Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg Prediction, Preview and Stats

Germany flag 2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany
Volksparkstadion Sun, 10 May - 1:30 PM
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV HSV
3 Winner 2
SC Freiburg SCF
Full Time Sun, 10 May 1:30 PM
Round 33 Regular Season
Fabio Baldé - 67'
Luka Vuskovic - 64'
Bakery Jatta - 14'
Goal
|
Goal
Igor Matanovic - 87', 16'

CONTEXT

Hamburger SV secured a 3-2 victory over SC Freiburg in a closely contested match, overcoming the visitors who entered as the stronger team. The halftime score stood at 1-1, reflecting an even first half where possession was split with Hamburger SV holding 47% and SC Freiburg 53%. The second half saw Hamburger SV capitalize on opportunities to score twice more, while Freiburg managed one additional goal. No red cards were issued, maintaining a full complement of players throughout. The result exhibited a moderate structural deviation of 7.7% favoring the home side. Efficiency remained in line with expectations, and the outcome aligned with pre-match market evaluations despite the lack of available xG data. Possession dynamics highlighted Freiburg's slight edge, yet Hamburger SV's clinical finishing proved decisive in clinching the win.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Match featured moderate structural deviation of 7.7% favoring Hamburger SV.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift was in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment cannot be assessed due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Outcome aligned with pre-match market assessments.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unevaluable without data.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or major events altered the flow.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion to the game state.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

R. Kempter

Germany 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

Robert Kempter

1st Assistant

Christian Dietz

2nd Assistant

F. Willenborg

4th Official

Germany

League averages

Bundesliga Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 17.51
Yellow cards / match 3.2
Red cards / match 0.19
Penalties / match 0.29
Hamburger SV M. Polzin
M. Polzin
VS
SC Freiburg J. Schuster
J. Schuster
1.14
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.41
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Eintracht Frankfurt Rank: 80 W
TSG Hoffenheim Rank: 83 L
Werder Bremen Rank: 74 L
VfB Stuttgart Rank: 87 L
FC Augsburg Rank: 79 D
Borussia Dortmund Rank: 90 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
VfL Wolfsburg Rank: 74 D
Borussia Dortmund Rank: 89 L
Heidenheim Rank: 71 W
FSV Mainz 05 Rank: 80 W
FC Bayern München Rank: 100 L
St. Pauli Rank: 72 W
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 7 - 6
6

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Hamburger SV
92.34%
Draw
7.39%
Away SC Freiburg
0.27%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
64.03
82.27
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Hamburger SV
SC Freiburg
Power Score
64.03
82.27
League Position
11
7
Global Rank
87
47

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Hamburger SV — Opponent-weighted form score
SC Freiburg — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Hamburger SV SC Freiburg

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Hamburger SV

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

SC Freiburg

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Hamburger SV ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy SC Freiburg
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
33.19
12.55
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
12.55
33.19
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Hamburger SV +1.81 Efficiency Index
vs
SC Freiburg -1.81 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Hamburger SV
SC Freiburg
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Hamburger SV ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy SC Freiburg
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Hamburger SV SC Freiburg
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Hamburger SV SC Freiburg
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Hamburger SV
SC Freiburg
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Hamburger SV
vs
SC Freiburg
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Hamburger SV SC Freiburg
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Hamburger SV 0.44
SC Freiburg 0.15
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Hamburger SV SC Freiburg
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Hamburger SV 0.06
SC Freiburg 0.09
Hamburger SV
SC Freiburg
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • HSV had peak pressure around 16'.
  • HSV started the game with stronger pressure.
HSV Pressure SCF Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: HSV reached the top pressure at 16' (87.17).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 17 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Hamburger SV HSV Home
17 matches
SC Freiburg SCF Away
Match Record
4
Wins
6
7
Draws
7
6
Losses
4
Goals
15
Goals Scored
16
16
Goals Conceded
15
-1
Goal Difference
+1

Data last updated: 2026-05-11T00:03:29+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
D. Heuer Fernandes
Portugal
1 D. Heuer Fernandes
N. Capaldo
Argentina
24 N. Capaldo
L. Vušković
Substitution
Croatia
44 L. Vušković
W. Omari
France
17 W. Omari
B. Jatta
Substitution
Gambia
18 B. Jatta
N. Remberg
Germany
21 N. Remberg
A. Sambi Lokonga
Substitution
Belgium
6 A. Sambi Lokonga
A. Erlykke
Denmark
23 A. Erlykke
F. Ferreira Vieira
Substitution
Portugal
20 F. Ferreira Vieira
R. Königsdörffer
Ghana
11 R. Königsdörffer
O. Emerson Stange
Substitution
Germany
49 O. Emerson Stange
Pitch
N. Atubolu
Germany
1 N. Atubolu
P. Treu
Germany
29 P. Treu
B. Ogbus
Substitution
Switzerland
43 B. Ogbus
M. Ginter
Substitution
Germany
28 M. Ginter
L. Kübler
Substitution
Germany
17 L. Kübler
J. Manzambi
Substitution
Switzerland
44 J. Manzambi
M. Eggestein
Germany
8 M. Eggestein
V. Grifo
Italy
32 V. Grifo
L. Höler
Germany
9 L. Höler
J. Beste
Substitution
Germany
19 J. Beste
I. Matanovic
Croatia
31 I. Matanovic

