Gil Vicente vs Casa Pia Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Liga Portugal
Casa Pia CPACSTANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Gil Vicente claimed a 2-1 home victory against Casa Pia in the Primeira Liga, overcoming a 1-1 halftime deadlock. The hosts controlled possession at 56% to the visitors' 44%, enabling a decisive second-half goal. Identified as the stronger team, Gil Vicente delivered a performance with minimal structural deviation of 3.5%, staying true to expectations. Efficiency metrics showed no notable shift, remaining in line throughout. While xG data is unavailable, the outcome aligned with pre-match assessments, reflecting the home side's dominance without disruptive events. No red cards were issued, preserving natural game flow and allowing Gil Vicente's quality to secure the points.
TL;DR
- Structural deviation: Gil Vicente's 2-1 win featured minimal structural deviation of 3.5%.
- Efficiency shift: Efficiencies remained in line with pre-match levels.
- xG alignment: xG alignment unassessable due to unavailable data.
- Market alignment: Result aligned fully with pre-match market expectations.
- xG expectations: xG expectations unavailable for analysis.
- Event impact: No second-half adjustments or events altered dynamics.
- Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, eliminating distortion.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Match referee
B. Ribeiro Pires Costa
Other match officials
J. Correia Gonçalves Morte
2nd Assistant
G. Fernandes Correia
4th Official
J. Alves Fernandes
1st Assistant


Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Gil Vicente
Casa PiaTeam Power Ranking
i
17.44
16.59
Gil Vicente
Casa PiaForm Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.


Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Gil Vicente
Casa Pia

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Gil Vicente ⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency 
Defensive Efficiency 
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)




Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Gil Vicente ⚠ Proxy
Gil Vicente Casa Pia
Gil Vicente Casa Pia
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Gil Vicente
Gil Vicente Casa Pia


Gil Vicente Casa Pia


PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- GVFC had peak pressure around 81'.
- GVFC started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 7 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.


Match Record 
Goals 
Data last updated: 2026-04-28T00:03:35+00:00
STARTING XI
Gil Vicente
Casa Pia























































General Information
Next Match

Gil Vicente
vs

Rio Ave
League: Liga Portugal
Kickoff: Sun, 3 May - 7:30 PM
Venue: Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Casa Pia
vs

Tondela
League: Liga Portugal
Kickoff: Sun, 3 May - 2:30 PM
Venue: Estádio Pina Manique
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
Gil VicenteManager ▼

Starting XI ▼
















Substitutes ▼





Bench ▼



Casa PiaManager ▼

Starting XI ▼
















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Bench ▼




Events
CONCLUSION
Gil Vicente vs Casa Pia preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
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Match Commentary