Halmstad vs IFK Göteborg Prediction, Preview and Stats

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Björkevi IP Sat, 18 Apr - 1:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Halmstad HAL
1 1
IFK Göteborg GOT
Full Time Sat, 18 Apr 1:00 PM
Round 3 Regular Season
Omar Faraj - 62'
Goal
|
Goal
Tobias Heintz - 64'

CONTEXT

In a tightly contested Allsvenskan clash, Halmstad secured a vital 1-1 draw against IFK Göteborg at home. Despite dominating just 38% possession, Halmstad matched their higher-rated opponents goal-for-goal, with both strikes coming in the second half after a goalless first period. IFK Göteborg controlled the ball but struggled to convert, highlighting Halmstad's defensive resilience and clinical finishing. Labeled the stronger side pre-match, Halmstad defied expectations by holding firm, resulting in a significant structural deviation. No red cards disrupted play, and the even halftime score set the stage for a gritty finish. This outcome underscores Halmstad's ability to punch above their possession weight against a possession-heavy Göteborg.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Halmstad exhibited a significant structural deviation of 72.5%.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency for both teams remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment cannot be assessed due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Market expectations did not align with the draw result.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unavailable for evaluation.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or events notably impacted the match.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, resulting in no distortion to match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

O. Johnson

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

A. Milovanovic

2nd Assistant

F. Oppong

4th Official

S. Robertsson

1st Assistant

Halmstad J. Lindholm
J. Lindholm
VS
IFK Göteborg S. Billborn
S. Billborn
1.17
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.17
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Degerfors Rank: L
AIK Rank: L
AIK Rank: W
Brommapojkarna Rank: D
IFK Göteborg Rank: L
Degerfors Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Häcken Rank: L
Elfsborg Rank: L
Norrköping Rank: W
Djurgården Rank: D
Halmstad Rank: W
Mjällby Rank: L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 12 - 16
16

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Halmstad
25.12%
Draw
27.51%
Away IFK Göteborg
47.37%

Movement

Changes since opening
Halmstad
+20.66%
Draw
-57.63%
IFK Göteborg
+36.96%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
18.86
18.72
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Halmstad
IFK Göteborg
Power Score
18.86
18.72
League Position
13
14
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Halmstad Opponent-weighted form score
IFK Göteborg Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Halmstad IFK Göteborg

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Halmstad

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

IFK Göteborg

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Halmstad ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy IFK Göteborg
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
34.74
31.94
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
31.94
34.74
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Halmstad +0.28 Efficiency Index
vs
IFK Göteborg -0.28 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Halmstad
IFK Göteborg
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Halmstad ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy IFK Göteborg
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Halmstad IFK Göteborg
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Halmstad IFK Göteborg
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Halmstad
IFK Göteborg
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Halmstad
vs
IFK Göteborg
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Halmstad IFK Göteborg
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Halmstad IFK Göteborg
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Halmstad
IFK Göteborg
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • HAL had peak pressure around 67'.
  • HAL started the game with stronger pressure.
HAL Pressure GOT Pressure
Pressure Index: HAL reached the top pressure at 67' (66.03).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 30 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Halmstad HAL Home
30 matches
IFK Göteborg GOT Away
Match Record
2
Wins
16
12
Draws
12
16
Losses
2
Goals
19
Goals Scored
51
51
Goals Conceded
19
-32
Goal Difference
+32

Data last updated: 2026-04-19T00:03:07+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
T. Rönning
Sweden
1 T. Rönning
A. Boman
Sweden
17 A. Boman
P. Gregor
Denmark
5 P. Gregor
E. Tõugjas
Estonia
16 E. Tõugjas
R. Kaib
Tunisia
24 R. Kaib
A. Nilsson
Substitution
Sweden
25 A. Nilsson
J. Allansson
Sweden
6 J. Allansson
E. Arvidsson
Substitution
11 E. Arvidsson
R. Ascone
France
27 R. Ascone
O. Liimatta
Substitution
Finland
20 O. Liimatta
O. Faraj
Substitution
Sweden
9 O. Faraj
Pitch
E. Bishesari
Sweden
25 E. Bishesari
A. Jallow
Sweden
17 A. Jallow
A. Erlingmark
Sweden
3 A. Erlingmark
R. Yeboah
Ghana
4 R. Yeboah
F. Eriksson
Sweden
18 F. Eriksson
F. Ottosson
Sweden
16 F. Ottosson
D. Kjær Kruse
Denmark
15 D. Kjær Kruse
T. Heintz
Norway
14 T. Heintz
K. Thordarson
Substitution
Iceland
23 K. Thordarson
S. Alioum Moubarak
Cameroon
11 S. Alioum Moubarak
M. Fenger
Substitution
Denmark
9 M. Fenger