General Information

Date & Time :
May 10, 2026, 01:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Volksparkstadion
Capacity :
57000
Attendance :
57000
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Robert Kempter
Christian Dietz
Frank Willenborg
Robert Kempter

Statistics

Possession
HSV
50%
SCF
50%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 2
3 Big Chances Created 1
6 Shots 3
32 Dangerous attacks 33
47 Possession 53
2 Corners 4
8 Free kicks 15
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

42 Successful Dribbles Percentage 38
2 Assists 2
21 Successful Headers 10
12 Dribble Attempts 13
10 Throwins 21
5 Successful Dribbles 5
7 Goal Kicks 4
2 Hit Woodwork 0
5 Substitutions 5
1 Injuries 1
10 Goal Attempts 5
93 Ball Safe 106

Attacking

92 Attacks 89
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

49 Successful Long Passes Percentage 39
429 Passes 481
74 Long Passes 61
353 Successful Passes 393
82 Successful Passes Percentage 82
12 Key Passes 5
36 Successful Long Passes 24

Defensive

20 Tackles 15
54 Duels Won 43
14 Interceptions 10
1 Saves 2

Build-up

2 Accurate Crosses 4
8 Total Crosses 18

Discipline

15 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Robert Kempter

Starting XI ▼

1
Daniel Heuer Fernandes
Daniel Heuer Fernandes Goalkeeper
17
Warmed Omari
Warmed Omari Defender
24
Nicolás Capaldo
Nicolás Capaldo Defender
44
Luka Vuskovic
Luka Vuskovic Defender
43
S. Nandja
S. Nandja
Defender90+6'
6
Albert Sambi Lokonga
Albert Sambi Lokonga Midfielder
15
Yussuf Poulsen
Yussuf Poulsen
Attacker80'
18
Bakery Jatta
Bakery Jatta Midfielder
45
Fabio Baldé
Fabio Baldé
Attacker65'
21
Nicolai Remberg
Nicolai Remberg Midfielder
23
Albert Grønbæk
Albert Grønbæk Midfielder
11
Ransford Königsdörffer
Ransford Königsdörffer Attacker
20
Fábio Vieira
Fábio Vieira Attacker
37
Louis Pepe Lemke
Louis Pepe Lemke
Defender90+6'
49
Otto Stange
Otto Stange Attacker
14
Rayan Philippe
Rayan Philippe
Attacker65'
Referee : Robert Kempter

Starting XI ▼

1
Noah Atubolu
Noah Atubolu Goalkeeper
17
Lukas Kübler
Lukas Kübler Defender
7
Derry Scherhant
Derry Scherhant
Attacker68'
28
Matthias Ginter
Matthias Ginter Defender
5
Anthony Jung
Anthony Jung
Defender71'
29
Philipp Treu
Philipp Treu Defender
43
Bruno Ogbus
Bruno Ogbus Defender
3
Philipp Lienhart
Philipp Lienhart
Defender68'
8
Maximilian Eggestein
Maximilian Eggestein Midfielder
9
Lucas Höler
Lucas Höler Midfielder
19
Niklas Beste
Niklas Beste Midfielder
33
Jordy Makengo
Jordy Makengo
Defender59'
32
Vincenzo Grifo
Vincenzo Grifo Midfielder
44
Johan Manzambi
Johan Manzambi Midfielder
27
Nicolas Höfler
Nicolas Höfler
Midfielder58'
31
Igor Matanovic
Igor Matanovic Attacker
2

