Hajduk Split vs Vukovar Prediction, Preview and Stats

Croatia flag 2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia
Stadion Poljud Fri, 22 May - 4:15 PM
1. HNL
Hajduk Split Hajduk Split
6 Winner 3
Vukovar Vukovar
Full Time Fri, 22 May 4:15 PM
Round 36 Regular Season
Iker Almena - 67' (P)
Adam Guram - 56'
Lovro Banovec - 54' (Own Goal)
Michele Sego - 26', 16'
Roko Brajkovic - 9'
Goal
|
Goal
Jakov Puljic - 90+1' (P)
Jakov Gurlica - 19'
Lovro Banovec - 2'

CONTEXT

Hajduk Split defeated Vukovar 6-3 in a high-scoring encounter that saw the home side lead 3-2 at halftime. Hajduk Split maintained 64 percent possession while limiting Vukovar to 36 percent throughout the ninety minutes. The stronger team delivered a clear victory without any red cards issued to either side. A significant deviation of 32 percent was recorded relative to initial projections favoring Hajduk Split. The match unfolded with consistent efficiency patterns that matched the expected dominance of the home side. Multiple goals in both halves underscored the attacking intent displayed by Hajduk Split. This result highlighted their ability to convert opportunities effectively against a resilient opponent.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Hajduk Split recorded a significant 32 percent deviation from pre-match projections.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with the stronger team's expected performance.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable so alignment could not be assessed.
  • Market alignment: The final outcome proved aligned with available market indicators.
  • xG expectations: No recorded xG expectations were present for either side.
  • Event impact: The 6-3 scoreline reflected substantial event impacts from open play.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards occurred so no disciplinary distortion affected the result.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

P. Kolarić

Croatia 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

D. Knez

1st Assistant

Croatia

I. Vukančić

4th Official

Croatia

?. Bučar

2nd Assistant

Croatia

League averages

1. HNL Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 23.85
Yellow cards / match 3.3
Red cards / match 0.08
Penalties / match 0.35
Hajduk Split G. García García
G. García García
VS
Vukovar T. Stipić
T. Stipić
1.64
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.81
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: 63 D
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: 81 L
Varaždin Rank: 66 W
Rijeka Rank: 71 D
Osijek Rank: 63 L
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: 61 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Varaždin Rank: 66 L
Rijeka Rank: 71 L
Osijek Rank: 64 W
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: 61 D
Gorica Rank: 63 L
Istra 1961 Rank: 64 W
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Hajduk Split
67.99%
Draw
20.37%
Away Vukovar
11.63%

Movement

Changes since opening
Hajduk Split
-29.45%
Draw
+18.46%
Vukovar
+10.98%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
72.56
47.86
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Hajduk Split
Vukovar
Power Score
72.56
47.86
League Position
2
10
Global Rank
152
630

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Hajduk Split — Opponent-weighted form score
Vukovar — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Hajduk Split Vukovar

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Hajduk Split

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Vukovar

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Hajduk Split ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Vukovar
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
23.20
27.92
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
27.92
23.20
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Hajduk Split -0.47 Efficiency Index
vs
Vukovar +0.47 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Hajduk Split
Vukovar
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Hajduk Split ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Vukovar
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Hajduk Split Vukovar
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Hajduk Split Vukovar
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Hajduk Split
Vukovar
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Hajduk Split
vs
Vukovar
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Hajduk Split Vukovar
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Hajduk Split 0.21
Vukovar 0.20
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Hajduk Split Vukovar
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Hajduk Split 0.07
Vukovar 0.11
Hajduk Split
Vukovar
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Hajduk Split had peak pressure around 69'.
  • Hajduk Split started the game with stronger pressure.
Hajduk Split Pressure Vukovar Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Hajduk Split reached the top pressure at 69' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Hajduk Split Hajduk Split Home
3 matches
Vukovar Vukovar Away
Match Record
3
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
3
Goals
9
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
9
+8
Goal Difference
-8

