Fulham vs West Ham United Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Premier League, England
Craven Cottage Fri, 6 Mar - 2:08 PM
Premier League
Fulham FUL
0 Winner 1
West Ham United WHU
Full Time Fri, 6 Mar 2:08 PM
|
Goal
Crysencio Summerville - 65'

CONTEXT

The match between Fulham and West Ham United has finished, with West Ham United securing a 1-0 away victory. The game was evenly poised at half-time with a 0-0 scoreline, but the visitors eventually broke the deadlock to claim the win. This outcome represented a significant deviation from pre-match expectations. Fulham entered the contest as the stronger team and pre-match favorites, holding a 43.3% implied win probability. Meanwhile, West Ham held just a 30.1% chance of winning, with a draw set at 26.7%. Because of this upset by West Ham, the final result was not aligned with the pre-match market. Despite suffering the defeat, Fulham controlled the ball with 60% possession compared to West Ham's 40%. Expected goals (xG) data was not available for this fixture, meaning it cannot be determined if the final outcome was consistent with the underlying shot quality. However, the post-match efficiency shift was entirely in line with the final scoreline. Finally, the match progressed without any major disciplinary disruptions, as no red cards were issued to either side.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: West Ham United showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

M. Donohue

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

T. Wood

1st Assistant

W. Smith

2nd Assistant

R. Ricardo

4th Official

Fulham M. Saraiva Da Silva
M. Saraiva Da Silva
VS
West Ham United N. Simões Espírito Santo
N. Simões Espírito Santo
1.52
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.91
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Manchester United Rank: L
Brighton & Hove Albion Rank: W
Leeds United Rank: L
Chelsea Rank: W
Liverpool Rank: D
Crystal Palace Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Manchester United Rank: D
Burnley Rank: W
Chelsea Rank: L
Sunderland Rank: W
Tottenham Hotspur Rank: W
Nottingham Forest Rank: L
7
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
7 - 7 - 18
18

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Fulham
43.29%
Draw
26.65%
Away West Ham United
30.06%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
42.62
32.18
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Fulham
West Ham United
Power Score
42.62
32.18
League Position
10
18
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Fulham — Opponent-weighted form score
West Ham United — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Fulham West Ham United

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Fulham

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

West Ham United

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Fulham ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy West Ham United
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
25.75
26.50
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
26.50
25.75
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Fulham -0.09 Efficiency Index
vs
West Ham United +0.09 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Fulham
West Ham United
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Fulham
vs
West Ham United
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Fulham West Ham United
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.00 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Fulham West Ham United
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
Fulham
West Ham United
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 6 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Fulham FUL Home
6 matches
West Ham United WHU Away
Match Record
2
Wins
3
1
Draws
1
3
Losses
2
Goals
4
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
4
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0.98
xG
1.09
1.09
xGA
0.98

Data last updated: 2026-03-07T11:20:48+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time :
Mar 06, 2026, 02:08 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, England
Stadium :
Craven Cottage
Capacity :
25700
Attendance :
27191
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Matt Donohue
Tim Wood
Wade Smith
Ruebyn Ricardo

Statistics

Possession
FUL
58%
WHU
42%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
0 Big Chances Created 3
5 Shots 3
49 Dangerous attacks 32
60 Possession 40
6 Corners 5
12 Free kicks 14
2 Yellow Cards 4

Match Overview

16 Successful Headers 12
18 Throwins 16
6 Goal Kicks 7
69 Ball Safe 57
9 Goal Attempts 6
75 Successful Dribbles Percentage 67
8 Dribble Attempts 12
6 Successful Dribbles 8
5 Substitutions 4
0 Assists 1
0 Injuries 1

Attacking

108 Attacks 84
0 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

83 Successful Passes Percentage 80
28 Successful Long Passes 13
50 Successful Long Passes Percentage 31
470 Successful Passes 302
56 Long Passes 42
563 Passes 379
8 Key Passes 8

