Fenerbahçe vs Eyüpspor Prediction, Preview and Stats

Türkiye flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye
Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium Sun, 17 May - 5:00 PM
Super Lig
Fenerbahçe FEN
3 – 3
Eyüpspor Eyüpspor
Full Time Sun, 17 May 5:00 PM
Round 34 Regular Season
Kerem Aktürkoğlu - 82', 79'
Fred - 68'
Goal
|
Goal
Talha Ülvan - 87'
Metehan Altunbaş - 36'
Mateusz Legowski - 17'

CONTEXT

Fenerbahce hosted Eyupspor in a match that concluded with a 3-3 draw. The home side held 78 percent possession but trailed 0-2 at halftime. Eyupspor scored both first-half goals to establish a clear advantage. Fenerbahce responded in the second half by scoring three times to level the score. No red cards were issued to either team during the contest. The stronger side according to pre-match indicators failed to secure a victory despite the possession dominance. The final result reflected a significant deviation from typical expectations for the home team.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Fenerbahce showed a significant structural deviation as the designated stronger team in a high-possession draw.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with observed second-half adjustments by the home side.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be assessed because expected goal metrics were unavailable.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment was false given the draw outcome against pre-match indicators.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations stayed undetermined due to the absence of underlying data.
  • Event impact: Event impact centered on the second-half comeback that erased the 0-2 halftime deficit.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion was absent as neither team received a red card.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

M. Türkmen

Türkiye 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

S. Çiçek

2nd Assistant

Türkiye

M. Aldemir

4th Official

Türkiye

S. Özay

1st Assistant

Türkiye

League averages

Super Lig Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 25.07
Yellow cards / match 4.49
Red cards / match 0.21
Penalties / match 0.39
Fenerbahçe Z. Göle
Z. Göle
VS
Eyüpspor A. Gerin
A. Gerin
2.14
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.14
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Konyaspor Rank: 71 W
İstanbul Başakşehir Rank: 76 W
Galatasaray Rank: 86 L
Rizespor Rank: 68 D
Kayserispor Rank: 62 W
Beşiktaş Rank: 77 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rizespor Rank: 70 W
Kayserispor Rank: 63 D
Gaziantep F.K. Rank: 67 W
Fatih Karagümrük Rank: 64 W
Samsunspor Rank: 74 L
Antalyaspor Rank: 60 L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 1 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Fenerbahçe
65%
Draw
18.72%
Away Eyüpspor
16.28%

Movement

Changes since opening
Fenerbahçe
+59.47%
Draw
-72.51%
Eyüpspor
+13.04%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
84.91
65.54
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Fenerbahçe
Eyüpspor
Power Score
84.91
65.54
League Position
2
13
Global Rank
36
313

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Fenerbahçe — Opponent-weighted form score
Eyüpspor — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Fenerbahçe Eyüpspor

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Fenerbahçe

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Eyüpspor

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Fenerbahçe ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Eyüpspor
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Fenerbahçe Eyüpspor
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Fenerbahçe Eyüpspor
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Fenerbahçe
Eyüpspor
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Fenerbahçe
vs
Eyüpspor
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Fenerbahçe Eyüpspor
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Fenerbahçe 0.00
Eyüpspor 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Fenerbahçe Eyüpspor
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Fenerbahçe 0.00
Eyüpspor 0.00
Fenerbahçe
Eyüpspor
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • FEN had peak pressure around 34'.
  • FEN started the game with stronger pressure.
FEN Pressure Eyüpspor Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: FEN reached the top pressure at 34' (95.70).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Fenerbahçe FEN Home
3 matches
Eyüpspor Eyüpspor Away
Match Record
2
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
2
Goals
6
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
6
+4
Goal Difference
-4

Data last updated: 2026-05-17T16:45:58+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch
F. Günok
Türkiye
34 F. Günok
M. Müldür
Substitution
Türkiye
18 M. Müldür
Y. Demir
Substitution
Türkiye
14 Y. Demir
C. Söyüncü
Substitution
Türkiye
4 C. Söyüncü
A. Brown
Substitution
England
3 A. Brown
İ. Yüksek
Türkiye
5 İ. Yüksek
N. Kanté
France
17 N. Kanté
O. Aydın
Türkiye
70 O. Aydın
F. Rodrigues Santos
Brazil
7 F. Rodrigues Santos
A. Musaba
Netherlands
20 A. Musaba
M. Aktürkoğlu
Türkiye
9 M. Aktürkoğlu
Pitch
J. Yılmaz
Türkiye
24 J. Yılmaz
C. Meraş
Türkiye
77 C. Meraş
L. Claro dos Santos
Brazil
4 L. Claro dos Santos
B. Özyurt
Türkiye
5 B. Özyurt
L. Calegari
Substitution
Brazil
2 L. Calegari
T. İlter
Substitution
Azerbaijan
28 T. İlter
M. Altunbaş
Substitution
Türkiye
26 M. Altunbaş
B. Gezek
Türkiye
55 B. Gezek
M. Łęgowski
Poland
20 M. Łęgowski
D. Radu
Substitution
Romania
22 D. Radu
U. Bozok
Türkiye
19 U. Bozok

