Fiorentina vs Raków Częstochowa Prediction, Preview and Stats

Europe flag 2025/2026 Europa Conference League, Europe
Stadio Artemio Franchi Thu, 12 Mar - 8:00 PM
Europa Conference League
Fiorentina FIO
2 Winner 1
Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa
Full Time Thu, 12 Mar 8:00 PM
Albert Gudmundsson - 90+3' (P)
Cher Ndour - 62'
Goal
|
Goal
Jonatan Braut Brunes - 60'

CONTEXT

The match between Fiorentina and Raków Częstochowa has officially finished, with Fiorentina securing a 2-1 victory at full-time. Following a tightly contested first half that ended level at 0-0, the home side managed to find their scoring touch to clinch the win in the second period. The match flowed without major disciplinary disruptions, as no red cards were issued to either side. Fiorentina dictated the tempo of the game, controlling 58 percent of the possession compared to Raków Częstochowa’s 42 percent. While expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this fixture, making it impossible to evaluate if the final outcome was mathematically consistent with xG quality, Fiorentina's post-match efficiency shift was perfectly in line with general expectations. Pre-match market odds accurately anticipated this result, giving Fiorentina a 50.8 percent chance of victory, alongside a 25.8 percent probability for a draw and 23.4 percent for an away win. Because the stronger team ultimately won, the result fully aligned with the pre-match market. However, securing the three points still represented a significant deviation level of 49.2 percent for Fiorentina, underscoring that overcoming the resilient visitors required a decisive second-half effort.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Fiorentina showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

G. Kabakov

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Margaritov

1st Assistant

M. Venev

2nd Assistant

R. Gidzhenov

4th Official

Fiorentina P. Vanoli
P. Vanoli
VS
Raków Częstochowa ?. Tomczyk
?. Tomczyk
1.5
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.33
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lausanne Sport Rank: 60 L
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: 65 W
AEK Athens Rank: 78 L
FSV Mainz 05 Rank: 79 L
SK Rapid Rank: 58 W
Sigma Olomouc Rank: 57 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Omonia Nicosia Rank: W
Zrinjski Rank: 58 W
SK Rapid Rank: 58 W
Sparta Praha Rank: 73 D
Sigma Olomouc Rank: 57 D
Universitatea Craiova Rank: 71 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Fiorentina
50.76%
Draw
25.83%
Away Raków Częstochowa
23.41%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
74.57
52.84
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Fiorentina
Raków Częstochowa
Power Score
74.57
52.84
League Position
15
2
Global Rank
98
171

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Fiorentina — Opponent-weighted form score
Raków Częstochowa — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Fiorentina Raków Częstochowa

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Fiorentina

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Raków Częstochowa

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Fiorentina ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Raków Częstochowa
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
35.60
20.24
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
20.24
35.60
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Fiorentina +1.26 Efficiency Index
vs
Raków Częstochowa -1.26 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Fiorentina
Raków Częstochowa
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Fiorentina ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Raków Częstochowa
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Fiorentina Raków Częstochowa
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Fiorentina Raków Częstochowa
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Fiorentina
Raków Częstochowa
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Fiorentina FIO Home
0 matches
Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-13T01:05:21+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-5-1
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch
O. Christensen
Denmark
53 O. Christensen
N. Fortini
Substitution
Italy
29 N. Fortini
P. Comuzzo
Italy
15 P. Comuzzo
L. Ranieri
Italy
6 (C) L. Ranieri
R. Gosens
Substitution
Germany
21 R. Gosens
F. Parisi
Italy
65 F. Parisi
G. Fabbian
Italy
80 G. Fabbian
R. Mandragora
Substitution
Italy
8 R. Mandragora
C. Ndour
Italy
27 C. Ndour
J. Fazzini
Substitution
Italy
22 J. Fazzini
R. Piccoli
Substitution
Italy
91 R. Piccoli
Pitch
O. Zych
Poland
48 O. Zych
E. Svarnas
Greece
4 E. Svarnas
B. Racovitan
France
25 B. Racovitan
F. Tudor
Croatia
7 (C) F. Tudor
T. Pieńko
Substitution
Poland
8 T. Pieńko
O. Repka
Poland
6 O. Repka
K. Struski
Substitution
Poland
23 K. Struski
M. Ameyaw
Poland
19 M. Ameyaw
I. López Álvarez
Substitution
Spain
10 I. López Álvarez
J. Brunes
Substitution
Norway
18 J. Brunes
P. Makuch
Poland
9 P. Makuch

