Frosinone vs Sampdoria Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
Stadio Benito Stirpe Mon, 9 Mar - 12:08 AM
Serie B
Frosinone FRO
3 Winner 0
Sampdoria SAM
Full Time Mon, 9 Mar 12:08 AM
Niccolò Corrado - 64'
Antonio Raimondo - 49'
Antonio Fiori - 25'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Frosinone 3–0 Sampdoria. The result saw Frosinone take the points. Frosinone showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 48%–52%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Frosinone showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

F. La Penna

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

T. Miniutti

2nd Assistant

A. Lo Cicero

1st Assistant

A. Zoppi

4th Official

Frosinone M. Alvini
M. Alvini
VS
Sampdoria A. Gregucci
A. Gregucci
2.04
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.16
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Empoli Rank: D
Spezia Rank: W
Avellino Rank: W
Venezia Rank: L
Virtus Entella Rank: D
Reggiana Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Bari 1908 Rank: L
Mantova Rank: L
Calcio Padova Rank: W
Palermo Rank: D
Modena Rank: W
Spezia Rank: W
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 2 - 2
2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Frosinone
47.85%
Draw
26.61%
Away Sampdoria
25.54%

Movement

Changes since opening
Frosinone
-0.87%
Draw
+0.01%
Sampdoria
+0.86%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
66.67
34.48
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Frosinone
Sampdoria
Power Score
66.67
34.48
League Position
3
15
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Frosinone — Opponent-weighted form score
Sampdoria — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Frosinone Sampdoria

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Frosinone

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Sampdoria

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Frosinone ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sampdoria
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
56.25
20.48
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
20.48
56.25
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Frosinone +3.41 Efficiency Index
vs
Sampdoria -3.41 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Frosinone
Sampdoria
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Frosinone ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sampdoria
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Frosinone Sampdoria
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Frosinone Sampdoria
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Frosinone
Sampdoria
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Frosinone FRO Home
3 matches
Sampdoria SAM Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
2
Draws
2
0
Losses
1
Goals
6
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
6
+3
Goal Difference
-3

Data last updated: 2026-03-09T00:08:20+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time :
Mar 09, 2026, 12:08 AM
Competition :
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
Stadium :
Stadio Benito Stirpe
Capacity :
16227
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Federico La Penna
Thomas Miniutti
Alessandro Lo Cicero
Andrea Zoppi

Statistics

Possession
FRO
49%
SAM
51%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 0
5 Big Chances Created 1
16 Shots 5
60 Dangerous attacks 33
48 Possession 52
10 Corners 2
14 Free kicks 16
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

5 Substitutions 5
10 Dribble Attempts 11
13 Goal Attempts 4
50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 73
5 Successful Dribbles 8
2 Assists 0
16 Throwins 15
47 Ball Safe 51
9 Goal Kicks 12

Attacking

3 Big Chances Missed 1
90 Attacks 85

Possession

18 Successful Long Passes 23
69 Long Passes 63
346 Passes 397
73 Successful Passes Percentage 77
18 Key Passes 7
253 Successful Passes 306
26 Successful Long Passes Percentage 37

Defensive

6 Tackles 7
7 Interceptions 9
1 Saves 7

Build-up

29 Total Crosses 14
9 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

1 Offsides 4
14 Fouls 11

Events

2ND-HALF
81'
Event
Tommaso Casalino → Matteo Ricci
9th Substitution
81'
Event
Fabio Depaoli → Alessandro Di Pardo
10th Substitution
Event
Ilias Koutsoupias → Giacomo Calò
7th Substitution
76'
Event
Edoardo Vergani → Antonio Raimondo
8th Substitution
76'
Event
Seydou Fini → Farès Ghedjemis
5th Substitution
67'
Event
Giorgi Kvernadze → Antonio Fiori
6th Substitution
67'
66'
Event
Simone Pafundi → Edoardo Soleri
4th Substitution
65'
Event
Antonín Barák → Mattia Viti
3rd Substitution
Event
Niccolò Corrado
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
64'
Event
Antonio Fiori
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
61'
56'
Event
Luigi Cherubini → Salvatore Esposito
2nd Substitution
Event
Jérémy Oyono → Anthony Oyono
1st Substitution
51'
Event
Antonio Raimondo
Header / 2nd Goal
49'
48'
Event
Salvatore Esposito
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
Event
4th Yellowcard
36'
Event
Anthony Oyono
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
36'
Event
Antonio Fiori
Header / 1st Goal
25'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Frosinone exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

Frosinone vs Sampdoria preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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