Frosinone vs Carrarese Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
Stadio Benito Stirpe
Sat, 25 Apr - 1:00 PM
Serie B
Frosinone
FRO
3
0
0
Carrarese
CAR
Full Time
Sat, 25 Apr
1:00 PM
Round 36 ·
Regular Season
Ben Lhassine Kone - 90+6' (P)
Antonio Fiori - 71'
Giacomo Calò - 54' (P)
|
STANDINGS
Loading standings...
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Jul 11
CONTEXT
Frosinone claimed a decisive 3-0 victory over Carrarese, with all goals scored in the second half after a 0-0 halftime deadlock. The home side dominated possession at 57% to 43%, gradually wearing down their opponents' defense. Despite Carrarese's resilient first-half performance, Frosinone's superior quality prevailed post-interval, netting three unanswered strikes. No red cards were issued, ensuring uninterrupted play in a match that showcased the home team's control and finishing prowess. As the designated stronger team, Frosinone delivered a performance marked by significant structural deviation, aligning with pre-match expectations while maintaining efficiency in line with norms. The result underscores their ability to convert sustained pressure into a comprehensive win, free from any major disruptions.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Frosinone showed a significant 38.8% structural deviation favoring their performance.
-
Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
-
xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing data.
-
Market alignment: Outcome aligned with pre-match market expectations.
-
xG expectations: xG expectations could not be assessed without data.
-
Event impact: No events or second-half adjustments impacted the match.
-
Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, causing zero distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Match referee
Andrea Rapuano
•
25 matches in sample
Avg. cards
0.12
0.12
Fouls / match
0.52
Yellow cards / match
0.12
Red cards / match
0
Penalties / match
0
Other match officials
A. Copelli
4th Official
G. Monaco
2nd Assistant
M. Ceccon
1st Assistant
M. Alvini
VS
A. Calabro
2.15
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.19
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Modena
Rank:
W
Palermo
Rank:
D
Calcio Padova
Rank:
W
Südtirol
Rank:
W
Bari 1908
Rank:
W
Cesena
Rank:
D
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Pescara
Rank:
D
Reggiana
Rank:
L
Spezia
Rank:
W
Bari 1908
Rank:
W
Sampdoria
Rank:
W
Juve Stabia
Rank:
D
3
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 0 - 1
1
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Frosinone
61.21%
Draw
20.98%
Carrarese
17.82%
Movement
Changes since opening
Frosinone
-36.68%
Draw
+19.06%
Carrarese
+17.62%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
33.77
23.56
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Frosinone
Carrarese
Power Score
33.77
23.56
League Position
2
10
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Frosinone
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Carrarese
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Frosinone Carrarese
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Frosinone
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Carrarese
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Frosinone
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Carrarese
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
38.77
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
38.72
Combined Efficiency Index
Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3
0
3
Frosinone
+0.01
Efficiency Index
vs
Carrarese
-0.01
Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Frosinone
Carrarese
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Frosinone
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Carrarese
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
Frosinone
Carrarese
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
2.00
0.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
—
vs
—
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
Frosinone
Carrarese
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00
2.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
—
vs
—
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Frosinone
Carrarese
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Frosinone
vs
Carrarese
Attack After Winning
Possession transition → offence
Frosinone
Carrarese
Goals per Match
Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Shots per Match
Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Dangerous Attacks
Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match.
↑ better
—
Transition Efficiency Index
Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition.
Higher = stronger on the counter
Frosinone
0.48
Carrarese
0.45
Defence After Losing
Possession loss → defensive exposure
Frosinone
Carrarese
Goals Conceded
Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Shots Conceded
Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded
Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match.
↓ better
—
Vulnerability Index
Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks.
Lower = better transition defence
Frosinone
0.00
Carrarese
0.07
Frosinone
Carrarese
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- FRO had peak pressure around 64'.
- FRO started the game with stronger pressure.
FRO Pressure
CAR Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index:
FRO reached the top pressure at 64' (77.98).
