Galatasaray vs Antalyaspor Prediction, Preview and Stats

Türkiye flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye
Rams Global Stadium Sat, 9 May - 5:00 PM
Super Lig
Galatasaray GAL
4 Winner 2
Antalyaspor ANT
Full Time Sat, 9 May 5:00 PM
Round 33 Regular Season
Kaan Ayhan - 90+5'
Victor Osimhen - 88', 66' (P)
Mario Lemina - 56'
Goal
|
Goal
Soner Dikmen - 62', 45+3'

CONTEXT

Galatasaray staged a remarkable comeback to defeat Antalyaspor 4-2 in the Turkish Super Lig, overturning a 0-1 halftime deficit. The home side, recognized as the stronger team, controlled 70% possession throughout but found the breakthrough after the break, netting four goals to secure victory. Antalyaspor's early lead stunned the crowd, yet Galatasaray's sustained pressure paid off without any red cards disrupting play. The match featured no second-half tactical adjustments, allowing natural flow. Performance metrics indicated minimal structural deviation of 4.8% for Galatasaray, with efficiency in line with norms. The outcome aligned with pre-match market views, reflecting the home team's dominance despite the slow start.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Galatasaray recorded minimal structural deviation of 4.8%.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unassessable due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Final result aligned fully with market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unevaluable without data.
  • Event impact: No events or adjustments altered match dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards caused zero distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

?. Altay

Türkiye 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

E. Sancaktar

1st Assistant

Türkiye

B. Gölen

2nd Assistant

Türkiye

A. Demirbaş

4th Official

Türkiye

League averages

Super Lig Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 23.4
Yellow cards / match 4.22
Red cards / match 0.21
Penalties / match 0.32
Galatasaray O. Buruk
O. Buruk
VS
Antalyaspor S. Uğurlu
S. Uğurlu
2.14
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.8
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Samsunspor Rank: 72 L
Fenerbahçe Rank: 84 W
Gençlerbirliği Rank: 63 W
Kocaelispor Rank: 65 D
Göztepe Rank: 74 W
Trabzonspor Rank: 79 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Alanyaspor Rank: 68 D
Göztepe Rank: 72 L
Konyaspor Rank: 68 L
Beşiktaş Rank: 78 L
Eyüpspor Rank: 64 W
İstanbul Başakşehir Rank: 76 D
20
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
20 - 11 - 4
4

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Galatasaray
95.23%
Draw
4.58%
Away Antalyaspor
0.19%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
86.47
60.26
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Galatasaray
Antalyaspor
Power Score
86.47
60.26
League Position
1
15
Global Rank
26
478

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Galatasaray — Opponent-weighted form score
Antalyaspor — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Galatasaray Antalyaspor

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Galatasaray

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Antalyaspor

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Galatasaray ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Antalyaspor
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Galatasaray Antalyaspor
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Galatasaray Antalyaspor
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Galatasaray
Antalyaspor
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Galatasaray
vs
Antalyaspor
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Galatasaray Antalyaspor
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Galatasaray 0.00
Antalyaspor 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Galatasaray Antalyaspor
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Galatasaray 0.00
Antalyaspor 0.00
Galatasaray
Antalyaspor
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • GAL had peak pressure around 18'.
  • GAL started the game with stronger pressure.
GAL Pressure ANT Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: GAL reached the top pressure at 18' (88.96).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 35 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Galatasaray GAL Home
35 matches
Antalyaspor ANT Away
Match Record
20
Wins
4
11
Draws
11
4
Losses
20
Goals
69
Goals Scored
32
32
Goals Conceded
69
+37
Goal Difference
-37

Data last updated: 2026-05-09T17:00:22+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
U. Çakır
Türkiye
1 U. Çakır
R. Sallai
Hungary
7 R. Sallai
D. Sánchez Mina
Colombia
6 D. Sánchez Mina
A. Bardakcı
Türkiye
42 A. Bardakcı
I. Jakobs
Substitution
Senegal
4 I. Jakobs
İ. Gündoğan
Substitution
Germany
20 İ. Gündoğan
L. Torreira Di Pascua
Uruguay
34 L. Torreira Di Pascua
L. Sané
Substitution
Germany
10 L. Sané
Y. Akgün
Türkiye
11 Y. Akgün
B. Yılmaz
Substitution
Türkiye
53 B. Yılmaz
V. Osimhen
Substitution
Nigeria
45 V. Osimhen
Pitch
A. Yiğiter
Türkiye
21 A. Yiğiter
K. Paal
Suriname
3 K. Paal
H. Türkmen
Türkiye
4 H. Türkmen
L. Gianetti
Argentina
30 L. Gianetti
B. Balcı
Substitution
Türkiye
7 B. Balcı
J. Ceesay
Gambia
23 J. Ceesay
D. Šarić
Substitution
Bosnia and Herzegovina
88 D. Šarić
D. Sinik
Substitution
Türkiye
70 D. Sinik
S. Dikmen
Türkiye
6 S. Dikmen
A. Ömür
Substitution
Türkiye
10 A. Ömür
S. Ballet
Switzerland
11 S. Ballet

