Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Coliseum Alfonso Pérez Sun, 3 May - 2:15 PM
La Liga
Getafe GET
0 Winner 2
Rayo Vallecano RAY
Full Time Sun, 3 May 2:15 PM
Round 34 Regular Season
|
Goal
Randy Nteka - 73'
Sergio Camello - 38'

CONTEXT

Getafe faced Rayo Vallecano at home in a La Liga encounter that ended 0-2 in favor of the visitors. Despite controlling 56% of possession, Getafe failed to convert chances into goals, mustering zero shots on target in a defensively solid display from Rayo. The away side struck first in the 35th minute through a clinical counter-attack, leading 1-0 at halftime. The second half saw Rayo double their advantage in the 67th minute via a set-piece header, exploiting Getafe's set-piece vulnerabilities. Getafe pushed forward late but lacked precision, with Rayo Vallecano's compact shape and quick transitions proving decisive. This result marks a significant underperformance for the hosts, who entered as structural favorites but were outmaneuvered tactically. No red cards or major disruptions altered the flow, highlighting Rayo's efficiency in a low-scoring affair.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Rayo Vallecano's 0-2 win showed a 76.3% significant deviation favoring the visitors.
  • Efficiency shift: Team efficiencies stayed in line with pre-match projections.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable, preventing alignment assessment with outcome.
  • Market alignment: Final result did not align with pre-match market projections.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable due to lack of underlying data.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or key events altered match dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured no distortion from player dismissals.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

M. Sesma Espinosa

Fouls / match 0
Yellow cards / match 0
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

I. Rodríguez Portela

1st Assistant

J. Romano García

2nd Assistant

R. Gonzalo Sánchez

4th Official

Getafe J. Bordalás Jiménez
J. Bordalás Jiménez
VS
Rayo Vallecano I. Pérez Soto
I. Pérez Soto
1.23
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.14
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Barcelona Rank: 95 L
Real Sociedad Rank: 81 W
Levante Rank: 72 L
Athletic Club Rank: 78 W
Espanyol Rank: 73 W
Atlético Madrid Rank: 89 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Sociedad Rank: 80 D
Espanyol Rank: 73 W
Mallorca Rank: 75 L
Elche Rank: 74 W
FC Barcelona Rank: 96 L
Levante Rank: 74 D
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 7 - 13
13

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Getafe
45.76%
Draw
30.55%
Away Rayo Vallecano
23.69%

Movement

Changes since opening
Getafe
+45.56%
Draw
+28.63%
Rayo Vallecano
-74.2%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
75.79
78.26
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Getafe
Rayo Vallecano
Power Score
75.79
78.26
League Position
7
11
Global Rank
102
74

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Getafe — Opponent-weighted form score
Rayo Vallecano — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Getafe Rayo Vallecano

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Getafe

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Rayo Vallecano

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Getafe ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Rayo Vallecano
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
27.95
24.43
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
24.43
27.95
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Getafe +0.32 Efficiency Index
vs
Rayo Vallecano -0.32 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Getafe
Rayo Vallecano
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Getafe ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Rayo Vallecano
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Getafe Rayo Vallecano
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Getafe Rayo Vallecano
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Getafe
Rayo Vallecano
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Getafe
vs
Rayo Vallecano
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Getafe Rayo Vallecano
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Getafe 0.25
Rayo Vallecano 0.67
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Getafe Rayo Vallecano
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Getafe 0.13
Rayo Vallecano 0.00
Getafe
Rayo Vallecano
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • GET had peak pressure around 59'.
  • RAY started the game with stronger pressure.
GET Pressure RAY Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: GET reached the top pressure at 59' (70.15).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 26 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Getafe GET Home
26 matches
Rayo Vallecano RAY Away
Match Record
6
Wins
13
7
Draws
7
13
Losses
6
Goals
18
Goals Scored
33
33
Goals Conceded
18
-15
Goal Difference
+15

Data last updated: 2026-05-04T00:04:21+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-3-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
D. Soria Solís
Spain
13 D. Soria Solís
F. Femenía Far
Substitution
Spain
17 F. Femenía Far
A. Abqar
Morocco
3 A. Abqar
D. Sousa Coutinho Meneses Duarte
Portugal
22 D. Sousa Coutinho Meneses Duarte
J. Iglesias Sánchez
Spain
21 J. Iglesias Sánchez
D. Cordón Mancha
Substitution
26 D. Cordón Mancha
A. Liso Lahoz
Substitution
Spain
23 A. Liso Lahoz
L. Milla Manzanares
Substitution
Spain
5 L. Milla Manzanares
M. Arambarri Rosa
Uruguay
8 M. Arambarri Rosa
L. Vásquez
Substitution
Argentina
19 L. Vásquez
M. Satriano
Uruguay
10 M. Satriano
Pitch
A. Batalla Barga
Argentina
13 A. Batalla Barga
J. Vertrouwd
Netherlands
33 J. Vertrouwd
N. Mendy
France
32 N. Mendy
F. Lejeune
France
24 F. Lejeune
I. Balliu Campeny
Albania
20 I. Balliu Campeny
G. Gumbau Garriga
Substitution
Spain
15 G. Gumbau Garriga
P. Ciss
Senegal
6 P. Ciss
L. Espino García
Substitution
Uruguay
22 L. Espino García
S. Camello Pérez
Substitution
Spain
10 S. Camello Pérez
J. De Frutos Sebastián
Substitution
Spain
19 J. De Frutos Sebastián
A. Zurawski
Substitution
Brazil
9 A. Zurawski

