Granada vs Burgos Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes Tomorrow - 4:30 PM
La Liga 2
Granada GRA
Versus
Burgos BUR
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 4:30 PM
Round 40 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Granada host Burgos in La Liga 2 (Regular Season) at Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes. Domestically, Granada sit 14th in the table while Burgos are 8th. Power ranking favours Burgos by 3.3 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Burgos possesses a 3.3-point power advantage over Granada with scores of 67.68 versus 64.43.
  • Form: Burgos shows stronger recent form at 23.83 compared to Granada's 9.72.
  • Squad: Burgos occupies 8th in the league table while Granada is in 14th position.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition play data is not provided in the current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance relies on low-confidence proxy data with no xG available for either side.
  • xVariable: xG variables are unavailable, using proxy metrics with low confidence.
  • Market: Granada 29.8% (Δ+0%) | Draw 30.8% (Δ+0%) | Burgos 39.5% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Granada J. Rojo Martín
J. Rojo Martín
VS
Burgos L. Ramis Monfort
L. Ramis Monfort
1.32
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.58
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Córdoba Rank: 65 L
Real Zaragoza Rank: 58 W
Almería Rank: 69 L
Albacete Rank: 64 L
Cultural Leonesa Rank: 56 W
Castellón Rank: 68 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Almería Rank: 71 D
Real Sociedad II Rank: 59 D
Deportivo La Coruña Rank: 68 D
Castellón Rank: 68 L
Sporting Gijón Rank: 63 W
Albacete Rank: 67 W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 3 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Granada
29.76%
Draw
30.75%
Away Burgos
39.49%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
64.43
67.68
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Granada
Burgos
Power Score
64.43
67.68
League Position
14
8
Global Rank
354
261

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Granada — Opponent-weighted form score
Burgos — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Granada Burgos

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Granada GRA Home
5 matches
Burgos BUR Away
Match Record
2
Wins
0
3
Draws
3
0
Losses
2
Goals
7
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
7
+3
Goal Difference
-3

Data last updated: 2026-05-13T00:08:31+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
A. Astralaga Aranguren
13 A. Astralaga Aranguren
P. Casadesús Castro
2 P. Casadesús Castro
J. Flores
36 J. Flores
L. Ntambue Kayumba
24 L. Ntambue Kayumba
B. Diallo
22 B. Diallo
M. Trigueros Muñoz
14 M. Trigueros Muñoz
R. Alcaraz Jiménez
4 R. Alcaraz Jiménez
P. Alemañ Serna
8 P. Alemañ Serna
P. Saenz Ezquerra
21 P. Saenz Ezquerra
R. Zinebi Talbi
37 R. Zinebi Talbi
J. Arnáiz Díaz
11 J. Arnáiz Díaz
Pitch
A. Cantero Armendáriz
13 A. Cantero Armendáriz
F. Miguel
12 F. Miguel
G. Sierra Pérez
8 G. Sierra Pérez
S. González Martínez
6 S. González Martínez
A. Lizancos Saldaña
2 A. Lizancos Saldaña
I. Córdoba Kerejeta
21 I. Córdoba Kerejeta
M. Atienza Villa
5 M. Atienza Villa
I. Ruiz
23 I. Ruiz
V. Mollejo Carpintero
11 V. Mollejo Carpintero
F. Sánchez Rodríguez
16 F. Sánchez Rodríguez
F. Niño Rodriguez
9 F. Niño Rodriguez

General Information

Date & Time :
May 16, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 40 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes
Capacity :
19189
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

13
Ander Astralaga
Ander Astralaga Goalkeeper
6.78
37
Rayan Zinebi Talbi
Rayan Zinebi Talbi Centre Forward
6.57
11
José Manuel Arnáiz
José Manuel Arnáiz Attacker
6.94
21
Pablo Sáenz
Pablo Sáenz Attacker
6.87
2
Pau Casadesús
Pau Casadesús Right Back
6.59
8
Pedro Alemañ
Pedro Alemañ Central Midfield
36
Juanjo Flores
Juanjo Flores Right Back
6.58
4
Rubén Alcaraz
Rubén Alcaraz Central Midfield
6.92
14
Manu Trigueros
Manu Trigueros Central Midfield
6.71
22
Baïla Diallo
Baïla Diallo Left Back
6.65
24
Loïc Williams
Loïc Williams Left Back
6.77

Starting XI ▼

13
Ander Cantero
Ander Cantero Goalkeeper
7
21
Iñigo Córdoba
Iñigo Córdoba Midfielder
6.79
11
Víctor Mollejo
Víctor Mollejo Midfielder
6.58
9
Fer Niño
Fer Niño Attacker
6.9
16
Curro Sánchez
Curro Sánchez Attacker
7.15
8
Grego Sierra
Grego Sierra Left Back
6.9
5
Miguel Atienza
Miguel Atienza Central Midfield
6.96
6
Sergio González
Sergio González Right Back
6.77
23
Iván Morante
Iván Morante Central Midfield
6.98
2
Álex Lizancos
Álex Lizancos Right Back
6.93
12
Florian Miguel
Florian Miguel Left Back
6.99

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Burgos holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Burgos a 3.3-point edge. External projection is Granada 30%, draw 30.5%, and Burgos 39.6%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

Granada vs Burgos preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

About BestPreviews Methodology & FAQ More Match Reports

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

Related Football Previews

Explore League Previews

La Liga 2, Spain View all league clusters View methodology and FAQ