Gorica vs Osijek Prediction, Preview and Stats

Croatia flag 2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia
ŠRC Velika Gorica Tomorrow - 2:00 PM
1. HNL
Gorica Gorica
Versus
Osijek Osijek
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 2:00 PM
Round 35 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Gorica host Osijek in 1. HNL (Regular Season) at ŠRC Velika Gorica. Domestically, Gorica sit 7th in the table while Osijek are 9th. Power ranking favours Osijek by 0.7 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Osijek possesses a slight power advantage of 0.7 points over Gorica with scores of 63.16 to 62.48.
  • Form: Osijek leads in form with a score of 23.22 compared to Gorica's 13.22.
  • Squad: Gorica occupies 7th in the league standings while Osijek is 9th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics are not provided for this fixture.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats use low-confidence proxy data with no xG available for either side.
  • xVariable: xG data is unavailable as the add-on is not enabled.
  • Market: Gorica 30.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 29.9% (Δ+0%) | Osijek 39.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Gorica M. Carević
M. Carević
VS
Osijek S. Rožman
S. Rožman
1.14
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.1
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: 62 D
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: 81 L
Istra 1961 Rank: 62 W
Vukovar Rank: 56 W
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: 61 L
Hajduk Split Rank: 73 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Istra 1961 Rank: 63 D
Vukovar Rank: 55 L
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: 63 D
Hajduk Split Rank: 72 W
Varaždin Rank: 64 L
Rijeka Rank: 72 W
9
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
9 - 9 - 13
13
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Gorica
30.4%
Draw
29.9%
Away Osijek
39.7%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
62.48
63.16
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Gorica
Osijek
Power Score
62.48
63.16
League Position
7
9
Global Rank
419
396

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Gorica — Opponent-weighted form score
Osijek — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Gorica Osijek

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 31 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Gorica Gorica Home
31 matches
Osijek Osijek Away
Match Record
9
Wins
13
9
Draws
9
13
Losses
9
Goals
32
Goals Scored
36
36
Goals Conceded
32
-4
Goal Difference
+4

Data last updated: 2026-05-09T01:10:44+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
D. Matijaš
71 D. Matijaš
S. Peric
41 S. Peric
J. Filipović
4 J. Filipović
M. Leš
5 M. Leš
Ž. Trontelj
22 Ž. Trontelj
I. Pozo La Rosa
8 I. Pozo La Rosa
A. Kavelj
36 A. Kavelj
M. Čabraja
19 M. Čabraja
J. Pršir
10 J. Pršir
I. Fiolić
18 I. Fiolić
F. Čuić
9 F. Čuić
Pitch
M. Malenica
31 M. Malenica
D. Čolina
38 D. Čolina
I. Cvijanović
55 I. Cvijanović
L. Jelenić
26 L. Jelenić
R. Guedes Borges
42 R. Guedes Borges
K. Vrbanac
4 K. Vrbanac
O. Petrusenko
16 O. Petrusenko
N. Omerović
11 N. Omerović
S. Shopov
10 S. Shopov
D. Bukvić
39 D. Bukvić
A. Jakupovic
77 A. Jakupovic

General Information

Date & Time :
May 16, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 35 · Regular Season
Stadium :
ŠRC Velika Gorica
Capacity :
8000
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

71
Davor Matijas
Davor Matijas Goalkeeper
6.77
10
Jurica Prsir
Jurica Prsir Midfielder
6.98
22
Zan Trontelj
Zan Trontelj Midfielder
6.95
19
Marijan Cabraja
Marijan Cabraja Midfielder
7.07
18
Ivan Fiolic
Ivan Fiolic Midfielder
6.53
9
Filip Cuic
Filip Cuic Centre Forward
6.83
4
Jakov Filipovic
Jakov Filipovic Centre Back
6.8
5
Mateo Les
Mateo Les Left Back
6.54
36
Ante Kavelj
Ante Kavelj Central Midfield
6.87
41
Stefan Peric
Stefan Peric Right Back
6.7
8
Iker Pozo
Iker Pozo Central Midfield
7.15

Starting XI ▼

31
Marko Malenica
Marko Malenica Goalkeeper
6.92
77
Arnel Jakupovic
Arnel Jakupovic Centre Forward
6.87
4
Kresimir Vrbanac
Kresimir Vrbanac Defensive Midfield
6.43
10
Stanislav Shopov
Stanislav Shopov Attacking Midfield
6.67
11
Nail Omerovic
Nail Omerovic Left Wing
6.88
16
Oleksandr Petrusenko
Oleksandr Petrusenko Defensive Midfield
6.68
26
Luka Jelenic
Luka Jelenic Right Back
6.81
38
David Colina
David Colina Left Back
6.71
39
Domagoj Bukvic
Domagoj Bukvic Right Wing
6.65
42
Renan Guedes
Renan Guedes Right Back
6.65
55
Ivan Cvijanovic
Ivan Cvijanovic Left Back
6.66

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Osijek holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Osijek a 0.7-point edge. External projection is Gorica 30.4%, draw 29.9%, and Osijek 39.7%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

Gorica vs Osijek preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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