Gaziantep F.K. vs Beşiktaş Prediction, Preview and Stats

Türkiye flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye
Gaziantep Stadyumu Fri, 1 May - 5:00 PM
Super Lig
Gaziantep F.K. Gaziantep F.K.
0 Winner 2
Beşiktaş BES
Full Time Fri, 1 May 5:00 PM
Round 32 Regular Season
|
Goal
Kristjan Asllani - 22' (P)
Tiago Djaló - 7'

CONTEXT

Gaziantep F.K. faced Beşiktaş at home in a one-sided affair that concluded 0-2. The visitors asserted dominance from the outset, scoring both goals before halftime to lead 0-2 at the break. Beşiktaş controlled possession with 64% to Gaziantep's 36%, limiting the hosts' attacking opportunities while maintaining a solid defensive structure. No red cards were shown, and the match proceeded without major interruptions or second-half adjustments. As the stronger team, Beşiktaş delivered a performance consistent with their status, securing a clean-sheet victory. The result displayed minimal structural deviation of 2.1%, with efficiency in line with norms. Although xG data is unavailable, the outcome reflected pre-match alignments, underscoring Beşiktaş's superiority in chance creation and conversion.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Result showed minimal structural deviation of 2.1% favoring Beşiktaş.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unassessable due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Outcome fully aligned with pre-match market positioning.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unevaluable from missing metrics.
  • Event impact: No notable events altered match dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, eliminating distortion effects.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

A. Taşkınsoy

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Savranlar

2nd Assistant

F. Tokail

4th Official

M. Curbay

1st Assistant

Gaziantep F.K. M. Radoi
M. Radoi
VS
Beşiktaş A. Yalçın
A. Yalçın
0.95
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.86
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Eyüpspor Rank: 62 L
Kayserispor Rank: 62 W
Rizespor Rank: 68 L
Alanyaspor Rank: 68 D
Fenerbahçe Rank: 84 L
Antalyaspor Rank: 60 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Fatih Karagümrük Rank: 61 D
Samsunspor Rank: 70 L
Antalyaspor Rank: 61 W
Fenerbahçe Rank: 84 L
Kasımpaşa Rank: 65 W
Gençlerbirliği Rank: 66 W
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 4 - 5
5

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Gaziantep F.K.
0.22%
Draw
1.92%
Away Beşiktaş
97.86%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
65.16
77.96
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Gaziantep F.K.
Beşiktaş
Power Score
65.16
77.96
League Position
10
4
Global Rank
324
72

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Gaziantep F.K. — Opponent-weighted form score
Beşiktaş — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Gaziantep F.K. Beşiktaş

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Gaziantep F.K.

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Beşiktaş

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Gaziantep F.K. ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Beşiktaş
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
52.08
20.47
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
20.47
52.08
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Gaziantep F.K. +3.18 Efficiency Index
vs
Beşiktaş -3.18 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Gaziantep F.K.
Beşiktaş
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Gaziantep F.K. ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Beşiktaş
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Gaziantep F.K. Beşiktaş
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Gaziantep F.K. Beşiktaş
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Gaziantep F.K.
Beşiktaş
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Gaziantep F.K.
vs
Beşiktaş
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Gaziantep F.K. Beşiktaş
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Gaziantep F.K. 0.49
Beşiktaş 0.55
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Gaziantep F.K. Beşiktaş
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Gaziantep F.K. 0.09
Beşiktaş 0.00
Gaziantep F.K.
Beşiktaş
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Gaziantep F.K. had peak pressure around 91'.
  • BES started the game with stronger pressure.
Gaziantep F.K. Pressure BES Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Gaziantep F.K. reached the top pressure at 91' (68.24).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Gaziantep F.K. Gaziantep F.K. Home
13 matches
Beşiktaş BES Away
Match Record
4
Wins
5
4
Draws
4
5
Losses
4
Goals
15
Goals Scored
19
19
Goals Conceded
15
-4
Goal Difference
+4

Data last updated: 2026-05-02T00:03:39+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-3-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
Z. Görgen
Türkiye
20 Z. Görgen
D. Sorescu
Romania
18 D. Sorescu
N. Sangare
Türkiye
30 N. Sangare
M. Abena
Suriname
14 M. Abena
N. Mujakić
Substitution
Bosnia and Herzegovina
5 N. Mujakić
K. Rodrigues
Substitution
Portugal
77 K. Rodrigues
D. Camara
Substitution
Ivory Coast
3 D. Camara
V. Gidado
8 V. Gidado
A. Maxim
Substitution
Romania
44 A. Maxim
M. Bayo
Guinea
9 M. Bayo
K. Kozłowski
Poland
10 K. Kozłowski
Pitch
E. Destanoğlu
Türkiye
30 E. Destanoğlu
Y. Özcan
Türkiye
58 Y. Özcan
F. Uduokhai
Germany
14 F. Uduokhai
T. Embalo Djaló
Substitution
Portugal
35 T. Embalo Djaló
T. Bulut
Germany
22 T. Bulut
K. Asllani
Albania
23 K. Asllani
S. Uçan
Substitution
Türkiye
8 S. Uçan
J. Ferreira Silva
Substitution
Portugal
26 J. Ferreira Silva
J. Olaitan
Substitution
Benin
15 J. Olaitan
C. Ünder
Substitution
Türkiye
11 C. Ünder
M. Hekimoğlu
Substitution
Türkiye
91 M. Hekimoğlu

