Göztepe vs Galatasaray Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey

Göztepe Gürsel Aksel Stadı (İzmir) Wed, 8 Apr - 5:00 PM

Super Lig

Göztepe GOZ

Galatasaray GAL

Full Time Wed, 8 Apr 5:00 PM

Round 27 Regular Season

Juan - 50'

Mario Lemina - 75'

Allan Godói - 19' (Own Goal)

Barış Alper Yılmaz - 5'

CONTEXT

This finished game saw Galatasaray overcome Göztepe with a final score of 3-1 in favor of the away team. The visitors took a commanding 2-0 lead into half-time, ensuring the match was not even at the break. Galatasaray added to their tally in the second half while the home side scored a single goal. As the stronger team, they converted their superiority into a victory. Possession statistics revealed a clear imbalance with Galatasaray holding 68 percent of the ball to Göztepe's 32 percent. The match proceeded without any red cards being issued to either team. Pre-match market odds gave Galatasaray a 51.8 percent chance of winning compared to 21.5 percent for Göztepe and 26.7 percent for the draw. This resulted in a significant deviation of 48.2 percent aligned with the Galatasaray victory, confirming that the market was in line with the eventual outcome.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Significant structural deviation favored Galatasaray with dominant 68 percent possession.
Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift was in line with expectations.
xG alignment: xG alignment could not be determined due to unavailable data.
Market alignment: The outcome aligned with pre-match expectations.
xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated due to missing metrics.
Event impact: First-half scoring established an early lead that shaped the 3-1 result.
Red card distortion: No red cards were issued resulting in zero distortion to the match.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

A. Akarsu

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

S. Stoilov

O. Buruk

1.58

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

2.21

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

1 - 0 - 12

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Göztepe

21.51%

Draw

26.72%

Galatasaray

51.77%

Movement

Changes since opening

Göztepe

+21.31%

Draw

+24.8%

Galatasaray

-46.12%

Team Power Ranking

72.76

88.4

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Göztepe

Galatasaray

Power Score

72.76

88.4

League Position

Global Rank

135

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Göztepe — Opponent-weighted form score

Galatasaray — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Göztepe Galatasaray

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Göztepe

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Galatasaray

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Göztepe ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Galatasaray

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

60.00

12.43

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

12.43

60.00

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Göztepe +4.79 Efficiency Index

Galatasaray -4.79 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Göztepe

Galatasaray

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Göztepe ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Galatasaray

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Göztepe Galatasaray

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Göztepe Galatasaray

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Göztepe

Galatasaray

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Göztepe

Galatasaray

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Göztepe Galatasaray

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Göztepe Galatasaray

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Göztepe

Galatasaray

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Göztepe GOZ Home

13 matches

Galatasaray GAL Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-17

Goal Difference

+17

Data last updated: 2026-04-09T00:00:57+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-1-2

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

1 M. Lis

3 A. Godói Santos

5 H. dos Santos

4 T. Altıkardeş

2 A. Kurtulan

30 A. Dennis

20 N. Dismas

15 M. Cherni

11 E. Bekiroglu

39 J. de Carvalho Costa

9 Juan

1 U. Çakır

17 E. Elmalı

90 W. Singo

6 D. Sánchez Mina

93 S. Boey

20 İ. Gündoğan

99 M. Lemina

7 R. Sallai

22 Y. Asprilla Martínez

10 L. Sané

53 B. Yılmaz

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 08, 2026, 05:00 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey · Round 27 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Göztepe Gürsel Aksel Stadı (İzmir)

Capacity :

20040

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ , Clear

Referees :

Alper Akarsu

Statistics

Possession

GOZ

39%

GAL

61%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 3

4 Big Chances Created 4

6 Shots 0

44 Dangerous attacks 29

32 Possession 68

4 Corners 2

9 Free kicks 13

0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

1 Injuries 1

3 Substitutions 5

15 Goal Attempts 5

22 Throwins 16

66 Ball Safe 108

38 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50

5 Successful Dribbles 5

13 Dribble Attempts 10

5 Goal Kicks 13

1 Assists 2

Attacking

93 Attacks 65

3 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

12 Key Passes 6

230 Passes 506

67 Successful Passes Percentage 82

12 Successful Long Passes 23

154 Successful Passes 413

26 Successful Long Passes Percentage 37

46 Long Passes 63

Defensive

34 Duels Won 51

17 Interceptions 7

9 Tackles 14

2 Saves 5

Build-up

15 Total Crosses 10

4 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

13 Fouls 9

3 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Alper Akarsu

Manager ▼

S. Stoilov Coach

Starting XI ▼

Mateusz Lis Goalkeeper

Allan Godói Defender

Taha Altıkardeş Defender

Héliton Defender

Arda Okan Kurtulan Midfielder

Amin Cherni Midfielder

Novatus Miroshi Midfielder

Anthony Dennis Midfielder

Filip Krastev

Midfielder79'

Juan Attacker

Efkan Bekiroğlu Attacker

Alexis Antunes

Midfielder73'

Janderson Attacker

Jeh

Attacker79'

Substitutes ▼

Alexis Antunes

Midfielder73'

Jeh

Attacker79'

Filip Krastev

Midfielder79'

Bench ▼

Ekrem Kılıçarslan Goalkeeper

Şamil Öztürk Goalkeeper

Uğur Kaan Yıldız Defender

Ogün Bayrak Defender

M. Mohammed Midfielder

Guilherme Luiz Attacker

Referee : Alper Akarsu