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium
Capacity :
50530
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Mehmet Türkmen
Samet Çiçek
M. Aldemir
Süleyman Özay

Statistics

Possession
FEN
72%
Eyüpspor
28%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 3
3 Big Chances Created 1
8 Shots 2
93 Dangerous attacks 19
78 Possession 22
6 Corners 0
14 Free kicks 9
5 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

44 Successful Dribbles Percentage 20
2 Goal Kicks 16
26 Throwins 15
16 Dribble Attempts 10
9 Successful Headers 8
50 Ball Safe 51
3 Assists 2
7 Successful Dribbles 2
4 Substitutions 5
0 Injuries 1
13 Goal Attempts 4

Attacking

149 Attacks 56
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

632 Successful Passes 140
61 Successful Long Passes Percentage 33
88 Successful Passes Percentage 67
718 Passes 210
46 Long Passes 58
28 Successful Long Passes 19
15 Key Passes 6

Defensive

46 Duels Won 36
8 Interceptions 12
16 Tackles 17
0 Saves 4

Build-up

29 Total Crosses 3
5 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

9 Fouls 14
0 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Mehmet Türkmen

Starting XI ▼

34
Mert Günok
Mert Günok Goalkeeper
6.51
3
Archie Brown
Archie Brown Defender
6.89
22
Levent Mercan
Levent Mercan
Defender63'
6.81
4
Çağlar Söyüncü
Çağlar Söyüncü Defender
6.94
67
Kamil Efe Üregen
Kamil Efe Üregen
Defender46'
14
Yiğit Efe Demir
Yiğit Efe Demir Defender
6.91
24
Jayden Oosterwolde
Jayden Oosterwolde
Defender46'
6.82
18
Mert Müldür
Mert Müldür Defender
6.77
27
Nélson Semedo
Nélson Semedo
Defender63'
6.86
5
İsmail Yüksek
İsmail Yüksek Midfielder
6.91
7
Fred
Fred Midfielder
7.12
17
N'Golo Kanté
N'Golo Kanté Midfielder
7.07
20
Anthony Musaba
Anthony Musaba Midfielder
6.87
70
Oğuz Aydın
Oğuz Aydın Midfielder
6.82
9
Kerem Aktürkoğlu
Kerem Aktürkoğlu Attacker
2
7.12
Referee : Mehmet Türkmen

Starting XI ▼

24
Jankat Yılmaz
Jankat Yılmaz Goalkeeper
7.09
2
Calegari
Calegari Defender
6.9
8
Emre Akbaba
Emre Akbaba
Midfielder86'
6.88
4
Luccas Claro
Luccas Claro Defender
6.85
5
Bedirhan Özyurt
Bedirhan Özyurt Defender
6.75
77
Umut Meraş
Umut Meraş Defender
6.72
20
Mateusz Legowski
Mateusz Legowski Midfielder
6.62
22
Denis Radu
Denis Radu Midfielder
6.59
17
Talha Ülvan
Talha Ülvan
Defender86'
6.71
26
Metehan Altunbaş
Metehan Altunbaş Midfielder
6.92
23
Lenny Pintor
Lenny Pintor
Attacker62'
6.68
28
Taşkın İlter
Taşkın İlter Midfielder
6.66
68
Jérôme Onguene
Jérôme Onguene
Defender74'
6.6
55
Baran Gezek
Baran Gezek Midfielder
6.85
19
Umut Bozok
Umut Bozok Attacker
6.9