General Information

Date & Time :
May 09, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Rams Global Stadium
Capacity :
53978
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Çağdaş Altay
Esat Sancaktar
Bilal Gölen
Ayberk Demirbaş

Statistics

Possession
GAL
66%
ANT
34%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 2
9 Big Chances Created 1
8 Shots 5
73 Dangerous attacks 16
70 Possession 30
6 Corners 1
14 Free kicks 10
4 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

1 Hit Woodwork 1
26 Successful Headers 12
20 Throwins 18
16 Dribble Attempts 12
63 Successful Dribbles Percentage 58
2 Goal Kicks 13
10 Successful Dribbles 7
27 Ball Safe 30
3 Goal Attempts 1
0 Injuries 3
6 Substitutions 4
1 Penalties 0
3 Assists 1

Attacking

128 Attacks 65
5 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

17 Key Passes 4
87 Successful Passes Percentage 65
34 Long Passes 55
521 Passes 230
451 Successful Passes 149
47 Successful Long Passes Percentage 25
16 Successful Long Passes 14

Defensive

0 Saves 4
9 Tackles 13
57 Duels Won 40
4 Interceptions 11

Build-up

32 Total Crosses 9
8 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

6 Offsides 1
10 Fouls 15

Lineup

Referee : Çağdaş Altay

Starting XI ▼

1
Uğurcan Çakır
Uğurcan Çakır Goalkeeper
7.53
4
Ismail Jakobs
Ismail Jakobs Defender
6.68
17
Eren Elmalı
Eren Elmalı
Defender67'
6.93
6
Davinson Sánchez
Davinson Sánchez Defender
6.96
7
Roland Sallai
Roland Sallai Defender
7.05
42
Abdülkerim Bardakcı
Abdülkerim Bardakcı Defender
7.04
10
Leroy Sané
Leroy Sané Midfielder
7.26
77
Noa Lang
Noa Lang
Attacker46'
6.95
11
Yunus Akgün
Yunus Akgün Midfielder
7.21
20
İlkay Gündoğan
İlkay Gündoğan Midfielder
7.03
99
Mario Lemina
Mario Lemina
Midfielder46'
6.89
34
Lucas Torreira
Lucas Torreira Midfielder
7.05
53
Barış Alper Yılmaz
Barış Alper Yılmaz Midfielder
7.23
9
Mauro Icardi
Mauro Icardi
Attacker67'
7.03
45
Victor Osimhen
Victor Osimhen Attacker
2
7.32
23
Kaan Ayhan
Kaan Ayhan
Defender90+2'
6.63
Referee : Çağdaş Altay

Starting XI ▼

21
Abdullah Yiğiter
Abdullah Yiğiter Goalkeeper
6.73
3
Kenneth Paal
Kenneth Paal Defender
6.57
4
Hüseyin Türkmen
Hüseyin Türkmen Defender
6.71
7
Bünyamin Balcı
Bünyamin Balcı Defender
6.74
17
Erdoğan Yeşilyurt
Erdoğan Yeşilyurt
Midfielder76'
6.78
30
Lautaro Giannetti
Lautaro Giannetti Defender
6.73
6
Soner Dikmen
Soner Dikmen Midfielder
2
6.7
10
Abdülkadir Ömür
Abdülkadir Ömür Midfielder
6.65
2
Samet Karakoç
Samet Karakoç
Defender76'
6.54
23
Jesper Ceesay
Jesper Ceesay Midfielder
6.75
70
Doğukan Sinik
Doğukan Sinik Midfielder
6.56
22
Sander van de Streek
Sander van de Streek
Midfielder31'
6.81
88
Dario Saric
Dario Saric Midfielder
6.66
8
Ramzi Safuri
Ramzi Safuri
Midfielder23'
7.03
11
Samuel Ballet
Samuel Ballet Attacker
6.64

