Göztepe vs Antalyaspor Prediction, Preview and Stats

Türkiye flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye
Göztepe Gürsel Aksel Stadı (İzmir) Sat, 25 Apr - 5:00 PM
Super Lig
Göztepe GOZ
2 Winner 0
Antalyaspor ANT
Full Time Sat, 25 Apr 5:00 PM
Round 31 Regular Season
Arda Okan Kurtulan - 22'
Juan - 1'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Göztepe claimed a 2-0 victory against Antalyaspor, scoring both goals in the first half to lead 2-0 at halftime. Despite possessing the ball only 27% of the time, the home team demonstrated remarkable efficiency in front of goal, while Antalyaspor's 73% possession failed to yield any scoring opportunities. No red cards were issued, and the game unfolded without major interruptions or second-half adjustments. Identified as the stronger side pre-match, Göztepe's triumph exhibited minimal structural deviation of 2.1%, aligning closely with expectations. This result underscores Göztepe's clinical finishing and defensive solidity, neutralizing Antalyaspor's dominance in territory. The win bolsters Göztepe's standing, highlighting their ability to win through quality over quantity in control.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Göztepe's 2-0 win featured minimal 2.1% structural deviation.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment cannot be determined due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Outcome fully aligned with pre-match market views.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without data.
  • Event impact: No events like adjustments or reds impacted the result.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion to the scoreline.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

O. Çakır

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

E. Akbulut

1st Assistant

S. Altay

2nd Assistant

M. Metoğlu

4th Official

Göztepe S. Stoilov
S. Stoilov
VS
Antalyaspor S. Uğurlu
S. Uğurlu
1.52
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.86
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kocaelispor Rank: D
Kasımpaşa Rank: D
Galatasaray Rank: L
Gençlerbirliği Rank: W
Alanyaspor Rank: D
İstanbul Başakşehir Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Konyaspor Rank: L
Beşiktaş Rank: L
Eyüpspor Rank: W
İstanbul Başakşehir Rank: D
Gaziantep F.K. Rank: L
Rizespor Rank: L
8
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
8 - 2 - 3
3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Göztepe
97.89%
Draw
1.92%
Away Antalyaspor
0.2%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
21.88
15.59
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Göztepe
Antalyaspor
Power Score
21.88
15.59
League Position
6
15
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Göztepe — Opponent-weighted form score
Antalyaspor — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Göztepe Antalyaspor

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Göztepe

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Antalyaspor

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Göztepe ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Antalyaspor
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
68.52
28.63
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
28.63
68.52
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Göztepe +4.02 Efficiency Index
vs
Antalyaspor -4.02 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Göztepe
Antalyaspor
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Göztepe ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Antalyaspor
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Göztepe Antalyaspor
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Göztepe Antalyaspor
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Göztepe
Antalyaspor
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Göztepe
vs
Antalyaspor
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Göztepe Antalyaspor
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Göztepe 0.32
Antalyaspor 0.50
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Göztepe Antalyaspor
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Göztepe 0.00
Antalyaspor 0.04
Göztepe
Antalyaspor
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • GOZ had peak pressure around 25'.
  • GOZ started the game with stronger pressure.
GOZ Pressure ANT Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: GOZ reached the top pressure at 25' (81.19).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Göztepe GOZ Home
13 matches
Antalyaspor ANT Away
Match Record
8
Wins
3
2
Draws
2
3
Losses
8
Goals
23
Goals Scored
10
10
Goals Conceded
23
+13
Goal Difference
-13

Data last updated: 2026-04-26T00:07:28+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-1-2
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch
M. Lis
Poland
1 M. Lis
T. Altıkardeş
Türkiye
4 T. Altıkardeş
A. Godói Santos
Brazil
3 A. Godói Santos
M. Mputu
Cameroon
26 M. Mputu
A. Kurtulan
Türkiye
2 A. Kurtulan
M. Mohammed
Substitution
Ghana
6 M. Mohammed
F. Yavorov Krastev
Substitution
Bulgaria
10 F. Yavorov Krastev
M. Cherni
France
15 M. Cherni
A. Antunes
Substitution
Switzerland
8 A. Antunes
J. de Carvalho Costa
Substitution
Brazil
39 J. de Carvalho Costa
Juan
Brazil
9 Juan
Pitch
J. Cuesta Díaz
Spain
1 J. Cuesta Díaz
K. Paal
Substitution
Suriname
3 K. Paal
L. Gianetti
Substitution
Argentina
30 L. Gianetti
B. Öztürk
Türkiye
5 B. Öztürk
E. Yeşilyurt
Germany
17 E. Yeşilyurt
J. Ceesay
Substitution
Gambia
23 J. Ceesay
N. Storm
Substitution
Belgium
26 N. Storm
R. Safouri
Israel
8 R. Safouri
D. Šarić
Substitution
Bosnia and Herzegovina
88 D. Šarić
D. Sinik
Türkiye
70 D. Sinik
S. van de Streek
Netherlands
22 S. van de Streek

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 25, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Göztepe Gürsel Aksel Stadı (İzmir)
Capacity :
20040
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Oğuzhan Çakır
Erkan Akbulut
Selahattin Altay
Muhammet Ali Metoğlu

