Górnik Zabrze vs Radomiak Radom Prediction, Preview and Stats

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Arena Zabrze Sat, 23 May - 3:30 PM
Ekstraklasa
Górnik Zabrze Górnik Zabrze
6 Winner 2
Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom
Full Time Sat, 23 May 3:30 PM
Round 34 Regular Season
Erik Janza - 53'
Lukas Sadilek - 45', 42'
Sondre Liseth - 28'
Maksym Khlan - 13', 9'
Goal
|
Goal
Salifou Soumah - 80'
Elves Baldé - 72'

CONTEXT

Górnik Zabrze hosted Radomiak Radom in a match that ended 6-2. The halftime score was 5-0. Górnik Zabrze controlled the outcome despite Radomiak Radom recording 52 percent possession against the home side's 48 percent. No red cards occurred. The designated stronger team secured the victory. Pre-match indicators showed a significant deviation level of 34.4 percent attributed to Górnik Zabrze. Market alignment held true with the result. Efficiency shift remained in line with available indicators. Absence of xG metrics limited further structural comparisons. The game progressed without second half adjustments altering the core pattern.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Structural deviation reached a significant level of 34.4 percent with Górnik Zabrze identified as the deviation team.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with the pre-match assessment for the contest.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment remained undetermined because home xG and away xG values were null.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment was true as the winner matched the stronger team designation.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated due to null values for both teams.
  • Event impact: Event impact centered on the 6-2 scoreline after a 5-0 halftime lead.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion did not apply because both teams finished with zero red cards.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

S. Marciniak

Poland 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

P. Świerczek

4th Official

Poland

T. Listkiewicz

1st Assistant

Poland

K. Nejman

2nd Assistant

Poland

League averages

Ekstraklasa Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 24.3
Yellow cards / match 3.82
Red cards / match 0.22
Penalties / match 0.23
Górnik Zabrze M. Gašparík
M. Gašparík
VS
Radomiak Radom B. Nunes Baltazar
B. Nunes Baltazar
1.35
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.22
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Wisła Płock Rank: 55 W
Arka Gdynia Rank: 56 D
Zagłębie Lubin Rank: 62 L
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: 67 W
Korona Kielce Rank: 61 W
Legia Warszawa Rank: 67 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lech Poznań Rank: 71 L
Cracovia Kraków Rank: 60 D
Lechia Gdańsk Rank: 61 W
Wisła Płock Rank: 56 W
Widzew Lodz Rank: 61 W
Zagłębie Lubin Rank: 62 L
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 3 - 3
3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Górnik Zabrze
65.63%
Draw
20.95%
Away Radomiak Radom
13.42%

Movement

Changes since opening
Górnik Zabrze
-31.81%
Draw
+19.04%
Radomiak Radom
+12.77%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
68.15
60.2
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Górnik Zabrze
Radomiak Radom
Power Score
68.15
60.2
League Position
2
10
Global Rank
255
478

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Górnik Zabrze — Opponent-weighted form score
Radomiak Radom — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Górnik Zabrze Radomiak Radom

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Górnik Zabrze

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Radomiak Radom

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Górnik Zabrze ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Radomiak Radom
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
59.06
23.94
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
23.94
59.06
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Górnik Zabrze +3.21 Efficiency Index
vs
Radomiak Radom -3.21 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Górnik Zabrze
Radomiak Radom
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Górnik Zabrze ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Radomiak Radom
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Górnik Zabrze Radomiak Radom
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Górnik Zabrze Radomiak Radom
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Górnik Zabrze
Radomiak Radom
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Górnik Zabrze
vs
Radomiak Radom
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Górnik Zabrze Radomiak Radom
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Górnik Zabrze 0.37
Radomiak Radom 0.20
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Górnik Zabrze Radomiak Radom
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Górnik Zabrze 0.04
Radomiak Radom 0.09
Górnik Zabrze
Radomiak Radom
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Górnik Zabrze had peak pressure around 47'.
  • Górnik Zabrze started the game with stronger pressure.
Górnik Zabrze Pressure Radomiak Radom Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Górnik Zabrze reached the top pressure at 47' (90.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Górnik Zabrze Górnik Zabrze Home
9 matches
Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom Away
Match Record
3
Wins
3
3
Draws
3
3
Losses
3
Goals
9
Goals Scored
11
11
Goals Conceded
9
-2
Goal Difference
+2

