Go Ahead Eagles vs PSV Prediction, Preview and Stats

Netherlands flag 2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands
De Adelaarshorst Sun, 10 May - 2:45 PM
Eredivisie
Go Ahead Eagles GAE
1 Winner 4
PSV PSV
Full Time Sun, 10 May 2:45 PM
Round 33 Regular Season
Mathis Suray - 26' (P)
Goal
|
Goal
Paul Wanner - 82'
Ivan Perišić - 70', 19'
Ricardo Pepi - 45+2'

CONTEXT

Go Ahead Eagles hosted PSV in a match that ended 1-4 in favor of the visitors. At halftime, the score was 1-2, with PSV already leading despite Go Ahead Eagles finding the net once. PSV controlled possession at 59% compared to the home side's 41%, reflecting their status as the stronger team. No red cards were issued, allowing uninterrupted play throughout. The final score showed minimal structural deviation of 5.7% aligned with PSV's dominance. Efficiency remained in line with expectations, and market alignment held true. Without xG data available, analysis relies on possession and event logs, which indicate PSV's superior control and finishing. Go Ahead Eagles mounted some resistance but couldn't overcome PSV's attacking prowess in the second half.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score showed minimal 5.7% deviation favoring PSV.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency stayed in line with pre-match expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable, preventing direct alignment assessment.
  • Market alignment: Outcome aligned fully with pre-match market expectations.
  • xG expectations: No xG data provided to evaluate expectations.
  • Event impact: No significant events like second-half adjustments altered the flow.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards meant no distortion from dismissals.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

M. van den Kerkhof

Netherlands
Fouls / match 0
Yellow cards / match 0
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

R. van de Ven

2nd Assistant

Netherlands

R. Polman

1st Assistant

Netherlands

R. Sturm

4th Official

Netherlands

League averages

Eredivisie Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 18.36
Yellow cards / match 2.4
Red cards / match 0.12
Penalties / match 0.1
Go Ahead Eagles M. Boel
M. Boel
VS
PSV P. Bosz
P. Bosz
1.1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.35
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sparta Rotterdam Rank: 65 D
AZ Rank: 75 D
FC Groningen Rank: 67 D
PEC Zwolle Rank: 63 W
FC Utrecht Rank: 72 L
NAC Breda Rank: 54 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Ajax Rank: 76 D
PEC Zwolle Rank: 63 W
Sparta Rotterdam Rank: 65 W
FC Utrecht Rank: 72 W
Telstar Rank: 63 L
NEC Nijmegen Rank: 73 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 14
14

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Go Ahead Eagles
1.18%
Draw
4.53%
Away PSV
94.29%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
66.48
86.29
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Go Ahead Eagles
PSV
Power Score
66.48
86.29
League Position
12
1
Global Rank
292
28

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Go Ahead Eagles — Opponent-weighted form score
PSV — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Go Ahead Eagles PSV

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Go Ahead Eagles

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

PSV

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Go Ahead Eagles ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy PSV
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
32.68
47.03
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
47.03
32.68
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Go Ahead Eagles -1.51 Efficiency Index
vs
PSV +1.51 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Go Ahead Eagles
PSV
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Go Ahead Eagles ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy PSV
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Go Ahead Eagles PSV
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Go Ahead Eagles PSV
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Go Ahead Eagles
PSV
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Go Ahead Eagles
vs
PSV
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Go Ahead Eagles PSV
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Go Ahead Eagles 0.23
PSV 0.32
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Go Ahead Eagles PSV
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Go Ahead Eagles 0.05
PSV 0.02
Go Ahead Eagles
PSV
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • PSV had peak pressure around 41'.
  • PSV started the game with stronger pressure.
GAE Pressure PSV Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: PSV reached the top pressure at 41' (88.98).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 15 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Go Ahead Eagles GAE Home
15 matches
PSV PSV Away
Match Record
1
Wins
14
0
Draws
0
14
Losses
1
Goals
10
Goals Scored
40
40
Goals Conceded
10
-30
Goal Difference
+30

