FC Volendam vs SC Heerenveen Prediction, Preview and Stats

Netherlands flag 2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands
Kras Stadion Sun, 3 May - 10:15 AM
Eredivisie
FC Volendam VOL
0 Winner 2
SC Heerenveen HEE
Full Time Sun, 3 May 10:15 AM
Round 32 Regular Season
|
Goal
Dylan Vente - 86'
Luca Oyen - 8'

CONTEXT

FC Volendam faced SC Heerenveen at home in a competitive Eredivisie clash that concluded with a 0-2 victory for the visitors. Heerenveen struck first in the opening half, leading 0-1 at halftime, and sealed the win with a second-half goal. Possession was tightly balanced, with Volendam holding 49% to Heerenveen's 51%, underscoring a tactical battle. Identified as the stronger side, Heerenveen efficiently converted their chances while Volendam struggled to break through. The outcome reflected a significant 55% structural deviation favoring Heerenveen, aligning with pre-match assessments. No red cards marred the proceedings, and the second half saw no notable tactical shifts. Heerenveen's clinical finishing proved decisive in a match defined by fine margins and disciplined defending.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: SC Heerenveen exhibited a significant 55% structural deviation in their performance.
  • Efficiency shift: Team efficiencies stayed in line with expectations throughout the match.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable prevents assessment of alignment with actual scoreline.
  • Market alignment: Final result aligned fully with pre-match market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated due to lack of underlying data.
  • Event impact: No key events or second-half adjustments influenced the match outcome.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion from player dismissals.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

Serdar Gozubuyuk

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

P. Inia

1st Assistant

R. Honig

2nd Assistant

S. Shukrula

4th Official

FC Volendam R. Kruijs
R. Kruijs
VS
SC Heerenveen R. Veldman
R. Veldman
1.05
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.65
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Heracles Almelo Rank: 57 W
FC Twente Rank: 75 L
Feyenoord Rank: 76 D
Sparta Rotterdam Rank: 65 L
Fortuna Sittard Rank: 61 L
NEC Nijmegen Rank: 74 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Fortuna Sittard Rank: 61 W
AZ Rank: 73 L
Heracles Almelo Rank: 55 W
NEC Nijmegen Rank: 74 D
Telstar Rank: 62 W
Excelsior Rank: 62 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 5
5

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home FC Volendam
30.89%
Draw
24.14%
Away SC Heerenveen
44.97%

Movement

Changes since opening
FC Volendam
+30.65%
Draw
+22.22%
SC Heerenveen
-52.87%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
50.77
70.49
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
FC Volendam
SC Heerenveen
Power Score
50.77
70.49
League Position
16
7
Global Rank
498
191

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
FC Volendam — Opponent-weighted form score
SC Heerenveen — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) FC Volendam SC Heerenveen

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

FC Volendam

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

SC Heerenveen

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

FC Volendam ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy SC Heerenveen
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
36.43
26.18
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
26.18
36.43
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
FC Volendam +1.08 Efficiency Index
vs
SC Heerenveen -1.08 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
FC Volendam
SC Heerenveen
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

FC Volendam ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy SC Heerenveen
Created Set-piece attacking threat
FC Volendam SC Heerenveen
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
FC Volendam SC Heerenveen
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
FC Volendam
SC Heerenveen
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
FC Volendam
vs
SC Heerenveen
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
FC Volendam SC Heerenveen
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
FC Volendam 0.26
SC Heerenveen 0.23
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
FC Volendam SC Heerenveen
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
FC Volendam 0.04
SC Heerenveen 0.00
FC Volendam
SC Heerenveen
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • VOL had peak pressure around 79'.
  • HEE started the game with stronger pressure.
VOL Pressure HEE Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: VOL reached the top pressure at 79' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 7 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

FC Volendam VOL Home
7 matches
SC Heerenveen HEE Away
Match Record
1
Wins
5
1
Draws
1
5
Losses
1
Goals
7
Goals Scored
15
15
Goals Conceded
7
-8
Goal Difference
+8

