Genk vs SC Freiburg Prediction, Preview and Stats

Europe flag 2025/2026 Europa League, Europe
Luminus Arena Thu, 12 Mar - 8:00 PM
Europa League
Genk GNK
1 Winner 0
SC Freiburg SCF
Full Time Thu, 12 Mar 8:00 PM
Zakaria El Ouahdi - 24'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

The match between Genk and SC Freiburg has finished, resulting in a 0-0 full-time draw. SC Freiburg entered the contest as the stronger team, carrying a 37.6% pre-match win probability compared to Genk's 33%, alongside a 29.4% likelihood of a draw. Because the favorites failed to secure a victory, the final result did not align with the pre-match market. This unexpected outcome represented a significant 70.6% deviation against SC Freiburg. Play on the pitch was exceptionally balanced, perfectly reflected by an even 50-50 possession split between the home and away sides. Expected goals (xG) metrics were unavailable for this fixture, making it impossible to determine if the scoreless outcome was strictly consistent with the quality of scoring opportunities created. However, the teams' post-match efficiency shifts remained entirely in line with expectations. The game proceeded without any major disciplinary disruptions, as no red cards were issued to alter the tactical landscape or give either

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: SC Freiburg showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

C. Kavanagh

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

D. Cook

1st Assistant

I. Hussin

2nd Assistant

S. Barrott

4th Official

Genk N. Hayen
N. Hayen
VS
SC Freiburg J. Schuster
J. Schuster
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.13
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Malmö FF Rank: 63 W
FC Utrecht Rank: 69 W
FC Midtjylland Rank: 80 L
Basel Rank: 65 W
Sporting Braga Rank: 81 W
Real Betis Rank: 84 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
LOSC Lille Rank: 78 L
Maccabi Tel Aviv Rank: W
Salzburg Rank: 69 W
Viktoria Plzeň Rank: 75 D
Nice Rank: 71 W
FC Utrecht Rank: 69 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Genk
32.98%
Draw
29.42%
Away SC Freiburg
37.6%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
75.87
80.59
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Genk
SC Freiburg
Power Score
75.87
80.59
League Position
9
7
Global Rank
85
57

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Genk — Opponent-weighted form score
SC Freiburg — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Genk SC Freiburg

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Genk

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

SC Freiburg

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Genk ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy SC Freiburg
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
38.10
15.20
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
15.20
38.10
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Genk +2.36 Efficiency Index
vs
SC Freiburg -2.36 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Genk
SC Freiburg
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Genk ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy SC Freiburg
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Genk SC Freiburg
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Genk SC Freiburg
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Genk
SC Freiburg
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Genk GNK Home
0 matches
SC Freiburg SCF Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-13T01:00:50+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
T. Okiki Lawal
Austria
26 T. Okiki Lawal
Z. El Ouahdi
Morocco
77 Z. El Ouahdi
J. Ndenge Kongolo
Substitution
Belgium
44 J. Ndenge Kongolo
M. Smets
Belgium
6 M. Smets
J. Kayembe Ditu
Substitution
Belgium
18 J. Kayembe Ditu
I. Bangoura
Guinea
21 I. Bangoura
K. Karetsas
Belgium
20 K. Karetsas
B. Heynen
Belgium
8 (C) B. Heynen
D. Heymans
Belgium
38 D. Heymans
N. Adedeji-Sternberg
Substitution
Belgium
32 N. Adedeji-Sternberg
A. Bibout
Substitution
Cameroon
23 A. Bibout
Pitch
N. Atubolu
Germany
1 N. Atubolu
C. Günter
Germany
30 (C) C. Günter
B. Ogbus
Switzerland
43 B. Ogbus
M. Ginter
Germany
28 M. Ginter
P. Treu
Germany
29 P. Treu
J. Manzambi
Switzerland
44 J. Manzambi
P. Osterhage
Germany
6 P. Osterhage
V. Grifo
Substitution
Italy
32 V. Grifo
Y. Suzuki
Substitution
Japan
14 Y. Suzuki
J. Beste
Substitution
Germany
19 J. Beste
I. Matanovic
Croatia
31 I. Matanovic

General Information

Date & Time :
Mar 12, 2026, 08:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Europa League, Europe
Stadium :
Luminus Arena
Capacity :
24956
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Chris Kavanagh
Daniel Cook
Ian Hussin
Samuel Barrott

