Fiorentina vs Genoa Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Stadio Artemio Franchi Sun, 10 May - 1:00 PM
Serie A
Fiorentina FIO
0 – 0
Genoa GEN
Full Time Sun, 10 May 1:00 PM
Round 36 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Fiorentina and Genoa played out a tense 0-0 draw in Serie A, with the home team holding 57% possession against Genoa's 43%. Despite being the stronger side, Fiorentina could not find a breakthrough, mirroring the goalless first half. No red cards disrupted play, and the second half saw no major adjustments from either manager. This outcome represents a significant 72.1% structural deviation for Fiorentina, who dominated proceedings but lacked clinical finishing. xG data is unavailable, limiting analysis of chance quality. Efficiency for both teams remained in line with expectations, yet the result diverged from pre-match favoritism toward Fiorentina at 46.5%, draw at 27.9%, and Genoa at 25.6%. Genoa's organized defense proved decisive in securing the point.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: The 0-0 draw caused a significant 72.1% structural deviation for stronger team Fiorentina.
  • Efficiency shift: Both teams' efficiency remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment undetermined due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Draw outcome not aligned with pre-match market assessments.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without data.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or other events altered match dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, resulting in zero distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

L. Massimi

Italy
Fouls / match 0
Yellow cards / match 0
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

G. Mokhtar

1st Assistant

Italy

A. Cavallina

2nd Assistant

Italy

A. Calzavara

4th Official

Italy

League averages

Serie A Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 22.6
Yellow cards / match 3.28
Red cards / match 0.16
Penalties / match 0.18
Fiorentina P. Vanoli
P. Vanoli
VS
Genoa D. De Rossi
D. De Rossi
1.33
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.38
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Roma Rank: 85 L
Sassuolo Rank: 74 D
Lecce Rank: 67 D
Lazio Rank: 81 W
Hellas Verona Rank: 64 W
Inter Rank: 92 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Atalanta Rank: 84 D
Como Rank: 82 L
Pisa Rank: 64 W
Sassuolo Rank: 76 W
Juventus Rank: 86 L
Udinese Rank: 77 L
15
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
15 - 17 - 4
4

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Fiorentina
46.49%
Draw
27.89%
Away Genoa
25.62%

Movement

Changes since opening
Fiorentina
+40.19%
Draw
-61.3%
Genoa
+21.12%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
77.18
74.91
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Fiorentina
Genoa
Power Score
77.18
74.91
League Position
15
14
Global Rank
89
116

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Fiorentina — Opponent-weighted form score
Genoa — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Fiorentina Genoa

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Fiorentina

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Genoa

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Fiorentina ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Genoa
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
26.40
24.07
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
24.07
26.40
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Fiorentina +0.25 Efficiency Index
vs
Genoa -0.25 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Fiorentina
Genoa
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Fiorentina ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Genoa
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Fiorentina Genoa
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Fiorentina Genoa
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Fiorentina
Genoa
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Fiorentina
vs
Genoa
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Fiorentina Genoa
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Fiorentina 0.32
Genoa 0.33
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Fiorentina Genoa
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Fiorentina 0.00
Genoa 0.00
Fiorentina
Genoa
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • FIO had peak pressure around 46'.
  • FIO started the game with stronger pressure.
FIO Pressure GEN Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: FIO reached the top pressure at 46' (88.06).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 36 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Fiorentina FIO Home
36 matches
Genoa GEN Away
Match Record
15
Wins
4
17
Draws
17
4
Losses
15
Goals
57
Goals Scored
34
34
Goals Conceded
57
+23
Goal Difference
-23

Data last updated: 2026-05-11T00:03:15+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
D. de Gea Quintana
Spain
43 D. de Gea Quintana
D. Cordeiro dos Santos
Brazil
2 D. Cordeiro dos Santos
M. Pongracic
Croatia
5 M. Pongracic
L. Ranieri
Italy
6 L. Ranieri
R. Gosens
Germany
21 R. Gosens
R. Mandragora
Substitution
Italy
8 R. Mandragora
N. Fagioli
Italy
44 N. Fagioli
C. Ndour
Substitution
Italy
27 C. Ndour
F. Parisi
Substitution
Italy
65 F. Parisi
R. Braschi
Substitution
Italy
61 R. Braschi
M. Solomon
Israel
19 M. Solomon
Pitch
J. Bijlow
Netherlands
16 J. Bijlow
N. Zätterström
Sweden
13 N. Zätterström
L. Skiri Oestigaard
Norway
5 L. Skiri Oestigaard
A. Marcandalli
Substitution
Italy
27 A. Marcandalli
A. Martín Caricol
Substitution
Spain
3 A. Martín Caricol
M. Frendrup
Denmark
32 M. Frendrup
A. Amorim de Freitas Filho
Substitution
Brazil
4 A. Amorim de Freitas Filho
M. Ellertsson
Iceland
77 M. Ellertsson
V. Carvalho Oliveira
Portugal
9 V. Carvalho Oliveira
J. Ekhator
Substitution
Nigeria
21 J. Ekhator
L. Colombo
Substitution
Italy
29 L. Colombo

