FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München Prediction, Preview and Stats

Germany flag 2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany
Mewa Arena Sat, 25 Apr - 1:30 PM
Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 M05
3 Winner 4
FC Bayern München FCB
Full Time Sat, 25 Apr 1:30 PM
Round 31 Regular Season
Sheraldo Becker - 45+2'
Paul Nebel - 29'
Dominik Kohr - 15'
Goal
|
Goal
Harry Kane - 83'
Jamal Musiala - 80'
Michael Olise - 73'
Nicolas Jackson - 53'

CONTEXT

FSV Mainz 05 pulled off a stunning first-half performance against FC Bayern München, racing to a 3-0 halftime lead despite Bayern controlling 70% possession. Mainz's early goals shocked the visitors, capitalizing on defensive lapses. However, Bayern's quality shone through in the second half as they flipped the script, netting four unanswered goals for a dramatic 3-4 victory. This comeback showcased Bayern's depth and resilience, with their superior squad status prevailing. No red cards influenced the outcome, and the match featured no major tactical shifts. Bayern's win reflects their dominance, overcoming the halftime deficit through relentless pressure and clinical finishing. The result marks a testament to their championship pedigree in the Bundesliga.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: FC Bayern München showed a significant 48.5% structural deviation in their favor.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing data.
  • Market alignment: Final outcome aligned with pre-match market probabilities.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without data.
  • Event impact: No notable second-half adjustments or events impacted the match.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, resulting in zero distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

M. Petersen

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

A. Sather

2nd Assistant

R. Wessel

1st Assistant

F. Prigan

4th Official

FSV Mainz 05 U. Fischer
U. Fischer
VS
FC Bayern München V. Kompany
V. Kompany
1.3
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.52
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Borussia Mönchengladbach Rank: D
SC Freiburg Rank: L
TSG Hoffenheim Rank: W
Eintracht Frankfurt Rank: W
Werder Bremen Rank: W
VfB Stuttgart Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
VfB Stuttgart Rank: W
St. Pauli Rank: W
SC Freiburg Rank: W
FC Union Berlin Rank: W
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Rank: D
Borussia Mönchengladbach Rank: W
8
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
8 - 4 - 25
25

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home FSV Mainz 05
26.66%
Draw
21.87%
Away FC Bayern München
51.46%

Movement

Changes since opening
FSV Mainz 05
+26.47%
Draw
+17.29%
FC Bayern München
-43.77%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
32.45
52.87
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
FSV Mainz 05
FC Bayern München
Power Score
32.45
52.87
League Position
10
1
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
FSV Mainz 05 — Opponent-weighted form score
FC Bayern München — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) FSV Mainz 05 FC Bayern München

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

FSV Mainz 05

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

FC Bayern München

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

FSV Mainz 05 ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy FC Bayern München
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
77.67
20.29
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
20.29
77.67
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
FSV Mainz 05 +5.10 Efficiency Index
vs
FC Bayern München -5.10 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
FSV Mainz 05
FC Bayern München
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

FSV Mainz 05 ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy FC Bayern München
Created Set-piece attacking threat
FSV Mainz 05 FC Bayern München
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
FSV Mainz 05 FC Bayern München
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
FSV Mainz 05
FC Bayern München
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
FSV Mainz 05
vs
FC Bayern München
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
FSV Mainz 05 FC Bayern München
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
FSV Mainz 05 0.46
FC Bayern München 0.17
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
FSV Mainz 05 FC Bayern München
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
FSV Mainz 05 0.06
FC Bayern München 0.07
FSV Mainz 05
FC Bayern München
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • M05 had peak pressure around 17'.
  • FCB started the game with stronger pressure.
M05 Pressure FCB Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: M05 reached the top pressure at 17' (94.43).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 37 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

FSV Mainz 05 M05 Home
37 matches
FC Bayern München FCB Away
Match Record
8
Wins
25
4
Draws
4
25
Losses
8
Goals
43
Goals Scored
104
104
Goals Conceded
43
-61
Goal Difference
+61

