GAIS vs Mjällby Prediction, Preview and Stats

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Gamla Ullevi Thu, 23 Apr - 5:00 PM
Allsvenskan
GAIS GAIS
0 0
Mjällby Mjällby
Full Time Thu, 23 Apr 5:00 PM
Round 4 Regular Season

CONTEXT

GAIS and Mjällby played out a tense 0-0 draw in the Allsvenskan at Gamla Ullevi. The halftime score was 0-0, with the game remaining level throughout. Mjällby, considered the stronger team, controlled possession at 55% to GAIS's 45% but struggled to create clear scoring opportunities. GAIS mounted a disciplined defensive performance, frustrating Mjällby's forward efforts and securing a hard-fought point. No red cards were issued, and no significant second-half adjustments were made by either side. The result represented a significant structural deviation of 71.4%, with Mjällby as the deviation team, as the stalemate defied expectations of a more decisive outcome. Both teams showed resilience in a low-event affair dominated by caution.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Significant 71.4% structural deviation occurred with Mjällby as the deviation team.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment undetermined due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment was not achieved.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without data.
  • Event impact: No events significantly impacted the match outcome.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards resulted in zero distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

O. Johnson

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

G. Maqedonci

4th Official

A. Milovanovic

1st Assistant

A. Sjöberg

2nd Assistant

GAIS F. Holmberg
F. Holmberg
VS
Mjällby Karl Marius Aksum
Karl Marius Aksum
0.67
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Häcken Rank: L
Malmö FF Rank: L
Djurgården Rank: L
Malmö FF Rank: L
Öster Rank: D
Brommapojkarna Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brommapojkarna Rank: W
Örgryte Rank: L
Hammarby Rank: L
Häcken Rank: W
Värnamo Rank: W
Norrköping Rank: W
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 4 - 3
3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home GAIS
36.72%
Draw
28.58%
Away Mjällby
34.7%

Movement

Changes since opening
GAIS
+30.43%
Draw
-59.58%
Mjällby
+29.15%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
13.84
28.89
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
GAIS
Mjällby
Power Score
13.84
28.89
League Position
16
11
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
GAIS Opponent-weighted form score
Mjällby Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) GAIS Mjällby

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

GAIS

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Mjällby

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

GAIS ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Mjällby
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
61.89
27.73
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
27.73
61.89
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
GAIS +3.40 Efficiency Index
vs
Mjällby -3.40 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
GAIS
Mjällby
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

GAIS ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Mjällby
Created Set-piece attacking threat
GAIS Mjällby
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
GAIS Mjällby
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
GAIS
Mjällby
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

GAIS
vs
Mjällby
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
GAIS Mjällby
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
GAIS Mjällby
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
GAIS
Mjällby
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • GAIS had peak pressure around 59'.
  • GAIS started the game with stronger pressure.
GAIS Pressure Mjällby Pressure
Pressure Index: GAIS reached the top pressure at 59' (98.28).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 10 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

GAIS GAIS Home
10 matches
Mjällby Mjällby Away
Match Record
3
Wins
3
4
Draws
4
3
Losses
3
Goals
13
Goals Scored
17
17
Goals Conceded
13
-4
Goal Difference
+4

Data last updated: 2026-04-24T00:02:17+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch
A. Probst Hermansen
Denmark
33 A. Probst Hermansen
A. Wängberg
Sweden
6 A. Wängberg
A. Cardaklija
Sweden
22 A. Cardaklija
F. Beckman
Substitution
Sweden
24 F. Beckman
M. Wendin Thomasson
Substitution
Sweden
5 M. Wendin Thomasson
H. Sletsjøe
Substitution
Sweden
10 H. Sletsjøe
J. Åberg
Substitution
Sweden
7 J. Åberg
R. Þorkelsson
Iceland
17 R. Þorkelsson
B. Dankwah
Substitution
26 B. Dankwah
S. Salter
Canada
20 S. Salter
R. Niklasson Johansson
Sweden
11 R. Niklasson Johansson
Pitch
R. Wallinder
Sweden
13 R. Wallinder
A. Iqbal
Pakistan
5 A. Iqbal
A. Norén
Sweden
4 A. Norén
T. Miettinen
Finland
33 T. Miettinen
L. Tidstrand
Substitution
Sweden
27 L. Tidstrand
J. Gustavsson
Sweden
22 J. Gustavsson
V. Gustafsson
Substitution
Sweden
7 V. Gustafsson
M. Nielsen
Substitution
Denmark
25 M. Nielsen
A. Manneh
19 A. Manneh
J. Bergström
Sweden
18 J. Bergström
L. Malachowski Thorell
Substitution
Sweden
6 L. Malachowski Thorell

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 23, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 4 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Gamla Ullevi
Capacity :
18416
Attendance :
8011
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Granit Maqedonci
Oscar Johnson
Alexander Milovanovic
Anton Sjöberg

