Häcken vs Sirius Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden

Nordic Wellness Arena Mon, 27 Apr - 5:00 PM

Allsvenskan

Häcken HAC

2 – 2

Sirius SIR

Full Time Mon, 27 Apr 5:00 PM

Round 5 Regular Season

G. Lindgren - 37'

Mikkel Rygaard - 25'

Mohamed Soumah - 86'

Robbie Ure - 40'

CONTEXT

Häcken and Sirius delivered a captivating 2-2 draw in the Allsvenskan at Bravida Arena. Häcken struck twice early to lead 2-1 at halftime, capitalizing on limited 45% possession against Sirius's 55% control. Deemed the stronger team, Sirius mounted a determined comeback in the second half, equalizing to claim a share of the spoils. No red cards marred the contest, and no significant tactical shifts occurred post-interval. The result showcased Häcken's clinical finishing upfront contrasted with Sirius's sustained pressure and resilience. Possession favored the visitors, yet defenses stood resolute late on, preventing further goals. This outcome reflects competitive parity, with Sirius overcoming the halftime deficit through persistence. Both squads displayed quality, ending level in an entertaining affair.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Moderate structural deviation of 8.5% favored Sirius.
Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
xG alignment: xG alignment cannot be assessed due to unavailable data.
Market alignment: Market alignment confirmed with the draw result.
xG expectations: xG expectations unavailable for evaluation.
Event impact: No second-half adjustments or key events altered the flow.
Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, eliminating any distortion.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

M. Al Hakim

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Culum

1st Assistant

F. Klyver

2nd Assistant

N. Karlsson

4th Official

J. Gustafsson

A. Engelmark

1.5

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

9 - 6 - 3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Häcken

4.06%

Draw

91.5%

Sirius

4.44%

Movement

Changes since opening

Häcken

-0.89%

Draw

+2.73%

Sirius

-1.83%

Team Power Ranking

19.88

47.92

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Häcken

Sirius

Power Score

19.88

47.92

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Häcken — Opponent-weighted form score

Sirius — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Häcken Sirius

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Häcken

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Sirius

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Häcken ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Sirius

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

29.56

42.36

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

42.36

29.56

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Häcken -1.28 Efficiency Index

Sirius +1.28 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Häcken

Sirius

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Häcken ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Sirius

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Häcken Sirius

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Häcken Sirius

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Häcken

Sirius

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Häcken

Sirius

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Häcken Sirius

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Häcken Sirius

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Häcken

Sirius

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

SIR had peak pressure around 62'.
HAC started the game with stronger pressure.

HAC Pressure SIR Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: SIR reached the top pressure at 62' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 18 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Häcken HAC Home

18 matches

Sirius SIR Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

+10

Goal Difference

-10

Data last updated: 2026-04-28T00:02:58+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

35 D. Andersson

5 B. Wembangomo

13 H. Hilvenius

22 F. Helander

21 A. Lundqvist

6 A. Doumbia

10 M. Rygaard Jensen

24 A. Layouni

20 A. Svanbäck

11 J. Lindberg

9 G. Lindgren

34 D. Celic

22 O. Krusnell

4 T. Anker

2 M. Soumah

5 H. Castegren

6 M. Lindberg

10 M. Heier

11 I. Bjerkebo

8 M. Nartey

7 J. Persson

9 R. Ure

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 27, 2026, 05:00 PM

Competition :

2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 5 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Nordic Wellness Arena

Capacity :

7000

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Mehmet Culum

Fredrik Klyver

Niclas Karlsson

Mohammed Al Hakim

Statistics

Possession

HAC

44%

SIR

56%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 2

2 Big Chances Created 3

12 Shots 21

26 Dangerous attacks 46

45 Possession 55

3 Corners 11

18 Free kicks 11

0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

0 Injuries 1

2 Substitutions 2

57 Ball Safe 58

5 Goal Attempts 12

17 Dribble Attempts 13

13 Throwins 16

35 Successful Dribbles Percentage 77

13 Goal Kicks 5

6 Successful Dribbles 10

2 Assists 1

Attacking

55 Attacks 80

1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

87 Successful Passes Percentage 88

32 Long Passes 48

356 Successful Passes 444

410 Passes 504

13 Successful Long Passes 28

41 Successful Long Passes Percentage 58

8 Key Passes 12

Defensive

43 Duels Won 50

14 Interceptions 9

3 Saves 3

8 Tackles 21

Build-up

20 Total Crosses 30

2 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

11 Fouls 18

1 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Mohammed Al Hakim

Manager ▼

J. Gustafsson Coach

Starting XI ▼

David Andersson Goalkeeper

6.63

Brice Wembangomo Defender

6.85

Harry Hilvenius Defender

7.38

Adam Lundkvist Defender

6.7

Filip Helander Defender

6.88

Abdoulaye Doumbia Midfielder

7.14

Mikkel Rygaard Midfielder

7.15

Julius Lindberg Midfielder

6.99

Adrian Svanbäck Midfielder

6.98

Pontus Dahbo

Midfielder62'

Amor Layouni Midfielder

7.3

G. Lindgren Attacker

6.93

Sanders Ngabo

Midfielder74'

6.65

Substitutes ▼

Pontus Dahbo

Midfielder62'

Sanders Ngabo

Midfielder74'

6.65

Bench ▼

Andreas Linde Goalkeeper

7.41

Johan Hammar Defender

6.81

Filip Öhman Defender

6.68

Ben Engdahl Defender

Olle Samuelsson Defender

6.17

Jeremy Agbonifo Attacker

6.58

Danilo Al-Saed Attacker

Referee : Mohammed Al Hakim