Defensive

9 Tackles 7
3 Saves 5
3 Interceptions 14

Build-up

25 Total Crosses 15
9 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

14 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 7

Events

2ND-HALF
90+10'
Event
Jarrod Bowen 
Time wasting / 6th Yellowcard
Event
Antonee Robinson
Argument / 5th Yellowcard
90+9'
90+9'
Event
Mohamadou Kanté
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
90+2'
Event
Mohamadou Kanté → Mateus Fernandes
8th Substitution
90+2'
Event
Konstantinos Mavropanos → Jean-Clair Todibo
9th Substitution
Event
Calvin Bassey
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
90+1'
88'
Event
Adama Traoré → Taty Castellanos
7th Substitution
Event
Ryan Sessegnon → Sander Berge
6th Substitution
82'
Event
Timothy Castagne → Kenny Tete
5th Substitution
82'
65'
Event
Crysencio Summerville
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
Event
Emile Smith Rowe → Josh King
4th Substitution
61'
Event
Oscar Bobb  → Tom Cairney
3rd Substitution
61'
Event
Rodrigo Muniz → Raúl Jiménez
2nd Substitution
60'
60'
Event
Soungoutou Magassa → Callum Wilson
1st Substitution
Event
Tom Cairney
Penalty disallowed
49'
1ST-HALF
41'
Event
Aaron Wan-Bissaka
Simulation / 2nd Yellowcard
17'
Event
Mateus Fernandes
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Jarrod Bowen from West Ham United committed a foul.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Calvin Bassey of Fulham has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
90
Update Update
Match interruption due to an injury to Mateus Fernandes from West Ham United.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for West Ham United: Konstantinos Mavropanos is coming on to replace Jean-Clair Todibo.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 6 minutes of stoppage time.
90
Update Update
Mateus Fernandes from West Ham United earned a free kick in an offensive position.
90
Update Update
Adama Traoré committed a foul against West Ham United.
90
Update Update
Calvin Bassey from Fulham committed a foul.
90
Update Update
Jarrod Bowen from West Ham United committed a foul.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Jarrod Bowen from West Ham United has been shown a yellow card.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded with the final score: Fulham 0, West Ham United 1.
90
Update Update
Offside call against West Ham United. Jarrod Bowen has been flagged for being in an offside position.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Mohamadou Kanté of West Ham United has been shown a yellow card.
90
Update Update
Crysencio Summerville of West Ham United has been awarded a free kick in an attacking position.
90
Update Update
Timothy Castagne committed a foul against a Fulham player.
90
Update Update
Calvin Bassey from Fulham earned a free kick in an offensive position.
90
Update Update
The pause has ended. They’re set to resume play.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for West Ham United: Mohamadou Kanté replaces Mateus Fernandes due to an injury.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Antonee Robinson from Fulham has been shown a yellow card.
90
Update Update
Match halted due to an injury to Mateus Fernandes of West Ham United.
90
Update Update
Mads Hermansen of West Ham United earned a free kick in the defensive area.
89
Update Update
Calvin Bassey from Fulham committed a foul.
88
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for West Ham United: Adama Traoré comes on to replace Crysencio Summerville.
88
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Timothy Castagne from Fulham takes a right-footed shot from the center of the penalty area, but Mads Hermansen of West Ham United makes a save in the right corner.
87
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Fulham after Jean-Clair Todibo's defensive error.
85
Update Update
Offside call against West Ham United. Jarrod Bowen has been caught in an offside position.
84
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Fulham after Tomás Soucek allowed the ball to go out.
84
Corner Corner
Opportunity wasted! Timothy Castagne from Fulham attempted a header from the right side of the six-yard box, but it sailed over the bar and to the right. The assist came from Oscar Bobb, who delivered a cross following a corner kick.
83
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Fulham after Axel Disasi allowed the ball to go out.
82
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Fulham: Ryan Sessegnon comes on to replace Sander Berge.
82
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Fulham: Timothy Castagne replaces Kenny Tete.
82
Update Update
El Hadji Malick Diouf from West Ham United commits a handball.
81
Update Update
Offside call against West Ham United. El Hadji Malick Diouf has been flagged for being offside.
78
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Rodrigo Muniz from Fulham attempted a header from the middle of the penalty area but couldn't convert.