Data last updated: 2026-05-23T00:00:51+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
I. Ivušić
Croatia
1 I. Ivušić
L. Hodak
Substitution
Croatia
38 L. Hodak
R. Gabrić
Croatia
3 R. Gabrić
D. Maresic
Austria
15 D. Maresic
?. Hrgović
Croatia
32 ?. Hrgović
H. Guillamón Sanmartín
Spain
6 H. Guillamón Sanmartín
A. Pajaziti
Albania
4 A. Pajaziti
R. Brajković
Substitution
Croatia
28 R. Brajković
I. Almena Horcajo
Substitution
Spain
30 I. Almena Horcajo
A. Guram
Substitution
Ukraine
39 A. Guram
M. Šego
Substitution
Croatia
11 M. Šego
Pitch
A. Đaković
Croatia
42 A. Đaković
K. Cabrajic
Substitution
Croatia
20 K. Cabrajic
M. Živković
Croatia
14 M. Živković
N. Vlasenko
Switzerland
5 N. Vlasenko
J. Gurlica
Croatia
35 J. Gurlica
V. Čaić
Substitution
Croatia
13 V. Čaić
E. Shabani
Substitution
Albania
77 E. Shabani
L. Banovec
Croatia
28 L. Banovec
R. Gonzales
Colombia
10 R. Gonzales
?. Butić
Substitution
27 ?. Butić
J. Puljić
Croatia
21 J. Puljić

General Information

Date & Time :
May 22, 2026, 04:15 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 36 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stadion Poljud
Capacity :
34198
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Patrik Kolarić
Dino Knez
Ivan Vukančić
Željko Bučar

Statistics

Possession
Hajduk Split
58%
Vukovar
42%

Top Statistics

6 Goals 3
6 Big Chances Created 3
10 Shots 5
57 Dangerous attacks 41
64 Possession 36
8 Corners 3
9 Free kicks 14
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

27 Successful Dribbles Percentage 52
15 Dribble Attempts 21
3 Assists 2
6 Goal Kicks 6
24 Throwins 27
5 Substitutions 4
4 Successful Dribbles 11
1 Penalties 1

Attacking

2 Big Chances Missed 1
104 Attacks 81

Possession

85 Successful Passes Percentage 79
467 Passes 257
8 Key Passes 6
47 Successful Long Passes Percentage 53
34 Long Passes 43
16 Successful Long Passes 23
398 Successful Passes 202

Defensive

19 Tackles 18
34 Duels Won 48
0 Saves 3
9 Interceptions 7

Build-up

1 Accurate Crosses 2
15 Total Crosses 8

Discipline

15 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Patrik Kolarić

Starting XI ▼

1
Ivica Ivusic
Ivica Ivusic Goalkeeper
3
Roko Gabrić
Roko Gabrić Defender
15
Dario Maresic
Dario Maresic Defender
32
Simun Hrgovic
Simun Hrgovic Defender
38
Luka Hodak
Luka Hodak Defender
—
Luka Hodak
77'
4
Adrion Pajaziti
Adrion Pajaziti Midfielder
6
Hugo Guillamón
Hugo Guillamón Midfielder
28
Roko Brajkovic
Roko Brajkovic Midfielder
34
Bruno Durdov
Bruno Durdov
Attacker63'
30
Iker Almena
Iker Almena Midfielder
24
Abdoulie Sanyang
Abdoulie Sanyang
Attacker71'
39
Adam Guram
Adam Guram Midfielder
21
Rokas Pukstas
Rokas Pukstas
Midfielder63'
11
Michele Sego
Michele Sego Attacker
2
7
Anthony Kalik
Anthony Kalik
Midfielder71'
Referee : Patrik Kolarić