Data last updated: 2026-05-04T00:00:54+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
K. van Oevelen
Substitution
Netherlands
1 K. van Oevelen
P. Ugwu
Netherlands
5 P. Ugwu
M. Amevor
Togo
3 M. Amevor
N. Verschuren
Netherlands
20 N. Verschuren
Y. Leliendal
Netherlands
32 Y. Leliendal
J. Bacuna
Substitution
Netherlands
4 J. Bacuna
N. Bukala
Substitution
Netherlands
18 N. Bukala
B. Ould-Chikh
Netherlands
77 B. Ould-Chikh
O. Kökcü
Substitution
Azerbaijan
7 O. Kökcü
A. Descotte
Belgium
99 A. Descotte
H. Veerman
Substitution
Netherlands
9 H. Veerman
Pitch
B. Klaverboer
Netherlands
22 B. Klaverboer
V. Zagaritis
Substitution
Greece
19 V. Zagaritis
M. Willemsen
Netherlands
3 M. Willemsen
S. Kersten
Netherlands
4 S. Kersten
O. Johansen Braude
Norway
45 O. Johansen Braude
J. van Overeem
Netherlands
6 J. van Overeem
M. Linday
Sweden
16 M. Linday
L. Oyen
Substitution
Belgium
11 L. Oyen
R. Meerveld
Substitution
Netherlands
10 R. Meerveld
J. Trenskow
Denmark
20 J. Trenskow
D. Vente
Substitution
Netherlands
9 D. Vente

General Information

Date & Time :
May 03, 2026, 10:15 AM
Competition :
2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Kras Stadion
Capacity :
7384
Attendance :
6948
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Patrick Inia
Serdar Gozubuyuk
Rogier Honig
Shona Shukrula

Statistics

Possession
VOL
50%
HEE
50%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 2
2 Big Chances Created 2
5 Shots 5
57 Dangerous attacks 47
49 Possession 51
7 Corners 5
14 Free kicks 8
3 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

30 Throwins 13
13 Successful Headers 16
0 Assists 2
5 Goal Kicks 12
17 Dribble Attempts 16
8 Successful Dribbles 6
47 Successful Dribbles Percentage 38
5 Substitutions 4
2 Injuries 2
76 Ball Safe 65
1 Hit Woodwork 0
9 Goal Attempts 7

Attacking

2 Big Chances Missed 1
65 Attacks 89

Possession

73 Successful Passes Percentage 79
273 Successful Passes 310
70 Long Passes 60
375 Passes 394
29 Successful Long Passes 29
41 Successful Long Passes Percentage 48
15 Key Passes 10

Defensive

11 Interceptions 11
17 Tackles 13
2 Saves 5
51 Duels Won 43

Build-up

25 Total Crosses 16
6 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

8 Fouls 14
0 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Serdar Gozubuyuk

Starting XI ▼

1
Kayne van Oevelen
Kayne van Oevelen Goalkeeper
7.17
16
Roy Steur
Roy Steur
Goalkeeper61'
6.45
3
Mawouna Amevor
Mawouna Amevor Defender
6.78
5
Precious Ugwu
Precious Ugwu Defender
6.5
20
Nick Verschuren
Nick Verschuren Defender
6.95
32
Yannick Leliendal
Yannick Leliendal Defender
6.88
4
Juninho Bacuna
Juninho Bacuna Midfielder
6.79
11
Aurelio Oehlers
Aurelio Oehlers
Attacker72'
6.61
7
Ozan Kökcü
Ozan Kökcü Midfielder
6.78
10
Brandley Kuwas
Brandley Kuwas
Attacker51'
6.8
18
Nordin Bukala
Nordin Bukala Midfielder
6.79
8
Gibson Yah
Gibson Yah
Midfielder51'
7
77
Bilal Ould-Chikh
Bilal Ould-Chikh Midfielder
6.74
99
Anthony Descotte
Anthony Descotte Midfielder
6.98
9
Henk Veerman
Henk Veerman Attacker
6.83
21
Robert Mühren
Robert Mühren
Attacker52'
6.66
Referee : Serdar Gozubuyuk

Starting XI ▼

22
Bernt Klaverboer
Bernt Klaverboer Goalkeeper
6.9
3
Maas Willemsen
Maas Willemsen Defender
6.83
4
Sam Kersten
Sam Kersten Defender
6.71
19
Vasilios Zagaritis
Vasilios Zagaritis Defender
6.88
28
Hristiyan Petrov
Hristiyan Petrov
Defender78'
6.51
45
Oliver Braude
Oliver Braude Defender
6.8
6
Joris van Overeem
Joris van Overeem Midfielder
7.03
10
Ringo Meerveld
Ringo Meerveld Midfielder
6.95
18
Lasse Nordås
Lasse Nordås
Attacker76'
7.03
11
Luca Oyen
Luca Oyen Midfielder
6.47
8
Luuk Brouwers
Luuk Brouwers
Midfielder65'
7
16
Marcus Linday
Marcus Linday Midfielder
6.83
20
Jacob Trenskow
Jacob Trenskow Midfielder
7.21
9
Dylan Vente
Dylan Vente Attacker
6.81
36
Nolhan Courtens
Nolhan Courtens
Midfielder90+1'
6.54

