Gent vs Anderlecht Prediction, Preview and Stats

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Planet Group Arena Sun, 10 May - 11:30 AM
Pro League
Gent GNT
1 – 1
Anderlecht ADL
Full Time Sun, 10 May 11:30 AM
Round 7 Championship Round
Jean-Kévin Duverne - 44'
Goal
|
Goal
Leonardo Lopes - 11' (Own Goal)
|
Red Card Mihajlo Cvetkovic 45+2'

CONTEXT

Gent and Anderlecht played out a 1-1 draw in the Belgian Pro League, with the score level at 1-1 at halftime. Gent dominated possession at 64% to Anderlecht's 36%, creating sustained pressure throughout the match. Anderlecht, viewed as the stronger team entering the game, suffered a red card which altered the dynamics, particularly in the second half. Despite the numerical disadvantage, Anderlecht held firm to secure a point. The result represents a significant structural deviation of 73.2%, attributed to Anderlecht's performance against expectations. No xG data was available to further analyze chance quality. Gent's control failed to convert into a win, highlighting Anderlecht's defensive resilience post-red card. The even scoreline at both intervals underscores a balanced encounter disrupted by the sending-off.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Match showed 73.2% structural deviation, significant for Anderlecht.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unassessable due to lack of data.
  • Market alignment: Draw outcome misaligned with pre-match market probabilities.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unavailable from data.
  • Event impact: Anderlecht red card impacted second-half flow.
  • Red card distortion: Red card to Anderlecht caused second-half distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

N. Verboomen

Belgium 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Hillaert

1st Assistant

Belgium

M. Toeback

2nd Assistant

Belgium

W. De Cremer

4th Official

Belgium

League averages

Pro League Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 20.02
Yellow cards / match 3.4
Red cards / match 0.19
Penalties / match 0.35
Gent R. Demil
R. Demil
VS
Anderlecht J. Taravel
J. Taravel
1.23
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.14
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Mechelen Rank: 69 L
Club Brugge Rank: 84 L
Union Saint-Gilloise Rank: 86 D
Sint-Truiden Rank: 75 D
Anderlecht Rank: 73 L
Mechelen Rank: 70 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Club Brugge Rank: 85 L
Union Saint-Gilloise Rank: 85 L
Sint-Truiden Rank: 75 L
Mechelen Rank: 70 W
Gent Rank: 71 W
Club Brugge Rank: 86 L
13
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
13 - 19 - 29
29

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Gent
41.43%
Draw
26.81%
Away Anderlecht
31.76%

Movement

Changes since opening
Gent
+34.19%
Draw
-63.66%
Anderlecht
+29.47%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
71.4
72.76
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Gent
Anderlecht
Power Score
71.4
72.76
League Position
5
6
Global Rank
180
144

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Gent — Opponent-weighted form score
Anderlecht — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Gent Anderlecht

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Gent

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Anderlecht

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Gent ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Anderlecht
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
31.48
26.39
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
26.39
31.48
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Gent +0.48 Efficiency Index
vs
Anderlecht -0.48 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Gent
Anderlecht
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Gent ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Anderlecht
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Gent Anderlecht
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Gent Anderlecht
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Gent
Anderlecht
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Gent
vs
Anderlecht
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Gent Anderlecht
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Gent 0.15
Anderlecht 0.27
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Gent Anderlecht
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Gent 0.03
Anderlecht 0.01
Gent
Anderlecht
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • ADL had peak pressure around 18'.
  • ADL started the game with stronger pressure.
GNT Pressure ADL Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: ADL reached the top pressure at 18' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 61 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Gent GNT Home
61 matches
Anderlecht ADL Away
Match Record
13
Wins
29
19
Draws
19
29
Losses
13
Goals
59
Goals Scored
100
100
Goals Conceded
59
-41
Goal Difference
+41

