Fredrikstad vs Viking Prediction, Preview and Stats

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Nye Fredrikstad Stadion Sat, 25 Apr - 2:00 PM
Eliteserien
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
1 Winner 2
Viking Viking
Full Time Sat, 25 Apr 2:00 PM
Round 6 Regular Season
Oskar Öhlenschlaeger - 65'
Goal
|
Goal
Gianni Stensness - 59'
Peter Christiansen - 45+4'

CONTEXT

Fredrikstad welcomed Viking to their home ground in the Eliteserien, but the visitors emerged victorious with a 1-2 scoreline. Viking struck first, leading 1-0 at halftime after dominating possession with 58% to Fredrikstad's 42%. The home side mounted a comeback in the second half, pulling one back to level the scores temporarily, yet Viking's resilience shone through as they netted the winner late on. No red cards disrupted the flow, allowing both teams to showcase their tactical setups fully. As the pre-designated stronger side, Viking delivered a performance with minimal structural deviation, staying true to their expected dominance. Possession translated effectively into chances, though detailed xG metrics remain unavailable. Fredrikstad's defensive lapses proved costly against Viking's sharp attack, underscoring the away team's superior efficiency. The match highlighted Viking's ability to control games through sustained pressure and clinical execution, solidifying their position in the standings.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Structural deviation measured a minimal 3.5% in Viking's favor.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with pre-match projections.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment assessment unavailable due to missing data.
  • Market alignment: Final outcome fully aligned with pre-match market evaluations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without available metrics.
  • Event impact: No major events significantly altered match dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured no distortion to the scoreline.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

S. Kringstad

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

R. Langseth

1st Assistant

D. Nebben

2nd Assistant

A. Al Fahad

4th Official

Fredrikstad A. Hagen
A. Hagen
VS
Viking M. Jensen
M. Jensen
1.4
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.7
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kristiansund Rank: L
Vålerenga Rank: D
Aalesund Rank: W
KFUM Rank: W
Tromsø Rank: L
Bodø / Glimt Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brann Rank: W
Bodø / Glimt Rank: W
Vålerenga Rank: W
Molde Rank: W
HamKam Rank: L
Vålerenga Rank: W
8
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
8 - 4 - 6
6

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Fredrikstad
0.19%
Draw
3.33%
Away Viking
96.48%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
19.5
44.22
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Fredrikstad
Viking
Power Score
19.5
44.22
League Position
8
2
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Fredrikstad — Opponent-weighted form score
Viking — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Fredrikstad Viking

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Fredrikstad

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Viking

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Fredrikstad ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Viking
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
32.26
28.88
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
28.88
32.26
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Fredrikstad +0.35 Efficiency Index
vs
Viking -0.35 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Fredrikstad
Viking
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Fredrikstad ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Viking
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Fredrikstad Viking
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Fredrikstad Viking
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Fredrikstad
Viking
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Fredrikstad
vs
Viking
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Fredrikstad Viking
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Fredrikstad 0.39
Viking 0.43
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Fredrikstad Viking
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Fredrikstad 0.06
Viking 0.03
Fredrikstad
Viking
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Fredrikstad had peak pressure around 93'.
  • Viking started the game with stronger pressure.
Fredrikstad Pressure Viking Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Fredrikstad reached the top pressure at 93' (73.46).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 18 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Fredrikstad Fredrikstad Home
18 matches
Viking Viking Away
Match Record
8
Wins
6
4
Draws
4
6
Losses
8
Goals
22
Goals Scored
22
22
Goals Conceded
22
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-26T00:04:51+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-3-2
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
M. Børsheim
Norway
77 M. Børsheim
D. Eid
Norway
16 D. Eid
F. Holmé
Substitution
Norway
4 F. Holmé
U. Fredriksen
Norway
12 U. Fredriksen
J. Vonheim Norbye
Norway
18 J. Vonheim Norbye
S. Sørløkk
Substitution
Norway
13 S. Sørløkk
S. Holm
Sweden
6 S. Holm
L. Owusu
Substitution
Ghana
24 L. Owusu
R. Shein
Estonia
21 R. Shein
O. Øhlenschlæger
Denmark
20 O. Øhlenschlæger
H. Skogvold
Substitution
Norway
23 H. Skogvold
Pitch
Ľ. Belko
Slovakia
30 Ľ. Belko
K. Haugen
Norway
28 K. Haugen
H. Falchener
Norway
25 H. Falchener
G. Stensness
Australia
6 G. Stensness
H. Heggheim
Substitution
Norway
5 H. Heggheim
Z. Tripić
Substitution
Norway
10 Z. Tripić
J. Bell
Substitution
New Zealand
8 J. Bell
K. Askildsen
Norway
7 K. Askildsen
N. Kemp Fuglestad
Substitution
23 N. Kemp Fuglestad
S. Kvia-Egeskog
Substitution
Norway
26 S. Kvia-Egeskog
P. Christiansen
Denmark
20 P. Christiansen

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 25, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition :
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 6 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Nye Fredrikstad Stadion
Capacity :
12565
Attendance :
7612
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Sigurd Smehus Kringstad
Runar Langseth
Dag Roger Nebben
Abdulhadi Al Fahad