General Information

Date & Time :
May 01, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Gaziantep Stadyumu
Capacity :
33502
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Abdullah Buğra Taşkınsoy
Mustafa Savranlar
Fatih Tokail
Murat Tuğberk Curbay

Statistics

Possession
Gaziantep F.K.
41%
BES
59%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 2
3 Big Chances Created 2
7 Shots 6
35 Dangerous attacks 22
36 Possession 64
8 Corners 2
15 Free kicks 4
1 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

4 Goal Kicks 11
21 Throwins 20
5 Successful Headers 5
0 Assists 1
15 Dribble Attempts 8
8 Successful Dribbles 3
53 Successful Dribbles Percentage 38
0 Penalties 1
76 Ball Safe 101
9 Goal Attempts 8
4 Substitutions 6
0 Injuries 3

Attacking

71 Attacks 106
3 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

256 Successful Passes 542
26 Successful Long Passes 19
81 Successful Passes Percentage 90
14 Key Passes 9
317 Passes 604
41 Long Passes 39
63 Successful Long Passes Percentage 49

Defensive

16 Tackles 15
13 Interceptions 10
43 Duels Won 27
3 Saves 4

Build-up

3 Accurate Crosses 1
16 Total Crosses 8

Discipline

5 Fouls 15

Lineup

Referee : Abdullah Buğra Taşkınsoy

Starting XI ▼

20
Zafer Görgen
Zafer Görgen Goalkeeper
6.86
5
Nihad Mujakic
Nihad Mujakic Defender
6.68
4
Arda Kızıldağ
Arda Kızıldağ
Defender86'
6.69
14
Myenty Abena
Myenty Abena Defender
6.78
18
Deian Sorescu
Deian Sorescu Defender
6.85
30
N. Sangaré
N. Sangaré Defender
6.76
77
Kévin Rodrigues
Kévin Rodrigues Defender
6.85
11
Christopher Lungoyi
Christopher Lungoyi
Attacker66'
6.72
3
Drissa Camara
Drissa Camara Midfielder
7.08
70
Denis Drăguș
Denis Drăguș
Attacker66'
6.6
8
Victor Ntino-Emo Gidado
Victor Ntino-Emo Gidado Midfielder
6.54
44
Alexandru Maxim
Alexandru Maxim Midfielder
7.39
6
Melih Kabasakal
Melih Kabasakal
Midfielder87'
6.43
9
Mohamed Bayo
Mohamed Bayo Attacker
7.02
10
Kacper Kozlowski
Kacper Kozlowski Attacker
6.98
Referee : Abdullah Buğra Taşkınsoy

Starting XI ▼

30
Ersin Destanoğlu
Ersin Destanoğlu Goalkeeper
6.86
14
Felix Uduokhai
Felix Uduokhai Defender
7
22
Taylan Bulut
Taylan Bulut Defender
6.39
35
Tiago Djaló
Tiago Djaló Defender
6.76
12
Emmanuel Agbadou
Emmanuel Agbadou
Defender80'
7.16
58
Yasin Özcan
Yasin Özcan Defender
6.73
8
Salih Uçan
Salih Uçan Midfielder
6.66
4
Wilfred Ndidi
Wilfred Ndidi
Midfielder69'
6.99
11
Cengiz Ünder
Cengiz Ünder Midfielder
6.95
18
Vaclav Cerny
Vaclav Cerny
Attacker75'
7.06
15
Junior Olaitan
Junior Olaitan Midfielder
6.92
10
Orkun Kökçü
Orkun Kökçü
Midfielder83'
7.63
23
Kristjan Asllani
Kristjan Asllani Midfielder
6.66
26
Jota Silva
Jota Silva Midfielder
6.77
19
El Bilal Touré
El Bilal Touré
Attacker69'
6.95
91
Mustafa Hekimoğlu
Mustafa Hekimoğlu Attacker
6.63
9
Hyeon-gyu Oh
Hyeon-gyu Oh
Attacker75'
7.31