Data last updated: 2026-05-11T00:02:38+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
D. Roef
Belgium
33 D. Roef
J. Duverne
Substitution
Haiti
29 J. Duverne
M. Volckaert
Belgium
57 M. Volckaert
S. Van der Heyden
Belgium
44 S. Van der Heyden
T. Alves Araújo
Portugal
20 T. Alves Araújo
L. da Silva Lopes
Portugal
22 L. da Silva Lopes
T. De Vlieger
Belgium
27 T. De Vlieger
M. Skóraś
Substitution
Poland
8 M. Skóraś
A. Omgba
Substitution
Netherlands
10 A. Omgba
B. Goore
Substitution
45 B. Goore
I. Cissé
Substitution
Senegal
75 I. Cissé
Pitch
C. Coosemans
Belgium
26 C. Coosemans
L. Augustinsson
Sweden
6 L. Augustinsson
M. Angely
France
4 M. Angely
L. Hey
Denmark
3 L. Hey
I. Camara
Substitution
Belgium
7 I. Camara
N. De Cat
Substitution
74 N. De Cat
M. Kana
Substitution
Belgium
55 M. Kana
A. Bertaccini
Substitution
Belgium
91 A. Bertaccini
Y. Verschaeren
Substitution
Belgium
10 Y. Verschaeren
T. Degreef
Belgium
83 T. Degreef
M. Cvetković
Serbia
9 M. Cvetković

General Information

Date & Time :
May 10, 2026, 11:30 AM
Competition :
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 7 · Championship Round
Stadium :
Planet Group Arena
Capacity :
20185
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Mathias Hillaert
Maarten Toeback
Nathan Verboomen
Wesli De Cremer

Statistics

Possession
GNT
63%
ADL
37%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
2 Big Chances Created 1
6 Shots 4
103 Dangerous attacks 30
64 Possession 36
4 Corners 2
14 Free kicks 11
4 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

47 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50
17 Throwins 13
7 Successful Dribbles 4
15 Dribble Attempts 8
83 Ball Safe 74
5 Goal Kicks 14
0 Injuries 2
1 Assists 0
7 Goal Attempts 6
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

140 Attacks 72
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

89 Successful Passes Percentage 76
52 Successful Long Passes 15
73 Successful Long Passes Percentage 26
483 Successful Passes 247
543 Passes 324
71 Long Passes 58
10 Key Passes 7

Defensive

47 Duels Won 42
8 Interceptions 5
11 Tackles 17
5 Saves 2

Build-up

41 Total Crosses 11
6 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

11 Fouls 14
2 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Nathan Verboomen

Starting XI ▼

33
Davy Roef
Davy Roef Goalkeeper
20
Tiago Araújo
Tiago Araújo Defender
29
Jean-Kévin Duverne
Jean-Kévin Duverne Defender
37
Abdelkahar Kadri
Abdelkahar Kadri
Midfielder78'
44
Siebe Van der Heyden
Siebe Van der Heyden Defender
57
Matties Volckaert
Matties Volckaert Defender
8
Michal Skoras
Michal Skoras Midfielder
24
Hyun-seok Hong
Hyun-seok Hong
Midfielder90+2'
10
Aimé Omgba
Aimé Omgba Midfielder
21
Max Dean
Max Dean
Attacker67'
22
Leonardo Lopes
Leonardo Lopes Midfielder
27
Tibe De Vlieger
Tibe De Vlieger Midfielder
45
Hyllarion Goore
Hyllarion Goore Midfielder
11
Momodou Lamin Sonko
Momodou Lamin Sonko
Attacker67'
75
Ibrahima Cissé
Ibrahima Cissé Attacker
7
Wilfried Kanga
Wilfried Kanga
Attacker78'
Referee : Nathan Verboomen

Starting XI ▼

26
Colin Coosemans
Colin Coosemans Goalkeeper
3
Lucas Hey
Lucas Hey Defender
4
Mathys Angély
Mathys Angély Defender
6
Ludwig Augustinsson
Ludwig Augustinsson Defender
7
Ilay Camara
Ilay Camara Defender
79
Ali Maamar
Ali Maamar
Defender60'
10
Yari Verschaeren
Yari Verschaeren Midfielder
14
Danylo Sikan
Danylo Sikan
Attacker90'
55
Marco Kana
Marco Kana Midfielder
23
Mats Rits
Mats Rits
Midfielder60'
74
Nathan De Cat
Nathan De Cat Midfielder
21
César Huerta
César Huerta
Midfielder73'
83
Tristan Degreef
Tristan Degreef Midfielder
91
Adriano Bertaccini
Adriano Bertaccini Midfielder
99
Ibrahim Kanaté
Ibrahim Kanaté
Midfielder60'
9
Mihajlo Cvetkovic
Mihajlo Cvetkovic Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Tiago Araújo
Argument / 7th Yellowcard
90+7'
90+7'
Event
Nathan De Cat
Argument / 8th Yellowcard
90+6'
Event
Ali Maamar
Time wasting / 6th Yellowcard
Event
Hyun-seok Hong → Michal Skoras
10th Substitution
90+2'
90+2'
Event
Danylo Sikan
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
90'
Event
Danylo Sikan → Yari Verschaeren
9th Substitution
Event
Momodou Lamin Sonko
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
84'
Event
Abdelkahar Kadri → Jean-Kévin Duverne
7th Substitution
78'
Event
Wilfried Kanga → Ibrahima Cissé
8th Substitution
78'
73'
Event
César Huerta → Nathan De Cat
6th Substitution
Event
Max Dean → Aimé Omgba
4th Substitution
67'
Event
Momodou Lamin Sonko → Hyllarion Goore
5th Substitution
67'
60'
Event
Mats Rits → Marco Kana
3rd Substitution
60'
Event
Ali Maamar → Ilay Camara
2nd Substitution
60'
Event
Ibrahim Kanaté → Adriano Bertaccini
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Ibrahima Cissé
Simulation / 3rd Yellowcard
45+6'
Event
Siebe Van der Heyden
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
45+3'
45+2'
Event
Mihajlo Cvetkovic
Violent conduct / 1st Redcard
Event
Jean-Kévin Duverne
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
44'
28'
Event
Marco Kana
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
11'
Event
Leonardo Lopes
Right foot shot / 1st Own Goal

