3rd Goal
87'
79'
Event
J. Ampofo → J. Cornelius
4th Substitution
Event
M. Alassane Niang
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
78'
Event
M. Johnsgård → Henrik Udahl
3rd Substitution
71'
Event
I. Hoffmann → V. Jónsson
1st Substitution
60'
Event
Anders Trondsen → Patrick Metcalfe
2nd Substitution
60'
54'
Event
Azar Karadas
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
47'
Event
E. Schulze
Header / 1st Goal

CONCLUSION

HamKam's 2-1 triumph over Start validates their stronger standing, with superior possession and second-half execution proving key after a 0-0 halftime stalemate. The significant structural deviation highlights their outperformance, while market alignment and steady efficiencies reinforce a predictable yet impressive result. Without xG metrics or disruptions like red cards, the focus stays on tactical discipline and finishing prowess. Start competed valiantly but lacked the punch to convert possession into points. This outcome positions HamKam favorably in the standings, signaling potential for sustained form ahead.

HamKam vs Start preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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