General Information

Date & Time :
Mar 12, 2026, 08:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Europa Conference League, Europe
Stadium :
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Capacity :
43147
Attendance :
7852
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Martin Margaritov
Martin Venev
Radoslav Gidzhenov
Georgi Kabakov

Statistics

Possession
FIO
57%
Raków Częstochowa
43%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
3 Big Chances Created 1
12 Shots 4
53 Dangerous attacks 30
58 Possession 42
8 Corners 3
13 Free kicks 12
3 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

17 Dribble Attempts 18
7 Successful Dribbles 5
14 Throwins 14
6 Goal Kicks 10
41 Successful Dribbles Percentage 28
5 Substitutions 4
1 Assists 1
1 Hit Woodwork 0
1 Injuries 0
70 Ball Safe 83
10 Goal Attempts 7
1 Penalties 0

Attacking

117 Attacks 87
2 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

47 Long Passes 45
84 Successful Passes Percentage 77
413 Successful Passes 278
38 Successful Long Passes Percentage 27
491 Passes 361
14 Key Passes 5
18 Successful Long Passes 12

Defensive

18 Tackles 14
8 Interceptions 8
2 Saves 4
60 Duels Won 47

Build-up

24 Total Crosses 9
6 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

12 Fouls 14
0 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Georgi Kabakov

Starting XI ▼

53
Oliver Christensen
Oliver Christensen Goalkeeper
6.7
6
Luca Ranieri
Luca Ranieri (C) Defender
6.75
15
Pietro Comuzzo
Pietro Comuzzo Defender
6.57
21
Robin Gosens
Robin Gosens Defender
7.06
17
Jack Harrison
Jack Harrison
Attacker59'
6.46
29
Niccolò Fortini
Niccolò Fortini Defender
7.05
2
Dodô
Dodô
Defender68'
6.49
8
Rolando Mandragora
Rolando Mandragora Midfielder
7.76
44
Nicolò Fagioli
Nicolò Fagioli
Midfielder82'
6.42
22
Jacopo Fazzini
Jacopo Fazzini Midfielder
6.84
10
Albert Gudmundsson
Albert Gudmundsson
Attacker59'
7.09
27
Cher Ndour
Cher Ndour Midfielder
7.68
65
Fabiano Parisi
Fabiano Parisi Midfielder
7.59
80
Giovanni Fabbian
Giovanni Fabbian Midfielder
6.77
91
Roberto Piccoli
Roberto Piccoli Attacker
6.69
61
Riccardo Braschi
Riccardo Braschi
Attacker82'
6.43
Referee : Georgi Kabakov

Starting XI ▼

48
Oliwier Zych
Oliwier Zych Goalkeeper
6.69
4
Stratos Svarnas
Stratos Svarnas Defender
6.24
7
Fran Tudor
Fran Tudor (C) Defender
6.44
25
Bogdan Racovițan
Bogdan Racovițan Defender
6.57
6
Oskar Repka
Oskar Repka Midfielder
6.81
8
Tomasz Pienko
Tomasz Pienko Midfielder
6.52
24
Zoran Arsenic
Zoran Arsenic
Defender60'
6.21
19
Michael Ameyaw
Michael Ameyaw Midfielder
5.89
23
Karol Struski
Karol Struski Midfielder
6.28
5
Marko Bulat
Marko Bulat
Midfielder70'
6.7
9
Patryk Makuch
Patryk Makuch Attacker
7.38
10
Ivi López
Ivi López Attacker
6.42
80
Lamine Diaby-Fadiga
Lamine Diaby-Fadiga
Midfielder60'
6.34
18
Jonatan Braut Brunes
Jonatan Braut Brunes Attacker
7.5
17
Leonardo Rocha
Leonardo Rocha
Attacker80'
6.48