76
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Mateus Fernandes of West Ham United attempted a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it went wide to the left.
74
Update Update
Issa Diop from Fulham committed a foul.
74
Update Update
Valentín Castellanos of West Ham United has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
70
Update Update
Rodrigo Muniz from Fulham was awarded a free kick on the right flank.
70
Update Update
El Hadji Malick Diouf from West Ham United committed a foul.
69
Update Update
Kenny Tete from Fulham committed a foul.
69
Update Update
Crysencio Summerville of West Ham United was awarded a free kick on the left side of the field.
68
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Alex Iwobi of Fulham attempted a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area.
68
Update Update
Rodrigo Muniz from Fulham earned a free kick in an offensive position.
68
Update Update
Axel Disasi committed a foul against West Ham United.
65
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! West Ham United takes the lead with a score of 1-0 against Fulham. Crysencio Summerville finds the back of the net with a left-footed shot from the center of the box, placing it perfectly into the left corner. The assist comes from Jarrod Bowen.
65
Corner Corner
Another offensive push. Emile Smith Rowe from Fulham takes a left-footed shot from the right side of the six-yard box, but Mads Hermansen of West Ham United makes a save, diving to his right corner.
64
Update Update
The attempt is thwarted. Rodrigo Muniz of Fulham heads the ball from the center of the penalty area, but it's blocked. The cross was delivered by Alex Iwobi.
64
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Fulham after Jean-Clair Todibo allowed it to go out.
62
Update Update
Valentín Castellanos of West Ham United was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
62
Update Update
Calvin Bassey from Fulham committed a foul.
61
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Fulham: Emile Smith Rowe replaces Josh King.
61
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Fulham: Oscar Bobb is coming on to replace Tom Cairney.
60
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Fulham: Rodrigo Muniz comes on to replace Raúl Jiménez.
60
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for West Ham United: Soungoutou Magassa replaces Callum Wilson.
59
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity squandered. Callum Wilson of West Ham United attempted a right-footed shot from close range but failed to convert. The assist came from Crysencio Summerville, who delivered a cross.
57
Update Update
Axel Disasi committed a foul against West Ham United.
57
Update Update
Raúl Jiménez from Fulham earned a free kick in the defensive area.
56
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to West Ham United after Bernd Leno allowed the ball to go out.
54
Update Update
Offside - West Ham United. Callum Wilson has been caught in an offside position.
54
Attempt Attempt
The attempt on goal was thwarted. Crysencio Summerville of West Ham United took a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it was blocked. The assist came from Valentín Castellanos, who set him up with a header.
52
Update Update
Raúl Jiménez from Fulham committed a foul.
52
Update Update
Crysencio Summerville of West Ham United has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
49
Update Update
Valentín Castellanos of West Ham United earned a free kick in the defensive area.
49
Update Update
Tom Cairney from Fulham committed a foul.
49
Update Update
VAR Review: Penalty Not Awarded for Fulham.
47
Update Update
Offside call against West Ham United. Tomás Soucek has been flagged for being in an offside position.
46
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to West Ham United after Antonee Robinson allowed the ball to go out.
46
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to West Ham United after Bernd Leno allowed the ball to go out of play.
46
Update Update
A new offensive move unfolds. Tomás Soucek of West Ham United heads the ball from the center of the box, but Bernd Leno from Fulham makes a great save, deflecting it towards the top center of the goal. The assist came from Jarrod Bowen, who delivered a precise cross.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Fulham after Mads Hermansen allowed the ball to go out.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Fulham after Aaron Wan-Bissaka allowed the ball to go out.
45
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Fulham after Axel Disasi allowed the ball to go out.
45
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive push from Fulham. Josh King takes a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but Mads Hermansen, the West Ham United goalkeeper, makes a save right in the middle of the goal. The assist came from Antonee Robinson, who delivered a cross.
45
Update Update
