Gent vs Club Brugge Match Preview, Stats & Prediction

2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium

Planet Group Arena Sun, 26 Apr - 11:30 AM

Pro League

Gent GNT

Club Brugge BRU

Full Time Sun, 26 Apr 11:30 AM

Round 5 Championship Round

Christos Tzolis - 89'

Hugo Vetlesen - 4'

CONTEXT

Gent fell 0-2 to Club Brugge in their home Jupiler Pro League encounter, with the visitors scoring once in the first half for a 0-1 halftime lead and adding a second goal after the break. Club Brugge controlled 55% possession compared to Gent's 45%, aligning with their designation as the stronger team. No red cards were issued, and the match featured no notable second-half adjustments or knockout implications. The outcome displayed a significant 39.6% structural deviation favoring Club Brugge, whose efficiency remained in line with pre-match assessments. Market expectations aligned with the result, though xG data was unavailable for deeper analysis. Gent failed to convert possession into scoring chances, while Club Brugge capitalized effectively on theirs, securing a straightforward victory.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Club Brugge experienced a significant 39.6% structural deviation in their favor.
Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift was in line with pre-match assessments.
xG alignment: xG alignment could not be assessed due to unavailable data.
Market alignment: The match outcome aligned with pre-match market expectations.
xG expectations: xG expectations were unavailable for evaluation.
Event impact: No major events altered the match dynamics.
Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, causing zero distortion.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

E. Lambrechts

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

J. De Weirdt

1st Assistant

M. Hillaert

2nd Assistant

J. Boterberg

4th Official

R. Demil

I. Leko

1.27

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

2.13

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

19 - 15 - 26

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Gent

17.36%

Draw

22.22%

Club Brugge

60.42%

Movement

Changes since opening

Gent

+17.14%

Draw

+20.3%

Club Brugge

-37.44%

Team Power Ranking

19.93

33.33

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Gent

Club Brugge

Power Score

19.93

33.33

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Gent — Opponent-weighted form score

Club Brugge — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Gent Club Brugge

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Gent

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Club Brugge

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Gent ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Club Brugge

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

43.11

33.45

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

33.45

43.11

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Gent +0.92 Efficiency Index

Club Brugge -0.92 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Gent

Club Brugge

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Gent ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Club Brugge

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Gent Club Brugge

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Gent Club Brugge

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Gent

Club Brugge

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Gent

Club Brugge

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Gent Club Brugge

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Gent Club Brugge

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Gent

Club Brugge

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

BRU had peak pressure around 22'.
BRU started the game with stronger pressure.

GNT Pressure BRU Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: BRU reached the top pressure at 22' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 60 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Gent GNT Home

60 matches

Club Brugge BRU Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-20

Goal Difference

+20

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:03:10+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-1-2

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

33 D. Roef

4 D. Hashioka

57 M. Volckaert

44 S. Van der Heyden

8 M. Skóraś

22 L. da Silva Lopes

27 T. De Vlieger

20 T. Alves Araújo

24 H. Hong

21 M. Dean

7 A. Kanga

29 N. Jackers

65 J. Seys

44 B. Mechele

4 J. Ordóñez Guerrero

41 H. Siquet

10 H. Vetlesen

25 A. Stankovic

8 C. Tzolis

20 H. Vanaken

9 C. Borges

7 N. Tresoldi

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 26, 2026, 11:30 AM

Competition :

2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 5 · Championship Round

Stadium :

Planet Group Arena

Capacity :

20185

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Erik Lambrechts

Jo De Weirdt

Mathias Hillaert

Jan Boterberg

Statistics

Possession

GNT

46%

BRU

54%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 2

0 Big Chances Created 2

7 Shots 12

48 Dangerous attacks 48

45 Possession 55

7 Corners 9

12 Free kicks 6

2 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

5 Goal Kicks 14

17 Throwins 16

0 Assists 1

29 Successful Dribbles Percentage 57

7 Dribble Attempts 7

4 Substitutions 5

1 Hit Woodwork 2

70 Ball Safe 83

12 Goal Attempts 11

1 Injuries 2

2 Successful Dribbles 4

Attacking

41 Attacks 42

0 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

80 Successful Passes Percentage 80

292 Successful Passes 366

62 Long Passes 68

29 Successful Long Passes 33

366 Passes 455

9 Key Passes 14

47 Successful Long Passes Percentage 49

Defensive

12 Tackles 9

48 Duels Won 35

5 Saves 3

12 Interceptions 5

Build-up

28 Total Crosses 22

7 Accurate Crosses 8

Discipline

2 Offsides 1

6 Fouls 12

Lineup

Referee : Erik Lambrechts

Manager ▼

R. Demil Coach

Starting XI ▼

Davy Roef Goalkeeper

6.99

Daiki Hashioka Defender

6.54

Ibrahima Cissé

Attacker75'

6.69

Siebe Van der Heyden Defender

6.87

Matties Volckaert Defender

6.81

Michal Skoras Midfielder

7.47

Momodou Lamin Sonko

Attacker87'

6.67

Tiago Araújo Midfielder

6.9

Leonardo Lopes Midfielder

6.74

Abdelkahar Kadri

Midfielder75'

6.88

Tibe De Vlieger Midfielder

6.9

Wilfried Kanga Attacker

7.05

Max Dean Attacker

6.91

Hyun-seok Hong Attacker

6.77

Hyllarion Goore

Attacker62'

6.79

Substitutes ▼

Hyllarion Goore

Attacker62'

6.79

Ibrahima Cissé

Attacker75'

6.69

Abdelkahar Kadri

Midfielder75'

6.88

Momodou Lamin Sonko

Attacker87'

6.67

Bench ▼

Kjell Peersman Goalkeeper

Jean-Kévin Duverne Defender

6.53

Hannes Vernemmen Defender

Aimé Omgba Midfielder

6.57

Atsuki Ito Midfielder

6.95

Referee : Erik Lambrechts