General Information

Date & Time :
May 10, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 36 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Capacity :
43147
Attendance :
19000
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Luca Massimi
Gamal Mokhtar
Alex Cavallina
Andrea Calzavara

Statistics

Possession
FIO
57%
GEN
43%

Top Statistics

4 Shots 3
41 Dangerous attacks 27
57 Possession 43
4 Corners 3
14 Free kicks 13

Match Overview

15 Successful Headers 17
10 Goal Kicks 9
17 Dribble Attempts 14
12 Successful Dribbles 3
76 Ball Safe 77
23 Throwins 19
71 Successful Dribbles Percentage 21
5 Goal Attempts 8
4 Substitutions 5
0 Injuries 1

Attacking

86 Attacks 74

Possession

17 Successful Long Passes 14
11 Key Passes 7
85 Successful Passes Percentage 81
353 Successful Passes 255
417 Passes 316
42 Long Passes 43
40 Successful Long Passes Percentage 33

Defensive

59 Duels Won 45
18 Tackles 13
6 Interceptions 4
3 Saves 0

Build-up

26 Total Crosses 13
8 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

13 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Luca Massimi

Starting XI ▼

43
David de Gea
David de Gea Goalkeeper
2
Dodô
Dodô Defender
5
Marin Pongracic
Marin Pongracic Defender
6
Luca Ranieri
Luca Ranieri Defender
21
Robin Gosens
Robin Gosens Defender
8
Rolando Mandragora
Rolando Mandragora Midfielder
4
Marco Brescianini
Marco Brescianini
Midfielder72'
27
Cher Ndour
Cher Ndour Midfielder
80
Giovanni Fabbian
Giovanni Fabbian
Midfielder73'
44
Nicolò Fagioli
Nicolò Fagioli Midfielder
19
Manor Solomon
Manor Solomon Attacker
61
Riccardo Braschi
Riccardo Braschi Attacker
91
Roberto Piccoli
Roberto Piccoli
Attacker61'
65
Fabiano Parisi
Fabiano Parisi Attacker
10
Albert Gudmundsson
Albert Gudmundsson
Attacker86'
Referee : Luca Massimi

Starting XI ▼

16
Justin Bijlow
Justin Bijlow Goalkeeper
5
Leo Østigård
Leo Østigård Defender
13
Nils Zätterström
Nils Zätterström Defender
27
Alessandro Marcandalli
Alessandro Marcandalli Defender
74
Mamedi Doucoure
Mamedi Doucoure
Defender82'
3
Aarón Martín
Aarón Martín Midfielder
99
Latif Ouedraogo
Latif Ouedraogo
Defender71'
4
Alexsandro Amorim de Freitas Filho
Alexsandro Amorim de Freitas Filho Midfielder
73
Patrizio Masini
Patrizio Masini
Midfielder82'
32
Morten Frendrup
Morten Frendrup Midfielder
77
Mikael Egill Ellertsson
Mikael Egill Ellertsson Midfielder
9
Vitinha
Vitinha Attacker
21
Jeff Ekhator
Jeff Ekhator Attacker
17
Ruslan Malinovskyi
Ruslan Malinovskyi
Midfielder71'
29
Lorenzo Colombo
Lorenzo Colombo Attacker
18
Caleb Ekuban
Caleb Ekuban
Attacker58'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Albert Gudmundsson → Fabiano Parisi
9th Substitution
86'
82'
Event
Patrizio Masini → Alexsandro Amorim de Freitas Filho
8th Substitution
82'
Event
Mamedi Doucoure → Alessandro Marcandalli
7th Substitution
Event
Giovanni Fabbian → Cher Ndour
6th Substitution
73'
Event
Marco Brescianini → Rolando Mandragora
5th Substitution
72'
71'
Event
Latif Ouedraogo → Aarón Martín
4th Substitution
71'
Event
Ruslan Malinovskyi → Jeff Ekhator
3rd Substitution
Event
Roberto Piccoli → Riccardo Braschi
2nd Substitution
61'
58'
Event
Caleb Ekuban → Lorenzo Colombo
1st Substitution