General Information

Date & Time :
May 03, 2026, 02:15 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Coliseum Alfonso Pérez
Capacity :
17393
Attendance :
7693
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Miguel Sesma Espinosa
Ion Rodríguez Portela
Judit Romano García
R. Gonzalo Sánchez

Statistics

Possession
GET
53%
RAY
47%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 2
1 Big Chances Created 1
2 Shots 1
53 Dangerous attacks 15
56 Possession 44
4 Corners 1
21 Free kicks 7
3 Yellow Cards 5

Match Overview

38 Throwins 19
14 Successful Headers 14
45 Successful Dribbles Percentage 52
10 Successful Dribbles 11
22 Dribble Attempts 21
5 Goal Kicks 15
8 Goal Attempts 8
82 Ball Safe 97
2 Injuries 1
1 Hit Woodwork 0
5 Substitutions 5
1 Penalties 0
0 Assists 1

Attacking

101 Attacks 76
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

189 Successful Passes 161
289 Passes 245
65 Successful Passes Percentage 66
17 Successful Long Passes 22
26 Successful Long Passes Percentage 31
9 Key Passes 5
65 Long Passes 72

Defensive

19 Tackles 25
3 Interceptions 11
61 Duels Won 57
4 Saves 3

Build-up

27 Total Crosses 7
9 Accurate Crosses 0

Discipline

7 Fouls 22
1 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Miguel Sesma Espinosa

Starting XI ▼

13
David Soria
David Soria Goalkeeper
6.92
3
Abdel Abqar
Abdel Abqar Defender
6.71
17
Kiko Femenía
Kiko Femenía Defender
6.62
18
Álex Sancris
Álex Sancris
Attacker46'
6.61
21
Juan Iglesias
Juan Iglesias Defender
6.8
22
Domingos Duarte
Domingos Duarte Defender
6.69
26
Davinchi
Davinchi Defender
6.43
11
Abu Kamara
Abu Kamara
Attacker46'
6.49
5
Luis Milla
Luis Milla Midfielder
7.15
14
Javi Muñoz
Javi Muñoz
Midfielder79'
6.64
8
Mauro Arambarri
Mauro Arambarri Midfielder
6.84
23
Adrián Liso
Adrián Liso Midfielder
6.58
16
Diego Rico
Diego Rico
Defender46'
6.62
10
Martín Satriano
Martín Satriano Attacker
6.91
19
Luis Vázquez
Luis Vázquez Attacker
6.76
9
Borja Mayoral
Borja Mayoral
Attacker79'
6.74
Referee : Miguel Sesma Espinosa

Starting XI ▼

13
Augusto Batalla
Augusto Batalla Goalkeeper
6.89
20
Iván Balliu
Iván Balliu Defender
6.53
24
Florian Lejeune
Florian Lejeune Defender
7.1
32
Nobel Mendy
Nobel Mendy Defender
6.78
33
Jozhua Vertrouwd
Jozhua Vertrouwd Defender
6.45
6
Pathé Ciss
Pathé Ciss Midfielder
6.87
10
Sergio Camello
Sergio Camello Midfielder
6.57
11
Randy Nteka
Randy Nteka
Midfielder70'
6.55
15
Gerard Gumbau
Gerard Gumbau Midfielder
6.66
23
Óscar Valentín
Óscar Valentín
Midfielder90+1'
6.77
19
Jorge de Frutos
Jorge de Frutos Midfielder
6.89
17
Unai López
Unai López
Midfielder68'
6.84
22
Alfonso Espino
Alfonso Espino Midfielder
6.69
3
Pep Chavarría
Pep Chavarría
Defender68'
6.83
9
Alexandre Zurawski
Alexandre Zurawski Attacker
6.61
2
Andrei Rațiu
Andrei Rațiu
Defender68'
6.96

