Fredericia vs Randers FC Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark

Monjasa Park Fri, 13 Mar - 6:00 PM

Superliga

Fredericia Fredericia

Randers FC RDF

Full Time Fri, 13 Mar 6:00 PM

Elies Mahmoud - 79'

Warren Caddy - 12'

Mathias Greve - 9'

CONTEXT

The match has finished, with Randers FC securing a commanding 3-0 full-time victory away against Fredericia after taking a comfortable 2-0 lead into halftime. This outcome was fully aligned with the pre-match market, which entered the fixture favoring Randers FC as the stronger team with a 45.1% win probability, compared to Fredericia’s 29.7% and a 25.3% chance of a draw. However, the dominant margin of victory represented a significant deviation in favor of Randers FC relative to baseline expectations. Despite the lopsided final scoreline, Fredericia actually controlled the bulk of the play, holding 56% of the possession compared to Randers FC's 44%. Because expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for either team in this fixture, it cannot be definitively determined whether the final outcome was consistent with the underlying xG metrics. The match concluded cleanly without any red cards issued to either side, meaning disciplinary events did not artificially impact the tactical dynamics on the pitch. Ultimately, the team's efficiency shift was perfectly in line with pre-game evaluations, allowing the clinical visitors to translate their minority possession into a highly effective, market-aligned triumph.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Randers FC showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: No major event distortion.
Red card distortion: None.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

L. Graagaard

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

E. Deronjic

1st Assistant

D. Kolding

2nd Assistant

A. Uslu

4th Official

M. Hansen

R. Bertelsen

0.93

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.14

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

2 - 0 - 0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Fredericia

29.7%

Draw

25.25%

Randers FC

45.06%

Team Power Ranking

43.81

61.92

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Fredericia

Randers FC

Power Score

43.81

61.92

League Position

Global Rank

707

405

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Fredericia — Opponent-weighted form score

Randers FC — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Fredericia Randers FC

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Fredericia

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Randers FC

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Fredericia ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Randers FC

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

22.41

31.02

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

31.02

22.41

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Fredericia -0.81 Efficiency Index

Randers FC +0.81 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Fredericia

Randers FC

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Fredericia ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Randers FC

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Fredericia Randers FC

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Fredericia Randers FC

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Fredericia

Randers FC

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.

Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Fredericia Fredericia Home

2 matches

Randers FC RDF Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Goal Difference

-2

Data last updated: 2026-03-14T02:08:50+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

Match Formation 4-4-1-1

42 E. Green

12 S. Crone

3 A. Nygaard Andersen

5 (C) F. Thykær Rieper

8 J. Jessen

17 D. Kristjánsson

6 F. Winther

16 S. Østergaard Grandjean Johannesen

10 E. Simonsen

21 J. Holm Lindekilde

25 F. Ubi Etim

1 P. Izzo

44 N. Dyhr

4 (C) W. Dammers

3 D. Høegh

24 S. Osman Hansen

17 M. Greve

6 J. Björkengren

8 L. Raun Pedersen

11 E. Mahmoud

7 M. Themsen

10 W. Caddy

General Information

Date & Time :

Mar 13, 2026, 06:00 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark

Stadium :

Monjasa Park

Capacity :

10000

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Lasse Læbel Graagaard

Esad Deronjic

Danny Kolding

Aydin Uslu

Statistics

Possession

Fredericia

55%

RDF

45%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 3

0 Big Chances Created 3

3 Shots 3

51 Dangerous attacks 33

56 Possession 44

3 Corners 6

19 Free kicks 11

2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

19 Throwins 16

6 Goal Kicks 11

17 Dribble Attempts 8

53 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50

1 Hit Woodwork 1

9 Successful Dribbles 4

5 Substitutions 5

76 Ball Safe 80

9 Goal Attempts 7

Attacking

128 Attacks 79

2 Counter Attacks 2

0 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

87 Successful Passes Percentage 78

531 Passes 411

49 Long Passes 74

31 Successful Long Passes 34

63 Successful Long Passes Percentage 46

461 Successful Passes 322

10 Key Passes 7

Defensive

12 Tackles 15

10 Interceptions 11

0 Saves 3

Build-up

20 Total Crosses 14

2 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

3 Offsides 1

11 Fouls 18

Lineup

Referee : Lasse Læbel Graagaard

Manager ▼

M. Hansen Coach

Starting XI ▼

Etienne Green Goalkeeper

5.37

Adam Nygaard Andersen Defender

6.28

Frederik Thykær Rieper (C) Defender

6.45

Jakob Jessen Defender

6.42

Anders Dahl

Defender61'

5.64

Svenn Crone Defender

6.62

Felix Winther Midfielder

7.2

Emilio Simonsen Midfielder

7.23

Elias Hansborg-Sørensen

Attacker82'

6.52

Sofus Johannesen Midfielder

6.19

Gustav Ølsted Marcussen

Midfielder62'

6.82

Daníel Freyr Kristjánsson Midfielder

6.64

Andreas Pyndt

Midfielder46'

6.69

Jonatan Holm Lindekilde Midfielder

6.82

Moses Opondo

Midfielder62'

6.34

Etim Attacker

7.22

Substitutes ▼

Andreas Pyndt

Midfielder46'

6.69

Anders Dahl

Defender61'

5.64

Moses Opondo

Midfielder62'

6.34

Gustav Ølsted Marcussen

Midfielder62'

6.82

Elias Hansborg-Sørensen

Attacker82'

6.52

Bench ▼

Mads Krogsøe Eriksen Goalkeeper

Jeppe Kudsk Defender

Kristian Pedersen Defender

Patrick Egelund Attacker

Referee : Lasse Læbel Graagaard