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Tiago Araujo receives a yellow card.
90
Update Update
Danylo Sikan is on, and Yari Verschaeren is off.
90
Attempt Attempt
Abdelkahar Kadri takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Update Update
Hong Hyun Seok comes on for Michal Skoras.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Danylo Sikan receives a yellow card.
89
Attempt Attempt
Max Dean takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
88
Attempt Attempt
Wilfried Kanga Aka takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
87
Attempt Attempt
Tibe De Vlieger takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
84
Attempt Attempt
Siebe Van der Heyden takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
78
Update Update
Wilfried Kanga is on, and Ibrahima Cisse is off.
78
Update Update
Abdelkahar Kadri replaces Jean Kevin Duverne.
73
Update Update
Cesar Huerta replaces Nathan De Cat.
70
Attempt Attempt
Ibrahima Cisse attempts a header but misses the shot.
67
Update Update
Momodou Sonko is on, and Hyllarion Goore is off.
67
Update Update
Max Dean is on, and Aime Omgba is off.
65
Attempt Attempt
Ludwig Augustinsson's header is saved.
64
Update Update
Ludwig Augustinsson's header is blocked.
60
Update Update
Mats Rits comes on for Adriano Bertaccini.
60
Update Update
Ali Maamar is on, and Ilay Camara is off.
59
Attempt Attempt
Hyllarion Goore's right-footed shot is blocked.
53
Attempt Attempt
Michal Skoras takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
51
Attempt Attempt
Tiago Araujo takes a left-footed shot but misses.
49
Attempt Attempt
Ibrahima Cisse takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ibrahima Cisse receives a yellow card.
45
Red Card Red Card Important
Mihajlo Cvetkovic receives a red card.
44
Attempt Attempt
Shot! Jean Kevin Duverne scores with a left-footed shot.
44
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Jean Kevin Duverne scores, making it 1-1.
34
Attempt Attempt
Hyllarion Goore's right-footed shot is blocked.
33
Attempt Attempt
Mihajlo Cvetkovic takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
33
Attempt Attempt
Adriano Bertaccini takes a right-footed shot but misses.
29
Attempt Attempt
Tibe De Vlieger takes a right-footed shot but misses.
20
Attempt Attempt
Tristan Degreef's right-footed shot is saved.
19
Attempt Attempt
Hyllarion Goore takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
17
Attempt Attempt
Adriano Bertaccini takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
14
Attempt Attempt
Mihajlo Cvetkovic takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
11
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Own goal by Leonardo Da Silva Lopes puts the score at 0-1.
7
Attempt Attempt
Adriano Bertaccini takes a right-footed shot but misses.
1
Attempt Attempt
Tiago Araujo takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.

CONCLUSION

The 1-1 draw between Gent and Anderlecht encapsulates a match of contrasting fortunes, where Gent's possession superiority did not yield victory. Anderlecht's red card introduced distortion, yet their organization preserved parity. This outcome deviates significantly from structural norms, with Anderlecht defying their stronger pre-match status. Efficiency held steady, but absent xG metrics limit deeper insights into chance creation. Market misalignment highlights the unpredictability, as the draw emerged against favored probabilities. Gent's inability to capitalize on extra man underscores tactical discipline from the visitors. Overall, the result points to resilience overriding dominance in a evenly poised halftime affair.

Gent vs Anderlecht preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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