Frosinone vs Palermo Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Serie B, Italy

Stadio Benito Stirpe Fri, 10 Apr - 6:30 PM

Serie B

Frosinone FRO

1 – 1

Palermo PAL

Full Time Fri, 10 Apr 6:30 PM

Round 34 Regular Season

Giacomo Calò - 75'

Filippo Ranocchia - 89'

CONTEXT

The match between Frosinone and Palermo has finished with a full-time score of 1-1. The sides were level at 0-0 at halftime, and neither was able to find a winning goal despite second-half opportunities. This draw represented a significant deviation from pre-match expectations, which had pointed toward a home victory for Frosinone. Palermo, regarded as the stronger side entering the contest, were unable to translate that edge into a win, resulting in an outcome that did not align with the pre-match projection. The efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations, producing a balanced if unspectacular contest without major swings in performance levels. Palermo held a slight edge in possession at 54 percent to Frosinone’s 46 percent, though no expected goals data was available to further assess chance quality or alignment with the final result. No red cards were shown, so the scoreline was unaffected by any disciplinary events. Overall the stalemate highlighted a clear departure from what had been anticipated beforehand.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Palermo showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: No major event distortion.
Red card distortion: None.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

S. Sozza

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Belsanti

1st Assistant

S. Biffi

2nd Assistant

D. Di Marco

4th Official

M. Alvini

F. Inzaghi

2.08

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.88

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

2 - 4 - 5

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Frosinone

41.9%

Draw

26.92%

Palermo

31.18%

Movement

Changes since opening

Frosinone

+39.16%

Draw

-61.86%

Palermo

+22.71%

Team Power Ranking

32.58

32.79

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Frosinone

Palermo

Power Score

32.58

32.79

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Frosinone — Opponent-weighted form score

Palermo — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Frosinone Palermo

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Frosinone

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Palermo

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Frosinone ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Palermo

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

34.89

28.15

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

28.15

34.89

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Frosinone +0.64 Efficiency Index

Palermo -0.64 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Frosinone

Palermo

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Frosinone ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Palermo

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Frosinone Palermo

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Frosinone Palermo

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Frosinone

Palermo

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Frosinone

Palermo

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Frosinone Palermo

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Frosinone Palermo

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Frosinone

Palermo

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

PAL had peak pressure around 69'.
FRO started the game with stronger pressure.

FRO Pressure PAL Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: PAL reached the top pressure at 69' (73.11).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 11 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Frosinone FRO Home

11 matches

Palermo PAL Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-6

Goal Difference

Data last updated: 2026-04-11T00:02:38+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3

Match Formation 3-5-2

22 L. Palmisani

20 A. Oyono Omva Torque

30 I. Monterisi

2 G. Cittadini

79 G. Bracaglia

14 G. Calò

16 M. Cichella

8 I. Koutsoupias

7 F. Ghedjemis

9 A. Raimondo

17 G. Kvernadze

1 A. Gomis

32 P. Ceccaroni

13 M. Bani

27 N. Pierozzi

3 T. Augello

8 J. Segre

10 F. Ranocchia

5 A. Palumbo

18 R. Muati Modesto

20 J. Pohjanpalo

21 J. Le Douaron

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 10, 2026, 06:30 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 34 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Stadio Benito Stirpe

Capacity :

16227

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Simone Sozza

Marco Belsanti

Simone Biffi

Davide Di Marco

Statistics

Possession

FRO

49%

PAL

51%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1

1 Big Chances Created 1

8 Shots 8

41 Dangerous attacks 44

46 Possession 54

4 Corners 7

11 Free kicks 12

4 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

0 Hit Woodwork 1

5 Substitutions 4

29 Throwins 37

38 Successful Dribbles Percentage 40

77 Ball Safe 78

9 Goal Attempts 12

13 Dribble Attempts 10

5 Successful Dribbles 4

10 Goal Kicks 6

0 Assists 1

1 Injuries 1

Attacking

1 Big Chances Missed 1

94 Attacks 97

Possession

176 Successful Passes 191

69 Long Passes 74

25 Successful Long Passes 18

11 Key Passes 8

36 Successful Long Passes Percentage 24

64 Successful Passes Percentage 61

273 Passes 312

Defensive

12 Tackles 17

61 Duels Won 63

6 Saves 4

8 Interceptions 4

Build-up

4 Accurate Crosses 6

13 Total Crosses 21

Discipline

3 Offsides 1

12 Fouls 11

Lineup

Referee : Simone Sozza

Manager ▼

M. Alvini Coach

Starting XI ▼

Lorenzo Palmisani Goalkeeper

Giorgio Cittadini Defender

Anthony Oyono Defender

Ilario Monterisi Defender

Gabriele Bracaglia Defender

Ilias Koutsoupias Midfielder

Giacomo Calò Midfielder

Ben Lhassine Kone

Midfielder90'

Matteo Cichella Midfielder

Francesco Gelli

Midfielder67'

Farès Ghedjemis Attacker

Seydou Fini

Attacker80'

Antonio Raimondo Attacker

Massimo Zilli

Attacker67'

Giorgi Kvernadze Attacker

Antonio Fiori

Attacker90'

Substitutes ▼

Francesco Gelli

Midfielder67'

Massimo Zilli

Attacker67'

Seydou Fini

Attacker80'

Ben Lhassine Kone

Midfielder90'

Antonio Fiori

Attacker90'

Bench ▼

Eldin Lolic Goalkeeper

Matteo Pisseri Goalkeeper

Gabriele Calvani Defender

Jacopo Gelli Defender

Jérémy Oyono Defender

Edoardo Vergani Attacker

Kevin Barcella Attacker

Referee : Simone Sozza