Data last updated: 2026-04-26T00:03:09+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-5-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
D. Batz
Germany
33 D. Batz
D. Vieira da Costa
Germany
21 D. Vieira da Costa
S. Posch
Austria
4 S. Posch
D. Kohr
Substitution
Germany
31 D. Kohr
S. Widmer
Substitution
Switzerland
30 S. Widmer
P. Nebel
Substitution
Germany
8 P. Nebel
K. Sano
Japan
6 K. Sano
N. Amiri
Substitution
Germany
10 N. Amiri
P. Mwene
Austria
2 P. Mwene
S. Becker
Substitution
Suriname
23 S. Becker
P. Tietz
Germany
20 P. Tietz
Pitch
J. Urbig
Germany
40 J. Urbig
A. Davies
Substitution
Canada
19 A. Davies
H. Ito
Japan
21 H. Ito
M. Kim
South Korea
3 M. Kim
K. Laimer
Austria
27 K. Laimer
A. Pavlović
Substitution
Germany
45 A. Pavlović
B. Sapoko Ndiaye
Substitution
Senegal
39 B. Sapoko Ndiaye
L. Díaz Marulanda
Substitution
Colombia
14 L. Díaz Marulanda
L. Goretzka
Germany
8 L. Goretzka
R. Guerreiro
Substitution
Portugal
22 R. Guerreiro
N. Jackson
Senegal
11 N. Jackson

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 25, 2026, 01:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Mewa Arena
Capacity :
34000
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Alexander Sather
Robert Edgar Wessel
Felix Prigan
Martin Petersen

Statistics

Possession
M05
38%
FCB
62%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 4
5 Big Chances Created 6
8 Shots 6
46 Dangerous attacks 64
30 Possession 70
4 Corners 4
10 Free kicks 14
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

12 Successful Headers 12
9 Goal Kicks 11
14 Throwins 10
44 Successful Dribbles Percentage 46
16 Dribble Attempts 26
1 Assists 2
7 Successful Dribbles 12
75 Ball Safe 84
1 Injuries 0
14 Goal Attempts 9
1 Hit Woodwork 0
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

73 Attacks 106
2 Big Chances Missed 3

Possession

15 Key Passes 9
193 Successful Passes 556
76 Successful Passes Percentage 90
23 Successful Long Passes 14
254 Passes 619
43 Successful Long Passes Percentage 45
53 Long Passes 31

Defensive

11 Interceptions 9
2 Saves 5
23 Tackles 15
52 Duels Won 53

Build-up

18 Total Crosses 22
4 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

14 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Martin Petersen

Starting XI ▼

33
Daniel Batz
Daniel Batz Goalkeeper
7.06
4
Stefan Posch
Stefan Posch Defender
6.89
21
Danny da Costa
Danny da Costa Defender
6.81
31
Dominik Kohr
Dominik Kohr Defender
6.83
44
Nelson Weiper
Nelson Weiper
Attacker85'
6.55
2
Grenddy Perozo
Grenddy Perozo Midfielder
6.64
6
Kaishu Sano
Kaishu Sano Midfielder
6.97
8
Paul Nebel
Paul Nebel Midfielder
6.89
14
William Bøving
William Bøving
Attacker85'
6.64
10
Nadiem Amiri
Nadiem Amiri Midfielder
7.37
15
Lennard Maloney
Lennard Maloney
Midfielder79'
6.53
30
Silvan Widmer
Silvan Widmer Midfielder
6.71
19
Anthony Caci
Anthony Caci
Defender80'
7.14
20
Phillip Tietz
Phillip Tietz Attacker
6.5
23
Sheraldo Becker
Sheraldo Becker Attacker
6.8
11
Armindo Sieb
Armindo Sieb
Attacker71'
6.58
Referee : Martin Petersen

Starting XI ▼

40
Jonas Urbig
Jonas Urbig Goalkeeper
6.87
3
Min-jae Kim
Min-jae Kim Defender
7.1
19
Alphonso Davies
Alphonso Davies Defender
6.83
44
Josip Stanisic
Josip Stanisic
Defender57'
7.05
21
Hiroki Ito
Hiroki Ito Defender
6.82
27
Konrad Laimer
Konrad Laimer Defender
6.97
8
Leon Goretzka
Leon Goretzka Midfielder
7.09
14
Luis Díaz
Luis Díaz Midfielder
7.56
17
Michael Olise
Michael Olise
Midfielder46'
7.81
22
Raphaël Guerreiro
Raphaël Guerreiro Midfielder
6.97
10
Jamal Musiala
Jamal Musiala
Midfielder57'
6.95
39
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye Midfielder
6.71
4
Jonathan Tah
Jonathan Tah
Defender77'
7.07
45
Aleksandar Pavlovic
Aleksandar Pavlovic Midfielder
7.15
9
Harry Kane
Harry Kane
Attacker46'
7.93
11
Nicolas Jackson
Nicolas Jackson Attacker
6.85