The first half has concluded with the score tied at Fulham 0, West Ham United 0.
45
Update Update
The second half is underway with the score still tied at Fulham 0, West Ham United 0.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be one minute of stoppage time.
44
Update Update
Josh King from Fulham has earned a free kick in an offensive position.
44
Update Update
Mateus Fernandes committed a foul on a West Ham United player.
44
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Callum Wilson from West Ham United attempted a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area.
42
Update Update
Alex Iwobi committed a foul against Fulham.
42
Update Update
Jarrod Bowen from West Ham United earned a free kick in the defensive area.
41
Update Update
Aaron Wan-Bissaka from West Ham United has fallen to the ground, but the referee believes he is acting and has called it a dive.
41
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Aaron Wan-Bissaka of West Ham United has been shown a yellow card.
37
Update Update
Offside call against West Ham United. Jarrod Bowen is caught in an offside position.
33
Update Update
Jarrod Bowen from West Ham United earned a free kick on the right flank.
33
Update Update
Jarrod Bowen from West Ham United earned a free kick on the right side of the field.
32
Update Update
Jean-Clair Todibo of West Ham United has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
32
Update Update
Raúl Jiménez of Fulham committed a foul.
31
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity squandered. Jarrod Bowen of West Ham United attempted a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area.
30
Update Update
Valentín Castellanos of West Ham United earned a free kick in the defensive area.
30
Update Update
Tom Cairney from Fulham committed a foul.
28
Update Update
Crysencio Summerville committed a foul against West Ham United.
28
Update Update
Kenny Tete from Fulham earned a free kick on the right side of the field.
28
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive effort underway. Alex Iwobi from Fulham takes a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but it's stopped by the goalkeeper.
27
Attempt Attempt
A header attempt from Kenny Tete of Fulham is thwarted. The shot, taken from the middle of the penalty area, is blocked. The cross that set it up came from Tom Cairney.
26
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Fulham after Valentín Castellanos allowed the ball to go out.
23
Update Update
Crysencio Summerville committed a foul on a West Ham United player.
23
Update Update
Raúl Jiménez of Fulham earned a free kick in the defensive area.
21
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to West Ham United after Issa Diop allowed the ball to go out.
19
Update Update
Raúl Jiménez of Fulham earned a free kick in the defensive area.
19
Update Update
Axel Disasi committed a foul against West Ham United.
17
Update Update
Mateus Fernandes committed a foul against West Ham United.
17
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Mateus Fernandes of West Ham United has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
17
Update Update
Alex Iwobi from Fulham earned a free kick in the defensive area.
16
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to West Ham United after Alex Iwobi allowed the ball to go out of play.
15
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Jarrod Bowen of West Ham United fires a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's blocked. The assist came from Valentín Castellanos.
15
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to West Ham United after Issa Diop allowed the ball to go out.
9
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted! Josh King from Fulham attempted a left-footed shot from the center of the box, but it went wide to the left. The assist was provided by Antonee Robinson.
8
Update Update
Jarrod Bowen from West Ham United earned a free kick in the defensive area.
8
Update Update
Josh King committed a foul against Fulham.
4
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive push here. Samuel Chukwueze from Fulham takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but Mads Hermansen, the West Ham United goalkeeper, makes a save right in the middle of the goal. The assist came from Josh King.
4
Update Update
Kenny Tete from Fulham committed a foul.
4
Update Update
Crysencio Summerville of West Ham United has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
1
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive play unfolds as Valentín Castellanos of West Ham United takes a right-footed shot from the center of the penalty area. However, Bernd Leno of Fulham makes a fantastic save, deflecting the ball into the top left corner. The assist came from Jarrod Bowen.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: West Ham United exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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