Getafe vs Osasuna Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Coliseum Alfonso Pérez Sat, 23 May - 7:00 PM
La Liga
Getafe GET
1 Winner 0
Osasuna OSA
Full Time Sat, 23 May 7:00 PM
Round 38 Regular Season
Luis Milla - 59'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Getafe 1–0 Osasuna. The result saw Getafe take the points. Getafe showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 54%–46%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Getafe 1-0 Osasuna. Getafe showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the overall performance patterns observed.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be assessed because expected goals data was unavailable.
  • Market alignment: The final result showed no alignment with pre-match market projections.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated due to the absence of underlying metrics.
  • Event impact: The decisive goal in the second half proved the sole event that shaped the outcome.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so match dynamics experienced zero distortion from dismissals.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

A. Quintero González

Spain 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

J. García Lozano

1st Assistant

Spain

G. García González

4th Official

Spain

League averages

La Liga Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 23.04
Yellow cards / match 4.14
Red cards / match 0.25
Penalties / match 0.29
Getafe J. Bordalás Jiménez
J. Bordalás Jiménez
VS
Osasuna A. Lisci
A. Lisci
1.24
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.29
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Elche Rank: 74 L
Mallorca Rank: 77 W
Real Oviedo Rank: 71 D
Rayo Vallecano Rank: 77 L
FC Barcelona Rank: 96 L
Real Sociedad Rank: 79 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Espanyol Rank: 73 L
Atlético Madrid Rank: 88 L
Levante Rank: 74 L
FC Barcelona Rank: 96 L
Sevilla Rank: 75 W
Athletic Club Rank: 77 L
15
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
15 - 12 - 8
8

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Getafe
32.39%
Draw
35.99%
Away Osasuna
31.63%

Movement

Changes since opening
Getafe
-62.33%
Draw
+30.9%
Osasuna
+31.44%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
76.12
76.57
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Getafe
Osasuna
Power Score
76.12
76.57
League Position
7
15
Global Rank
101
95

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Getafe — Opponent-weighted form score
Osasuna — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Getafe Osasuna

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Getafe

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Osasuna

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Getafe ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Osasuna
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Getafe Osasuna
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Getafe Osasuna
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Getafe
Osasuna
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Getafe
vs
Osasuna
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Getafe Osasuna
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Getafe 0.00
Osasuna 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Getafe Osasuna
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Getafe 0.00
Osasuna 0.00
Getafe
Osasuna
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • OSA had peak pressure around 13'.
  • OSA started the game with stronger pressure.
GET Pressure OSA Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: OSA reached the top pressure at 13' (71.02).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 35 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Getafe GET Home
35 matches
Osasuna OSA Away
Match Record
15
Wins
8
12
Draws
12
8
Losses
15
Goals
43
Goals Scored
28
28
Goals Conceded
43
+15
Goal Difference
-15

Data last updated: 2026-05-23T18:30:45+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-4-1
Match Formation 5-3-2
Pitch
D. Soria Solís
Spain
13 D. Soria Solís
A. Nyom
Cameroon
12 A. Nyom
A. Abqar
Morocco
3 A. Abqar
D. Sousa Coutinho Meneses Duarte
Portugal
22 D. Sousa Coutinho Meneses Duarte
Z. Romero
Argentina
24 Z. Romero
J. Iglesias Sánchez
Spain
21 J. Iglesias Sánchez
M. Martín Rielves
Substitution
Spain
6 M. Martín Rielves
L. Milla Manzanares
Spain
5 L. Milla Manzanares
M. Arambarri Rosa
Uruguay
8 M. Arambarri Rosa
A. Liso Lahoz
Spain
23 A. Liso Lahoz
L. Vásquez
Argentina
19 L. Vásquez
Pitch
S. Herrera Pirón
Spain
1 S. Herrera Pirón
J. Galán Gil
Spain
20 J. Galán Gil
J. Herrando Oroz
Substitution
Spain
5 J. Herrando Oroz
A. Catena Marugán
Spain
24 A. Catena Marugán
F. Boyomos
Cameroon
22 F. Boyomos
V. Rosier
France
19 V. Rosier
A. Oroz
Spain
10 A. Oroz
L. Torró Marset
Substitution
Spain
6 L. Torró Marset
J. Moncayola Tollar
Substitution
Spain
7 J. Moncayola Tollar
A. Budimir
Croatia
17 A. Budimir
R. García de Haro
Spain
9 R. García de Haro

General Information

Date & Time :
May 23, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 38 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Coliseum Alfonso Pérez
Capacity :
17393
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Alejandro Quintero González
José Francisco García Lozano
Gonzalo García González

Statistics

Possession
GET
53%
OSA
47%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
0 Big Chances Created 2
6 Shots 11
34 Dangerous attacks 40
54 Possession 46
2 Corners 4
20 Free kicks 17
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

74 Ball Safe 64
5 Goal Attempts 8
0 Injuries 2
36 Successful Dribbles Percentage 33
29 Throwins 27
34 Successful Headers 22
7 Goal Kicks 5
14 Dribble Attempts 9
5 Successful Dribbles 3
2 Substitutions 5
1 Assists 0