Events

2ND-HALF
90+7'
Event
Michael Olise
Time wasting / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
William Bøving → Paul Nebel
9th Substitution
85'
Event
Nelson Weiper → Dominik Kohr
10th Substitution
85'
83'
Event
Harry Kane
Right foot shot / 7th Goal
Event
Anthony Caci → Silvan Widmer
8th Substitution
80'
80'
Event
Jamal Musiala
Right foot shot / 6th Goal
Event
Lennard Maloney → Nadiem Amiri
7th Substitution
79'
77'
Event
Jonathan Tah → Bara Sapoko Ndiaye
6th Substitution
73'
Event
Michael Olise
Left foot shot / 5th Goal
Event
Armindo Sieb → Sheraldo Becker
5th Substitution
71'
57'
Event
Jamal Musiala → Raphaël Guerreiro
3rd Substitution
57'
Event
Josip Stanisic → Alphonso Davies
4th Substitution
53'
Event
Nicolas Jackson
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
46'
Event
Michael Olise → Luis Díaz
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Harry Kane → Aleksandar Pavlovic
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Sheraldo Becker
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
45+2'
33'
Event
Konrad Laimer
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Paul Nebel
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
29'
Event
Dominik Kohr
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
20'
Event
Dominik Kohr
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
15'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 7 minutes of added time.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to 1. FSV Mainz 05 after a concession by Jonathan Tah.
90
Update Update
Lennard Maloney's header from the left side of the box is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Anthony Caci's cross.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to 1. FSV Mainz 05 after Kim Min-Jae concedes.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Michael Olise of FC Bayern München receives a yellow card.
90
Update Update
The second half ends with 1. FSV Mainz 05 losing 3-4 to FC Bayern München.
90
Attempt Attempt
Lennard Maloney's left-footed shot from the left side of the box is blocked.
90
Corner Corner
Kaishu Sano from 1. FSV Mainz 05 has a right-footed shot from outside the box that is close but misses to the left after a corner.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to 1. FSV Mainz 05 after Hiroki Ito concedes.
89
Attempt Attempt
Armindo Sieb from 1. FSV Mainz 05 misses the attempt with a right-footed shot from outside the box, sending it high and wide to the right. Nelson Weiper provided the assist.
88
Update Update
Foul committed by Armindo Sieb of 1. FSV Mainz 05.
88
Update Update
Jamal Musiala from FC Bayern München wins a free kick in the defensive half.
86
Update Update
Foul by Phillipp Mwene of 1. FSV Mainz 05.
86
Update Update
Michael Olise from FC Bayern München wins a free kick in the defensive half.
85
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05: Nelson Weiper comes on for Dominik Kohr.
85
Update Update
Foul committed by Kaishu Sano of 1. FSV Mainz 05.
85
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05: William Bøving comes on for Paul Nebel.
80
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05: Anthony Caci comes on for Silvan Widmer.
80
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Jamal Musiala scores for FC Bayern München with a right-footed shot from very close range to the center of the goal. The match is now 3-3.
79
Update Update
Lennard Maloney comes on for Nadiem Amiri at 1. FSV Mainz 05.
78
Update Update
Foul committed by Dominik Kohr of 1. FSV Mainz 05.
78
Update Update
Jamal Musiala of FC Bayern München wins a free kick in the attacking half.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for FC Bayern München: Jonathan Tah comes on for Bara Sapoko Ndiaye.
76
Corner Corner
FC Bayern München wins a corner after Phillipp Mwene concedes.
76
Corner Corner
FC Bayern München win a corner after Phillipp Mwene concedes.
74
Attempt Attempt
Nadiem Amiri from 1. FSV Mainz 05 misses an attempt with a right-footed shot from outside the box, sending it high and wide to the left. Silvan Widmer provided the assist.
73
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Michael Olise scores for FC Bayern München with a left-footed shot from the right side of the box into the top left corner. The match score is now 3-2 in favor of 1. FSV Mainz 05.
72
Update Update
Foul by Paul Nebel of 1. FSV Mainz 05.
72
Update Update
Konrad Laimer from FC Bayern München is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
71
Update Update
Foul committed by Konrad Laimer of FC Bayern München.
71
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05: Armindo Sieb comes on for Sheraldo Becker.
71
Update Update
Foul committed by Paul Nebel of 1. FSV Mainz 05.
71
Update Update
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye of FC Bayern München wins a free kick in the defensive half.