Statistics

Possession
GAIS
47%
Mjällby
53%

Top Statistics

3 Big Chances Created 1
8 Shots 4
57 Dangerous attacks 45
45 Possession 55
7 Corners 2
8 Free kicks 10
0 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

47 Successful Dribbles Percentage 58
15 Dribble Attempts 12
7 Successful Dribbles 7
18 Throwins 27
8 Goal Kicks 15
1 Hit Woodwork 0
10 Goal Attempts 5
75 Ball Safe 92
0 Injuries 2
5 Substitutions 3

Attacking

105 Attacks 106
3 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

293 Successful Passes 395
389 Passes 502
75 Successful Passes Percentage 79
66 Long Passes 76
33 Successful Long Passes Percentage 49
22 Successful Long Passes 37
15 Key Passes 11

Defensive

52 Duels Won 45
11 Interceptions 10
19 Tackles 18
3 Saves 7

Build-up

27 Total Crosses 9
5 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

10 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 6

Lineup

Referee : Oscar Johnson

Starting XI

33
Andreas Probst Hermansen
Andreas Probst Hermansen Goalkeeper
6.72
5
Robin Wendin Thomasson
Robin Wendin Thomasson Defender
6.59
2
Matteo de Brienne
Matteo de Brienne
Defender67'
6.75
6
August Wängberg
August Wängberg Defender
6.79
22
Anes Cardaklija
Anes Cardaklija Defender
6.31
24
Filip Beckman
Filip Beckman Defender
7.82
12
Robin Frej
Robin Frej
Defender84'
6.63
7
Joackim Åberg
Joackim Åberg Midfielder
6.57
4
Oskar Ågren
Oskar Ågren
Defender73'
7.16
10
Henry Sletsjøe
Henry Sletsjøe Midfielder
6.3
27
Mohamed Bawa
Mohamed Bawa
Midfielder73'
6.37
17
Róbert Frosti Thorkelsson
Róbert Frosti Thorkelsson Midfielder
6.81
11
Rasmus Patrik Niklasson Johansson
Rasmus Patrik Niklasson Johansson Attacker
6.46
20
S. Salter
S. Salter Attacker
6.79
26
Blessing Asumang
Blessing Asumang Attacker
6.44
16
M. Andersson
M. Andersson
Midfielder67'
6.59
Referee : Oscar Johnson

Starting XI

13
Robin Wallinder
Robin Wallinder Goalkeeper
6.69
4
Axel Norén
Axel Norén Defender
6.8
5
Abdullah Iqbal
Abdullah Iqbal Defender
6.61
33
Tony Miettinen
Tony Miettinen Defender
6.56
7
Viktor Gustafson
Viktor Gustafson Midfielder
6.71
39
Romeo Leandersson
Romeo Leandersson
Midfielder83'
6.44
22
Jesper Gustavsson
Jesper Gustavsson Midfielder
6.68
25
M. Nielsen
M. Nielsen Midfielder
6.7
17
Elliot Stroud
Elliot Stroud
Midfielder61'
7.71
27
Ludvig Tidstrand
Ludvig Tidstrand Midfielder
6.56
11
Timo Stavitski
Timo Stavitski
Attacker61'
6.3
6
Ludwig Malachowski Thorell
Ludwig Malachowski Thorell Attacker
7.15
29
Olle Lindberg
Olle Lindberg
Midfielder87'
6.53
18
Jacob Bergström
Jacob Bergström Attacker
7.06
19
Abdoulie Manneh
Abdoulie Manneh Attacker
7.56

Events

2ND-HALF
90+1'
Event
Tony Miettinen
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
87'
Event
Olle Lindberg Ludwig Malachowski Thorell
9th Substitution
Event
Robin Frej Filip Beckman
8th Substitution
84'
83'
Event
Romeo Leandersson Viktor Gustafson
7th Substitution
82'
Event
Axel Norén
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Oskar Ågren Joackim Åberg
5th Substitution
73'
Event
Mohamed Bawa Henry Sletsjøe
6th Substitution
73'
Event
M. Andersson Blessing Asumang
3rd Substitution
67'
Event
Matteo de Brienne Robin Wendin Thomasson
4th Substitution
67'
61'
Event
Timo Stavitski Ludvig Tidstrand
1st Substitution
61'
Event
Elliot Stroud M. Nielsen
2nd Substitution

CONCLUSION

The 0-0 draw highlighted a balanced contest where Mjällby’s possession edge failed to yield goals against GAIS’s sturdy defense. Deemed the stronger side, Mjällby experienced a significant deviation from anticipated dominance, settling for a point. GAIS’s organization proved key in neutralizing threats and earning a share of the spoils. Absent xG metrics, assessments rely on possession and events, with efficiency holding steady. No red cards or major incidents shaped the flow, reflecting a cautious, low-scoring battle. This result may temper Mjällby’s momentum while boosting GAIS confidence ahead.

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