Starting XI ▼

42
Antonio Đaković
Antonio Đaković Goalkeeper
5
Nikita Vlasenko
Nikita Vlasenko Defender
13
Vito Caic
Vito Caic Defender
33
Luka Klanac
Luka Klanac
Attacker68'
14
Moreno Zivkovic
Moreno Zivkovic Defender
20
Kristijan Cabrajic
Kristijan Cabrajic Defender
39
Pocholo Bugas
Pocholo Bugas
Attacker80'
10
Robin González
Robin González Midfielder
27
Simun Butic
Simun Butic Midfielder
—
Simun Butic
57'
28
Lovro Banovec
Lovro Banovec Midfielder
35
Jakov Gurlica
Jakov Gurlica Midfielder
77
Eniss Shabani
Eniss Shabani Midfielder
6
Jakov Biljan
Jakov Biljan
Midfielder46'
21
Jakov Puljic
Jakov Puljic Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
90+1'
Event
Jakov Puljic
Right foot shot / 2nd Penalty
Event
Hugo Guillamón
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
89'
80'
Event
Pocholo Bugas → Kristijan Cabrajic
9th Substitution
Event
Illia Kutia → Luka Hodak
8th Substitution
77'
Event
Anthony Kalik → Michele Sego
6th Substitution
71'
Event
Abdoulie Sanyang → Iker Almena
7th Substitution
71'
68'
Event
Luka Klanac → Vito Caic
5th Substitution
Event
Iker Almena
Left foot shot / 1st Penalty
67'
Event
Iker Almena
Penalty awarded
65'
Event
Rokas Pukstas → Adam Guram
4th Substitution
63'
Event
Bruno Durdov → Roko Brajkovic
3rd Substitution
63'
57'
Event
Danijel Vinković → Simun Butic
2nd Substitution
Event
Adam Guram
Left foot shot / 6th Goal
56'
Event
Lovro Banovec
Left foot shot / 1st Own Goal
54'
52'
Event
Jakov Biljan
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
46'
Event
Jakov Biljan → Eniss Shabani
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Michele Sego
Right foot shot / 5th Goal
26'
19'
Event
Jakov Gurlica
Left foot shot / 4th Goal
Event
Michele Sego
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
16'
Event
Roko Brajkovic
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
9'
2'
Event
Lovro Banovec
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Jakov Puljic takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
90
Attempt Attempt
Abdoulie Sanyang takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
83
Attempt Attempt
Rokas Pukstas takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
82
Attempt Attempt
Jakov Puljic's left-footed shot is blocked.
80
Update Update
Pocholo Bugas comes on for Kristijan Cabrajic.
77
Update Update
Illia Kutia comes on for Luka Hodak.
76
Attempt Attempt
Luka Klanac takes a right-footed shot but misses.
71
Update Update
Anthony Kalik is on, and Michele Sego is off.
71
Update Update
Abdoulie Sanyang is on, and Iker Almena is off.
68
Update Update
Luka Klanac comes on for Vito Caic.
67
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Iker Almena scores, making it 6-2.
67
Attempt Attempt
Iker Almena takes a shot with his left foot and scores.
64
Attempt Attempt
Iker Almena takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
63
Update Update
Bruno Durdov comes on for Roko Brajkovic.
63
Update Update
Rokas Pukstas comes on for Adam Guram.
57
Update Update
Danijel Vinkovic replaces Jakov Puljic.
56
Attempt Attempt
Adam Guram takes a left-footed shot and scores.
54
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Own goal by Lovro Banovec makes it 4-2.
46
Substitution Substitution
Jakov Biljan is substituted for Eniss Shabani.
45
Attempt Attempt
Iker Almena takes a left-footed shot but misses.
28
Attempt Attempt
Jakov Puljic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
27
Attempt Attempt
Jakov Puljic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
26
Attempt Attempt
Michele Sego takes a right-footed shot and scores.
23
Attempt Attempt
Jakov Gurlica takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
21
Attempt Attempt
Jakov Puljic takes a left-footed shot but misses.
19
Attempt Attempt
Jakov Gurlica scores with a left-footed shot.
16
Attempt Attempt
Michele Sego takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
16
Attempt Attempt
Michele Sego takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
9
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Roko Brajkovic scores, making it 1-1.
9
Attempt Attempt
Roko Brajkovic takes a shot with his left foot and scores.
6
Attempt Attempt
Roko Brajkovic takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
2
Attempt Attempt
Lovro Banovec scores with a right-footed shot.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Patrik Kolaric.

CONCLUSION

Hajduk Split completed a commanding 6-3 win that confirmed their status as the dominant side. After leading 3-2 at the interval they extended their advantage through sustained pressure and precise finishing. Possession control at 64 percent allowed them to dictate tempo and limit clear chances for Vukovar. The absence of red cards ensured the contest remained balanced in terms of player numbers. Efficiency stayed consistent with expectations for the stronger team across both halves. This performance offers useful perspective on how Hajduk Split manages high-scoring games while maintaining structure. Observers noted the clinical nature of their attacking transitions that ultimately secured the three-goal margin.

Hajduk Split vs Vukovar preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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