Match Commentary

45
Update Update
The first half ends with Fiorentina and Genoa tied at 0-0.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 1 minute of added time.
45
Attempt Attempt
Riccardo Braschi from Fiorentina had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from the center of the box, just missing the target. The assist came from Dodô, who provided a cross.
43
Update Update
Dodô from Fiorentina won a free kick in defense.
43
Update Update
Lorenzo Colombo of Genoa is called for dangerous play.
41
Corner Corner
Missed chance for Fiorentina. Robin Gosens heads the ball from inside the six-yard box on the left side but misses. The assist came from Manor Solomon, who delivered a cross after a corner.
41
Corner Corner
Fiorentina wins a corner after Alessandro Marcandalli concedes.
40
Update Update
Morten Frendrup from Genoa won a free kick on the right wing.
40
Update Update
Cher Ndour of Fiorentina committed a foul.
39
Update Update
Robin Gosens of Fiorentina won a free kick in defense.
39
Update Update
Foul committed by Lorenzo Colombo of Genoa.
39
Update Update
New attacking attempt. Leo Østigård from Genoa heads the ball from the center of the box, but David de Gea from Fiorentina saves it in the top center of the goal. The assist came from Aarón Martín with a cross.
38
Update Update
Alex Amorim from Genoa won a free kick on the left wing.
38
Update Update
Fouled by Fabiano Parisi of Fiorentina.
38
Update Update
Aarón Martín from Genoa won a free kick on the left wing.
38
Update Update
Foul committed by Nicolò Fagioli of Fiorentina.
37
Update Update
Fouled by Fabiano Parisi of Fiorentina.
37
Update Update
Alex Amorim from Genoa won a free kick in defense.
36
Update Update
Foul committed by Mikael Ellertsson of Genoa.
36
Update Update
Manor Solomon from Fiorentina won a free kick in defense.
35
Update Update
Rolando Mandragora from Fiorentina committed a foul.
35
Update Update
Alex Amorim of Genoa won a free kick in defense.
35
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Lorenzo Colombo from Genoa takes a left-footed shot from outside the box that goes high.
33
Update Update
Cher Ndour of Fiorentina won a free kick in defense.
33
Update Update
Morten Frendrup from Genoa commits a foul.
31
Update Update
Fouled by Nicolò Fagioli of Fiorentina.
31
Update Update
Mikael Ellertsson from Genoa won a free kick in defense.
29
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Robin Gosens of Fiorentina heads the ball from the center of the box but it goes over the bar. The assist came from Manor Solomon's cross.
28
Attempt Attempt
Rolando Mandragora from Fiorentina has a left-footed shot from outside the box, but it's blocked.
28
Update Update
Manor Solomon from Fiorentina won a free kick on the left wing.
28
Update Update
Foul committed by Mikael Ellertsson of Genoa.
27
Update Update
Luca Ranieri's header from the center of the box is blocked. The assist came from Dodô's cross.
26
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Jeff Ekhator from Genoa shot with his right foot from the right side of the box but missed. Lorenzo Colombo provided the assist after a fast break.
24
Corner Corner
Missed chance. Leo Østigård from Genoa heads the ball from the center of the box but it goes over the bar. The assist came from Alex Amorim with a cross following a corner.
23
Update Update
Dodô from Fiorentina commits a foul.
23
Corner Corner
Genoa wins a corner after Luca Ranieri concedes.
23
Update Update
Vítinha from Genoa won a free kick in defense.
19
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Dodô from Fiorentina shoots with his right foot from outside the box but it goes high. Rolando Mandragora provided the assist.
19
Update Update
Aarón Martín from Genoa commits a foul.
19
Update Update
Fabiano Parisi of Fiorentina won a free kick on the right wing.
18
Update Update
Foul committed by Mikael Ellertsson from Genoa.
18
Update Update
Robin Gosens of Fiorentina won a free kick in defense.
16
Update Update
Rolando Mandragora from Fiorentina commits a foul.
16
Update Update
Alex Amorim from Genoa won a free kick in defense.
14
Update Update
Lorenzo Colombo from Genoa won a free kick on the left wing.
14
Update Update
Marin Pongracic from Fiorentina committed a foul.
14
Attempt Attempt
Manor Solomon's shot from the left side of the box is blocked.
7
Attempt Attempt
Vítinha from Genoa takes a shot with his right foot from outside the box, but David de Gea, the goalkeeper for Fiorentina, saves it in the center of the goal. The assist comes from Aarón Martín.
4
Corner Corner
Fiorentina wins a corner after Mikael Ellertsson concedes.
1
Update Update
Offside called against Fiorentina. Riccardo Braschi is in an offside position.
1
Corner Corner
Genoa wins a corner after Dodô concedes.

CONCLUSION

Fiorentina's possession edge failed to yield goals against a resolute Genoa defense in this 0-0 stalemate, even at halftime. The significant deviation highlights the home team's profligacy despite strength indicators. With efficiency norms intact and no disruptive events, the draw reflects Genoa's tactical discipline in neutralizing attacks. Pre-match expectations underestimated the visitors' resilience, leading to misalignment. Fiorentina must address conversion issues, while Genoa builds confidence from the road point. This result underscores Serie A's competitiveness, where dominance does not guarantee victory.

Fiorentina vs Genoa preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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