Hajduk Split vs Žilina Prediction, Preview and Stats

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa League, Europe
Stadion Poljud Today - 6:00 PM
Europa League
Hajduk Split Hajduk Split
2 Winner 0
Žilina Žilina
Full Time Today 6:00 PM
1st Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
Dalisson de Almeida - 49'
Roko Brajkovic - 22'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Hajduk Split hosted Žilina in the first leg of their two-legged tie and secured a 2-0 victory. The home side took the lead before halftime with the score at 1-0 and added a second goal after the break to seal the result. Hajduk Split controlled 57 percent of possession compared to Žilina's 43 percent. No red cards were shown to either team during the match. The stronger side prevailed as expected with only minimal structural deviation recorded at 2.7 percent. The outcome remained consistent with pre-match indicators and produced a clean win without major disruptions.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Minimal structural deviation of 2.7 percent occurred for Hajduk Split.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match patterns.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be assessed due to unavailable metrics.
  • Market alignment: The final result proved market aligned.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations were not available for evaluation.
  • Event impact: Hajduk Split won leg one 2-0 to gain an aggregate advantage.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued so no distortion affected play.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

K. Athanasiou

Cyprus 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 4 0.36
Fouls / match 30.4
Yellow cards / match 4
Red cards / match 0.36
Penalties / match 0.36

Other match officials

K. Sokratous

2nd Assistant

Cyprus

C. Theouli

4th Official

Cyprus

League averages

Europa League Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 21.86
Yellow cards / match 3.6
Red cards / match 0.23
Penalties / match 0.26
Hajduk Split D. Sousa
D. Sousa
VS
Žilina P. Stano
P. Stano
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Hajduk Split
97.32%
Draw
1.91%
Away Žilina
0.77%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
72.26
70.74
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Hajduk Split
Žilina
Power Score
72.26
70.74
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
159
187

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Hajduk Split — Opponent-weighted form score
Žilina — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Hajduk Split Žilina

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Hajduk Split

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Žilina

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Hajduk Split ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Žilina
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Hajduk Split Žilina
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Hajduk Split Žilina
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Hajduk Split
Žilina
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Hajduk Split
vs
Žilina
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Hajduk Split Žilina
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Hajduk Split 0.00
Žilina 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Hajduk Split Žilina
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Hajduk Split 0.00
Žilina 0.00
Hajduk Split
Žilina
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Hajduk Split had peak pressure around 9'.
  • Hajduk Split started the game with stronger pressure.
Hajduk Split Pressure Žilina Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Hajduk Split reached the top pressure at 9' (53.92).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Hajduk Split Hajduk Split Home
2 matches
Žilina Žilina Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
1
-1
Goal Difference
+1

Data last updated: 2026-07-06T00:05:08+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time :
Jul 09, 2026, 06:00 PM
Competition :
2026/2027 Europa League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium :
Stadion Poljud
Capacity :
34198
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Kyriakos Athanasiou
Kyriakos Sokratous
Chrysovalantis Theouli

Statistics

Possession
Hajduk Split
63%
Žilina
37%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
7 Shots 3
59 Dangerous attacks 15
57 Possession 43
6 Corners 3
9 Free kicks 16
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

3 Substitutions 5
28 Throwins 20
2 Assists 0

Attacking

89 Attacks 58

Discipline

2 Offsides 0
15 Fouls 8

Squad

Referee : Kyriakos Athanasiou

Squad ▼

44
Dante Stipica
Dante Stipica Goalkeeper
1
Ivica Ivušić
Ivica Ivušić Goalkeeper
33
Toni Silić
Toni Silić Goalkeeper
99
Davyd Fesyuk
Davyd Fesyuk Goalkeeper
15
Dario Maresic
Dario Maresic Defender
17
Dario Melnjak
Dario Melnjak Defender
—
Fran Karačić
Fran Karačić Defender
31
Zvonimir Šarlija
Zvonimir Šarlija Defender
—
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck Defender
14
Ron Raçi
Ron Raçi Defender
32
Šimun Hrgović
Šimun Hrgović Defender
—
Mathieu Acapandié
Mathieu Acapandié Defender
36
Marino Skelin
Marino Skelin Defender
38
Luka Hodak
Luka Hodak Defender
23
Filip Krovinović
Filip Krovinović Midfielder
—
Mihael Žaper
Mihael Žaper Midfielder
6
Hugo Guillamón Sanmartín
Hugo Guillamón Sanmartín Midfielder
4
Adrion Pajaziti
Adrion Pajaziti Midfielder
—
Dalisson de Almeida Leite
Dalisson de Almeida Leite Midfielder
—
Alberto Del Moral Saelices
Alberto Del Moral Saelices Midfielder
—
E. Brruti
E. Brruti Midfielder
21
Rokas Pukstas
Rokas Pukstas Midfielder
35
Luka Jurak
Luka Jurak Midfielder
37
Noa Skoko
Noa Skoko Midfielder
8
Niko Sigur
Niko Sigur Midfielder
—
Anđelo Šutalo
Anđelo Šutalo Midfielder
26
Adam Guram
Adam Guram Midfielder
10
Marko Livaja
Marko Livaja Attacker
11
Michele Šego
Michele Šego Attacker
24
Abdulia Sanyang
Abdulia Sanyang Attacker
28
Roko Brajković
Roko Brajković Attacker
—
Lovre Lončar
Lovre Lončar Attacker
—
Dominik Babić
Dominik Babić Attacker
Referee : Kyriakos Athanasiou