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Nélson Semedo
Argument / 7th Yellowcard
90+5'
Event
Jayden Oosterwolde
Argument / 6th Yellowcard
90+5'
90+5'
Event
Luccas Claro
Argument / 5th Yellowcard
90+5'
Event
Metehan Altunbaş
Argument / 8th Yellowcard
88'
Event
Talha Ülvan
4th Yellowcard
87'
Event
Talha Ülvan
Right foot shot / 6th Goal
86'
Event
Talha Ülvan → Denis Radu
9th Substitution
86'
Event
Emre Akbaba → Calegari
7th Substitution
86'
Event
D. Rotariu → Jérôme Onguene
8th Substitution
Event
Kerem Aktürkoğlu
Right foot shot / 5th Goal
82'
Event
Kerem Aktürkoğlu
Left foot shot / 4th Goal
79'
74'
Event
Jérôme Onguene → Taşkın İlter
6th Substitution
Event
Fred
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
68'
Event
Nélson Semedo → Mert Müldür
5th Substitution
63'
Event
Levent Mercan → Archie Brown
4th Substitution
63'
62'
Event
Lenny Pintor → Metehan Altunbaş
3rd Substitution
Event
Jayden Oosterwolde → Yiğit Efe Demir
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Kamil Efe Üregen → Çağlar Söyüncü
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Anthony Musaba
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
44'
36'
Event
Metehan Altunbaş
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Archie Brown
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
28'
Event
Yiğit Efe Demir
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
21'
17'
Event
Mateusz Legowski
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Luccas Claro dos Santos receives a yellow card.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Jayden Oosterwolde receives a yellow card.
90
Attempt Attempt
Oguz Aydin takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Nelson Cabral Semedo receives a yellow card.
90
Attempt Attempt
Kamil Efe Üregen's header shot misses the target.
88
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Talha Ulvan receives a yellow card.
87
Attempt Attempt
Talha Ulvan takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
86
Update Update
Dorin Rotariu comes on for Jerome Junior Onguene.
86
Update Update
Emre Akbaba replaces Lucas Felipe Calegari.
86
Update Update
Talha Ulvan replaces Denis Radu.
85
Attempt Attempt
Levent Munir Mercan takes a left-footed shot but misses.
82
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Muhammed Kerem Akturkoglu scores, making it 3-2.
82
Attempt Attempt
Muhammed Kerem Akturkoglu takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
79
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Muhammed Kerem Akturkoglu scores, bringing the match to 2-2.
79
Attempt Attempt
Muhammed Kerem Akturkoglu takes a shot with his left foot and scores.
74
Update Update
Jerome Junior Onguene is on, and Taskin Ilter is off.
71
Attempt Attempt
Oguz Aydin attempts a header but misses the shot.
68
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Frederico Rodrigues Santos scores, making it 1-2.
68
Attempt Attempt
Ismail Yuksek takes a left-footed shot but misses.
68
Attempt Attempt
Frederico Rodrigues Santos takes a shot with his left foot and scores.
63
Update Update
Levent Munir Mercan is on, and Archie Brown is off.
63
Update Update
Nelson Cabral Semedo is on, and Mert Muldur is off.
62
Attempt Attempt
Archie Brown takes a header but misses the shot.
62
Update Update
Lenny Pintor comes on for Metehan Altunbas.
61
Attempt Attempt
Ismail Yuksek's right-footed shot is blocked.
46
Substitution Substitution
Jayden Oosterwolde is substituted for Yigit Efe Demir.
46
Update Update
Kamil Efe Üregen comes on for Caglar Soyuncu.
44
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Anthony Musaba receives a yellow card.
43
Attempt Attempt
Frederico Rodrigues Santos takes a left-footed shot but misses.
39
Attempt Attempt
Anthony Musaba takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
36
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Metehan Altunbas scores, making it 0-2.
36
Attempt Attempt
Metehan Altunbas takes a left-footed shot and scores.
35
Attempt Attempt
Muhammed Kerem Akturkoglu takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
31
Attempt Attempt
Archie Brown takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
31
Attempt Attempt
Archie Brown takes a left-footed shot but misses.
28
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Archie Brown receives a yellow card.
21
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yigit Efe Demir receives a yellow card.
21
Attempt Attempt
Mateusz Legowski takes a right-footed shot but misses.
19
Attempt Attempt
Umut Bozok's right-footed shot is blocked.
17
Attempt Attempt
Mateusz Legowski scores with a right-footed shot.
14
Attempt Attempt
Frederico Rodrigues Santos takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
11
Attempt Attempt
Frederico Rodrigues Santos takes a right-footed shot but misses.
10
Attempt Attempt
Ismail Yuksek's right-footed shot is saved.
6
Attempt Attempt
Frederico Rodrigues Santos takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
4
Attempt Attempt
Metehan Altunbas takes a right-footed shot but misses.

CONCLUSION

The 3-3 draw highlighted Fenerbahce's ability to recover from an early deficit through sustained possession and second-half scoring. Eyupspor maintained a compact defensive shape in the opening period that limited clear opportunities. The absence of red cards allowed both teams to complete their tactical plans without numerical disadvantage. Possession statistics favored the home side heavily yet translated into an even goal tally. Analytical review points to effective adjustments after the interval as the key factor behind the final scoreline. This result underscores the competitive balance present despite unequal territorial control throughout the fixture.

Fenerbahçe vs Eyüpspor preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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