Attacking

0 Big Chances Missed 2
84 Attacks 78

Possession

47 Successful Long Passes Percentage 37
35 Successful Long Passes 25
68 Successful Passes Percentage 61
74 Long Passes 67
269 Passes 221
4 Key Passes 7
183 Successful Passes 134

Defensive

5 Saves 2
66 Duels Won 55
9 Tackles 15
1 Interceptions 6

Build-up

2 Accurate Crosses 10
13 Total Crosses 25

Discipline

17 Fouls 20
1 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Alejandro Quintero González

Starting XI ▼

13
David Soria
David Soria Goalkeeper
6.9
3
Abdel Abqar
Abdel Abqar Defender
6.66
12
Allan Nyom
Allan Nyom Defender
6.42
21
Juan Iglesias
Juan Iglesias Defender
6.81
22
Domingos Duarte
Domingos Duarte Defender
6.72
24
Zaid Romero
Zaid Romero Defender
6.97
5
Luis Milla
Luis Milla Midfielder
7.13
6
Mario Martín
Mario Martín Midfielder
6.55
26
Davinchi
Davinchi
Defender89'
6.41
8
Mauro Arambarri
Mauro Arambarri Midfielder
6.81
23
Adrián Liso
Adrián Liso Midfielder
6.57
19
Luis Vázquez
Luis Vázquez Attacker
6.8
Referee : Alejandro Quintero González

Starting XI ▼

1
Sergio Herrera
Sergio Herrera Goalkeeper
6.84
5
Jorge Herrando
Jorge Herrando Defender
6.63
14
Rubén García
Rubén García
Midfielder68'
6.91
19
Valentin Rosier
Valentin Rosier Defender
6.69
20
Javi Galán
Javi Galán Defender
6.52
22
Enzo Boyomo
Enzo Boyomo Defender
6.71
24
Alejandro Catena
Alejandro Catena Defender
6.88
6
Lucas Torró
Lucas Torró Midfielder
6.75
11
Kike Barja
Kike Barja
Attacker68'
6.63
7
Jon Moncayola
Jon Moncayola Midfielder
6.84
29
Asier Osambela
Asier Osambela
Midfielder81'
6.52
10
Aimar Oroz
Aimar Oroz Midfielder
6.77
9
Raúl García
Raúl García Attacker
6.76
17
Ante Budimir
Ante Budimir Attacker
6.99

Events

2ND-HALF
90+2'
Event
Aitor Fernández
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Mauro Arambarri
2nd Yellowcard
90'
Event
Davinchi → Mario Martín
7th Substitution
89'
Event
5th Substitution
82'
82'
Event
6th Substitution
81'
Event
Asier Osambela → Jon Moncayola
4th Substitution
70'
Event
Moi Gómez → Rubén García
3rd Substitution
68'
Event
Kike Barja → Lucas Torró
1st Substitution
68'
Event
Rubén García → Jorge Herrando
2nd Substitution
Event
Luis Milla
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
59'
57'
Event
Enzo Boyomo
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Mauro Wilney Arambarri Rosa receives a yellow card.
90
Attempt Attempt
Raul Garcia de Haro's header is saved.
89
Update Update
Davinchi is on, and Mario Martin is off.
88
Attempt Attempt
Raul Garcia de Haro takes a right-footed shot but misses.
86
Attempt Attempt
Asier Osambela's header is saved.
82
Update Update
Raul Moro Prescoli is on, and Aimar Oroz Huarte is off.
82
Update Update
Damian Caceres Rodriguez comes on for Adrian Liso.
82
Update Update
Asier Osambela comes on for Jon Moncayola Tollar.
78
Attempt Attempt
Domingos Duarte attempts a header but misses the shot.
70
Update Update
Moises Gomez Bordonado comes on for Ruben Garcia Santos.
68
Update Update
Ruben Garcia Santos comes on for Jorge Herrando.
68
Update Update
Enrique Barja comes on for Lucas Torro Marset.
66
Attempt Attempt
Valentin Rosier's left-footed shot is blocked.
65
Attempt Attempt
Ante Budimir takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
59
Attempt Attempt
Luis Milla takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
57
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Flavien Enzo Thiedort Boyomo receives a yellow card.
52
Attempt Attempt
Luis Vasquez takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
49
Attempt Attempt
Javier Galan takes a left-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Zaid Romero's left-footed shot is saved.
38
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Torro Marset attempts a header but misses the shot.
26
Attempt Attempt
Luis Vasquez takes a right-footed shot but misses.
25
Attempt Attempt
Luis Milla takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
18
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Torro Marset takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
11
Attempt Attempt
Raul Garcia de Haro takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
7
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Torro Marset attempts a header but misses the shot.
2
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Torro Marset's header is saved.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Getafe 1-0 Osasuna. Structural assessment: Getafe exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

Getafe vs Osasuna preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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