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Nicolò Fagioli
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
90+6'
90+6'
Event
Oliwier Zych
Argument / 6th Yellowcard
Event
Albert Gudmundsson
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
90+3'
Event
Fabiano Parisi
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
85'
Event
Riccardo Braschi → Roberto Piccoli
8th Substitution
82'
Event
Nicolò Fagioli → Rolando Mandragora
9th Substitution
82'
80'
Event
Leonardo Rocha → Jonatan Braut Brunes
7th Substitution
80'
Event
Fran Tudor
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
74'
Event
Chao He
Argument / 7th Yellowcard
70'
Event
Marko Bulat → Karol Struski
6th Substitution
Event
Dodô → Niccolò Fortini
5th Substitution
68'
Event
Cher Ndour
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
62'
60'
Event
Zoran Arsenic → Tomasz Pienko
3rd Substitution
60'
Event
Lamine Diaby-Fadiga → Ivi López
4th Substitution
60'
Event
Jonatan Braut Brunes
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
Event
Albert Gudmundsson → Jacopo Fazzini
1st Substitution
59'
Event
Jack Harrison → Robin Gosens
2nd Substitution
59'
Event
Luca Ranieri
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
48'
1ST-HALF
32'
Event
Karol Struski
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Oliver Christensen from Fiorentina earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded, with the final score being Fiorentina 2, Rakow Czestochowa 1.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Nicolò Fagioli of Fiorentina receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
90
Update Update
Michael Ameyaw from Rakow Czestochowa has given away a penalty due to a handball in the box.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be four minutes of stoppage time.
90
Update Update
Oliver Christensen from Fiorentina is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
90
Update Update
Patryk Makuch from Rakow Czestochowa commits a foul.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Oliwier Zych from Rakow Czestochowa receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Fiorentina takes the lead 2-1 against Rakow Czestochowa. Albert Gudmundsson steps up and successfully converts the penalty, striking it with his right foot into the bottom left corner of the net.
90
Update Update
Oskar Repka from Rakow Czestochowa has been awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
88
Update Update
Giovanni Fabbian from Fiorentina commits a foul.
88
Update Update
Bogdan Racovitan from Rakow Czestochowa is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
87
Update Update
Dodô from Fiorentina commits a foul.
87
Update Update
Patryk Makuch from Rakow Czestochowa earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
87
Update Update
Offside call against Rakow Czestochowa. Zoran Arsenic has been flagged for being offside.
87
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Fran Tudor from Rakow Czestochowa takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked.
86
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Rakow Czestochowa after Oliver Christensen allowed the ball to go out.
86
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Rakow Czestochowa after Oliver Christensen allowed the ball to go out of play.
85
Update Update
Fabiano Parisi from Fiorentina commits a foul.
85
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Fabiano Parisi from Fiorentina receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
85
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Fabiano Parisi of Fiorentina receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
82
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Fiorentina: Riccardo Braschi comes on to take the place of Roberto Piccoli.
82
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Fiorentina: Nicolò Fagioli comes on to take the place of Rolando Mandragora.
82
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Luca Ranieri from Fiorentina takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's blocked.
81
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Fiorentina, following a foul by Michael Ameyaw.
80
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Fran Tudor from Rakow Czestochowa receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
80
Update Update
Fran Tudor commits a foul for Rakow Czestochowa.
80
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Rakow Czestochowa: Leonardo Rocha comes on to take the place of Jonatan Braut Brunes.
80
Update Update
Fabiano Parisi from Fiorentina earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
79
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Lamine Diaby-Fadiga from Rakow Czestochowa took a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it didn't find the target.
71
Update Update