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Louis Pepe Lemke → Fábio Vieira
9th Substitution
90+6'
Event
S. Nandja → Luka Vuskovic
10th Substitution
90+6'
87'
Event
Igor Matanovic
Header / 5th Goal
Event
Nicolás Capaldo
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
86'
86'
Event
Lucas Höler
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Yussuf Poulsen → Albert Sambi Lokonga
8th Substitution
80'
71'
Event
Anthony Jung → Matthias Ginter
7th Substitution
68'
Event
Philipp Lienhart → Bruno Ogbus
5th Substitution
68'
Event
Derry Scherhant → Lukas Kübler
6th Substitution
Event
Fabio Baldé
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
67'
Event
Luka Vuskovic
2nd Yellowcard
65'
Event
Fabio Baldé → Bakery Jatta
3rd Substitution
65'
Event
Rayan Philippe → Otto Stange
4th Substitution
65'
Event
Luka Vuskovic
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
64'
59'
Event
Jordy Makengo → Niklas Beste
2nd Substitution
58'
Event
Nicolas Höfler → Johan Manzambi
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
20'
Event
Lukas Kübler
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
16'
Event
Igor Matanovic
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Bakery Jatta
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
14'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
The second half ends with Hamburger SV winning 3-2 against SC Freiburg.
90
Update Update
Nicolai Remberg of Hamburger SV is flagged for offside.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Hamburger SV: Louis Lemke replaces Fábio Vieira.
90
Update Update
Fábio Vieira commits a foul against Hamburger SV.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Hamburger SV: Shafiq Nandja replaces Luka Vuskovic.
90
Attempt Attempt
Fábio Vieira from Hamburger SV hits the left post with a left-footed shot from outside the box, assisted by Nicolai Remberg after a fast break.
90
Update Update
Philipp Treu from SC Freiburg won a free kick in defense.
90
Corner Corner
Rayan Philippe of Hamburger SV attempts an attack with a left-footed shot from the right side of the box, but it's saved in the right corner by Noah Atubolu of SC Freiburg. The assist came from Nicolai Remberg.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 5 minutes of added time.
90
Update Update
Nicolai Remberg of Hamburger SV is flagged for offside.
90
Update Update
Fábio Vieira commits a foul against Hamburger SV.
87
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Lucas Höler of SC Freiburg receives a yellow card.
87
Update Update
Nicolai Remberg from Hamburger SV commits a foul.
87
Corner Corner
Goal! SC Freiburg scores to make it 3-2 against Hamburger SV. Igor Matanovic heads the ball into the left corner from the center of the box, assisted by Vincenzo Grifo's cross following a corner.
86
Corner Corner
SC Freiburg is awarded a corner after Warmed Omari concedes it.
86
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Nicolás Capaldo of Hamburger SV receives a yellow card.
85
Update Update
Philipp Lienhart of SC Freiburg won a free kick in defense.
82
Update Update
Foul committed by Rayan Philippe of Hamburger SV.
82
Update Update
Fouled by Derry Scherhant of SC Freiburg.
81
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Fábio Vieira of Hamburger SV takes a left-footed shot from a difficult position and long distance on the right, but it's saved in the top left corner by Noah Atubolu of SC Freiburg. The assist comes from Fabio Baldé.
81
Update Update
Fábio Vieira from Hamburger SV won a free kick in defense.
80
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Hamburger SV after Jordy Makengo concedes.
80
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Hamburger SV: Yussuf Poulsen replaces Albert Sambi Lokonga.
76
Update Update
Foul committed by Albert Sambi Lokonga against Hamburger SV.
76
Update Update
Lucas Höler from SC Freiburg has been awarded a free kick in an attacking position.
71
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for SC Freiburg: Anthony Jung replaces Matthias Ginter due to injury.
70
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Matthias Ginter from SC Freiburg.
68
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for SC Freiburg: Derry Scherhant replaces Lukas Kübler.
68
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for SC Freiburg: Philipp Lienhart replaces Bruno Ogbus.
67
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Fabio Baldé scores for Hamburger SV with a right-footed shot from the right side of the box into the right corner. The match stands at 3-1, assisted by Nicolai Remberg.
65
Update Update
Offside called against SC Freiburg. Lucas Höler is offside.
65
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Luka Vuskovic of Hamburger SV receives a yellow card for excessive celebration.
65
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Hamburger SV: Rayan Philippe replaces Otto Stange.
65
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Hamburger SV: Fabio Baldé replaces Bakery Jatta.
64
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Luka Vuskovic scores for Hamburger SV with a right-footed shot from a free kick into the right corner. The score is now Hamburger SV 2, SC Freiburg 1.
62
Update Update
Fábio Vieira of Hamburger SV won a free kick in the attacking area.
62
Update Update
Maximilian Eggestein from SC Freiburg committed a foul.
59
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for SC Freiburg: Jordy Makengo replaces Niklas Beste.
58
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for SC Freiburg: Jordy Makengo replaces Niklas Beste.
58
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for SC Freiburg: Nicolas Höfler replaces Johan Manzambi.
58
Update Update
Foul committed by Bakery Jatta of Hamburger SV.
57