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Frosinone
FRO
Home
4
matches
Carrarese
CAR
Away
Match Record
3
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
3
Goals
7
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
7
+6
Goal Difference
-6
Data last updated: 2026-04-26T00:02:44+00:00
STARTING XI
Frosinone
Carrarese
Match Formation
4-3-3
Match Formation
3-5-2
22 L. Palmisani
20 A. Oyono Omva Torque
30 I. Monterisi
3 G. Calvani
79 G. Bracaglia
J. Gelli
#690+1'
14 G. Calò
16 M. Cichella
B. Kone
#9280'
10 F. Gelli
S. Fini
#4070'
M. Zilli
#2880'
9 A. Raimondo
A. Fiori
#8070'
17 G. Kvernadze
1 M. Bleve
6 F. Oliana
4 J. Illanes Minucci
72 S. Zanon
J. Rouhi
#7373'
7 N. Belloni
70 L. Hasa
E. Zuelli
#1759'
18 N. Schiavi
77 G. Parlanti
N. Calabrese
#3759'
13 D. Bouah
F. Di Stefano
#2877'
32 M. Finotto
F. Abiuso
#959'
21 T. Rubino
General Information
📅
Date & Time :
Apr 25, 2026, 01:00 PM
🏆
Competition :
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 36 · Regular Season
🏟️
Stadium :
Stadio Benito Stirpe
👥
Capacity :
16227
🌱
Pitch Surface :
Grass
🌤️
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
🧑⚖️
Referees :
Alessandro Copelli
Giacomo Monaco
Marco Ceccon
Andrea Rapuano
Next Match
Frosinone
vs
Juve Stabia
League: Serie B
Kickoff: Fri, 1 May - 1:00 PM
Venue: Stadio Comunale Romeo Menti
Carrarese
vs
Cesena
League: Serie B
Kickoff: Fri, 1 May - 1:00 PM
Venue: Stadio dei Marmi
Statistics
Possession
FRO
54%
CAR
46%
Top Statistics
3
Goals
0
5
Big Chances Created
1
6
Shots
3
42
Dangerous attacks
33
57
Possession
43
8
Corners
8
11
Free kicks
10
2
Yellow Cards
3
Match Overview
14
Dribble Attempts
7
26
Throwins
17
5
Goal Kicks
13
43
Successful Dribbles Percentage
43
6
Successful Dribbles
3
52
Ball Safe
66
10
Goal Attempts
7
5
Substitutions
5
2
Penalties
0
1
Hit Woodwork
1
1
Assists
0
Attacking
73
Attacks
64
2
Big Chances Missed
1
Possession
15
Successful Long Passes
20
38
Long Passes
52
39
Successful Long Passes Percentage
38
306
Successful Passes
207
365
Passes
271
84
Successful Passes Percentage
76
15
Key Passes
14
Defensive
40
Duels Won
42
3
Saves
1
8
Tackles
19
3
Interceptions
5
Build-up
25
Total Crosses
28
9
Accurate Crosses
8
Discipline
10
Fouls
13
2
Offsides
2
Lineup
Frosinone
Referee :
Andrea Rapuano
Manager ▼
M. Alvini
Coach
Starting XI ▼
22
Lorenzo Palmisani
Goalkeeper
7.14 3
Gabriele Calvani
Defender
6.85 20
Anthony Oyono
Defender
6.79 30
Ilario Monterisi
Defender
7.08 79
Gabriele Bracaglia
Defender
6.89 10
Francesco Gelli
Midfielder
6.9 92Ben Lhassine Kone
Midfielder80'
14
Giacomo Calò
Midfielder
6Jacopo Gelli
6.85Defender90+1'
16
Matteo Cichella
Midfielder
6.72 40Seydou Fini
7Attacker70'
9
Antonio Raimondo
Attacker
6.88 28Massimo Zilli
6.7Attacker80'
17
Giorgi Kvernadze
Attacker
6.77
80Antonio Fiori
Attacker70'
Substitutes ▼
40Seydou Fini
7Attacker70'
80Antonio Fiori
Attacker70'
92Ben Lhassine Kone
Midfielder80'
28Massimo Zilli
6.7Attacker80'
6Jacopo Gelli
6.85Defender90+1'
Bench ▼
12
Eldin Lolic
Goalkeeper
75
Matteo Pisseri
Goalkeeper
21
Jérémy Oyono
Defender
6.69 32
Edoardo Masciangelo
Defender
6.49 18