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Kaan Ayhan
Right foot shot / 5th Goal
90+5'
Event
Kaan Ayhan → Victor Osimhen
9th Substitution
90+2'
Event
Davinson Sánchez
Time wasting / 7th Yellowcard
90+1'
Event
Noa Lang
Argument / 6th Yellowcard
90'
90'
Event
Lautaro Giannetti
Argument / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Victor Osimhen
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
88'
Event
Victor Osimhen
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
78'
78'
Event
Erdoğan Yeşilyurt
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
76'
Event
Erdoğan Yeşilyurt → Bünyamin Balcı
8th Substitution
76'
Event
Samet Karakoç → Abdülkadir Ömür
7th Substitution
70'
Event
Abdullah Yiğiter
Time wasting / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Mauro Icardi → Barış Alper Yılmaz
6th Substitution
67'
Event
Eren Elmalı → Ismail Jakobs
5th Substitution
67'
Event
Victor Osimhen
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
66'
62'
Event
Soner Dikmen
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
Mario Lemina
Header / 2nd Goal
56'
Event
Noa Lang → Leroy Sané
3rd Substitution
46'
Event
Mario Lemina → İlkay Gündoğan
4th Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
45+3'
Event
Soner Dikmen
Header / 1st Goal
Event
Abdülkerim Bardakcı
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
33'
31'
Event
Sander van de Streek → Doğukan Sinik
2nd Substitution
23'
Event
Ramzi Safuri → Dario Saric
1st Substitution

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Davinson Sanchez Mina.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Noa Lang receives a yellow card.
90
Update Update
Kaan Ayhan comes on for Victor James Osimhen.
88
Attempt Attempt
Eren Elmali takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
88
Attempt Attempt
Victor James Osimhen scores with a right-footed shot.
88
Attempt Attempt
Victor James Osimhen scores with a right-footed shot.
87
Attempt Attempt
Victor James Osimhen attempts a header but misses the shot.
84
Attempt Attempt
Samuel Ballet takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
79
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Victor James Osimhen receives a yellow card.
79
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Erdogan Yesilyurt receives a yellow card.
77
Attempt Attempt
Noa Lang's right-footed shot is saved.
76
Update Update
Samet Karakoc comes on for Abdulkadir Omur.
76
Update Update
Erdogan Yesilyurt is on, and Bunyamin Balci is off.
75
Attempt Attempt
Yunus Akgun takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
75
Attempt Attempt
Victor James Osimhen attempts a header but misses the shot.
70
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Abdullah Yigiter receives a yellow card.
67
Update Update
Eren Elmali replaces Ismail Jakobs.
67
Update Update
Mauro Emanuel Icardi Rivero comes on for Baris Yilmaz.
66
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Victor James Osimhen scores, making it 2-2.
66
Attempt Attempt
Victor James Osimhen scores with a right-footed shot.
62
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Soner Dikmen scores, making it 1-2.
62
Attempt Attempt
Soner Dikmen scores with a right-footed shot.
61
Attempt Attempt
Samuel Ballet's right-footed shot is blocked.
60
Attempt Attempt
Yunus Akgun takes a left-footed shot but misses.
58
Attempt Attempt
Roland Sallai takes a right-footed shot but misses.
56
Attempt Attempt
Abdulkerim Bardakci takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
56
Update Update
Mario Lemina scores with a header.
48
Attempt Attempt
Sander van der Streek takes a right-footed shot but misses.
46
Update Update
Mario Lemina comes on for Ilkay Gundogan.
46
Update Update
Noa Lang replaces Leroy Sane.
45
Attempt Attempt
Victor James Osimhen's header is saved.
45
Update Update
Soner Dikmen scores with a header.
43
Attempt Attempt
Victor James Osimhen attempted a header but missed the shot.
40
Attempt Attempt
Abdulkerim Bardakci attempts a header but misses the shot.
37
Attempt Attempt
Victor James Osimhen attempts a header but misses the shot.
35
Attempt Attempt
Victor James Osimhen attempted a header but missed the shot.
33
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Abdulkerim Bardakci receives a yellow card.
32
Attempt Attempt
Yunus Akgun takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
31
Attempt Attempt
Roland Sallai takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
31
Update Update
Sander van der Streek is on, and Dogukan Sinik is off.
29
Attempt Attempt
Roland Sallai's header is saved.
23
Update Update
Ramzi Safuri comes on for Dario Saric.
17
Attempt Attempt
Victor James Osimhen takes a right-footed shot but misses.
9
Attempt Attempt
Yunus Akgun takes a left-footed shot but misses.
3
Attempt Attempt
Dogukan Sinik takes a right-footed shot but misses.

CONCLUSION

Galatasaray's 4-2 win over Antalyaspor exemplified resilience, transforming a 0-1 halftime trail into a commanding victory via 70% possession mastery. As the stronger side, they delivered minimal deviation and market-aligned efficiency without red card interruptions. This performance reinforces their league standing, highlighting second-half firepower and defensive recovery crucial for sustained success. Antalyaspor competed valiantly early but faded under pressure, underscoring Galatasaray's superior quality.

Galatasaray vs Antalyaspor preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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