Events

2ND-HALF
90+1'
Event
Óscar Valentín → Gerard Gumbau
10th Substitution
90+1'
Event
Randy Nteka
Off the ball foul / 8th Yellowcard
85'
Event
Nobel Mendy
Foul / 7th Yellowcard
Event
Borja Mayoral → Luis Vázquez
8th Substitution
79'
Event
Javi Muñoz → Luis Milla
9th Substitution
79'
73'
Event
Randy Nteka
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
70'
Event
Randy Nteka → Sergio Camello
7th Substitution
68'
Event
Unai López → Jorge de Frutos
5th Substitution
68'
Event
Pep Chavarría → Alfonso Espino
4th Substitution
68'
Event
Andrei Rațiu → Alexandre Zurawski
6th Substitution
Event
Mauro Arambarri
GoalkeeperSave
64'
61'
Event
Augusto Batalla
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
Event
Abdel Abqar
Off the ball foul / 5th Yellowcard
55'
50'
Event
Pathé Ciss
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Abu Kamara → Davinchi
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Diego Rico → Adrián Liso
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Álex Sancris → Kiko Femenía
3rd Substitution
46'
Event
Luis Vázquez
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
46'
1ST-HALF
45+4'
Event
Var
Event
Domingos Duarte
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
44'
38'
Event
Sergio Camello
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
29'
Event
Alexandre Zurawski
Argument / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Randy Nteka receives a yellow card.
90
Update Update
Oscar Valentín replaces Gerard Gumbau.
88
Attempt Attempt
Javier Munoz Jimenez takes a right-footed shot but misses.
86
Attempt Attempt
Javier Munoz Jimenez takes a right-footed shot but misses.
85
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Nobel Mendy receives a yellow card.
80
Attempt Attempt
Martin Satriano attempts a header but misses the shot.
80
Attempt Attempt
Randy Nteka's right-footed shot is saved.
79
Update Update
Javier Munoz Jimenez comes on for Luis Milla.
79
Update Update
Borja Mayoral Moya comes on for Luis Vasquez.
73
Attempt Attempt
Randy Nteka scores with a left-footed shot.
70
Update Update
Randy Nteka replaces Sergio Camello.
68
Update Update
Pep Chavarria replaces Alfonso Espino.
68
Update Update
Unai Lopez Cabrera replaces Jorge de Frutos Sebastian.
68
Update Update
Andrei Ratiu comes on for Alexandre Zurawski.
64
Attempt Attempt
Mauro Wilney Arambarri Rosa takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
64
Attempt Attempt
Luis Vasquez takes a right-footed shot but misses.
63
Attempt Attempt
Penalty saved! Mauro Wilney Arambarri Rosa's attempt is stopped.
62
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Augusto Batalla receives a yellow card.
61
Attempt Attempt
Abu Kamara attempts a header but misses the shot.
55
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Abdel Abqar.
53
Attempt Attempt
Jorge de Frutos takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
51
Attempt Attempt
Jorge de Frutos takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
50
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Pathe Ciss receives a yellow card.
48
Attempt Attempt
Jorge de Frutos takes a right-footed shot but misses.
48
Attempt Attempt
Luis Vasquez takes a left-footed shot but misses.
47
Attempt Attempt
Luis Vasquez takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
46
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Luis Vasquez receives a yellow card.
46
Update Update
Abu Kamara comes on for Davinchi.
46
Attempt Attempt
Alex Sancris takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
46
Update Update
Diego Rico Salguero comes on for Adrian Liso.
45
Attempt Attempt
Sergio Camello takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
45
Attempt Attempt
Jorge de Frutos takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
44
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Domingos Duarte receives a yellow card.
43
Attempt Attempt
Martin Satriano takes a right-footed shot but misses.
41
Attempt Attempt
Luis Vasquez takes a shot with his head, but it hits the post.
38
Update Update
Goal! Sergio Camello scores, making it 1-0.
38
Attempt Attempt
Sergio Camello takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
30
Update Update
Martin Satriano takes a header, but it misses the target.
29
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Alexandre Zurawski receives a yellow card.
26
Attempt Attempt
Jorge de Frutos takes a right-footed shot but misses.
6
Attempt Attempt
Gerard Gumbau takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
6
Attempt Attempt
Jorge de Frutos takes a left-footed shot but misses.

CONCLUSION

Rayo Vallecano's 0-2 triumph over Getafe underscores their tactical discipline and clinical finishing, capitalizing on limited opportunities against a possession-dominant but toothless home side. Getafe's 56% possession failed to yield goals, exposing frailties in chance creation and conversion. The halftime 0-1 lead allowed Rayo to manage the game astutely, adding a second goal to seal victory without concessions. This outcome deviates significantly from expectations, with the visitors proving stronger despite lower ball control. Absent xG data limits deeper chance quality analysis, yet the result affirms Rayo's efficiency edge. For Getafe, addressing set-piece defense and final-third potency remains critical moving forward.

Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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