Data last updated: 2026-05-11T00:04:39+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
J. De Busser
Belgium
22 J. De Busser
A. Sampsted
Substitution
Iceland
2 A. Sampsted
J. Dirksen
Substitution
Netherlands
26 J. Dirksen
J. Kramer
Netherlands
4 J. Kramer
A. Adelgaard
Denmark
29 A. Adelgaard
M. Meulensteen
Netherlands
21 M. Meulensteen
J. Breum
Substitution
Denmark
7 J. Breum
S. Tengstedt
Denmark
10 S. Tengstedt
V. Edvardsen
Substitution
Sweden
16 V. Edvardsen
M. Suray
Belgium
17 M. Suray
S. Sigurdarson
Substitution
Iceland
9 S. Sigurdarson
Pitch
M. Kovář
Czech Republic
32 M. Kovář
S. Dest
Substitution
United States
8 S. Dest
Y. Gąsiorowski Hernandis
Spain
3 Y. Gąsiorowski Hernandis
R. Flamingo
Netherlands
6 R. Flamingo
K. Sildillia
France
25 K. Sildillia
N. Fernandez
Substitution
31 N. Fernandez
P. Wanner
Austria
10 P. Wanner
I. Perišić
Substitution
Croatia
5 I. Perišić
G. Til
Substitution
Netherlands
20 G. Til
E. Bajraktarevic
United States
19 E. Bajraktarevic
R. Pepi
Substitution
9 R. Pepi

General Information

Date & Time :
May 10, 2026, 02:45 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium :
De Adelaarshorst
Capacity :
10400
Attendance :
9306
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Rob van de Ven
Martin van den Kerkhof
Richard Polman
Rick Sturm

Statistics

Possession
GAE
41%
PSV
59%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 4
1 Big Chances Created 5
4 Shots 8
48 Dangerous attacks 75
41 Possession 59
8 Corners 4
6 Free kicks 9

Match Overview

11 Successful Headers 14
18 Dribble Attempts 15
39 Successful Dribbles Percentage 73
11 Throwins 15
0 Assists 3
7 Successful Dribbles 11
1 Penalties 0
7 Goal Kicks 4
5 Substitutions 5
70 Ball Safe 78
1 Injuries 1
8 Goal Attempts 13

Attacking

73 Attacks 98
0 Big Chances Missed 3

Possession

8 Key Passes 21
243 Successful Passes 412
47 Long Passes 40
24 Successful Long Passes 24
79 Successful Passes Percentage 89
307 Passes 463
51 Successful Long Passes Percentage 60

Defensive

16 Tackles 15
40 Duels Won 49
4 Interceptions 4
6 Saves 3

Build-up

24 Total Crosses 24
2 Accurate Crosses 12

Discipline

9 Fouls 7
2 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Martin van den Kerkhof

Starting XI ▼

22
Jari De Busser
Jari De Busser Goalkeeper
2
Alfons Sampsted
Alfons Sampsted Defender
5
Dean James
Dean James
Defender46'
4
Joris Kramer
Joris Kramer Defender
26
Julius Dirksen
Julius Dirksen Defender
34
Yassir Salah Rahmouni
Yassir Salah Rahmouni
Midfielder86'
29
Aske Adelgaard
Aske Adelgaard Defender
7
Jakob Breum
Jakob Breum Midfielder
8
Evert Linthorst
Evert Linthorst
Midfielder83'
10
Søren Tengstedt
Søren Tengstedt Midfielder
16
Victor Edvardsen
Victor Edvardsen Midfielder
19
Jaden Slory
Jaden Slory
Attacker71'
17
Mathis Suray
Mathis Suray Midfielder
21
Melle Meulensteen
Melle Meulensteen Midfielder
9
Stefán Ingi Sigurdarson
Stefán Ingi Sigurdarson Attacker
27
Finn Stokkers
Finn Stokkers
Attacker72'
Referee : Martin van den Kerkhof

Starting XI ▼

32
Matej Kovar
Matej Kovar Goalkeeper
3
Yarek Gasiorowski
Yarek Gasiorowski Defender
6
Ryan Flamingo
Ryan Flamingo Defender
8
Sergiño Dest
Sergiño Dest Defender
2
Anass Salah-Eddine
Anass Salah-Eddine
Defender65'
25
Kiliann Sildillia
Kiliann Sildillia Defender
5
Ivan Perišić
Ivan Perišić Midfielder
2
11
Couhaib Driouech
Couhaib Driouech
Attacker79'
10
Paul Wanner
Paul Wanner Midfielder
19
Esmir Bajraktarevic
Esmir Bajraktarevic Midfielder
20
Guus Til
Guus Til Midfielder
56
Jim Koller
Jim Koller
Midfielder86'
31
Noah Fernandez
Noah Fernandez Midfielder
35
Joël van den Berg
Joël van den Berg
Midfielder79'
9
Ricardo Pepi
Ricardo Pepi Attacker
21
Myron Boadu
Myron Boadu
Attacker86'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Yassir Salah Rahmouni → Julius Dirksen
10th Substitution
86'
86'
Event
Myron Boadu → Ricardo Pepi
8th Substitution
86'
Event
Jim Koller → Guus Til
9th Substitution
Event
Evert Linthorst → Jakob Breum
7th Substitution
83'
82'
Event
Paul Wanner
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
79'
Event
Couhaib Driouech → Ivan Perišić
6th Substitution
79'
Event
Joël van den Berg → Noah Fernandez
5th Substitution
Event
Finn Stokkers → Stefán Ingi Sigurdarson
4th Substitution
72'
Event
Jaden Slory → Victor Edvardsen
3rd Substitution
71'
70'
Event
Ivan Perišić
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
65'
Event
Anass Salah-Eddine → Sergiño Dest
2nd Substitution
Event
Dean James → Alfons Sampsted
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
45+2'
Event
Ricardo Pepi
Header / 2nd Goal
Event
Mathis Suray
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
26'
19'
Event
Ivan Perišić
Header / 1st Goal
7'
Event
Guus Til
Penalty cancelled