Roberto Piccoli from Fiorentina strikes the crossbar with a left-footed effort from the left side of the penalty area.
70
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Rakow Czestochowa: Marko Bulat comes on to take the place of Karol Struski.
69
Update Update
Lamine Diaby-Fadiga from Rakow Czestochowa commits a foul.
69
Update Update
Fabiano Parisi from Fiorentina is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
68
Update Update
Patryk Makuch from Rakow Czestochowa commits a foul.
68
Update Update
Jack Harrison from Fiorentina earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
68
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Fiorentina: Dodô comes on to take the place of Niccolò Fortini.
67
Corner Corner
Fiorentina has been awarded a corner kick after Oskar Repka allowed the ball to go out of play.
67
Attempt Attempt
The shot was stopped. Rolando Mandragora of Fiorentina took a right-footed attempt from the middle of the penalty area, but the goalkeeper made the save.
66
Update Update
Karol Struski from Rakow Czestochowa commits a foul.
66
Update Update
Cher Ndour from Fiorentina earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
64
Update Update
Pietro Comuzzo from Fiorentina commits a foul.
64
Update Update
Jonatan Braut Brunes from Rakow Czestochowa earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
64
Update Update
Karol Struski from Rakow Czestochowa commits a foul.
62
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! It's 1-1 between Fiorentina and Rakow Czestochowa. Cher Ndour scores for Fiorentina with a powerful right-footed strike from outside the penalty area.
60
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Rakow Czestochowa: Lamine Diaby-Fadiga comes on in place of Ivi López.
60
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Rakow Czestochowa takes the lead with a score of 1-0 against Fiorentina. Jonatan Braut Brunes scores with a left-footed strike from the middle of the penalty area.
60
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Rakow Czestochowa: Zoran Arsenic comes on to take the place of Tomasz Pienko.
59
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Fiorentina: Albert Gudmundsson comes on to take the place of Jacopo Fazzini.
59
Update Update
Pietro Comuzzo from Fiorentina commits a foul.
59
Update Update
Jonatan Braut Brunes from Rakow Czestochowa has been awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
59
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Fiorentina: Jack Harrison comes on to take the place of Robin Gosens.
58
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Rolando Mandragora of Fiorentina took a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but it sailed high and to the left after a corner kick.
57
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Fiorentina after a play involving Bogdan Racovitan.
57
Update Update
Jonatan Braut Brunes from Rakow Czestochowa earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
57
Update Update
Oliver Christensen from Fiorentina earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
56
Update Update
Pietro Comuzzo from Fiorentina commits a foul.
55
Attempt Attempt
Attempt denied. Robin Gosens from Fiorentina takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist came from Fabiano Parisi.
53
Attempt Attempt
The shot is deflected. Cher Ndour of Fiorentina takes a right-footed attempt from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked. He was set up by a header from Roberto Piccoli.
53
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Giovanni Fabbian of Fiorentina took a right-footed shot from the middle of the box, but it sailed high and to the left. He was set up by Roberto Piccoli.
50
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Cher Ndour of Fiorentina heads the ball from the center of the box, but it goes just to the left of the target. The chance was set up by a cross from Niccolò Fortini.
49
Update Update
Fabiano Parisi of Fiorentina earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
49
Update Update
Ivi López from Rakow Czestochowa committed a foul.
48
Update Update
Patryk Makuch from Rakow Czestochowa is awarded a free kick on the right flank.
48
Update Update
Luca Ranieri of Fiorentina commits a foul.
48
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Luca Ranieri of Fiorentina receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
47
Update Update
Roberto Piccoli of Fiorentina earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
47
Update Update
Niccolò Fortini from Fiorentina earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
47
Update Update
Tomasz Pienko from Rakow Czestochowa commits a foul.
47
Update Update
Bogdan Racovitan from Rakow Czestochowa commits a foul.
45
Update Update
