HamKam vs Brann Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2026 Eliteserien, Norway

Briskeby Arena Mon, 6 Apr - 3:00 PM

Eliteserien

HamKam HamKam

Brann SKB

Full Time Mon, 6 Apr 3:00 PM

Round 3 Regular Season

M. Alassane Niang - 74'

Kristian Eriksen - 86'

Markus Haaland - 80'

Bård Finne - 59'

Jón Dagur Thorsteinsson - 37'

Noah Holm - 32'

CONTEXT

The match between HamKam and Brann is officially finished, resulting in a commanding 5-1 full-time victory for the away side. Brann entered the fixture as the stronger team and clear pre-match favorites with a 51.9% market probability of winning, compared to HamKam's 23.5% and a 24.6% chance of a draw. The final result was entirely aligned with the pre-match market, though the sheer dominance of the scoreline represented a significant deviation favoring Brann. Brann controlled the game's tempo, securing a comfortable 2-0 lead by halftime and maintaining 55% possession overall compared to HamKam's 45%. While expected goals (xG) data is unavailable to evaluate whether the final outcome was consistent with underlying chance creation, the overall efficiency shift remained firmly in line with pre-match expectations. The match was played cleanly without the disruptive impact of any red cards for either side. Brann effectively utilized their possession advantage to systematically break down the hosts, cleanly validating the pre-match betting predictions and returning home with a decisive four-goal win.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Brann showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: No major event distortion.
Red card distortion: None.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

S. Kringstad

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

I. Bashevkin

1st Assistant

R. Langseth

2nd Assistant

J. Grundt

4th Official

T. Myhre

F. Alexandersson

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.11

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

1 - 3 - 8

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

HamKam

23.54%

Draw

24.61%

Brann

51.85%

Team Power Ranking

58.23

67.89

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

HamKam

Brann

Power Score

58.23

67.89

League Position

Global Rank

524

238

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

HamKam — Opponent-weighted form score

Brann — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) HamKam Brann

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

HamKam

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Brann

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

HamKam ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Brann

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

40.33

39.73

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

39.73

40.33

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

HamKam +0.06 Efficiency Index

Brann -0.06 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

HamKam

Brann

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

HamKam ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Brann

Created Set-piece attacking threat

HamKam Brann

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

HamKam Brann

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

HamKam

Brann

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

HamKam

Brann

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

HamKam Brann

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

HamKam Brann

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

HamKam

Brann

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 12 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

HamKam HamKam Home

12 matches

Brann SKB Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-9

Goal Difference

Data last updated: 2026-04-07T00:04:12+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-3-2

Match Formation 4-3-3

12 M. Sandberg

24 I. Hoffmann

2 M. Gjone

23 F. Sjølstad

3 E. Amundsen-Day

5 A. Ekeroth

10 L. Mettler

6 W. Osnes-Ringen

17 A. Baran Potur

20 J. Gonstad

19 H. Udahl

1 M. Dyngeland

17 J. Soltvedt

43 R. Holten

3 F. Pallesen Knudsen

21 D. De Roeve

8 F. Horn Myhre

18 J. Sørensen

10 K. Ingason

7 J. Thorsteinsson

29 N. Holm

11 B. Finne

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 06, 2026, 03:00 PM

Competition :

2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 3 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Briskeby Arena

Capacity :

8068

Attendance :

5165

Pitch Surface :

Artificial turf

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Isaak Bashevkin

Runar Langseth

Johan William Grundt

Sigurd Smehus Kringstad

Statistics

Possession

HamKam

47%

SKB

53%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 5

4 Big Chances Created 4

5 Shots 9

43 Dangerous attacks 37

45 Possession 55

7 Corners 6

1 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

9 Goal Attempts 21

63 Ball Safe 69

11 Goal Kicks 8

16 Throwins 17

1 Assists 5

5 Successful Dribbles 1

42 Successful Dribbles Percentage 10

4 Substitutions 5

Attacking

89 Attacks 95

0 Counter Attacks 3

Possession

86 Successful Passes Percentage 85

391 Passes 480

337 Successful Passes 409

11 Key Passes 14

Defensive

34 Duels Won 41

12 Tackles 13

9 Interceptions 6

6 Saves 5

Build-up

22 Total Crosses 12

Discipline

11 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Sigurd Smehus Kringstad

Manager ▼

T. Myhre Coach

Starting XI ▼

M. Sandberg Goalkeeper

Martin Gjone Defender

Ethan Amundsen Day Defender

A. Ekeroth Defender

F. Sjølstad Defender

I. Hoffmann Defender

William Osnes-Ringen Midfielder

H. Opsahl

Defender58'

Loris Mettler Midfielder

G. Simenstad

Midfielder58'

A. Potur Midfielder

E. Gojani

Midfielder75'

Henrik Udahl Attacker

Julian Gonstad Attacker

M. Alassane Niang

Attacker58'

Substitutes ▼

H. Opsahl

Defender58'

G. Simenstad

Midfielder58'

M. Alassane Niang

Attacker58'

E. Gojani

Midfielder75'

Bench ▼

Sander Østraat Goalkeeper

Ilir Kukleci Defender

S. Strand Nilsen Defender

V. Jónsson Midfielder

M. Johnsgård Midfielder

Referee : Sigurd Smehus Kringstad