Match Commentary

69
Update Update
Esmir Bajraktarevic from PSV Eindhoven attempts an attack, shooting with his left foot from the center of the box, but Jari De Busser from Go Ahead Eagles saves it in the top center of the goal. The assist came from Guus Til.
66
Attempt Attempt
Paul Wanner's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. Anass Salah-Eddine provided the assist.
65
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for PSV Eindhoven: Anass Salah-Eddine replaces Sergiño Dest.
64
Update Update
Noah Fernandez fouled by PSV Eindhoven.
64
Update Update
Søren Tengstedt from Go Ahead Eagles won a free kick on the right wing.
63
Attempt Attempt
Ricardo Pepi from PSV Eindhoven missed a header from the center of the box, sending the ball high over the goal. The assist came from Noah Fernandez, who provided the cross.
61
Update Update
New attacking attempt. Esmir Bajraktarevic from PSV Eindhoven shoots with his left foot from the right side of the box, but Jari De Busser, the goalkeeper for Go Ahead Eagles, makes a save in the center of the goal.
61
Attempt Attempt
Shot blocked. Ricardo Pepi from PSV Eindhoven had a right-footed shot from the center of the box that was blocked.
59
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Guus Til from PSV Eindhoven shoots with his right foot from the center of the box, but Jari De Busser from Go Ahead Eagles saves it in the left corner. The assist came from Ivan Perisic.
59
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Mathis Suray of Go Ahead Eagles shoots with his right foot from outside the box, but it goes high and wide to the right. Assist from Jakob Breum.
58
Attempt Attempt
Esmir Bajraktarevic's left-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. Guus Til provided the assist.
57
Update Update
Aske Adelgaard from Go Ahead Eagles commits a foul.
57
Update Update
Noah Fernandez of PSV Eindhoven won a free kick on the left wing.
56
Corner Corner
Guus Til from PSV Eindhoven had a missed chance, heading the ball from the center of the box just wide. The assist came from Kiliann Sildillia, who headed the ball after a corner.
55
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to PSV Eindhoven after Melle Meulensteen concedes.
55
Attempt Attempt
Ivan Perisic's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The assist was provided by Esmir Bajraktarevic.
52
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Paul Wanner of PSV Eindhoven.
51
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Go Ahead Eagles after a concession by Ryan Flamingo.
49
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Ricardo Pepi of PSV Eindhoven.
49
Attempt Attempt
Mathis Suray's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
48
Update Update
Joris Kramer from Go Ahead Eagles won a free kick in an attacking position.
48
Update Update
Foul committed by Guus Til of PSV Eindhoven.
47
Update Update
Offside called against Go Ahead Eagles. Stefán Sigurdarson is offside.
45
Update Update
The second half begins with the score at Go Ahead Eagles 1, PSV Eindhoven 2.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with Go Ahead Eagles trailing PSV Eindhoven 1-2.
45
Update Update
Ivan Perisic of PSV Eindhoven won a free kick on the left wing.
45
Update Update
Foul committed by Alfons Sampsted of Go Ahead Eagles.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 2 minutes of added time.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Go Ahead Eagles: Dean James replaces Alfons Sampsted.
45
Attempt Attempt
Guus Til from PSV Eindhoven missed a header from the center of the box. The assist came from Esmir Bajraktarevic's cross.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! PSV Eindhoven takes the lead 2-1 with Ricardo Pepi scoring with a header into the right corner, assisted by Sergiño Dest's cross.
43
Update Update
Ricardo Pepi from PSV Eindhoven won a free kick in defense.
41
Update Update
Fouled by Melle Meulensteen of Go Ahead Eagles.
41
Update Update
Paul Wanner of PSV Eindhoven won a free kick in an attacking position.
38
Update Update
Ryan Flamingo of PSV Eindhoven won a free kick in defense.
38
Update Update
Victor Edvardsen from Go Ahead Eagles committed a foul.
37
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Ricardo Pepi of PSV Eindhoven has a right-footed shot from the center of the box, but it's saved in the top center of the goal by Jari De Busser of Go Ahead Eagles, with the assist from Guus Til.