Filippo Grosso
Midfielder
6.82 90
Edoardo Vergani
Attacker
6.63 99
Kevin Barcella
Attacker
6.57
Carrarese
Referee :
Andrea Rapuano
Manager ▼
A. Calabro
Coach
Starting XI ▼
1
Marco Bleve
Goalkeeper
6.85 4
Julián Illanes
Defender
6.89 6
Filippo Oliana
Defender
6.78 72
Simone Zanon
Defender
7.01 7
Niccolò Belloni
Midfielder
6.71 73Jonas Rouhi
6.78Defender73'
13
Devid Eugene Bouah
Midfielder
6.69
37Nicolò Calabrese
6.77Defender59'
18
Nicolás Schiavi
Midfielder
7.15
17Emanuele Zuelli
6.99Midfielder59'
70
Luis Hasa
Midfielder
7.05 77
Gabriele Parlanti
Midfielder
6.59 21
Tommaso Rubino
Attacker
6.75 9Fabio Abiuso
Attacker59'
6.99
32
Mattia Finotto
Attacker
6.66 28Filippo Distefano
6.72Attacker77'
Substitutes ▼
17Emanuele Zuelli
6.99Midfielder59'
37Nicolò Calabrese
6.77Defender59'
9Fabio Abiuso
Attacker59'
6.99
73Jonas Rouhi
6.78Defender73'
28Filippo Distefano
6.72Attacker77'
Bench ▼
12
Giovanni Garofani
Goalkeeper
99
Vincenzo Fiorillo
Goalkeeper
6.93 78
Tommaso Guercio
Defender
8
Filippo Melegoni
Midfielder
6.7 25
Dachi Lordkipanidze
Midfielder
6.54 44
Nikola Sekulov
Attacker
6.69 92
Ernesto Torregrossa
Attacker
6.59
Events
2ND-HALF
Ben Lhassine Kone
Left foot shot / 2nd Penalty
90+6'
Jacopo Gelli → Giacomo Calò
10th Substitution
90+1'
90'
Fabio Abiuso
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Ben Lhassine Kone → Francesco Gelli
8th Substitution
80'
Massimo Zilli → Antonio Raimondo
9th Substitution
80'
77'
Filippo Distefano → Mattia Finotto
7th Substitution
73'
Jonas Rouhi → Niccolò Belloni
6th Substitution
Antonio Fiori
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
71'
Seydou Fini → Farès Ghedjemis
4th Substitution
70'
Antonio Fiori → Giorgi Kvernadze
5th Substitution
70'
Giorgi Kvernadze
Simulation / 4th Yellowcard
69'
Giorgi Kvernadze
Penalty awarded
68'
59'
Emanuele Zuelli → Nicolás Schiavi
3rd Substitution
59'
Nicolò Calabrese → Devid Eugene Bouah
2nd Substitution
59'
Fabio Abiuso → Tommaso Rubino
1st Substitution
56'
Nicolás Schiavi
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
56'
6th Yellowcard
Giacomo Calò
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
54'
Penalty awarded
52'
1ST-HALF
43'
Devid Eugene Bouah
Card adjusted
42'
Devid Eugene Bouah
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
26'
CONCLUSION
Frosinone's 3-0 win over Carrarese exemplified second-half dominance after a level 0-0 halftime, leveraging 57% possession into clinical goals. The stronger team's significant structural deviation highlighted their edge, with efficiency in line and market expectations met. Absent red cards or disruptive events, the scoreline purely reflected superiority in execution and tactics. This result reinforces Frosinone's credentials, providing a solid foundation for upcoming challenges through disciplined play and effective conversion.
Frosinone vs Carrarese preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
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Author
Alf Indseth writes football-focused analysis that looks beyond match results to explore form, value, and market context.