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Denis Drăguș
Goal disallowed
89'
Event
Melih Kabasakal → Alexandru Maxim
10th Substitution
87'
Event
Arda Kızıldağ → Nihad Mujakic
9th Substitution
86'
83'
Event
Orkun Kökçü → Junior Olaitan
8th Substitution
80'
Event
Emmanuel Agbadou → Tiago Djaló
7th Substitution
75'
Event
Vaclav Cerny → Cengiz Ünder
5th Substitution
75'
Event
Hyeon-gyu Oh → Mustafa Hekimoğlu
6th Substitution
69'
Event
Wilfred Ndidi → Salih Uçan
3rd Substitution
69'
Event
El Bilal Touré → Jota Silva
4th Substitution
Event
Denis Drăguș → Drissa Camara
1st Substitution
66'
Event
Christopher Lungoyi → Kévin Rodrigues
2nd Substitution
66'
1ST-HALF
Event
Drissa Camara
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
31'
22'
Event
Kristjan Asllani
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
7'
Event
Tiago Djaló
Header / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

88
Attempt Attempt
Denis Dragus takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
88
Attempt Attempt
Denis Dragus takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
88
Update Update
VAR decision: Goal disallowed due to a handball by Denis Dragus.
87
Update Update
Melih Kabasakal comes on for Alexandru Maxim.
86
Update Update
Arda Kizildag is on, and Nihad Mujakic is off.
83
Update Update
Orkun Kokcu comes on for Junior Olaitan.
80
Update Update
Emmanuel Agbadou replaces Tiago Djalo.
77
Attempt Attempt
Wilfred Onyinye Ndidi takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
75
Substitution Substitution
Oh Hyun Gyu is substituted for Mustafa Erhan Hekimoglu.
75
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Mohamed Bayo with his right foot is blocked.
75
Update Update
Vaclav Cerny replaces Cengiz Under.
72
Attempt Attempt
Cengiz Under takes a left-footed shot but misses.
69
Update Update
Wilfred Onyinye Ndidi is on, and Salih Ucan is off.
69
Update Update
El Bilal Toure replaces Jota.
68
Attempt Attempt
Denis Dragus takes a shot, but it is blocked.
66
Update Update
Denis Dragus replaces Drissa Camara.
66
Update Update
Christopher Lungoyi replaces Kevin Rodrigues Pires.
65
Attempt Attempt
Mohamed Bayo takes a right-footed shot but misses.
63
Attempt Attempt
Drissa Camara's right-footed shot is saved.
59
Attempt Attempt
Kacper Kozlowski takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
58
Attempt Attempt
Jota takes a right-footed shot but misses.
55
Attempt Attempt
Alexandru Maxim's right-footed shot is blocked.
51
Attempt Attempt
Drissa Camara takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
50
Attempt Attempt
Victor Ntino-Emo Gidado takes a right-footed shot but misses.
41
Attempt Attempt
Junior Olaitan takes a right-footed shot but misses.
40
Attempt Attempt
Mohamed Bayo takes a right-footed shot but misses.
35
Attempt Attempt
Jota's right-footed shot is saved.
34
Attempt Attempt
Alexandru Maxim takes a right-footed shot but misses.
31
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Drissa Camara receives a yellow card.
30
Attempt Attempt
Victor Ntino-Emo Gidado takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
27
Attempt Attempt
Kacper Kozlowski takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
22
Update Update
Goal in the penalty shootout! Kristjan Asllani scores, making it 2-0.
22
Attempt Attempt
Kristjan Asllani scores with a right-footed shot.
18
Attempt Attempt
Drissa Camara takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
17
Attempt Attempt
Cengiz Under's left-footed shot is saved.
16
Attempt Attempt
Drissa Camara's right-footed shot is blocked.
16
Attempt Attempt
Drissa Camara takes a right-footed shot but misses.
9
Attempt Attempt
Mustafa Erhan Hekimoglu takes a right-footed shot but misses.
9
Attempt Attempt
Mustafa Erhan Hekimoglu takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
8
Update Update
Tiago Djalo scores with a header.
7
Update Update
Goal! Junior Olaitan scores, making it 1-0.
4
Attempt Attempt
Drissa Camara's right-footed shot is blocked.
4
Attempt Attempt
Cengiz Under takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Abdullah Bugra Taskınsoy.
1
Attempt Attempt
Jota's right-footed shot is blocked.

CONCLUSION

Beşiktaş's 0-2 triumph over Gaziantep F.K. exemplified their superior quality, dominating possession and scoring efficiently in the first half. The clean-sheet win, with no disruptions from red cards or tactical shifts, highlighted defensive resilience and control. Minimal deviation from structural norms at 2.1% reinforced the predictability of the stronger team's success. Without xG data, deeper efficiency insights are limited, but possession disparity and halftime lead indicate comprehensive outperformance. This result solidifies Beşiktaş's form while exposing Gaziantep's struggles against top opposition.

Gaziantep F.K. vs Beşiktaş preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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