Statistics

Possession
GOZ
37%
ANT
63%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
7 Big Chances Created 1
8 Shots 4
50 Dangerous attacks 38
27 Possession 73
4 Corners 3
6 Free kicks 24
2 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

13 Goal Kicks 6
3 Injuries 0
43 Successful Dribbles Percentage 39
19 Throwins 24
24 Successful Headers 24
6 Successful Dribbles 7
14 Dribble Attempts 18
70 Ball Safe 93
12 Goal Attempts 16
4 Substitutions 5

Attacking

5 Big Chances Missed 1
74 Attacks 75

Possession

59 Successful Passes Percentage 82
24 Successful Long Passes 25
102 Successful Passes 404
173 Passes 491
11 Key Passes 13
63 Long Passes 57
38 Successful Long Passes Percentage 44

Defensive

21 Tackles 13
57 Duels Won 68
4 Saves 6
8 Interceptions 9

Build-up

15 Total Crosses 24
5 Accurate Crosses 7

Discipline

24 Fouls 6
3 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Oğuzhan Çakır

Starting XI ▼

1
Mateusz Lis
Mateusz Lis Goalkeeper
6.89
3
Allan Godói
Allan Godói Defender
6.9
4
Taha Altıkardeş
Taha Altıkardeş Defender
6.76
26
Malcom Bokele
Malcom Bokele Defender
6.72
2
Arda Okan Kurtulan
Arda Okan Kurtulan Midfielder
6.79
6
M. Mohammed
M. Mohammed Midfielder
6.51
77
Ogün Bayrak
Ogün Bayrak
Defender89'
6.65
10
Filip Krastev
Filip Krastev Midfielder
6.8
22
Uğur Kaan Yıldız
Uğur Kaan Yıldız
Defender68'
6.55
15
Amin Cherni
Amin Cherni Midfielder
6.76
8
Alexis Antunes
Alexis Antunes Attacker
6.71
19
Jeh
Jeh
Attacker82'
6.7
9
Juan
Juan Attacker
7.01
39
Janderson
Janderson Attacker
6.75
45
Ege Yildirim
Ege Yildirim
Defender82'
6.57
Referee : Oğuzhan Çakır

Starting XI ▼

1
Julián Cuesta
Julián Cuesta Goalkeeper
6.97
3
Kenneth Paal
Kenneth Paal Defender
6.57
7
Bünyamin Balcı
Bünyamin Balcı
Defender81'
6.73
5
Bahadır Öztürk
Bahadır Öztürk Defender
6.61
17
Erdoğan Yeşilyurt
Erdoğan Yeşilyurt Defender
6.62
30
Lautaro Giannetti
Lautaro Giannetti Defender
6.75
14
Georgiy Dzhikiya
Georgiy Dzhikiya
Defender46'
6.69
8
Ramzi Safuri
Ramzi Safuri Midfielder
7.02
23
Jesper Ceesay
Jesper Ceesay Midfielder
6.73
77
Yohan Boli
Yohan Boli
Attacker72'
6.74
26
Nikola Storm
Nikola Storm Midfielder
6.85
10
Abdülkadir Ömür
Abdülkadir Ömür
Midfielder62'
6.63
70
Doğukan Sinik
Doğukan Sinik Midfielder
6.57
88
Dario Saric
Dario Saric Midfielder
6.68
6
Soner Dikmen
Soner Dikmen
Midfielder46'
6.69
22
Sander van de Streek
Sander van de Streek Attacker
6.82

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Mateusz Lis
Time wasting / 2nd Yellowcard
90+2'
Event
Ogün Bayrak → M. Mohammed
9th Substitution
89'
Event
Jeh → Alexis Antunes
7th Substitution
82'
Event
Ege Yildirim → Janderson
8th Substitution
82'
81'
Event
Bünyamin Balcı → Kenneth Paal
6th Substitution
72'
Event
Yohan Boli → Jesper Ceesay
5th Substitution
Event
Uğur Kaan Yıldız → Filip Krastev
4th Substitution
68'
62'
Event
Abdülkadir Ömür → Nikola Storm
3rd Substitution
46'
Event
Georgiy Dzhikiya → Lautaro Giannetti
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Soner Dikmen → Dario Saric
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
M. Mohammed
Persistent fouling / 1st Yellowcard
26'
Event
Arda Okan Kurtulan
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
22'
Event
Juan
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
1'

CONCLUSION

Göztepe's 2-0 triumph over Antalyaspor exemplifies triumph through efficiency rather than possession dominance. With both goals in the first half and a stout defense holding firm, they overcame Antalyaspor's 73% ball control. This minimal-deviation result reinforces Göztepe's status as the stronger team, delivering a performance true to form. Antalyaspor's inability to convert possession into threats exposed vulnerabilities. For Göztepe, the clean-sheet win provides momentum, while Antalyaspor must address finishing woes. Overall, the match highlighted tactical discipline's value in securing points.

Göztepe vs Antalyaspor preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

About BestPreviews Methodology & FAQ More Match Reports

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

Related Football Previews

Explore League Previews

Super Lig, Türkiye View all league clusters View methodology and FAQ