Hajduk Split vs Vukovar Prediction, Preview and Stats

Croatia flag 2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia
Stadion Poljud Sat, 23 May - 12:00 AM
1. HNL
Hajduk Split Hajduk Split
Versus
Vukovar Vukovar
KICKOFF : Sat, 23 May - 12:00 AM
Round 36 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Hajduk Split prepares to host Vukovar at Stadion Poljud during the 2025/2026 1. HNL regular season. The home side enters with a clear power advantage of 24.1 points and sits second in the domestic standings. Vukovar occupies tenth place and trails significantly in overall strength metrics. Both clubs display closely matched recent form scores near 15 points each. Hajduk Split benefits from superior squad depth and structural organization that favors sustained pressure. Vukovar must rely on compact defending and opportunistic transitions to challenge the hosts. Limited set-piece data leaves room for tactical adjustments on the day. The fixture promises an intriguing clash between established league hierarchy and ambitious challengers seeking to disrupt expectations.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Hajduk Split leads with a 72.13 power score against Vukovar's 48.03.
  • Form: Recent form remains tight at 15.28 for the hosts and 14.33 for the visitors.
  • Squad: Hajduk Split fields greater depth suited to league demands this season.
  • Efficiency: Home efficiency metrics support consistent output across domestic fixtures.
  • Transition: Vukovar looks to exploit quick breaks against a high-pressing opponent.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece information stays unavailable due to absent xG tracking.
  • xVariable: Power differential of 24.1 points shapes the expected match dynamics.
  • Market: Projection split: Hajduk Split 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Vukovar 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Hajduk Split G. García García
G. García García
VS
Vukovar Vukovar
Vukovar
1.71
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.81
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: 63 D
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: 81 L
Varaždin Rank: 66 W
Rijeka Rank: 69 D
Osijek Rank: 62 L
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: 62 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Varaždin Rank: 66 L
Rijeka Rank: 71 L
Osijek Rank: 64 W
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: 62 D
Gorica Rank: 61 L
Istra 1961 Rank: 64 W
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Hajduk Split
0%
Draw
0%
Away Vukovar
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
72.13
48.03
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Hajduk Split
Vukovar
Power Score
72.13
48.03
League Position
2
10
Global Rank
155
630

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Hajduk Split — Opponent-weighted form score
Vukovar — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Hajduk Split Vukovar

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Hajduk Split Hajduk Split Home
3 matches
Vukovar Vukovar Away
Match Record
3
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
3
Goals
9
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
9
+8
Goal Difference
-8

Data last updated: 2026-05-16T00:06:52+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

Official lineups and formations are usually announced 60–90 minutes before kickoff. Check back closer to the match to see the starting XIs here.

General Information

Date & Time :
May 23, 2026, 12:00 AM
Competition :
2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 36 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stadion Poljud
Capacity :
34198
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

44
Dante Stipica
Dante Stipica Goalkeeper
1
Ivica Ivušić
Ivica Ivušić Goalkeeper
33
Toni Silić
Toni Silić Goalkeeper
99
Davyd Fesyuk
Davyd Fesyuk Goalkeeper
15
Dario Maresic
Dario Maresic Defender
17
Dario Melnjak
Dario Melnjak Defender
5
Ismaël Chester Diallo
Ismaël Chester Diallo Defender
31
Zvonimir Šarlija
Zvonimir Šarlija Defender
14
Ron Raçi
Ron Raçi Defender
32
Šimun Hrgović
Šimun Hrgović Defender
36
Marino Skelin
Marino Skelin Defender
38
Luka Hodak
Luka Hodak Defender
23
Filip Krovinović
Filip Krovinović Midfielder
7
Anthony Kalik
Anthony Kalik Midfielder
6
Hugo Guillamón Sanmartín
Hugo Guillamón Sanmartín Midfielder
4
Adrion Pajaziti
Adrion Pajaziti Midfielder
21
Rokas Pukstas
Rokas Pukstas Midfielder
35
Luka Jurak
Luka Jurak Midfielder
37
Noa Skoko
Noa Skoko Midfielder
8
Niko Sigur
Niko Sigur Midfielder
9
Ante Rebić
Ante Rebić Attacker
10
Marko Livaja
Marko Livaja Attacker
11
Michele Šego
Michele Šego Attacker
24
Abdulia Sanyang
Abdulia Sanyang Attacker
28
Roko Brajković
Roko Brajković Attacker
—
Lovre Lončar
Lovre Lončar Attacker
30
Iker Almena Horcajo
Iker Almena Horcajo Attacker
34
Bruno Durdov
Bruno Durdov Attacker

Squad ▼

42
Antonio Đaković
Antonio Đaković Goalkeeper
22
Denis Pintol
Denis Pintol Goalkeeper
1
Marino Bulat
Marino Bulat Goalkeeper
91
Mario Tičinović
Mario Tičinović Defender
8
Antonio Bosec
Antonio Bosec Defender
34
Mario Tadić
Mario Tadić Defender
24
Halid Šabanović
Halid Šabanović Defender
16
Kristijan Pavičić
Kristijan Pavičić Defender
7
Kerim Çalhanoğlu
Kerim Çalhanoğlu Defender
5
Nikita Vlasenko
Nikita Vlasenko Defender
14
M. Živković
M. Živković Defender
35
Jakov Gurlica
Jakov Gurlica Defender
20
Kristijan Cabrajic
Kristijan Cabrajic Defender
50
Josip Špoljarić
Josip Špoljarić Midfielder
6
Jakov Biljan
Jakov Biljan Midfielder
77
Eniss Shabani
Eniss Shabani Midfielder
10
Robin Gonzales
Robin Gonzales Midfielder
13
Vito Čaić
Vito Čaić Midfielder
11
Lovre Kulušić
Lovre Kulušić Midfielder
21
Jakov Puljić
Jakov Puljić Attacker
19
Alen Jurilj
Alen Jurilj Attacker
39
Pocholo Bugas
Pocholo Bugas Attacker
28
Lovre Banovec
Lovre Banovec Attacker
33
Luka Klanac
Luka Klanac Attacker
27
Šimun Butić
Šimun Butić Attacker

CONCLUSION

Hajduk Split holds the platform to dictate tempo from the opening whistle at their familiar Poljud venue. Positioned second domestically they carry momentum into this regular season meeting. Vukovar arrives determined to close the gap through disciplined organization and swift counters. Limited statistical depth on set pieces invites both coaches to adapt lineups accordingly. The power gap suggests the hosts will control territory while the visitors seek moments of quality. Squad resources favor the home team yet motivation levels remain high on both sides. Expect structured play from Hajduk Split paired with resilient resistance from Vukovar throughout the ninety minutes.

Hajduk Split vs Vukovar preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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