36
Attempt Attempt
Paul Wanner's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. Ryan Flamingo provided the assist.
36
Update Update
Guus Til of PSV Eindhoven misses a header from inside the six-yard box on the left side after an assist from Ivan Perisic.
36
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance for PSV Eindhoven. Guus Til heads the ball from inside the six-yard box on the left side but misses. The assist came from Kiliann Sildillia's cross.
36
Corner Corner
PSV Eindhoven wins a corner after Julius Dirksen concedes.
35
Update Update
Offside called against Go Ahead Eagles. Jakob Breum is offside.
34
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Go Ahead Eagles after Kiliann Sildillia concedes.
31
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to PSV Eindhoven after a concession by Aske Adelgaard.
30
Update Update
Handball by Ivan Perisic for PSV Eindhoven.
26
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Mathis Suray scores for Go Ahead Eagles with a right-footed shot into the left corner. The match remains 1-1.
25
Update Update
Penalty awarded to Go Ahead Eagles as Jakob Breum is fouled in the penalty area.
25
Update Update
Kiliann Sildillia of PSV Eindhoven concedes a penalty after committing a foul in the penalty area.
23
Update Update
Foul committed by Joris Kramer of Go Ahead Eagles.
23
Update Update
Guus Til from PSV Eindhoven won a free kick in the attacking area.
19
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! PSV Eindhoven takes the lead 1-0 with Ivan Perisic scoring a header from the left side of the box into the right corner, assisted by Kiliann Sildillia's cross.
17
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Ricardo Pepi from PSV Eindhoven shoots with his right foot from outside the box, but it goes over the goal.
15
Update Update
Victor Edvardsen of Go Ahead Eagles commits a foul.
15
Update Update
Yarek Gasiorowski from PSV Eindhoven won a free kick in defense.
15
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Esmir Bajraktarevic from PSV Eindhoven takes a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved by Jari De Busser, the goalkeeper for Go Ahead Eagles, who is positioned in the center of the goal. The assist comes from Paul Wanner.
14
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Go Ahead Eagles after a concession by Matej Kovár.
14
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Aske Adelgaard of Go Ahead Eagles took a left-footed shot from a difficult position on the left, but it was saved in the right corner by Matej Kovár of PSV Eindhoven. The assist was provided by Mathis Suray.
13
Update Update
Noah Fernandez from PSV Eindhoven committed a foul.
13
Update Update
Melle Meulensteen from Go Ahead Eagles won a free kick in defense.
12
Update Update
Foul committed by Joris Kramer of Go Ahead Eagles.
12
Update Update
Guus Til from PSV Eindhoven won a free kick in defense.
9
Attempt Attempt
Ivan Perisic from PSV Eindhoven missed a chance, shooting with his left foot from the left side of the box. Guus Til provided the assist.
7
Update Update
The VAR decision is that there is no penalty for PSV Eindhoven.
5
Update Update
Noah Fernandez from PSV Eindhoven committed a foul.
5
Update Update
Melle Meulensteen from Go Ahead Eagles won a free kick in defense.
4
Update Update
Esmir Bajraktarevic of PSV Eindhoven won a free kick in defense.
4
Update Update
Foul committed by Mathis Suray of Go Ahead Eagles.

CONCLUSION

PSV secured a convincing 1-4 victory over Go Ahead Eagles, matching their stronger team billing with 59% possession and clinical finishing. The halftime lead of 2-1 set the tone, and without disruptions like red cards, PSV maintained control. Minimal deviation and aligned efficiency underscore a performance true to form. Go Ahead Eagles' 41% possession yielded one goal but highlighted defensive frailties. This result reinforces PSV's superiority in structure and execution, providing a clear post-match narrative of dominance without surprises.

Go Ahead Eagles vs PSV preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

About BestPreviews Methodology & FAQ More Match Reports

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

Related Football Previews

Explore League Previews

Eredivisie, Netherlands View all league clusters View methodology and FAQ