71
Update Update
Phillipp Mwene from 1. FSV Mainz 05 wins a free kick in the defensive half.
69
Attempt Attempt
Nadiem Amiri's right-footed shot from the right side of the box is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Paul Nebel.
68
Update Update
Sheraldo Becker's header from the center of the box is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Silvan Widmer's cross.
68
Attempt Attempt
Jamal Musiala from FC Bayern München misses a right-footed shot from outside the box to the left, assisted by Harry Kane during a fast break.
66
Update Update
Foul committed by Jamal Musiala of FC Bayern München.
66
Update Update
Sheraldo Becker of 1. FSV Mainz 05 wins a free kick in the attacking half.
66
Update Update
Sheraldo Becker of 1. FSV Mainz 05 wins a free kick in the attacking half.
64
Corner Corner
FC Bayern München wins a corner, conceded by Paul Nebel.
64
Update Update
Foul by Phillipp Mwene of 1. FSV Mainz 05.
64
Update Update
Michael Olise wins a free kick for FC Bayern München on the right wing.
62
Corner Corner
Nicolas Jackson's left-footed shot from the left side of the box is saved in the bottom left corner by Daniel Batz. The attempt was assisted by Leon Goretzka with a through ball.
61
Update Update
Foul by Sheraldo Becker of 1. FSV Mainz 05.
61
Update Update
Foul by Sheraldo Becker of 1. FSV Mainz 05.
58
Corner Corner
FC Bayern München wins a corner after Stefan Posch concedes.
57
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for FC Bayern München: Josip Stanisic comes on for Alphonso Davies.
57
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for FC Bayern München: Jamal Musiala comes on for Raphaël Guerreiro.
55
Update Update
Foul committed by Leon Goretzka of FC Bayern München.
55
Update Update
Phillip Tietz from 1. FSV Mainz 05 wins a free kick in the attacking half.
55
Attempt Attempt
Kaishu Sano from 1. FSV Mainz 05 misses the attempt with a right-footed shot from outside the box, sending it high and wide to the right. The assist came from Phillip Tietz.
53
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed by Konrad Laimer from FC Bayern München, who took a right-footed shot from the right side of the box.
53
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Nicolas Jackson scores for FC Bayern München with a right-footed shot from the center of the box into the top left corner, assisted by Konrad Laimer's cross. The match score is now 3-1 in favor of 1. FSV Mainz 05.
50
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Bara Sapoko Ndiaye of FC Bayern München.
49
Update Update
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye of FC Bayern München wins a free kick in the attacking half.
49
Update Update
Foul committed by Kaishu Sano of 1. FSV Mainz 05.
49
Attempt Attempt
Nicolas Jackson's left-footed shot from the center of the box is saved by Daniel Batz in the center of the goal. The attempt was assisted by Alphonso Davies.
48
Corner Corner
Sheraldo Becker's right-footed shot from outside the box is saved in the bottom left corner by Jonas Urbig.
46
Update Update
Foul committed by Nadiem Amiri of 1. FSV Mainz 05.
46
Update Update
Leon Goretzka of FC Bayern München wins a free kick on the right wing.
45
Update Update
First half ends with 1. FSV Mainz 05 leading FC Bayern München 3-0.
45
Update Update
Dominik Kohr from 1. FSV Mainz 05 is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
45
Update Update
Danny da Costa from 1. FSV Mainz 05 wins a free kick in the defensive half.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for FC Bayern München: Michael Olise comes on for Luis Díaz.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 3 minutes of added time.
45
Update Update
Foul by Aleksandar Pavlovic of FC Bayern München.
45
Update Update
Danny da Costa from 1. FSV Mainz 05 wins a free kick in the defensive half.
45
Corner Corner
Nadiem Amiri's right-footed shot from the left side of the box is saved in the top left corner by Jonas Urbig. The attempt was assisted by Kaishu Sano.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Sheraldo Becker scores for 1. FSV Mainz 05 with a right-footed shot from very close range into the bottom right corner. The score is now 3-0 against FC Bayern München.
45
Update Update
The second half begins with the score at 3-0 in favor of 1. FSV Mainz 05 against FC Bayern München.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for FC Bayern München: Harry Kane comes on for Aleksandar Pavlovic.
44
Update Update
Foul by Paul Nebel of 1. FSV Mainz 05.
44
Update Update
Luis Díaz wins a free kick for FC Bayern München on the left wing.
43
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Paul Nebel of 1. FSV Mainz 05 shoots left-footed from the center of the box, but it's too high. He was assisted by Phillip Tietz, who provided a headed pass after a set piece situation.
42