Statistics

Possession
GNK
51%
SCF
49%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
3 Shots 2
41 Dangerous attacks 52
50 Possession 50
5 Corners 7
9 Free kicks 16
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

4 Goal Kicks 9
17 Throwins 17
10 Successful Dribbles 11
45 Successful Dribbles Percentage 65
22 Dribble Attempts 17
1 Assists 0
11 Successful Headers 10
0 Hit Woodwork 1
4 Substitutions 3
66 Ball Safe 63
12 Goal Attempts 3
1 Injuries 3

Attacking

97 Attacks 93

Possession

30 Successful Long Passes 20
55 Long Passes 39
83 Successful Passes Percentage 81
396 Passes 399
327 Successful Passes 324
14 Key Passes 1
55 Successful Long Passes Percentage 51

Defensive

17 Tackles 31
12 Interceptions 15
2 Saves 2

Build-up

12 Total Crosses 17
2 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

16 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Chris Kavanagh

Starting XI ▼

26
Tobias Lawal
Tobias Lawal Goalkeeper
7.24
6
Matte Smets
Matte Smets Defender
6.97
18
Joris Kayembe
Joris Kayembe Defender
6.81
19
Yaimar Medina
Yaimar Medina
Defender77'
6.43
44
Josué Kongolo
Josué Kongolo Defender
6.84
3
Mujaid Sadick
Mujaid Sadick
Defender77'
6.51
77
Zakaria El Ouahdi
Zakaria El Ouahdi Defender
7.99
8
Bryan Heynen
Bryan Heynen (C) Midfielder
7.11
20
Konstantinos Karetsas
Konstantinos Karetsas Midfielder
6.66
21
Ibrahima Bangoura
Ibrahima Bangoura Midfielder
6.45
32
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg Midfielder
6.79
14
Yira Sor
Yira Sor
Attacker77'
6.47
38
Daan Heymans
Daan Heymans Midfielder
7.58
23
Aaron Bibout
Aaron Bibout Attacker
6.66
29
Robin Mirisola
Robin Mirisola
Attacker83'
6.55
Referee : Chris Kavanagh

Starting XI ▼

1
Noah Atubolu
Noah Atubolu Goalkeeper
6.73
28
Matthias Ginter
Matthias Ginter Defender
7.02
29
Philipp Treu
Philipp Treu Defender
6.44
30
Christian Günter
Christian Günter (C) Defender
6.92
43
Bruno Ogbus
Bruno Ogbus Defender
7.21
6
Patrick Osterhage
Patrick Osterhage Midfielder
7
14
Yuito Suzuki
Yuito Suzuki Midfielder
6.3
9
Lucas Höler
Lucas Höler
Attacker71'
6.65
19
Niklas Beste
Niklas Beste Midfielder
6.8
22
Cyriaque Irié
Cyriaque Irié
Attacker63'
6.51
32
Vincenzo Grifo
Vincenzo Grifo Midfielder
6.7
7
Derry Scherhant
Derry Scherhant
Attacker63'
6.53
44
Johan Manzambi
Johan Manzambi Midfielder
8.1
31
Igor Matanovic
Igor Matanovic Attacker
6.89

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Robin Mirisola → Aaron Bibout
7th Substitution
83'
80'
Event
Bruno Ogbus
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Yaimar Medina → Joris Kayembe
4th Substitution
77'
Event
Yira Sor → Noah Adedeji-Sternberg
6th Substitution
77'
Event
Mujaid Sadick → Josué Kongolo
5th Substitution
77'
Event
Zakaria El Ouahdi
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
74'
71'
Event
Lucas Höler → Yuito Suzuki
3rd Substitution
63'
Event
Cyriaque Irié → Niklas Beste
1st Substitution
63'
Event
Derry Scherhant → Vincenzo Grifo
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Zakaria El Ouahdi
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
24'
10'
Event
Johan Manzambi
Goal disallowed

