Granada vs Cultural Leonesa Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain

Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes Sun, 12 Apr - 12:00 PM

La Liga 2

Granada GRA

Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa

Full Time Sun, 12 Apr 12:00 PM

Round 35 Regular Season

Rubén Alcaraz - 5' (P)

Baïla Diallo 64'

Jorge Pascual 90+1'

Víctor García 68'

CONTEXT

The match between Granada and Cultural Leonesa is now finished, ending with a full-time score of 1-0 to the home side. Granada entered the fixture as narrow favorites with a 51.3 percent implied chance of victory, compared to 27.9 percent for the draw and 20.8 percent for an away win. The result represented a significant deviation for Granada, who claimed a narrower-than-expected victory despite being the stronger team overall. Possession was closely contested at 47 percent for Granada and 53 percent for Cultural Leonesa, while expected goals data was unavailable. The contest was shaped by multiple red cards, with Granada receiving two and their visitors one. This red-card distortion in the second half created numerical imbalances that heavily influenced the flow of play. Efficiency remained in line with expectations throughout. The outcome ultimately aligned with the pre-match projection, as Granada converted their first-half lead into a win even after the dismissals disrupted both teams.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Granada showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

A. Ojaos Valera

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

C. García Andreu

1st Assistant

B. Jiménez Contreras

2nd Assistant

V. Broncano Suárez

4th Official

J. Rojo Martín

R. De La Barrera Fernández

1.32

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

0.92

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

2 - 2 - 0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Granada

51.27%

Draw

27.94%

Cultural Leonesa

20.79%

Movement

Changes since opening

Granada

-43.45%

Draw

+22.85%

Cultural Leonesa

+20.6%

Team Power Ranking

27.16

17.63

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Granada

Cultural Leonesa

Power Score

27.16

17.63

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Granada — Opponent-weighted form score

Cultural Leonesa — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Granada Cultural Leonesa

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Granada

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Cultural Leonesa

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Granada ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Cultural Leonesa

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

27.23

19.91

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

19.91

27.23

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Granada +0.74 Efficiency Index

Cultural Leonesa -0.74 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Granada

Cultural Leonesa

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Granada ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Cultural Leonesa

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Granada Cultural Leonesa

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

1.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Granada Cultural Leonesa

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 1.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Granada

Cultural Leonesa

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Granada

Cultural Leonesa

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Granada Cultural Leonesa

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Granada Cultural Leonesa

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Granada

Cultural Leonesa

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

GRA had peak pressure around 33'.
GRA started the game with stronger pressure.

GRA Pressure Cultural Leonesa Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: GRA reached the top pressure at 33' (99.73).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Granada GRA Home

4 matches

Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Goal Difference

-2

Data last updated: 2026-04-13T00:03:16+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

1 L. Zidane

28 O. Naasei Oppong

17 B. Diaby

24 L. Ntambue Kayumba

22 B. Diallo

8 P. Serra

4 R. Alcaraz Jiménez

41 I. González Muñoz

21 P. Saenz Ezquerra

11 J. Arnáiz Díaz

7 A. Sola López Ocaña

13 E. Badía Guardiola

21 R. Hinojo Estrada

36 M. Barzic Gutiérrez

4 R. Suárez Marcos

24 V. García Hernández

8 P. González Rey

14 J. Fernández Abruñedo

12 H. Ahmed

10 L. Rodríguez Chacón

17 I. Calero Ruiz

7 D. Collado Raya

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 12, 2026, 12:00 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 35 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes

Capacity :

19189

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Alejandro Ojaos Valera

Christian García Andreu

Borja Jiménez Contreras

Víctor Manuel Broncano Suárez

Statistics

Possession

GRA

49%

Cultural Leonesa

51%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0

2 Big Chances Created 0

3 Shots 5

36 Dangerous attacks 31

47 Possession 53

4 Corners 3

17 Free kicks 13

5 Yellow Cards 4

2 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

1 Penalties 0

5 Substitutions 4

17 Throwins 17

5 Goal Kicks 7

5 Successful Dribbles 4

8 Dribble Attempts 11

63 Successful Dribbles Percentage 36

1 Hit Woodwork 0

73 Ball Safe 70

9 Goal Attempts 8

0 Injuries 1

Attacking

67 Attacks 90

1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

62 Long Passes 57

27 Successful Long Passes 27

80 Successful Passes Percentage 79

44 Successful Long Passes Percentage 47

348 Passes 390

7 Key Passes 8

280 Successful Passes 310

Defensive

11 Tackles 9

3 Saves 4

8 Interceptions 2

Build-up

14 Total Crosses 16

4 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

12 Fouls 14

7 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Alejandro Ojaos Valera

Manager ▼

J. Rojo Martín Coach

Starting XI ▼

Luca Zidane Goalkeeper

Bambo Diaby Defender

Álvaro Lemos

Defender46'

Baïla Diallo Defender

Loïc Williams Defender

Oscar Naasei Oppong Defender

Rubén Alcaraz Midfielder

Pedro Alemañ Serna Midfielder

Izan González Midfielder

Diego Hormigo

Defender70'

Álex Sola Attacker

Jorge Pascual

Attacker60'

José Manuel Arnáiz Attacker

Manu Trigueros

Midfielder79'

Pablo Sáenz Attacker

Sergio Ruiz

Midfielder78'

Substitutes ▼

Álvaro Lemos

Defender46'

Jorge Pascual

Attacker60'

Diego Hormigo

Defender70'

Sergio Ruiz

Midfielder78'

Manu Trigueros

Midfielder79'

Bench ▼

Ander Astralaga Goalkeeper

Manu Lama Defender

Luka Gagnidze Midfielder

Gonzalo Petit Attacker

Mohamed Bouldini Attacker

Sergio Rodelas Attacker

Baba Diocou Attacker

Referee : Alejandro Ojaos Valera