Statistics

Possession
Fredrikstad
45%
Viking
55%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2
0 Big Chances Created 2
2 Shots 5
31 Dangerous attacks 35
42 Possession 58
3 Corners 6
11 Free kicks 10
0 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

8 Goal Attempts 9
25 Throwins 19
58 Successful Dribbles Percentage 45
11 Goal Kicks 11
74 Ball Safe 77
12 Dribble Attempts 11
4 Substitutions 5
7 Successful Dribbles 5
0 Assists 2

Attacking

72 Attacks 82
4 Counter Attacks 3

Possession

71 Long Passes 65
44 Successful Long Passes Percentage 35
317 Successful Passes 463
401 Passes 552
31 Successful Long Passes 23
79 Successful Passes Percentage 84
5 Key Passes 14

Defensive

56 Duels Won 43
15 Tackles 13
3 Saves 2
7 Interceptions 2

Build-up

5 Accurate Crosses 7
15 Total Crosses 20

Discipline

2 Offsides 3
10 Fouls 11

Lineup

Referee : Sigurd Smehus Kringstad

Starting XI ▼

77
Martin Børsheim
Martin Børsheim Goalkeeper
7.12
4
Fredrik Holmé
Fredrik Holmé Defender
6.9
19
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem
Defender63'
6.4
12
Ulrik Fredriksen
Ulrik Fredriksen Defender
7.01
13
Sondre Sørløkk
Sondre Sørløkk Defender
6.3
15
Eirik Julius Granaas
Eirik Julius Granaas
Midfielder75'
6.53
16
Daniel Eid
Daniel Eid Defender
7.13
18
Jonathan Norbye
Jonathan Norbye Defender
6.42
6
Samuel Leach Holm
Samuel Leach Holm Midfielder
7.38
21
Rocco Shein
Rocco Shein Midfielder
7.14
24
Leonard Owusu
Leonard Owusu Midfielder
6.83
2
Kenneth Ikechukwu
Kenneth Ikechukwu
Defender90'
20
Oskar Öhlenschlaeger
Oskar Öhlenschlaeger Attacker
6.95
23
Henrik Langaas Skogvold
Henrik Langaas Skogvold Attacker
6.6
9
S. Laghzaoui
S. Laghzaoui
Midfielder63'
6.85
Referee : Sigurd Smehus Kringstad

Starting XI ▼

30
Lubomir Belko
Lubomir Belko Goalkeeper
6.68
5
Henrik Heggheim
Henrik Heggheim Defender
7.54
18
Sondre Bjørshol
Sondre Bjørshol
Defender90'
6.91
6
Gianni Stensness
Gianni Stensness Defender
7.12
25
Henrik Falchener
Henrik Falchener Defender
7.02
28
Kristoffer Haugen
Kristoffer Haugen Defender
7.1
7
Kristoffer Askildsen
Kristoffer Askildsen Midfielder
6.89
8
Joe Bell
Joe Bell Midfielder
6.92
29
Tobias Moi
Tobias Moi
Midfielder70'
6.58
10
Zlatko Tripic
Zlatko Tripic Midfielder
8.12
21
Anders Bærtelsen
Anders Bærtelsen
Defender89'
6.88
23
Niklas Fuglestad
Niklas Fuglestad Midfielder
6.87
17
Edvin Austbø
Edvin Austbø
Attacker70'
6.61
20
Peter Christiansen
Peter Christiansen Attacker
7.28
26
Simen Kvia-Egeskog
Simen Kvia-Egeskog Attacker
7.19
15
Ola Visted
Ola Visted
Midfielder90'
6.43

Events

2ND-HALF
90+6'
Event
3rd Yellowcard
90+5'
Event
Tobias Moi
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Kenneth Ikechukwu → Leonard Owusu
8th Substitution
90'
90'
Event
Sondre Bjørshol → Henrik Heggheim
7th Substitution
90'
Event
Ola Visted → Simen Kvia-Egeskog
9th Substitution
89'
Event
Anders Bærtelsen → Zlatko Tripic
6th Substitution
78'
Event
Kristoffer Askildsen
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Eirik Julius Granaas → Sondre Sørløkk
5th Substitution
75'
70'
Event
Edvin Austbø → Niklas Fuglestad
3rd Substitution
70'
Event
Tobias Moi → Joe Bell
4th Substitution
Event
Oskar Öhlenschlaeger
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
65'
Event
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem → Fredrik Holmé
1st Substitution
63'
Event
S. Laghzaoui → Henrik Langaas Skogvold
2nd Substitution
63'
59'
Event
Gianni Stensness
Header / 2nd Goal
1ST-HALF
45+4'
Event
Peter Christiansen
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

CONCLUSION

Viking's 1-2 triumph over Fredrikstad reinforces their status as the stronger outfit, capitalizing on 58% possession and halftime lead to secure all points. Fredrikstad's second-half goal injected hope, but defensive frailties allowed Viking to reclaim the lead decisively. With no interruptions from red cards or structural upheavals, the result reflects true team qualities and minimal deviations from form. This victory boosts Viking's momentum, while Fredrikstad must address efficiency gaps exposed in possession battles. Overall, the match served as a textbook display of Viking's control and finishing prowess, aligning outcomes with their established strengths in the league.

Fredrikstad vs Viking preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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