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 18, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition :
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 3 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Björkevi IP
Capacity :
15500
Attendance :
8644
Pitch Surface :
N/A
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Alexander Milovanovic
Fredrick Oppong
Sebastian Robertsson
Oscar Johnson

Statistics

Possession
HAL
40%
GOT
60%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 1
6 Shots 10
44 Dangerous attacks 56
38 Possession 62
3 Corners 2
18 Free kicks 17
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

33 Successful Dribbles Percentage 45
21 Throwins 29
79 Ball Safe 81
10 Goal Kicks 8
12 Dribble Attempts 11
8 Goal Attempts 9
4 Successful Dribbles 5
0 Injuries 1
0 Hit Woodwork 2
1 Assists 1
4 Substitutions 2

Attacking

81 Attacks 115

Possession

324 Passes 535
74 Successful Passes Percentage 83
240 Successful Passes 442
8 Key Passes 13
38 Successful Long Passes Percentage 50
20 Successful Long Passes 46
53 Long Passes 92

Defensive

14 Tackles 17
47 Duels Won 52
5 Interceptions 10
2 Saves 2

Build-up

18 Total Crosses 26
6 Accurate Crosses 8

Discipline

17 Fouls 18
1 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Oscar Johnson

Starting XI

1
Tim Rönning
Tim Rönning Goalkeeper
6.65
5
Pascal Gregor
Pascal Gregor Defender
6.71
16
Erko Tougjas
Erko Tougjas Defender
6.43
17
André Boman
André Boman Defender
6.43
24
Rami Kaib
Rami Kaib Defender
6.29
6
Joel Allansson
Joel Allansson Midfielder
6.89
11
Ludvig Arvidsson
Ludvig Arvidsson Midfielder
7.55
14
Hussein Carneil
Hussein Carneil
Midfielder71'
6.56
20
Otso Liimatta
Otso Liimatta Midfielder
6.78
21
Joel Nilsson
Joel Nilsson
Midfielder79'
6.48
25
Aleksander Damnjanovic Nilsson
Aleksander Damnjanovic Nilsson Midfielder
6.97
13
Vincent Gunnar Johansson
Vincent Gunnar Johansson
Midfielder79'
6.37
27
Rocco Ascone
Rocco Ascone Midfielder
7.15
9
Omar Faraj
Omar Faraj Attacker
6.41
18
Malte Persson
Malte Persson
Attacker71'
6.78
Referee : Oscar Johnson

Starting XI

25
Elis Bishesari
Elis Bishesari Goalkeeper
6.66
3
August Erlingmark
August Erlingmark Defender
7.18
4
Rockson Yeboah
Rockson Yeboah Defender
6.55
17
Alexander Jallow
Alexander Jallow Defender
6.65
18
Felix Eriksson
Felix Eriksson Defender
6.37
11
Saidou Alioum Moubarak
Saidou Alioum Moubarak Midfielder
6.66
14
Tobias Heintz
Tobias Heintz Midfielder
7.1
15
David Kruse
David Kruse Midfielder
6.83
16
Filip Ottosson
Filip Ottosson Midfielder
6.67
23
Kolbeinn Thórdarson
Kolbeinn Thórdarson Midfielder
6.55
26
Benjamin Brantlind
Benjamin Brantlind
Midfielder62'
6.83
9
Max Fenger
Max Fenger Attacker
6.58
29
Adam Bergmark-Wiberg
Adam Bergmark-Wiberg
Attacker46'
6.83

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Joel Nilsson Otso Liimatta
6th Substitution
79'
Event
Vincent Gunnar Johansson Aleksander Damnjanovic Nilsson
5th Substitution
79'
78'
Event
Benjamin Brantlind
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Hussein Carneil Ludvig Arvidsson
3rd Substitution
71'
Event
Malte Persson Omar Faraj
4th Substitution
71'
64'
Event
Tobias Heintz
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Omar Faraj
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
62'
62'
Event
Benjamin Brantlind Kolbeinn Thórdarson
2nd Substitution
Event
André Boman
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
57'
46'
Event
Adam Bergmark-Wiberg Max Fenger
1st Substitution

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Halmstad exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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