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 5 minutes of stoppage time.
90
Update Update
Philipp Treu from SC Freiburg was awarded a free kick on the right side of the field.
90
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
90
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive push underway. Igor Matanovic from SC Freiburg takes a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but Tobias Lawal, the goalkeeper for Genk, makes a save right in the middle of the goal. The assist came from Johan Manzambi.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded with the final score: Genk 1, SC Freiburg 0.
90
Update Update
Konstantinos Karetsas from Genk committed a foul.
90
Update Update
Match is currently paused due to an injury to Johan Manzambi from SC Freiburg.
90
Update Update
Yira Sor from Genk committed a foul.
90
Update Update
Lucas Höler from SC Freiburg earned a free kick in the defensive area.
87
Update Update
Bryan Heynen from Genk committed a foul.
87
Update Update
Johan Manzambi from SC Freiburg was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
84
Update Update
Bryan Heynen from Genk committed a foul.
84
Update Update
Derry Scherhant of SC Freiburg has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
83
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Genk: Robin Mirisola replaces Aaron Bibout.
82
Update Update
Cyriaque Irié from SC Freiburg earned a free kick on the right side of the field.
82
Update Update
Yaimar Medina from Genk committed a foul.
81
Update Update
Igor Matanovic from SC Freiburg was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
81
Update Update
Ibrahima Bangoura from Genk committed a foul.
80
Update Update
Bruno Ogbus from SC Freiburg committed a foul.
80
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Bruno Ogbus of SC Freiburg has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
80
Update Update
Konstantinos Karetsas from Genk has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
79
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to SC Freiburg after Ibrahima Bangoura allowed the ball to go out.
78
Update Update
Aaron Bibout from Genk committed a foul.
78
Update Update
Matthias Ginter from SC Freiburg has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Genk: Mujaid Sadick comes on to replace Josue Kongolo due to an injury.
77
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Genk: Yira Sor comes on to replace Noah Adedeji-Sternberg.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Genk: Yaimar Medina comes on to replace Joris Kayembe.
75
Update Update
Match is currently on hold due to an injury to Josue Kongolo from Genk.
74
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Zakaria El Ouahdi from Genk has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
74
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Bryan Heynen from Genk fires a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist came from Noah Adedeji-Sternberg.
74
Update Update
Johan Manzambi from SC Freiburg has earned a free kick in the defensive area.
74
Update Update
Zakaria El Ouahdi from Genk committed a foul.
74
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Konstantinos Karetsas from Genk fires a left-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist came from Daan Heymans.
72
Update Update
Cyriaque Irié from SC Freiburg committed a foul.
72
Update Update
Bryan Heynen from Genk has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
71
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for SC Freiburg: Lucas Höler comes on to replace Yuito Suzuki.
70
Update Update
Ibrahima Bangoura from Genk has earned a free kick in the defensive area.
70
Update Update
Igor Matanovic of SC Freiburg committed a foul.
69
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Bryan Heynen from Genk attempted a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area.
67
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to SC Freiburg after a play that resulted in Noah Adedeji-Sternberg giving up possession.
66
Update Update
Cyriaque Irié from SC Freiburg committed a foul.
66
Update Update
Konstantinos Karetsas from Genk was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
64
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to SC Freiburg after Aaron Bibout allowed the ball to go out.
63
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for SC Freiburg: Cyriaque Irié comes on to replace Niklas Beste due to an injury.
63
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for SC Freiburg: Derry Scherhant is coming on to replace Vincenzo Grifo.
62
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
60
Update Update
Match is currently on hold due to an injury to Niklas Beste from SC Freiburg.
59
Update Update
Ibrahima Bangoura from Genk committed a foul.
59
Update Update
Niklas Beste from SC Freiburg earned a free kick in an offensive position.
57
Update Update
Yuito Suzuki from SC Freiburg committed a foul.
57
Update Update
Bryan Heynen from Genk was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
56
Update Update
Offside call against Genk. Konstantinos Karetsas has been flagged for being in an offside position.
53
Update Update
Johan Manzambi from SC Freiburg has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
53
Update Update
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg from Genk committed a foul.
52
Update Update
Aaron Bibout from Genk committed a foul.
52
Update Update
Bruno Ogbus from SC Freiburg was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
52
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
51
Update Update
Match halted due to an injury to Matthias Ginter from SC Freiburg.
50
Update Update
Matthias Ginter from SC Freiburg committed a foul.
50
Update Update
Joris Kayembe from Genk has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
49
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Patrick Osterhage from SC Freiburg takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's blocked.
48
Update Update
Daan Heymans from Genk committed a foul.
48
Update Update
Johan Manzambi from SC Freiburg has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
48
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to SC Freiburg, following a foul by Zakaria El Ouahdi.
45
Update Update
The second half is underway with the score at Genk 1, SC Freiburg 0.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be two minutes of stoppage time.
45