Update Update
Bruno Ogbus of SC Freiburg won a free kick in defense.
57
Update Update
Nicolás Capaldo fouled by Hamburger SV.
57
Update Update
Philipp Treu from SC Freiburg won a free kick in defense.
55
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Lukas Kübler from SC Freiburg.
54
Update Update
Lukas Kübler of SC Freiburg won a free kick in defense.
54
Update Update
Foul committed by Otto Stange of Hamburger SV.
52
Attempt Attempt
Ransford Königsdörffer from Hamburger SV had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from the center of the box, but it went close and missed. The assist came from Albert Grønbæk during a fast break.
50
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Lukas Kübler from SC Freiburg takes a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved in the right corner by Daniel Heuer Fernandes from Hamburger SV. The assist comes from Igor Matanovic.
50
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to SC Freiburg after Daniel Heuer Fernandes concedes.
47
Attempt Attempt
Otto Stange's right-footed shot from a difficult position on the right is blocked. Nicolás Capaldo provided the assist.
47
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Hamburger SV after Matthias Ginter concedes.
46
Update Update
Luka Vuskovic from Hamburger SV committed a foul.
46
Update Update
Johan Manzambi from SC Freiburg was awarded a free kick in defense.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with Hamburger SV 1, SC Freiburg 1.
45
Corner Corner
SC Freiburg is awarded a corner after Warmed Omari concedes it.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 3 minutes of added time.
45
Update Update
The second half starts after the match finishes 1-1.
40
Update Update
Philipp Treu of SC Freiburg won a free kick in defense.
40
Update Update
Fouled by Bakery Jatta of Hamburger SV.
39
Attempt Attempt
Igor Matanovic from SC Freiburg had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from outside the box, just missing the target. The assist came from Matthias Ginter, who provided a header.
37
Update Update
Foul committed by Otto Stange of Hamburger SV.
37
Update Update
Johan Manzambi from SC Freiburg won a free kick on the left wing.
36
Attempt Attempt
Shot blocked. Albert Grønbæk from Hamburger SV had a right-footed shot from long distance on the left, but it was blocked.
35
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity for SC Freiburg as Lucas Höler's right-footed shot from outside the box goes high and wide to the left, assisted by Igor Matanovic.
30
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Nicolás Capaldo of Hamburger SV.
30
Attempt Attempt
Luka Vuskovic from Hamburger SV attempts a header from the center of the box, but it's saved by SC Freiburg's goalkeeper Noah Atubolu, who is positioned in the center of the goal. The assist came from Fábio Vieira's cross.
29
Update Update
Albert Grønbæk of Hamburger SV won a free kick in the attacking area.
29
Update Update
Foul committed by Niklas Beste of SC Freiburg.
23
Update Update
Johan Manzambi of SC Freiburg won a free kick in defense.
21
Attempt Attempt
Fábio Vieira's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. Albert Grønbæk provided the assist.
20
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Lukas Kübler of SC Freiburg receives a yellow card for a foul.
20
Attempt Attempt
Ransford Königsdörffer's right-footed shot from the right side of the box is blocked. Nicolás Capaldo provided the assist.
20
Update Update
Lukas Kübler from SC Freiburg committed a foul.
20
Update Update
Otto Stange from Hamburger SV won a free kick in an attacking position.
19
Update Update
Foul committed by Otto Stange of Hamburger SV.
18
Update Update
Niklas Beste from SC Freiburg won a free kick in defense.
18
Attempt Attempt
Goal! The match is now 1-1 as Igor Matanovic scores for SC Freiburg with a right-footed shot from the center of the box, assisted by Lukas Kübler's cross.
16
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Hamburger SV leads SC Freiburg 1-0. Bakery Jatta scores for Hamburger SV with a right-footed shot from a few meters to the center of the goal, assisted by Albert Grønbæk.
14
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Luka Vuskovic of Hamburger SV missed a header from the center of the box, assisted by Fábio Vieira.
12
Update Update
Noah Atubolu of SC Freiburg won a free kick in defense.
11
Update Update
Johan Manzambi commits a handball for SC Freiburg.
7
Update Update
Johan Manzambi of SC Freiburg won a free kick in defense.
7
Update Update
Fábio Vieira commits a foul against Hamburger SV.
5
Update Update
Lukas Kübler from SC Freiburg committed a foul.
5
Update Update
Fábio Vieira of Hamburger SV won a free kick in defense.
3
Update Update
Foul committed by Lucas Höler of SC Freiburg.
3
Update Update
Fábio Vieira from Hamburger SV won a free kick in the attacking zone.
2
Corner Corner
SC Freiburg wins a corner after Luka Vuskovic concedes.
1
Update Update
Foul committed by Igor Matanovic of SC Freiburg.
1
Update Update
Albert Sambi Lokonga of Hamburger SV won a free kick in defense.

CONCLUSION

Hamburger SV's 3-2 triumph over SC Freiburg underscores their ability to outperform expectations against a stronger opponent. Level at 1-1 halftime with near-even possession, the home team executed effectively in the second period to secure the points. Moderate deviation and market alignment indicate a result within plausible bounds, unmarred by red cards or disruptions. Without xG metrics, deeper chance quality analysis is limited, but the win highlights Hamburger SV's resilience and finishing prowess under pressure, positioning them favorably moving forward.

Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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