Fredrikstad vs Lillestrøm Prediction, Preview and Stats

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Nye Fredrikstad Stadion Sat, 11 Jul - 12:00 PM
Eliteserien
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
Versus
Lillestrøm Lillestrøm
KICKOFF : Sat, 11 Jul - 12:00 PM
Round 13 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Eliteserien action in the 2026 campaign brings Fredrikstad up against Lillestrøm at Nye Fredrikstad Stadion during the regular season phase. The hosts sit tenth in the domestic standings while the visitors occupy fourth place. Fredrikstad carries a power score of 61.01 compared to 48.04 for the away side, creating a thirteen-point advantage for the stronger team. Recent form registers 15 for the home outfit and 14.11 for Lillestrøm, indicating closely matched recent performances. Both sides enter without detailed last-outing records available. Set-piece data shows low confidence levels with proxy metrics in use and no xG figures recorded. Efficiency and transition details likewise remain unavailable at this stage. The fixture promises an intriguing domestic league encounter shaped by positional differences and modest form edges.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Fredrikstad holds a thirteen-point power advantage over Lillestrøm in domestic standings.
  • Form: Home form scores reach 15 while away form sits at 14.11.
  • Squad: Detailed squad information is unavailable for either side ahead of kickoff.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics remain unavailable for this league fixture.
  • Transition: Transition data shows no recorded details for the upcoming match.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece analysis carries low confidence with proxy data applied.
  • xVariable: Power scores list 61.01 for Fredrikstad and 48.04 for Lillestrøm.
  • Market: Fredrikstad 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Lillestrøm 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Fredrikstad C. Røjkjaer
C. Røjkjaer
VS
Lillestrøm H. Ødegaard
H. Ødegaard
1.27
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.73
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Start Rank: 50 W
Sandefjord Rank: 61 D
HamKam Rank: 60 W
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: 60 L
Brann Rank: 67 L
Viking Rank: 79 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
HamKam Rank: 60 L
Kristiansund Rank: 55 L
Sandefjord Rank: 61 W
Rosenborg Rank: 61 L
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: 60 W
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 82 L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Fredrikstad
0%
Draw
0%
Away Lillestrøm
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
61.01
48.04
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Fredrikstad
Lillestrøm
Power Score
61.01
48.04
League Position
10
4
Global Rank
444
595

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Fredrikstad — Opponent-weighted form score
Lillestrøm — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Fredrikstad Lillestrøm

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Fredrikstad Fredrikstad Home
2 matches
Lillestrøm Lillestrøm Away
Match Record
2
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
2
Goals
5
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
5
+4
Goal Difference
-4

Data last updated: 2026-07-06T00:07:07+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

Official lineups and formations are usually announced 60–90 minutes before kickoff. Check back closer to the match to see the starting XIs here.

General Information

Date & Time :
Jul 11, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition :
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 13 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Nye Fredrikstad Stadion
Capacity :
12565
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

1
Oystein Ovretveit
Oystein Ovretveit Goalkeeper
25
Ole Langbråten
Ole Langbråten Goalkeeper
77
Martin Børsheim
Martin Børsheim Goalkeeper
5
Simen Rafn
Simen Rafn Defender
13
Sondre Sørløkk
Sondre Sørløkk Defender
16
Daniel Eid
Daniel Eid Defender
12
Ulrik Fredriksen
Ulrik Fredriksen Defender
28
Solomon Owusu
Solomon Owusu Defender
4
Fredrik Holmé
Fredrik Holmé Defender
17
Sigurd Kvile
Sigurd Kvile Defender
3
Alexander Andresen
Alexander Andresen Defender
19
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem Defender
18
Jonathan Vonheim Norbye
Jonathan Vonheim Norbye Defender
26
Joachim Emmanuel Valcin Nysveen
Joachim Emmanuel Valcin Nysveen Defender
2
Kennedy David Ikechukwu Okpaleke
Kennedy David Ikechukwu Okpaleke Defender
27
Chris Irénée Ntamack Pondy
Chris Irénée Ntamack Pondy Defender
6
Samuel Holm
Samuel Holm Midfielder
24
Leonard Owusu
Leonard Owusu Midfielder
21
Rocco Robert Shein
Rocco Robert Shein Midfielder
7
Benjamin Thoresen Faraas
Benjamin Thoresen Faraas Midfielder
14
Max Mattias Nilsson
Max Mattias Nilsson Midfielder
20
Oskar Øhlenschlæger
Oskar Øhlenschlæger Midfielder
10
Johannes Andres Nunez Godoy
Johannes Andres Nunez Godoy Attacker
23
Henrik Skogvold
Henrik Skogvold Attacker
9
Salim Laghzaoui
Salim Laghzaoui Attacker

Squad ▼

1
Stefan Hagerup
Stefan Hagerup Goalkeeper
12
Pontus Dahlberg
Pontus Dahlberg Goalkeeper
28
Lunan Ruben Gabrielsen
Lunan Ruben Gabrielsen Defender
22
John Kitolano
John Kitolano Defender
23
Ulrik Yttergård Jenssen
Ulrik Yttergård Jenssen Defender
4
Espen Bjørnsen Garnås
Espen Bjørnsen Garnås Defender
5
Sander Moen Foss
Sander Moen Foss Defender
2
Lars Mogstad Ranger
Lars Mogstad Ranger Defender
26
Yaw Paintsil
Yaw Paintsil Defender
3
Sturla Ottesen
Sturla Ottesen Defender
11
Frederik Elkær
Frederik Elkær Defender
—
Lucas Svenningsen
Lucas Svenningsen Defender
18
Kevin Martin Krygård
Kevin Martin Krygård Midfielder
29
Yildren Ibrahimaj
Yildren Ibrahimaj Midfielder
17
Eric Bugale Kitolano
Eric Bugale Kitolano Midfielder
8
Markus Seehusen Karlsbakk
Markus Seehusen Karlsbakk Midfielder
14
Gustav Kjølstad Nyheim
Gustav Kjølstad Nyheim Midfielder
21
Efe Kegbe Lucky
Efe Kegbe Lucky Midfielder
6
Harald Woxen
Harald Woxen Midfielder
10
Thomas Lehne Olsen
Thomas Lehne Olsen Attacker
20
Vladimiro Etson António Félix
Vladimiro Etson António Félix Attacker
19
Camil Jebara
Camil Jebara Attacker
15
Salieu Drammeh
Salieu Drammeh Attacker
7
Karl Linus Alperud
Karl Linus Alperud Attacker
9
Kparobo Nathaniel Arierhi
Kparobo Nathaniel Arierhi Attacker

CONCLUSION

Fredrikstad prepares to host Lillestrøm with a clear power edge and a mid-table position that contrasts the visitors higher standing. Both teams display similar recent form levels that could produce a balanced contest on home soil. Limited data on efficiency and transitions leaves emphasis on overall team strength indicators. Set-piece insights carry reduced reliability due to absent xG metrics. The domestic league setting at Nye Fredrikstad Stadion adds familiar surroundings for the hosts. Positional gaps suggest Fredrikstad may seek to close ground on higher-placed opponents. Observers can expect a match defined by these structural contrasts rather than extensive statistical overlays.

Fredrikstad vs Lillestrøm preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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Author

Alf Indseth

Alf Indseth writes football-focused analysis that looks beyond match results to explore form, value, and market context.