Gençlerbirliği vs Göztepe Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey

Eryaman Stadyumu Sat, 4 Apr - 11:30 AM

Super Lig

Gençlerbirliği GSK

Göztepe GOZ

Full Time Sat, 4 Apr 11:30 AM

Round 28 Regular Season

Malcom Bokele - 68' (P)

Novatus Miroshi - 39' (P)

CONTEXT

The match between Gençlerbirliği and Göztepe has officially finished, with the visiting side claiming a 2-0 full-time victory. Göztepe took control early, holding a 1-0 advantage at half-time before adding a second goal to seal the win. The outcome aligned seamlessly with pre-match market expectations, which designated Göztepe as the stronger team with a 41% win probability, compared to a 30.8% chance of a draw and a 28.2% likelihood of a home win. Despite the predicted victory, Göztepe produced a significant deviation of 59% relative to standard performance baselines. Their scoring efficiency shift remained exactly in line with projections, allowing them to confidently put away their opportunities. The match was also devoid of any major disciplinary impacts, as neither side received a red card. The underlying match dynamics revealed a stark contrast in tactical approaches. Gençlerbirliği dominated the ball, maintaining 63% possession, while Göztepe managed the game effectively with just a 37% share. Because expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this fixture, it is impossible to evaluate whether the final outcome was consistent with the actual quality of scoring chances created by either side.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Göztepe showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: No major event distortion.
Red card distortion: None.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

B. Kolak

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Çelebi

2nd Assistant

Y. Kendirciler

4th Official

K. Ersoy

1st Assistant

V. Demirel

S. Stoilov

1.05

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.58

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

4 - 0 - 3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Gençlerbirliği

28.24%

Draw

30.78%

Göztepe

40.98%

Movement

Changes since opening

Gençlerbirliği

-0.16%

Draw

+0.07%

Göztepe

+0.09%

Team Power Ranking

56.37

73.35

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Gençlerbirliği

Göztepe

Power Score

56.37

73.35

League Position

Global Rank

341

132

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Gençlerbirliği — Opponent-weighted form score

Göztepe — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Gençlerbirliği Göztepe

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Gençlerbirliği

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Göztepe

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Gençlerbirliği ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Göztepe

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

21.90

29.46

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

29.46

21.90

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Gençlerbirliği -0.76 Efficiency Index

Göztepe +0.76 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Gençlerbirliği

Göztepe

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Gençlerbirliği ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Göztepe

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Gençlerbirliği Göztepe

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 2.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Gençlerbirliği Göztepe

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

2.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Gençlerbirliği

Göztepe

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Gençlerbirliği

Göztepe

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Gençlerbirliği Göztepe

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Gençlerbirliği Göztepe

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Gençlerbirliği

Göztepe

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 7 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Gençlerbirliği GSK Home

7 matches

Göztepe GOZ Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Goal Difference

-3

Data last updated: 2026-04-05T00:01:42+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1

Match Formation 3-4-1-2

24 M. Silva Velho

13 P. Almeida Lopes Pereira

6 D. Goutas

4 Ž. Žužek

2 T. da Silva

15 A. Dele-Bashiru

70 F. Tongya Heubang

22 S. Koita

35 O. Ülgün

7 H. Chukwuemeka Onyekuru

29 M. Niang

1 M. Lis

26 M. Mputu

5 H. dos Santos

3 A. Godói Santos

15 M. Cherni

20 N. Dismas

30 A. Dennis

2 A. Kurtulan

8 A. Antunes

39 J. de Carvalho Costa

19 J. Marinho dos Santos

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 04, 2026, 11:30 AM

Competition :

2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey · Round 28 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Eryaman Stadyumu

Capacity :

20560

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Mücahid Adem Çelebi

Yusuf Adnan Kendirciler

Kerem Ersoy

Batuhan Kolak

Statistics

Possession

GSK

58%

GOZ

42%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 2

1 Big Chances Created 3

4 Shots 3

56 Dangerous attacks 38

63 Possession 37

6 Corners 5

17 Free kicks 12

3 Yellow Cards 4

Match Overview

50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 33

27 Successful Headers 26

21 Throwins 13

6 Dribble Attempts 6

5 Substitutions 5

3 Successful Dribbles 2

0 Penalties 2

2 Injuries 1

5 Goal Attempts 4

5 Goal Kicks 7

76 Ball Safe 74

Attacking

93 Attacks 85

1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

82 Successful Passes Percentage 70

369 Passes 227

301 Successful Passes 158

41 Long Passes 56

7 Key Passes 6

22 Successful Long Passes 29

54 Successful Long Passes Percentage 52

Defensive

11 Tackles 13

57 Duels Won 48

4 Interceptions 7

1 Saves 0

Build-up

34 Total Crosses 14

8 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

14 Fouls 17

1 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Batuhan Kolak

Manager ▼

V. Demirel Coach

Starting XI ▼

Ricardo Velho Goalkeeper

Thalisson Defender

Zan Zuzek Defender

Dimitrios Goutas Defender

Pedro Pereira Defender

Henry Onyekuru Midfielder

Metehan Mimaroğlu

Attacker73'

Tom Dele-Bashiru Midfielder

Cihan Çanak

Attacker83'

Sékou Koïta Midfielder

Adama Traoré

Attacker73'

Oğulcan Ülgün Midfielder

Matej Hanousek

Defender46'

Franco Tongya Midfielder

M'Baye Niang Attacker

Göktan Gürpüz

Midfielder73'

Substitutes ▼

Matej Hanousek

Defender46'

Adama Traoré

Attacker73'

Metehan Mimaroğlu

Attacker73'

Göktan Gürpüz

Midfielder73'

Cihan Çanak

Attacker83'

Bench ▼

Erhan Erentürk Goalkeeper

Ousmane Diabate Defender

Fıratcan Üzüm Defender

Samed Onur Midfielder

Dal Varesanovic Midfielder

Referee : Batuhan Kolak