Update Update
Phillip Tietz from 1. FSV Mainz 05 wins a free kick in the attacking half.
42
Update Update
Foul by Hiroki Ito of FC Bayern München.
41
Update Update
Foul by Luis Díaz of FC Bayern München.
41
Update Update
Paul Nebel from 1. FSV Mainz 05 wins a free kick in the defensive half.
40
Attempt Attempt
Alphonso Davies from FC Bayern München misses a left-footed shot from the left side of the six-yard box, sending it close but to the left. He was assisted by Aleksandar Pavlovic's cross.
38
Update Update
Foul committed by Dominik Kohr of 1. FSV Mainz 05.
38
Update Update
Nicolas Jackson wins a free kick for FC Bayern München on the right wing.
35
Update Update
Stefan Posch of 1. FSV Mainz 05 misses a header from the center of the box, sending it to the left. Nadiem Amiri provided the assist with a cross after a set piece.
34
Update Update
Foul committed by Luis Díaz of FC Bayern München.
34
Update Update
Paul Nebel from 1. FSV Mainz 05 wins a free kick on the right wing.
33
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Konrad Laimer of FC Bayern München receives a yellow card.
33
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to 1. FSV Mainz 05 after a concession by Hiroki Ito.
32
Update Update
Kaishu Sano from 1. FSV Mainz 05 wins a free kick on the left wing.
32
Update Update
Foul committed by Konrad Laimer of FC Bayern München.
31
Update Update
Foul committed by Konrad Laimer of FC Bayern München.
31
Update Update
Phillipp Mwene from 1. FSV Mainz 05 wins a free kick in the defensive half.
29
Corner Corner
Nadiem Amiri's right-footed shot from the left side of the box is saved in the bottom left corner by Jonas Urbig. The attempt was assisted by Kaishu Sano.
29
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Paul Nebel scores for 1. FSV Mainz 05 with a left-footed shot from the center of the box into the top left corner. The score is now 2-0 against FC Bayern München.
22
Corner Corner
FC Bayern München wins a corner, conceded by Silvan Widmer.
22
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Sheraldo Becker from 1. FSV Mainz 05.
20
Update Update
Foul committed by Dominik Kohr of 1. FSV Mainz 05.
20
Update Update
Luis Díaz wins a free kick for FC Bayern München in the defensive half.
20
Attempt Attempt
Nadiem Amiri's right-footed shot from the center of the box is saved by Jonas Urbig in the top center of the goal.
20
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Sheraldo Becker of 1. FSV Mainz 05 had a left-footed shot from the left side of the box, which was saved in the center of the goal by Jonas Urbig of FC Bayern München. The assist came from Dominik Kohr.
20
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Silvan Widmer from 1. FSV Mainz 05 takes a right-footed shot from outside the box that goes close but misses to the right. He was assisted by Phillipp Mwene.
20
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Dominik Kohr of 1. FSV Mainz 05 receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
18
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Phillipp Mwene from 1. FSV Mainz 05 has a right-footed shot from a tough angle on the left, but it's saved.
17
Update Update
Foul committed by Paul Nebel of 1. FSV Mainz 05.
17
Update Update
Hiroki Ito of FC Bayern München wins a free kick on the left wing.
15
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Dominik Kohr scores for 1. FSV Mainz 05 with a right-footed shot from the center of the box into the top left corner, assisted by Kaishu Sano's cross after a corner. The score is 1-0.
14
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to 1. FSV Mainz 05 after a concession by Hiroki Ito.
14
Attempt Attempt
Danny da Costa's left-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Phillipp Mwene.
12
Corner Corner
FC Bayern München win a corner after Stefan Posch concedes.
7
Update Update
Konrad Laimer from FC Bayern München wins a free kick on the right wing.
7
Update Update
Foul committed by Nadiem Amiri of 1. FSV Mainz 05.
4
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Raphaël Guerreiro from FC Bayern München takes a left-footed shot from the center of the box.

CONCLUSION

FC Bayern München's 4-3 triumph over FSV Mainz 05 epitomizes their Bundesliga supremacy, turning a 0-3 halftime deficit into victory through second-half dominance. With 70% possession, Bayern overwhelmed Mainz after the break, scoring four goals to erase the shock lead. This performance reinforces Bayern as the stronger side, aligning with their pre-match favoritism. The absence of red cards ensured a pure test of quality, where Bayern's efficiency prevailed. Mainz's early success fades against Bayern's resilience, highlighting the gap in class. A defining win that boosts Bayern's title charge.

FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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