Data last updated: 2026-05-24T00:02:46+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch
M. Łubik
Substitution
Poland
1 M. Łubik
P. Olkowski
Substitution
Poland
16 P. Olkowski
R. Janicki
Poland
26 R. Janicki
J. Sánchez Guillén
Spain
20 J. Sánchez Guillén
E. Janža
Slovenia
64 E. Janža
P. Hellebrand
Substitution
Czech Republic
8 P. Hellebrand
Y. Ikia Dimi
France
7 Y. Ikia Dimi
L. Ambros
Czech Republic
18 L. Ambros
L. Sadílek
Substitution
Czech Republic
13 L. Sadílek
M. Khlan
Ukraine
33 M. Khlan
S. Liseth
Substitution
Norway
23 S. Liseth
Pitch
F. Majchrowicz
Poland
1 F. Majchrowicz
J. Grzesik
Substitution
Poland
13 J. Grzesik
A. Diéguez Grande
Spain
26 A. Diéguez Grande
S. Kingue
Cameroon
14 S. Kingue
Z. Ouattara
Ivory Coast
24 Z. Ouattara
C. Donis
Greece
77 C. Donis
J. Reginaldo
Substitution
Brazil
20 J. Reginaldo
L. Lima Linhares
Brazil
82 L. Lima Linhares
R. Silva Baró
Substitution
Portugal
6 R. Silva Baró
V. Fortes Lopes
Substitution
7 V. Fortes Lopes
M. Roque Junior
Substitution
Brazil
25 M. Roque Junior

General Information

Date & Time :
May 23, 2026, 03:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Arena Zabrze
Capacity :
24413
Attendance :
26777
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Patryk Świerczek
Szymon Marciniak
Tomasz Listkiewicz
K. Nejman

Statistics

Possession
Górnik Zabrze
51%
Radomiak Radom
49%

Top Statistics

6 Goals 2
6 Big Chances Created 1
25 Shots 10
67 Dangerous attacks 49
48 Possession 52
6 Corners 4
9 Free kicks 9
0 Yellow Cards 5

Match Overview

17 Throwins 12
16 Dribble Attempts 25
10 Successful Dribbles 14
1 Injuries 1
11 Goal Attempts 3
63 Successful Dribbles Percentage 56
64 Ball Safe 67
5 Assists 2
5 Substitutions 5
2 Goal Kicks 6

Attacking

3 Big Chances Missed 0
83 Attacks 71

Possession

60 Successful Long Passes Percentage 53
28 Successful Long Passes 19
444 Passes 481
47 Long Passes 36
19 Key Passes 5
86 Successful Passes Percentage 86
381 Successful Passes 412

Defensive

24 Tackles 14
1 Saves 6
10 Interceptions 12
47 Duels Won 42

Build-up

3 Accurate Crosses 2
7 Total Crosses 12

Discipline

9 Fouls 9
3 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Szymon Marciniak

Starting XI ▼

1
Marcel Lubik
Marcel Lubik Goalkeeper
99
Tomasz Loska
Tomasz Loska
Goalkeeper57'
16
Pawel Olkowski
Pawel Olkowski Defender
61
Michal Sacek
Michal Sacek
Defender79'
20
Josema
Josema Defender
26
Rafal Janicki
Rafal Janicki Defender
64
Erik Janza
Erik Janza Defender
7
Yvan Ikia Dimi
Yvan Ikia Dimi Midfielder
8
Patrik Hellebrand
Patrik Hellebrand Midfielder
28
Bastien Donio
Bastien Donio
Midfielder57'
13
Lukas Sadilek
Lukas Sadilek Midfielder
2
14
Jaroslaw Kubicki
Jaroslaw Kubicki
Midfielder79'
18
Lukas Ambros
Lukas Ambros Midfielder
33
Maksym Khlan
Maksym Khlan Midfielder
2
23
Sondre Liseth
Sondre Liseth Attacker
10
Lukas Podolski
Lukas Podolski
Attacker69'
Referee : Szymon Marciniak

Starting XI ▼

1
Filip Majchrowicz
Filip Majchrowicz Goalkeeper
13
Jan Grzesik
Jan Grzesik Defender
33
Oskar Markiewicz
Oskar Markiewicz
Defender76'
14
Steve Kingue
Steve Kingue Defender
24
Zié Ouattara
Zié Ouattara Defender
26
Adrián Diéguez
Adrián Diéguez Defender
6
Romário Baró
Romário Baró Midfielder
2
Ibrahima Camará
Ibrahima Camará
Midfielder46'
7
Vasco Rafael Fortes Lopes
Vasco Rafael Fortes Lopes Midfielder
21
Elves Baldé
Elves Baldé
Attacker46'
20
João Pedro Reginaldo
João Pedro Reginaldo Midfielder
5
Jérémy Blasco
Jérémy Blasco
Defender61'
77
Christos Donis
Christos Donis Midfielder
82
Luquinhas
Luquinhas Midfielder
25
Maurides Roque Junior
Maurides Roque Junior Attacker
19
Salifou Soumah
Salifou Soumah
Attacker61'

