Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Europa Conference League, Europe
Europa Conference League
Crystal Palace CRYSTANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Fiorentina hosted Crystal Palace in the second leg of their two-legged knockout tie, entering with a 0-3 deficit from the first leg where Palace had won at home. The match began evenly, tied 1-1 at halftime, before Fiorentina capitalized on their 67% possession dominance to secure a 2-1 victory. Despite the strong performance and overturning the first-leg loss on the night, Crystal Palace advanced 4-2 on aggregate. No red cards were shown, and the game proceeded without major disciplinary disruptions. Fiorentina, considered the stronger team overall, defied pre-match expectations where Palace were favored, marking a significant structural deviation in the result. The efficiency of both sides stayed in line with anticipated levels, though xG data was unavailable for deeper analysis.
TL;DR
- Structural deviation: Fiorentina showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
- Efficiency shift: Team efficiencies remained in line with expectations.
- xG alignment: xG data unavailable for outcome alignment assessment.
- Market alignment: Market expectations did not align with Fiorentina's victory.
- xG expectations: xG expectations unevaluable due to lack of data.
- Event impact: Second-leg win narrowed aggregate gap but Palace advanced 4-2 overall.
- Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, causing no distortion to the match flow.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Match referee
J. Gil Manzano
Other match officials
?. Nevado Rodríguez
1st Assistant
G. Porras Ayuso
2nd Assistant
J. Martínez Munuera
4th Official


Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Fiorentina
Crystal PalaceMovement
Changes since opening
Fiorentina
Crystal PalaceTeam Power Ranking
i
36.03
33.26
Fiorentina
Crystal PalaceForm Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.


Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Fiorentina ⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency 
Defensive Efficiency 
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)




Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Fiorentina ⚠ Proxy
Fiorentina Crystal Palace
Fiorentina Crystal Palace
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Fiorentina
Fiorentina Crystal Palace


Fiorentina Crystal Palace


PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- FIO had peak pressure around 31'.
- FIO started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.


Match Record 
Goals 
Expected Goals 
Data last updated: 2026-04-17T00:01:30+00:00
STARTING XI
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace






















































General Information
Next Match

Fiorentina
vs

Lecce
League: Serie A
Kickoff: Mon, 20 Apr - 6:45 PM
Venue: Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Crystal Palace
vs

West Ham United
League: Premier League
Kickoff: Mon, 20 Apr - 7:00 PM
Venue: Selhurst Park
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
FiorentinaManager ▼

Starting XI ▼
















Substitutes ▼





Bench ▼






Crystal PalaceManager ▼

Starting XI ▼















Substitutes ▼




Bench ▼








Events
CONCLUSION
Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
How We Build This Analysis
BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

Match Commentary