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive move unfolds as Konstantinos Karetsas from Genk takes a left-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area. However, Noah Atubolu from SC Freiburg makes a crucial save, denying the attempt in the bottom right corner. The assist for this play comes from Daan Heymans.
45
Update Update
The first half has concluded with Genk leading SC Freiburg 1-0.
44
Attempt Attempt
The attempt on goal was thwarted. Noah Adedeji-Sternberg from Genk fired a left-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but it was blocked. The assist came from Zakaria El Ouahdi.
42
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to SC Freiburg after Joris Kayembe allowed the ball to go out.
41
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Konstantinos Karetsas from Genk attempted a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it soared over the goal and to the left. The assist came from Noah Adedeji-Sternberg.
41
Update Update
Patrick Osterhage from SC Freiburg committed a foul.
41
Update Update
Konstantinos Karetsas from Genk has been awarded a free kick on the right side of the pitch.
39
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to SC Freiburg after Bryan Heynen allowed the ball to go out.
37
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Yuito Suzuki from SC Freiburg fires a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but it gets blocked.
37
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to SC Freiburg after Josue Kongolo allowed the ball to go out.
36
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Genk after a foul by Bruno Ogbus.
36
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Aaron Bibout from Genk attempted a header from the center of the box, but it sailed over the crossbar. The assist came from Konstantinos Karetsas following a corner kick.
35
Update Update
Offside call against Genk. Bryan Heynen has been flagged for being offside.
35
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Konstantinos Karetsas from Genk takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it is blocked. The assist came from Zakaria El Ouahdi.
34
Update Update
Josue Kongolo from Genk committed a foul.
34
Update Update
Johan Manzambi from SC Freiburg has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
33
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Genk after a defensive play by Bruno Ogbus.
33
Update Update
Offside call against SC Freiburg. Niklas Beste has been caught offside.
32
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Daan Heymans from Genk took a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it narrowly went wide to the left.
31
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity squandered. Daan Heymans from Genk attempted a left-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area but failed to find the target. The assist came from Bryan Heynen.
31
Attempt Attempt
The attempt on goal was denied. Bryan Heynen from Genk tried a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it was successfully blocked. The assist came from Konstantinos Karetsas.
29
Update Update
Christian Günter from SC Freiburg commits a handball foul.
27
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted! Konstantinos Karetsas from Genk took a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it went just wide. The assist came from Noah Adedeji-Sternberg.
26
Update Update
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg from Genk committed a foul.
26
Update Update
Philipp Treu from SC Freiburg has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
24
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Genk takes the lead, 1-0 against SC Freiburg. Zakaria El Ouahdi finds the back of the net with a right-footed shot from a challenging angle on the right, directing it into the left corner. The assist comes from Bryan Heynen.
21
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Genk after a foul by Igor Matanovic.
20
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Genk after Johan Manzambi allowed the ball to go out.
20
Attempt Attempt
A shot is deflected. Aaron Bibout from Genk attempts a right-footed strike from the middle of the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist came from Noah Adedeji-Sternberg.
17
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Johan Manzambi from SC Freiburg fires a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it's blocked.
14
Update Update
Zakaria El Ouahdi from Genk earned a free kick on the right side of the field.
14
Update Update
Igor Matanovic from SC Freiburg committed a foul.
13
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Matte Smets from Genk takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sails over the goal and to the left.
10
Update Update
VAR Review: Goal Disallowed - Genk 0-0 SC Freiburg.
8
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Matthias Ginter from SC Freiburg heads the ball from the center of the penalty area. However, Tobias Lawal from Genk makes a fantastic save, directing it to the left corner. The assist came from Vincenzo Grifo, who delivered a precise cross.
8
Update Update
Offside call against SC Freiburg. Johan Manzambi is caught in an offside position.
8
Update Update
GOAL DISALLOWED AFTER VAR REVIEW: Johan Manzambi of SC Freiburg finds the back of the net, but the goal is canceled following a VAR check.
7
Update Update
Niklas Beste from SC Freiburg earned a free kick in an offensive position.
7
Update Update
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg from Genk committed a foul.
6
Update Update
Igor Matanovic from SC Freiburg has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
6
Update Update
Josue Kongolo from Genk committed a foul.
3
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Zakaria El Ouahdi from Genk takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, and it narrowly misses the target following a corner kick.
3
Corner Corner
Another offensive play underway. Daan Heymans from Genk takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but Noah Atubolu of SC Freiburg makes a save in the bottom right corner. The assist came from Josue Kongolo.
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Genk after a foul by Johan Manzambi.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: SC Freiburg exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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