Events

2ND-HALF
87'
Event
Zié Ouattara
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
80'
Event
Salifou Soumah
Right foot shot / 8th Goal
Event
Michal Sacek → Pawel Olkowski
10th Substitution
79'
Event
Jaroslaw Kubicki → Lukas Sadilek
9th Substitution
79'
76'
Event
Oskar Markiewicz → Jan Grzesik
8th Substitution
75'
Event
Adrián Diéguez
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
72'
Event
Elves Baldé
Right foot shot / 7th Goal
Event
Lukas Podolski → Sondre Liseth
7th Substitution
69'
61'
Event
Jérémy Blasco → João Pedro Reginaldo
5th Substitution
61'
Event
Salifou Soumah → Maurides Roque Junior
6th Substitution
Event
Bastien Donio → Patrik Hellebrand
3rd Substitution
57'
Event
Tomasz Loska → Marcel Lubik
4th Substitution
57'
56'
Event
João Pedro Reginaldo
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Erik Janza
Left foot shot / 6th Goal
53'
46'
Event
Elves Baldé → Vasco Rafael Fortes Lopes
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Ibrahima Camará → Romário Baró
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Lukas Sadilek
Right foot shot / 5th Goal
45'
Event
Lukas Sadilek
Left foot shot / 4th Goal
42'
Event
Sondre Liseth
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
28'
23'
Event
Luquinhas
Argument / 1st Yellowcard
23'
Event
Maurides Roque Junior
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Maksym Khlan
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
13'
Event
Maksym Khlan
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
9'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Steve Kingue takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
90
Update Update
Salifou Soumah takes a header, but it misses the target.
89
Attempt Attempt
Elves Balde's left-footed shot is saved.
86
Attempt Attempt
Salifou Soumah has a shot with his left foot, but it's blocked.
83
Attempt Attempt
Christos Donis takes a right-footed shot but misses.
80
Attempt Attempt
Salifou Soumah scores with a right-footed shot.
79
Update Update
Michal Sacek comes on for Pawel Olkowski.
79
Update Update
Jaroslaw Kubicki comes on for Lukas Sadilek.
78
Attempt Attempt
Lukas Podolski's left-footed shot is blocked.
77
Attempt Attempt
Elves Balde takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
76
Update Update
Oskar Markiewicz comes on for Jan Grzesik.
69
Update Update
Lukas Podolski is on, and Sondre Liseth is off.
65
Attempt Attempt
Sondre Liseth takes a right-footed shot but misses.
65
Attempt Attempt
Maksym Khlan takes a right-footed shot but misses.
62
Attempt Attempt
Sondre Liseth takes a right-footed shot but misses.
61
Substitution Substitution
Jeremy Blasco is substituted off for Joan Pedro.
61
Update Update
Salifou Soumah replaces Maurides Roque Junior.
58
Attempt Attempt
Sondre Liseth takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
57
Update Update
Bastien Donio comes on for Patrik Hellebrand.
57
Update Update
Tomasz Loska comes on for Marcel Lubik.
56
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Joan Pedro receives a yellow card.
53
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Erik Janza scores, making it 6-0.
53
Attempt Attempt
Erik Janza scores with a left-footed shot.
51
Attempt Attempt
Patrik Hellebrand takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
51
Attempt Attempt
Lukas Sadilek takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
46
Update Update
Elves Balde is on, and Vasco Miguel Lopes de Matos is off.
45
Attempt Attempt
Lukas Sadilek takes a right-footed shot and scores.
45
Attempt Attempt
Lukas Sadilek takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
44
Attempt Attempt
Sondre Liseth takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
42
Attempt Attempt
Lukas Sadilek takes a shot with his left foot and scores.
38
Attempt Attempt
Lukas Sadilek takes a right-footed shot but misses.
35
Attempt Attempt
Romario Baro takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
34
Attempt Attempt
Romario Baro's left-footed shot is blocked.
32
Attempt Attempt
Maksym Khlan takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
31
Attempt Attempt
Erik Janza's left-footed shot is blocked.
28
Attempt Attempt
Sondre Liseth scores with a right-footed shot.
24
Attempt Attempt
Pawel Olkowski's right-footed shot is blocked.
19
Attempt Attempt
Yvan Junior Ikia Dimi takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
14
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Maksym Khlan scores, making it 2-0.
13
Attempt Attempt
Maksym Khlan scores with a right-footed shot.
13
Attempt Attempt
Patrik Hellebrand takes a right-footed shot but misses.
12
Attempt Attempt
Lukas Ambros takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
12
Attempt Attempt
Lukas Ambros takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
12
Attempt Attempt
Lukas Ambros takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
9
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Maksym Khlan scores to make it 1-0.
9
Attempt Attempt
Maksym Khlan takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
5
Attempt Attempt
Erik Janza takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
4
Attempt Attempt
Patrik Hellebrand takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.

CONCLUSION

The final 6-2 result aligned with the stronger team prevailing throughout the fixture. Possession figures showed a minor edge for the visitors yet produced limited scoring return. Halftime dominance at 5-0 established the decisive margin before the second period. Lack of red cards preserved full squad availability for both sides. Deviation metrics highlighted notable departure from baseline expectations centered on the home side. Efficiency remained consistent with prior indicators without requiring adjustment. Overall the outcome reflected the designated winner executing effectively across the full duration.

Górnik Zabrze vs Radomiak Radom preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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