Events

2ND-HALF
90+7'
Event
Lasse Nordås
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
90+1'
Event
Nolhan Courtens → Dylan Vente
9th Substitution
86'
Event
Dylan Vente
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
80'
Event
Luuk Brouwers
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
78'
Event
Hristiyan Petrov → Vasilios Zagaritis
8th Substitution
76'
Event
Lasse Nordås → Ringo Meerveld
7th Substitution
Event
Aurelio Oehlers → Juninho Bacuna
6th Substitution
72'
65'
Event
Luuk Brouwers → Luca Oyen
5th Substitution
Event
Roy Steur → Kayne van Oevelen
4th Substitution
61'
Event
Robert Mühren → Henk Veerman
3rd Substitution
52'
Event
Brandley Kuwas → Ozan Kökcü
1st Substitution
51'
Event
Gibson Yah → Nordin Bukala
2nd Substitution
51'
1ST-HALF
41'
Event
Joris van Overeem
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Nordin Bukala
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
40'
Event
Juninho Bacuna
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
11'
8'
Event
Luca Oyen
Header / 1st Goal
Event
Precious Ugwu
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
6'

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Lasse Selvag Nordas receives a yellow card.
90
Attempt Attempt
Lasse Selvag Nordas takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
90
Update Update
Nolhan Courtens is on, and Dylan Vente is off.
90
Attempt Attempt
Brandley Kuwas takes a left-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Yannick Leliendal's left-footed shot is saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Brandley Kuwas takes a left-footed shot but misses.
86
Attempt Attempt
Dylan Vente scores with a right-footed shot.
83
Attempt Attempt
Anthony Descotte takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
80
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Luuk Brouwers receives a yellow card.
79
Attempt Attempt
Yannick Leliendal takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
79
Attempt Attempt
Mawouna Kodjo Amevor attempts a header but misses the shot.
78
Update Update
Hristiyan Petrov is on, and Vasilios Zagaritis is off.
76
Attempt Attempt
Gibson takes a shot with his right foot, but it's saved.
76
Update Update
Lasse Selvag Nordas is on, and Ringo Meerveld is off.
75
Attempt Attempt
Robert Muhren's header is saved.
73
Attempt Attempt
Bilal Ould-Chikh takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
73
Attempt Attempt
Gibson Yah takes a shot with his head, but it misses the target.
72
Update Update
Aurelio Oehlers is on, and Juninho Bacuna is off.
66
Attempt Attempt
Vasilios Zagaritis has a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
65
Update Update
Luuk Brouwers replaces Luca Oyen.
63
Attempt Attempt
Trenskow Jacob takes a left-footed shot but misses.
61
Update Update
Roy Steur comes on for Kayne van Oevelen.
56
Attempt Attempt
Ringo Meerveld has a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
53
Attempt Attempt
Ringo Meerveld takes a right-footed shot but misses.
52
Update Update
Robert Muhren replaces Henk Veerman.
52
Attempt Attempt
Luca Oyen's right-footed shot is blocked.
51
Substitution Substitution
Gibson Yah is substituted for Nordin Bukala.
51
Update Update
Brandley Kuwas replaces Ozan Kokcu.
43
Attempt Attempt
Joris van Overeem's right-footed shot is blocked.
41
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Joris van Overeem receives a yellow card.
40
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Nordin Bukala receives a yellow card.
35
Attempt Attempt
Luca Oyen's right-footed shot is blocked.
29
Attempt Attempt
Henk Veerman's right-footed shot is blocked.
23
Attempt Attempt
Juninho Bacuna takes a right-footed shot but misses.
16
Attempt Attempt
Bilal Ould-Chikh takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
14
Attempt Attempt
Henk Veerman's header is saved.
11
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Juninho Bacuna receives a yellow card.
10
Attempt Attempt
Precious Ugwu takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
8
Update Update
Luca Oyen scores with a header.
7
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Precious Ugwu receives a yellow card.
4
Attempt Attempt
Dylan Vente takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Serdar Gozubuyuk.

CONCLUSION

SC Heerenveen's 0-2 triumph over FC Volendam highlighted their superiority as the stronger team, overcoming balanced possession through sharp finishing and solid defense. The halftime lead of 0-1 set the tone, with the second goal extinguishing Volendam's hopes. This significant structural deviation of 55% underscores Heerenveen's effective execution against a resilient host. Market alignment confirms the result matched expectations, while the lack of disruptions ensured a clean tactical contest. Heerenveen gains momentum, bolstering their campaign, as Volendam reflects on missed opportunities in a narrow defeat.

FC Volendam vs SC Heerenveen preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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