Squad ▼

—
Dávid Šipoš
Dávid Šipoš Goalkeeper
1
Jakub Badžgoň
Jakub Badžgoň Goalkeeper
25
Filip Kaša
Filip Kaša Defender
17
Ján Minárik
Ján Minárik Defender
20
Krisztián Bari
Krisztián Bari Defender
14
Michal Svoboda
Michal Svoboda Defender
28
Alexander Narimanidze
Alexander Narimanidze Defender
21
Timotej Hranica
Timotej Hranica Defender
33
Tobiáš Pališčák
Tobiáš Pališčák Defender
2
Marek Okál
Marek Okál Defender
66
Miroslav Káčer
Miroslav Káčer Midfielder
10
Andrei Gabriele Florea
Andrei Gabriele Florea Midfielder
6
Xavier Rodrigue Adang Mveng
Xavier Rodrigue Adang Mveng Midfielder
11
Fabian Bzdyl
Fabian Bzdyl Midfielder
39
Lukáš Juliš
Lukáš Juliš Attacker
23
Michal Faško
Michal Faško Attacker
95
Marko Roginić
Marko Roginić Attacker
16
Patrik Iľko
Patrik Iľko Attacker
24
Samuel Ďatko
Samuel Ďatko Attacker
90
Daniel Homet Ruiz
Daniel Homet Ruiz Attacker
—
Sanusi Ridwan
Sanusi Ridwan Attacker
34
Lukáš Prokop
Lukáš Prokop Attacker
7
František Kóša
František Kóša Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
90+2'
Event
Samuel Datko
Tripping / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Marko Livaja → Michele Sego
9th Substitution
86'
Event
Simun Hrgovic
Holding / 2nd Yellowcard
84'
82'
Event
Samuel Datko → Timotej Hranica
8th Substitution
Event
Luka Hodak → Roko Brajkovic
6th Substitution
79'
Event
Alberto del Moral → Dalisson de Almeida
7th Substitution
79'
Event
Michele Sego
Holding / 1st Yellowcard
78'
Event
Adam Guram → Dario Melnjak
5th Substitution
73'
71'
Event
Xavier Adang → Miroslav Kacer 
4th Substitution
64'
Event
Jan Minarik → Filip Kasa
3rd Substitution
63'
Event
Andrei Florea → Frantisek Kosa
1st Substitution
63'
Event
Patrik Ilko → Michal Fasko
2nd Substitution
Event
Dalisson de Almeida
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
49'
1ST-HALF
Event
Roko Brajkovic
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
22'

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Samuel Datko receives a yellow card.
87
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
86
Update Update
Marko Livaja comes on for Michele Sego.
84
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Simun Hrgovic.
83
Update Update
Samuel Datko is on, and Timotej Hranica is off.
82
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
79
Update Update
Alberto del Moral is on, and Dalisson de Almeida is off.
79
Update Update
Luka Hodak comes on for Roko Brajkovic.
78
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Michele Sego receives a yellow card.
73
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Adam Guram comes on for Dario Melnjak.
71
Update Update
Xavier Adang comes on for Miroslav Kacer.
64
Update Update
Jan Minarik comes on for Filip Kasa.
63
Update Update
Patrik Ilko comes on for Michal Fasko.
63
Update Update
Andrei Florea is on, and Frantisek Kosa is off.
62
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
61
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
49
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Dalisson de Almeida scores, making it 2-0.
25
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
22
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
18
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
12
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
9
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
8
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Kyriakos Athanasiou.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Hajduk Split 2-0 Žilina. Structural assessment: Hajduk Split exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

Hajduk Split vs Žilina preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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Alf Indseth

Alf Indseth writes football-focused analysis that looks beyond match results to explore form, value, and market context.