Gil Vicente vs Vitória Guimarães Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Liga Portugal
Vitória Guimarães VSCSTANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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CONTEXT
In a hard-fought Primeira Liga encounter, Vitória Guimarães claimed a 1-0 victory over home side Gil Vicente. The match remained goalless at halftime, with Gil Vicente enjoying a marginal 52-48 possession edge. Vitória Guimarães, pegged as the stronger team beforehand, struck decisively in the second half to secure the points. This outcome represented a significant structural deviation of 75.7% in favor of the visitors, contrasting pre-match expectations where Gil Vicente held an advantage. No red cards disrupted play, and there were no notable second-half tactical shifts or knockout implications. Gil Vicente's inability to convert possession into goals proved costly, while Vitória Guimarães maximized their efficiency. The result strengthens the visitors' position in the standings and exposes home vulnerabilities for the hosts.
TL;DR
- Structural deviation: Vitória Guimarães recorded a significant 75.7% structural deviation in their favor.
- Efficiency shift: Efficiency stayed in line with overall expectations.
- xG alignment: xG data unavailable prevents alignment determination.
- Market alignment: Result diverged from pre-match market positioning.
- xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without available data.
- Event impact: No second-half adjustments or knockout tie influenced the outcome.
- Red card distortion: Zero red cards resulted in no distortion from dismissals.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Match referee
J. Ferreira Gonçalves
Other match officials
P. Ribeiro
1st Assistant
M. da Silva Martins
2nd Assistant
V. Oliveira Lopes
4th Official


Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Gil Vicente
Vitória GuimarãesMovement
Changes since opening
Gil Vicente
Vitória GuimarãesTeam Power Ranking
i
18.07
18.42
Gil Vicente
Vitória GuimarãesForm Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.


Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Gil Vicente
Vitória Guimarães

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Gil Vicente ⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency 
Defensive Efficiency 
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)




Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Gil Vicente ⚠ Proxy
Gil Vicente Vitória Guimarães
Gil Vicente Vitória Guimarães
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Gil Vicente
Gil Vicente Vitória Guimarães


Gil Vicente Vitória Guimarães


PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- GVFC had peak pressure around 64'.
- VSC started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 23 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.


Match Record 
Goals 
Data last updated: 2026-04-19T00:07:46+00:00
STARTING XI
Gil Vicente
Vitória Guimarães






















































General Information
Next Match

Gil Vicente
vs

Casa Pia
League: Liga Portugal
Kickoff: Sun, 26 Apr - 12:00 AM
Venue: Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

Vitória Guimarães
vs

Rio Ave
League: Liga Portugal
Kickoff: Sun, 26 Apr - 12:00 AM
Venue: Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
Gil VicenteManager ▼

Starting XI ▼
















Substitutes ▼





Bench ▼




Vitória GuimarãesManager ▼

Starting XI ▼
















Substitutes ▼





Bench ▼




Events
CONCLUSION
Gil Vicente vs Vitória Guimarães preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
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Match Commentary