The first half concludes with the score tied at 0-0 between Fiorentina and Rakow Czestochowa.
45
Update Update
The first half has concluded with the score tied at 0-0 between Fiorentina and Rakow Czestochowa.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be one minute of stoppage time.
45
Update Update
The first half concludes with the score tied at 0-0 between Fiorentina and Rakow Czestochowa.
45
Attempt Attempt
Shot on goal denied. Jacopo Fazzini of Fiorentina takes a right-footed strike from outside the penalty area, but Oliwier Zych of Rakow Czestochowa makes a save right in the middle of the goal, with assistance from Rolando Mandragora.
42
Update Update
Stratos Svarnas commits a foul for Rakow Czestochowa.
42
Update Update
Fabiano Parisi from Fiorentina earns a free kick on the right side.
39
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Jacopo Fazzini from Fiorentina takes a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but it's blocked.
37
Update Update
Oskar Repka from Rakow Czestochowa is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
37
Update Update
Giovanni Fabbian from Fiorentina commits a foul.
36
Update Update
Fran Tudor of Rakow Czestochowa is awarded a free kick in their own defensive zone.
36
Update Update
Roberto Piccoli from Fiorentina commits a foul.
34
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Fiorentina after a foul by Bogdan Racovitan.
34
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Fiorentina, following a foul by Bogdan Racovitan.
32
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Karol Struski from Rakow Czestochowa receives a yellow card for committing a foul.
31
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
30
Update Update
The game is currently paused due to an injury to Rolando Mandragora from Fiorentina.
28
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Jacopo Fazzini from Fiorentina takes a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area but fails to find the target.
26
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Roberto Piccoli from Fiorentina took a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it didn't hit the target.
24
Update Update
Oskar Repka from Rakow Czestochowa has been awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
24
Update Update
Roberto Piccoli of Fiorentina commits a foul.
23
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Fiorentina after Fran Tudor allowed the ball to go out.
16
Corner Corner
Fiorentina earns a corner kick after Fran Tudor allowed the ball to go out of play.
14
Attempt Attempt
Shot blocked. Robin Gosens from Fiorentina directs a header from the middle of the penalty area, but it's stopped by the goalkeeper.
13
Corner Corner
Fiorentina has been awarded a corner kick after Oskar Repka allowed the ball to go out of play.
13
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Fiorentina after a play that resulted in a foul by Oskar Repka.
10
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Rakow Czestochowa after Luca Ranieri allowed the ball to go out.
9
Corner Corner
Fiorentina has been awarded a corner kick after Oliwier Zych allowed the ball to go out.
9
Attempt Attempt
A shot on goal is thwarted. Robin Gosens from Fiorentina takes a left-footed strike from the middle of the box, but Oliwier Zych from Rakow Czestochowa makes a fantastic save, denying him at the top center of the net. The attempt was set up by a cross from Jacopo Fazzini.
8
Update Update
Fabiano Parisi from Fiorentina earns a free kick on the right side of the field.
8
Update Update
Tomasz Pienko commits a foul for Rakow Czestochowa.
7
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Ivi López from Rakow Czestochowa took a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sailed high and wide to the right following a direct free kick.
6
Update Update
Pietro Comuzzo from Fiorentina commits a foul.
6
Update Update
Jonatan Braut Brunes from Rakow Czestochowa earns a free kick in the offensive half of the field.
4
Update Update
Bogdan Racovitan from Rakow Czestochowa commits a foul.
4
Update Update
Giovanni Fabbian from Fiorentina earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Rakow Czestochowa after a play that resulted in a save by Oliver Christensen.
2
Corner Corner
The shot was blocked. Tomasz Pienko from Rakow Czestochowa took a right-footed attempt from the left side of the penalty area, but Oliver Christensen from Fiorentina made a save in the bottom left corner. The assist came from Jonatan Braut Brunes.
1
Update Update
Roberto Piccoli from Fiorentina earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
1
Update Update
Bogdan Racovitan from Rakow Czestochowa commits a foul.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Fiorentina exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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